Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 19.0% | 19.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.75 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 19.0% | 19.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.75 | 4.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 7 | 5 | 18 | 76 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 71% | 2.6 | 19.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 3.93 | 5.62 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | DET | 2 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | DET | — | — | 30 | 124 | 30 | 9 | 4 | — | — | 24.4% | 7.6% | 16.8% | 3.6% | 4.08 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | DET | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.15 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 3.77 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.1 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 9 | 7 | 22 | 97 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 78% | 2.5 | 19.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.43 | 5.25 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 63 | 200 | 869 | 165 | 93 | 38 | 78% | 2.5 | 19.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.43 | 5.25 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cale Wetwiska (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.15 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 20 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 85 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 85 |
| Chad Donato R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 79 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 79 |
| Grant Holman R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 79 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 78 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 77 |
| Carson Rudd R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 77 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 77 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 77 |
| Jeronimo Castro R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.37 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 3.84 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.19 | 158 | 76 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 76 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 76 |
| Miguelangel Boadas R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.44 | 20.6% | 11.0% | 1.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 129 | 76 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 76 |
| Jared Ruxer R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.68 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 240 | +0.52 | 3.38 | 270 | 75 |
| River Ryan R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 74 |
| Jeff Criswell R 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.20 | 18.5% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .242 | 5.37 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 306 | +1.17 | 4.20 | 336 | 74 |
| Eric Cerantola R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.56 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | .392 | 4.05 | 24.8% | 9.6% | 198 | -0.51 | 3.53 | 281 | 74 |
| Zach Haake R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.13 | 16.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .205 | 4.50 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 121 | +0.37 | 3.40 | 272 | 74 |