Jancel VillarroelC Eugene Emeralds
Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 202 lbs A+ HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION189 act + 131 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .292 / .328
PA131
HR2
K%25
BB%5
BABIP294
ISO101
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.01.22.50.01.21.61.81.92.02.01.91.71.5+$105M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE46
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
DEFENSE40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.9$11M+$11M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.0$11M+$10M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.0$10M+$10M
2033Arb-1$4M+1.9$9M+$7M
2034Arb-2$6M+1.7$7M+$5M
2035Arb-3$7M+1.5$6M+$3M
Totals $20M $55M +$46M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL HOU Orange — 3126 8111 480 22 308400538938 231412 2613 388 155 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL HOU Orange — 3121 8111 950 22 3815676671.233 286467 1629 509 248 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 200174 441302 17438 64 253347362709 109323 228 316 100 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 200163 511405 28328 64 313437491928 178362 1614 414 175 — — — — — —
202419 A2 teams — 309273 51833 189816 115 187277271548 84276 326 239 41 — — — — — —
202419 A2 teams — 309260 641234 317116 115 246362362723 115321 2310 332 112 — — — — — —
202520 A2 teams — 433391 861336 2511011 207 220286315600 95285 256 266 62 — — — — — —
202520 A2 teams — 433371 961838 457711 207 259356388744 129301 1810 334 114 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+SF — 189172 43425 7499 10 250314384698 134322 264 298 86 -3 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.6
YTD21 A+SF — 189168 52627 11359 10 310383494877 185357 196 388 155 +12 +0 +0 +3 +5 2.1
ROS21 A+SF 0% 131119 27412 7334 21 227292328620 101292 255 285 76 -4 +0 -0 +2 +4 0.3
ROS21 MLBSF 0% 11 0000 000 00 287 00 256 54 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL21 A+SF — 190173 43425 7499 10 249312382694 133319 264 298 86 -3 +0 -0 +3 +5 0.6
TOT21 A+SF — 320291 70837 148213 31 241305361666 120310 264 293 82 -6 +0 -0 +6 +9 0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBSF 43% 499455 10516310 2712214 72 231294345639 114290 245 288 79 -12 +1 -0 +9 +14 1.2
202823 MLBSF 61% 520471 11117312 3012414 82 236301361662 125291 246 296 85 -9 +1 -0 +9 +15 1.6
202924 MLBSF 66% 520471 11217313 3112213 83 238303369672 132292 236 302 89 -6 +0 -0 +9 +15 1.8
203025 MLBSF 69% 520470 11218313 3212113 83 238305372677 134292 236 305 91 -5 +0 -0 +9 +15 1.9
203126 MLBSF 70% 520470 11117313 3212113 83 236303368671 132292 236 306 92 -5 +0 -0 +9 +15 2.0
203227 MLBSF 69% 520469 11117313 3312113 83 237305369674 132291 236 306 92 -5 +0 -0 +9 +15 2.0
203328 MLBSF 68% 520469 11117313 3312213 82 237305369674 132291 236 305 91 -5 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.9
203429 MLBSF 67% 520468 11117313 3412313 82 237307370676 132290 247 303 90 -6 +1 -2 +9 +15 1.7
203530 MLBSF 66% 520468 11017313 3412513 72 235305368672 132289 247 300 88 -7 +1 -2 +9 +15 1.5
203631 MLBSF 65% 504453 10516312 3312213 62 232303360662 128286 247 296 84 -9 +0 -3 +9 +14 1.2
203732 MLBSF 65% 489443 10015311 3112112 62 226294348642 122283 256 290 80 -11 +0 -4 +9 +14 0.8
203833 MLBSF 65% 470425 9313210 3011812 52 219289329618 111279 256 283 75 -13 +0 -4 +8 +13 0.4
202722 MLBSF 43% 216196 44714 12536 31 224290332621 107285 256 263 59 -10 +0 -0 +4 +6 0.0
202823 MLBSF 61% 317288 661027 18768 52 229293351644 122286 246 272 66 -12 +0 -0 +6 +9 0.3
202924 MLBSF 66% 344311 721128 21819 52 232299357656 125287 246 277 71 -11 +0 -0 +6 +10 0.5
203025 MLBSF 69% 357323 761229 22839 62 235302368671 133287 236 280 73 -11 +0 -0 +6 +10 0.6
203126 MLBSF 70% 363328 771229 23859 62 235303366669 131286 236 281 74 -11 +0 -0 +6 +10 0.6
203227 MLBSF 69% 359324 761229 23849 62 235303367671 133286 236 281 74 -11 +0 -0 +6 +10 0.6
203328 MLBSF 68% 356321 761229 23849 52 237306371677 134286 246 280 73 -11 +0 -1 +6 +10 0.5
203429 MLBSF 67% 347313 721128 22829 52 230299355654 125285 246 279 71 -11 +0 -1 +6 +10 0.4
203530 MLBSF 66% 342308 711128 22829 51 231301357658 127284 246 276 69 -12 +1 -2 +6 +10 0.3
203631 MLBSF 65% 328296 671027 21808 41 226295345640 118281 246 272 66 -12 +0 -2 +6 +9 0.1
203732 MLBSF 65% 317286 64927 20788 41 224293343636 119278 256 267 62 -13 +0 -2 +6 +9 -0.1
203833 MLBSF 65% 303274 59826 19767 31 215283325608 109275 256 261 58 -14 +0 -3 +5 +9 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 39503569 8201252391 246944100 5719 230298354652 124285 246 275 69 -140 +4 -12 +71 +112 3.5
/ 162G— — 650587 13621415 4015516 93 232298358656 126287 246 275 69 -23 +1 -2 +12 +18 0.6
Career— — 72266515 150823643160 4511754195 12847 231301355655 123290 246 295 84 -134 +7 -18 +129 +205 19.2
/ 162G— — 650586 13521414 4115818 124 230301352653 121289 246 295 84 -12 +1 -2 +12 +18 1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL HOU Orange — 3121 8111 950 22 3815676671.233 286467 1629 509 248 +5 -0 — — +1 0.6
202318 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 200163 511405 28328 64 313437491928 178362 1614 414 175 +17 -0 — — +6 2.3
202419 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 227193 45912 205712 72 233342321663 88316 259 308 94 -2 +1 — — +6 0.6
202419 ROKFCL Astros — 8267 19322 11144 43 284415478892 194333 1713 399 163 +6 -0 — — +2 0.8
202520 A+Asheville Tourists — 6157 15202 3130 00 263300404704 140302 215 308 94 -0 +0 — — +2 0.1
202520 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 372314 811636 426411 207 258365385750 127301 1711 339 117 +7 +1 — — +11 1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Kurt Suzukilast yr '22
career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA
166,16314320255314388+110-3522.720.5
/162664152+11.9-3.82.4pk7: 18
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23813437256308421+45-1017.017.2
/162664216+7.1-1.52.7pk7: 18
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA
82,667975254313425+48-1413.313.2
/162664241+11.9-3.43.3pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,9519557235300365+71-3212.310.7
/1626641610+11.9-5.42.1pk7: 9
#6Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA
94,2788030261285388+41-206.17.2
/162664125+6.4-3.11.0pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jancel Villarroel (OGILVIE) 21 50 45 45 46 241/305/361 120310 73 26% 4% 82 +0.9 ————————— —————————
✕Blake Ochoa
2007 · A 		21 45 40→45 46→40 44 215/280/308 92280 65 24% 6% 64 -0.8 216/268/311 95281 74 24% 6% 59 -1.1 233/296/37614228016222%7%87+0.3
✕Luis Alvarez
2011 · A 		21 47 42→45 48→45 45 228/296/337 109289 96 24% 7% 78 +0.2 219/274/328 109275 105 24% 5% 66 -0.6 209/262/31710825012121%4%55-0.3
✕José Caballero
2019 · A 		22 47→45 44→45 47→70 45 231/292/348 118278 109 21% 6% 79 +0.3 221/292/340 119284 1226 25% 7% 78 +0.2 225/318/339114299106326%9%86+0.5
●Tyler Nevin
2018 · A 		21 47→54 40→50 47→45 44 225/278/324 98286 79 23% 6% 66 -0.6 220/272/317 97284 96 24% 6% 63 -0.9 244/321/39314929318422%8%101+1.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez
2023 · A 		21 50→55 41→45 50 49 236/301/346 110285 612 19% 7% 82 +0.5 249/307/362 113307 914 21% 7% 89 +0.9 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
●Jake Elmore
2009 · A 		22 45→55 40 45→55 45 217/280/320 103285 610 25% 7% 66 -0.6 234/305/309 75287 314 18% 9% 74 -0.1 261/334/3347231522316%9%91+0.9
✕Luis Torrens
2017 · A 		21 44→47 41→55 46→30 49 214/288/307 93266 96 22% 8% 67 -0.5 214/267/310 96270 83 23% 6% 58 -1.2 231/286/39516429821029%7%87+0.4
✕Edgardo Rodriguez
2021 · A 		20 48 41→45 48→30 43 233/283/334 102283 85 21% 5% 72 -0.2 201/244/277 76295 65 32% 5% 39 -2.5 180/204/231512579033%2%11-0.8
✕Juan Brito
2022 · A 		20 45→49 42→50 47→45 45 219/283/320 101283 1012 26% 7% 68 -0.5 232/313/374 142284 149 22% 10% 95 +1.4 227/311/37414727215921%10%92+1.1
✕Luis Santana
2021 · AA 		22 50 39→45 48→50 48 235/305/324 89283 68 19% 7% 79 +0.3 210/269/326 116284 129 29% 6% 64 -0.8 207/265/33312627415829%5%61-0.5
✕Geoandry Montilla
2017 · A 		21 44 41→45 45→50 46 214/281/315 101286 89 27% 8% 66 -0.6 197/264/296 99314 88 37% 7% 54 -1.4 131/203/2331012388745%7%11-1.2
✕Juan Uriarte
2019 · A 		21 46 41→45 49→30 41 223/277/320 96282 84 23% 5% 65 -0.7 186/228/266 80283 64 35% 3% 30 -3.1 145/181/205602264037%2%-9-1.6
✕Blaze Alexander
2021 · A 		22 44→48 43→45 51→50 41 215/278/328 113300 1011 30% 6% 68 -0.5 198/268/323 125313 1412 39% 7% 63 -0.8 237/319/364126339121531%8%92+0.8
✕Christian Arroyo
2016 · A 		21 49→54 42→45 44→45 39 239/272/346 107303 96 24% 4% 69 -0.4 243/279/348 105299 85 21% 4% 73 -0.1 250/302/39814830016722%5%93+0.5
✕Agustín Ramírez
2023 · A 		21 43→45 45→55 51→55 44 215/274/342 127287 1211 29% 7% 70 -0.3 231/293/393 162278 1913 24% 7% 92 +1.2 232/295/411179268221622%7%94+1.3
✕Zelous Wheeler
2009 · A 		22 46→52 43→50 43→45 44 223/280/332 109286 107 25% 6% 70 -0.3 235/308/347 112291 108 21% 8% 85 +0.7 239/314/37213228113719%8%92+0.9
✕Austin Romine
2010 · A 		21 48→53 45 47→45 41 238/274/362 124283 127 21% 4% 75 -0.0 240/280/359 119295 134 22% 5% 77 +0.1 252/290/39214031618226%5%88+0.3
✕Manuel Joseph
2014 · A 		20 49 40→45 51→50 44 234/287/326 92283 616 20% 5% 71 -0.3 246/305/362 116287 1014 17% 6% 88 +0.9 277/338/426150303141713%6%120+1.3
✕Jeferson Quero
2023 · A 		20 44→42 44→50 49→45 41 219/269/335 116284 129 27% 6% 66 -0.6 226/283/364 138283 167 25% 7% 79 +0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
✕Gavin Cecchini
2015 · A 		21 44→54 41→45 48→45 45 211/263/317 106263 77 22% 6% 59 -1.1 242/291/336 94288 75 17% 6% 75 -0.0 246/296/330842906416%6%70-0.3