Jancel Villarroel

Jancel VillarroelC Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 202 lbs A H +4%HR -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.2 · 2032

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .288 / .323

PA320

HR6

SB6

K%27

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

45→45

SPD

45→45

FLD

40→40

EYE

42↗47

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$19M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.2	$21M	+$20M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.0	$20M	+$19M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.8	$18M	+$15M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.7	$18M	+$12M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.3	$14M	+$8M
Totals		$18M		$110M	+$92M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	31	25	8	1	1	1	5	8	0	2	2	.320	.433	.560	.993	.240	.438	26	16	.388	155	+2	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	200	174	45	13	0	3	17	43	8	6	4	.259	.352	.385	.737	.126	.326	22	8	.312	97	-1	-0	+0	+4	+6	0.8
2024	19	A	2 teams	309	272	50	8	2	3	19	99	16	11	5	.184	.277	.261	.538	.077	.273	32	6	.243	44	-19	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.5
2025	20	A	2 teams	433	391	86	13	3	7	25	109	11	20	7	.220	.286	.322	.608	.102	.281	25	6	.266	62	-19	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	HOU	320	286	63	11	2	6	22	87	9	6	2	.220	.297	.336	.632	.115	.286	27	7	.280	72	-10	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	HOU	499	447	98	17	3	10	36	132	13	10	3	.219	.296	.338	.634	.119	.287	26	7	.289	79	-12	+1	-0	+9	+14	1.2
2028	23	MLB 28%	HOU	520	463	105	19	3	12	39	133	13	10	3	.227	.305	.359	.663	.132	.288	26	8	.297	86	-8	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.7
2029	24	MLB 45%	HOU	520	462	107	19	3	13	41	131	12	10	3	.232	.311	.370	.681	.139	.288	25	8	.303	90	-6	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.9
2030	25	MLB 60%	HOU	520	461	107	19	3	13	42	130	12	10	3	.232	.313	.371	.684	.139	.289	25	8	.307	93	-4	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.1
2031	26	MLB 77%	HOU	520	460	107	19	3	13	43	130	12	9	3	.233	.315	.372	.686	.139	.290	25	8	.308	94	-4	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.1
2032	27	MLB 92%	HOU	520	459	106	19	3	13	44	130	12	9	2	.231	.315	.370	.685	.139	.290	25	8	.308	94	-3	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.2
2033	28	MLB	HOU	520	459	106	19	3	13	44	131	12	8	2	.231	.315	.370	.685	.139	.289	25	8	.307	93	-4	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.0
2034	29	MLB	HOU	520	459	104	18	2	13	44	133	12	7	2	.227	.311	.359	.670	.133	.288	26	8	.305	92	-5	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.8
2035	30	MLB	HOU	520	459	103	18	2	13	44	134	12	7	1	.224	.309	.357	.666	.133	.287	26	8	.302	89	-6	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.7
2036	31	MLB	HOU	504	444	98	17	2	12	43	132	12	5	1	.221	.307	.349	.656	.128	.285	26	9	.298	86	-8	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.3
2037	32	MLB	HOU	489	433	94	16	2	11	42	131	11	4	0	.217	.302	.339	.642	.122	.284	27	9	.294	83	-10	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.0
2038	33	MLB	HOU	470	416	89	15	2	10	40	129	11	4	0	.214	.300	.332	.632	.118	.282	27	9	.288	79	-11	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.7
2039	34	MLB	HOU	413	366	77	13	2	8	35	117	9	3	0	.210	.295	.322	.618	.112	.281	28	8	.282	74	-12	+1	-5	+7	+12	0.2
2040	35	MLB	HOU	352	312	64	11	1	7	29	103	8	3	0	.205	.289	.314	.604	.109	.278	29	8	.274	68	-13	+1	-6	+6	+10	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	HOU	289	257	50	8	1	5	24	88	6	3	0	.195	.279	.292	.571	.097	.275	30	8	.266	61	-13	+1	-6	+5	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8469	7505	1667	293	43	186	678	2230	211	147	43	.222	.305	.347	.651	.125	.288	26	8	.293	83	-165	+12	-35	+151	+240	20.7
/ 162G	—			650	576	127	22	3	14	52	171	16	11	3	.220	.303	.342	.645	.122	.286	26	8	.293	83	-13	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	31	21	8	1	1	1	9	5	0	2	2	.381	.567	.667	1.233	.286	.467	16	29	.509	248	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	200	163	51	14	0	5	28	32	8	6	4	.313	.437	.491	.928	.178	.362	16	14	.414	175	+17	-0	—	—	+6	2.3
2024	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	227	193	45	9	1	2	20	57	12	7	2	.233	.342	.321	.663	.088	.316	25	9	.308	94	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.6
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	82	67	19	3	2	2	11	14	4	4	3	.284	.415	.478	.892	.194	.333	17	13	.399	163	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2025	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	61	57	15	2	0	2	3	13	0	0	0	.263	.300	.404	.704	.140	.302	21	5	.308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	372	314	81	16	3	6	42	64	11	20	7	.258	.365	.385	.750	.127	.301	17	11	.339	117	+7	+1	—	—	+11	1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jancel Villarroel (OGILVIE)	21	50	45	45	47	.214/.288/.323	.108	.286	6	6	27%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
●Tyler Nevin 2018 · A	21	46→54	41→50	45	43	.225/.276/.329	.104	.286	8	9	24%	6%	67	-0.5	.231/.283/.339	.108	.294	10	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	.240/.318/.386	.146	.290	17	4	22%	8%	98	+1.1
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	47→51	42→45	48→50	42	.220/.290/.336	.116	.325	8	9	33%	7%	76	+0.0	.228/.308/.351	.123	.315	11	9	29%	9%	88	+0.9	.221/.304/.343	.122	.294	13	10	27%	9%	80	+0.3
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→45	43→45	48→70	45	.232/.292/.346	.114	.280	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	.220/.293/.329	.109	.282	9	25	24%	7%	76	+0.0	.229/.321/.344	.115	.305	10	63	26%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Deibinson Romero 2008 · A	21	47→46	44→50	48→40	44	.232/.290/.351	.119	.295	12	8	25%	6%	79	+0.3	.211/.272/.308	.097	.289	8	5	28%	7%	61	-1.0	.226/.295/.367	.141	.272	17	2	23%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→56	41→45	50	49	.234/.299/.341	.107	.285	6	12	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.308/.361	.114	.302	10	14	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	42	.228/.277/.347	.120	.291	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.227/.283/.368	.141	.281	17	7	25%	6%	81	+0.4	.224/.287/.379	.156	.259	20	5	22%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Nick Yorke 2023 · A	21	45→55	48→50	46→55	43	.230/.283/.366	.136	.290	16	9	26%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.292/.360	.123	.316	13	15	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.246/.301/.362	.116	.327	12	18	27%	7%	82	+0.5
●Yamaico Navarro 2009 · A	21	50→53	43→50	47→50	42	.243/.284/.356	.113	.306	9	6	24%	5%	77	+0.1	.231/.282/.350	.119	.285	11	11	22%	6%	75	-0.0	.230/.298/.389	.159	.262	21	11	21%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Austin Romine 2010 · A	21	47→51	45→50	47→45	41	.235/.271/.359	.124	.278	13	7	21%	4%	72	-0.2	.239/.280/.351	.112	.295	12	5	22%	5%	74	-0.1	.256/.294/.402	.146	.322	18	2	26%	5%	91	+0.4
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
●Jamie Westbrook 2016 · A	21	48→52	45→55	49→45	41	.237/.276/.361	.124	.281	12	7	20%	4%	76	+0.0	.235/.271/.352	.117	.271	12	7	18%	4%	71	-0.3	.245/.316/.386	.141	.288	15	4	20%	8%	96	+1.1
●Tony Granadillo 2006 · A	21	47→57	42→45	49→30	45	.227/.294/.333	.106	.295	9	5	25%	7%	76	+0.1	.238/.300/.360	.122	.292	11	3	21%	7%	85	+0.7	.239/.305/.359	.121	.290	10	2	20%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Tyler Marlette 2014 · A	21	48→43	42→50	47→45	39	.232/.269/.335	.103	.306	9	8	27%	4%	65	-0.7	.234/.275/.371	.137	.302	15	8	27%	5%	78	+0.2	.226/.267/.373	.148	.287	18	6	28%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	50→52	42→50	48→50	43	.241/.293/.352	.111	.314	8	10	25%	6%	79	+0.3	.243/.298/.388	.145	.306	13	11	24%	7%	92	+1.2	.243/.296/.389	.146	.295	14	11	22%	6%	87	+0.7
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	43→49	41→55	46→30	47	.210/.281/.305	.094	.262	9	6	23%	8%	64	-0.8	.214/.267/.307	.093	.269	7	3	22%	6%	57	-1.2	.228/.285/.376	.148	.288	19	0	27%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Wilver Perez 2006 · A	22	49→48	43→45	45	43	.233/.292/.350	.116	.319	9	8	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.228/.286/.326	.098	.317	8	11	28%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.277/.310	.091	.308	7	14	29%	6%	60	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)