Jancel Villarroel

Jancel VillarroelC Eugene Emeralds

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 202 lbs A+ HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION333 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%6

BABIP272

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$46M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$27M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	31	21	8	1	1	1	9	5	0	2	2	381	567	667	1.233	286	467	16	29	509	231	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	200	163	51	14	0	5	28	32	8	6	4	313	437	491	928	178	362	16	14	414	166	+16	-0	—	—	+4	2.0
2024	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	227	193	45	9	1	2	20	57	12	7	2	233	342	321	663	88	316	25	9	308	95	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.4
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	82	67	19	3	2	2	11	14	4	4	3	284	415	478	892	194	333	17	13	399	156	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	61	57	15	2	0	2	3	13	0	0	0	263	300	404	704	140	302	21	5	308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	314	81	16	3	6	42	64	11	20	7	258	365	385	750	127	301	17	11	339	115	+7	+1	—	—	+8	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	31	25	8	1	1	1	5	7	0	2	2	320	433	560	993	240	368	23	16	387	148	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	200	174	43	12	0	3	17	44	8	6	4	247	342	368	710	121	304	22	8	308	95	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	227	201	35	6	1	1	12	79	12	7	2	174	262	229	491	55	268	35	5	228	40	-16	+1	—	—	+5	-1.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	82	71	15	2	2	1	7	20	4	4	3	211	317	338	655	127	270	24	9	286	80	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	61	58	12	1	0	1	2	18	0	0	0	207	233	276	509	69	269	30	3	232	43	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	372	331	72	13	2	5	25	91	11	20	7	218	294	314	608	97	274	24	7	273	71	-13	+1	—	—	+8	-0.4
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	31	25	8	1	1	1	5	7	0	2	2	320	433	560	993	240	412	23	16	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	—	31	21	8	1	1	1	9	5	0	2	2	381	567	667	1.233	286	467	16	29	509	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	200	174	43	12	0	3	17	44	8	6	4	247	342	368	710	121	312	22	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	200	163	51	14	0	5	28	32	8	6	4	313	437	491	928	178	362	16	14	414	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	309	272	50	8	2	3	19	99	16	11	5	184	277	261	538	77	273	32	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	309	260	64	12	3	4	31	71	16	11	5	246	362	362	723	115	321	23	10	332	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	433	389	84	14	2	6	27	109	11	20	7	216	286	308	594	93	279	25	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	433	371	96	18	3	8	45	77	11	20	7	259	356	388	744	129	301	18	10	334	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	31	26	8	1	1	1	5	7	0	2	2	308	433	538	972	231	368	23	16	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	200	173	43	12	0	3	17	44	8	6	4	249	342	370	712	121	304	22	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	309	271	50	8	2	3	19	99	16	11	5	185	277	262	539	77	269	32	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	433	392	84	14	2	6	27	109	11	20	7	214	286	306	592	92	273	25	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	200	173	43	12	0	3	17	44	8	6	4	249	342	370	712	121	304	22	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	309	271	50	8	2	3	19	99	16	11	5	185	277	262	539	77	269	32	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	433	392	84	14	2	6	27	109	11	20	7	214	286	306	592	92	273	25	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	SF	—	333	303	67	9	3	7	15	81	11	4	0	221	283	340	623	119	278	24	5	266	66	-13	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	SF	—	198	177	54	6	2	7	11	36	9	1	0	305	376	480	856	175	351	18	6	379	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	SF	—	135	117	23	5	1	2	12	25	2	3	0	197	280	308	588	111	231	19	9	264	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	SF	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		277	22	0	276	73	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	SF	—	342	312	68	9	3	7	15	83	11	4	0	218	278	333	611	115	274	24	4	267	67	-14	+1	-0	+6	+7	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SF	43%	468	426	96	15	3	10	27	110	12	7	2	225	290	345	635	120	278	24	6	286	79	-11	+1	-0	+8	+10	0.8
2028	23	MLB MLE	SF	61%	505	457	105	17	3	12	31	116	12	8	2	230	296	359	655	129	279	23	6	294	85	-9	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	SF	66%	520	470	109	18	3	13	33	118	12	8	2	232	299	366	665	134	281	23	6	300	89	-7	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	SF	69%	520	469	110	18	3	14	34	117	12	8	2	235	303	375	678	141	281	22	7	303	91	-6	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	SF	70%	520	469	110	18	3	14	34	117	12	8	2	235	303	375	678	141	281	22	7	304	92	-5	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	SF	69%	520	468	110	18	3	14	35	117	12	8	2	235	305	376	681	141	281	22	7	304	92	-5	+1	-0	+9	+11	1.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	SF	68%	520	468	110	18	3	14	35	118	12	8	2	235	305	376	681	141	280	23	7	303	91	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	SF	67%	520	467	109	18	3	14	36	119	12	7	2	233	305	375	680	141	279	23	7	301	90	-6	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	SF	66%	520	467	107	17	3	13	36	120	12	7	2	229	301	362	663	133	278	23	7	298	88	-7	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	SF	65%	504	453	102	16	3	12	35	118	11	6	2	225	297	353	650	128	276	23	7	294	85	-9	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.9
2037	32	MLB MLE	SF	65%	489	442	99	15	3	12	33	116	11	6	1	224	294	353	647	129	273	24	7	289	81	-11	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.6
2038	33	MLB MLE	SF	65%	470	425	92	14	2	11	32	114	10	5	1	216	287	336	623	120	269	24	7	282	77	-13	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2039	34	MLB MLE	SF	60%	413	373	78	11	2	9	28	103	9	4	1	209	280	322	602	113	263	25	7	273	71	-14	+0	-5	+7	+9	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	SF	43%	203	184	41	7	1	4	12	48	5	3	1	223	289	337	626	114	272	24	6	261	79	-5	+0	-0	+4	+4	0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	SF	61%	308	279	63	10	2	7	19	71	7	5	1	226	292	351	643	125	274	23	6	270	85	-5	+1	-0	+6	+7	0.7
2029	24	MLB CTX	SF	66%	344	311	71	12	2	8	22	78	8	5	1	228	296	357	653	129	275	23	6	276	89	-5	+1	-0	+6	+7	1.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	SF	69%	357	323	74	12	2	9	23	80	8	6	1	229	297	362	659	133	276	22	6	279	91	-4	+1	-0	+6	+8	1.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	SF	70%	363	328	75	12	2	9	24	81	8	6	1	229	297	360	657	131	276	22	7	280	92	-4	+1	-0	+6	+8	1.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	SF	69%	359	324	74	12	2	9	24	81	8	6	1	228	298	361	659	133	275	23	7	280	92	-3	+1	-0	+6	+8	1.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	SF	68%	356	321	73	12	2	9	24	81	8	5	1	227	297	361	659	134	275	23	7	279	91	-4	+1	-1	+6	+8	1.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	SF	67%	347	312	70	11	2	8	24	79	8	5	1	224	297	349	646	125	274	23	7	277	90	-4	+1	-1	+6	+8	0.9
2035	30	MLB CTX	SF	66%	342	308	69	11	2	8	23	79	8	5	1	224	295	351	646	127	273	23	7	275	88	-5	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.8
2036	31	MLB CTX	SF	65%	328	296	65	10	2	7	22	77	7	4	1	220	289	338	627	118	271	23	7	271	85	-6	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.6
2037	32	MLB CTX	SF	65%	317	285	63	10	2	7	22	75	7	4	1	221	293	344	637	123	267	24	7	266	81	-7	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2038	33	MLB CTX	SF	65%	303	272	58	9	2	6	21	74	7	3	1	213	287	327	614	114	264	24	7	259	77	-8	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.1
2039	34	MLB CTX	SF	60%	248	224	46	7	1	5	17	62	5	2	1	205	276	312	589	107	258	25	7	251	71	-9	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4175	3767	842	135	24	96	277	966	94	59	13	224	293	349	642	125	273	23	7	272	84	-68	+7	-15	+75	+90	9.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	131	21	4	15	43	150	15	9	2	224	293	350	643	126	273	23	7	272	84	-11	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7471	6723	1523	248	42	175	497	1764	184	129	41	227	298	354	652	127	279	24	7	292	84	-109	+9	-23	+116	+141	13.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	133	22	4	15	43	153	16	11	4	227	298	356	654	128	280	24	7	292	84	-11	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	9.3	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.3	4,177	104	58	230	296	362	+75	-32	12.4	10.7
/162	664	16	9	+11.9	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jancel Villarroel (OGILVIE)	21	50	45	45	46	217/282/323	106	277	6	5	24%	5%	73	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/348	112	284	7	12	19%	7%	84	+0.2	250/311/362	112	306	9	14	20%	7%	91	+0.7	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	80	-0.1	219/274/328	109	275	11	5	24%	5%	70	-0.8	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Tyler Nevin 2018 · A	21	48→54	41→50	47→45	44	231/283/335	104	294	8	9	24%	6%	74	-0.5	229/283/336	107	290	10	6	23%	7%	75	-0.5	238/316/376	138	288	16	4	22%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	44→48	40→50	46→40	49	214/288/305	91	268	8	6	23%	8%	70	-0.8	217/270/311	94	272	7	3	22%	6%	65	-1.2	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	75	-0.5	202/244/277	75	298	6	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	180/204/231	51	260	9	0	34%	2%	21	-0.8
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Austin Romine 2010 · A	21	48→53	45	47→45	41	238/274/362	124	283	12	7	21%	4%	78	-0.3	236/278/343	107	290	11	4	22%	5%	74	-0.5	252/290/393	141	316	18	2	26%	5%	90	+0.2
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/308	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	216/268/311	95	281	7	4	24%	6%	63	-1.3	233/296/372	139	280	15	2	22%	7%	88	+0.1
✕Geoandry Montilla 2017 · A	21	44	41→45	45→50	46	214/281/315	101	286	8	9	27%	8%	70	-0.8	197/264/296	99	314	8	8	37%	7%	59	-1.6	131/203/233	101	238	8	7	45%	7%	21	-1.2
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jamie Westbrook 2016 · A	21	48→52	45→50	49→45	41	239/277/367	128	283	12	8	21%	4%	80	-0.2	235/271/346	111	270	11	7	17%	4%	73	-0.6	240/311/368	128	286	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	47→52	43→45	47→50	42	221/290/342	122	323	9	9	33%	7%	80	-0.2	227/307/348	121	313	11	9	29%	9%	88	+0.4	221/304/339	117	295	12	10	27%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Tyler Marlette 2014 · A	21	48→43	42→50	47→45	39	234/272/339	104	311	9	9	27%	5%	71	-0.8	233/274/369	136	301	15	7	27%	5%	80	-0.2	226/268/371	145	287	17	6	27%	5%	74	-0.4
●Jake Elmore 2009 · A	22	45→55	40	45→55	45	217/280/320	103	285	6	10	25%	7%	70	-0.8	235/305/309	74	287	3	14	18%	8%	77	-0.3	264/336/337	72	315	2	23	15%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	188/230/267	79	283	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	147/184/208	60	226	4	0	36%	2%	5	-1.5
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	47→45	46	221/286/323	102	285	10	12	26%	8%	74	-0.6	228/311/363	135	276	12	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	222/308/359	137	264	13	9	20%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→45	51→50	42	215/281/322	107	301	9	11	30%	7%	72	-0.7	206/277/331	125	321	14	12	37%	7%	73	-0.6	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Jack Marder 2012 · A	22	48	44→45	49→50	41	233/290/350	117	288	11	12	23%	4%	82	-0.0	238/296/353	115	290	10	13	21%	5%	84	+0.2	236/297/344	109	286	10	12	20%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	50→54	42→50	48→50	43	238/291/351	112	318	9	10	27%	6%	81	-0.1	246/300/391	145	306	13	11	23%	6%	94	+0.9	245/298/391	146	296	14	11	21%	6%	91	+0.6
✕Orlando Gonzalez 2007 · A	21	49	41→40	40→45	43	234/290/330	96	275	8	7	18%	4%	77	-0.3	237/294/326	89	263	8	5	13%	5%	77	-0.3	252/309/328	76	263	8	3	8%	5%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps