Cash Kuiper

P Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.4 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1388ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ADET	4	2	5	5.40	5.90	18.5%	29.6%	—	K 18.5% · BB 29.6% · FIP 5.29
2026	21	ADET	16	13	52	6.06	4.60	19.4%	9.3%	—	K 14.4% · BB 11.0% · FIP 5.68
2027PROJ	22	MLBDET	—	—	0	5.09	5.09	17.5%	10.7%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBDET	4	4	21	4.81	4.73	19.3%	9.8%	0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBDET	5	5	29	4.64	4.55	20.4%	9.3%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 1.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsRyan Atkinson (age 23) · Tanner Hall (age 22) · Moises Castillo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%17.5%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%6.8%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	4	2	5	27	5	8	0	50%	1.2	18.5%	29.6%	-11.1%	0.0%	5.40	5.29	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	4	2	5	27	5	8	0	50%	1.2	18.5%	29.6%	-11.1%	0.0%	5.40	5.29	—
2025	20	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	4	2	5	27	5	8	0	50%	1.2	18.5%	29.6%	-11.1%	0.0%	5.40	5.90	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	16	13	52	237	46	22	8	81%	3.2	14.4%	11.0%	3.4%	4.4%	6.06	5.68	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	16	13	52	237	46	22	8	81%	3.2	14.4%	11.0%	3.4%	4.4%	6.06	5.68	—
2026	21	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	16	13	52	237	46	22	8	81%	3.2	19.4%	9.3%	10.1%	3.4%	6.06	4.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	DET	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.5%	10.7%	6.8%	3.2%	5.09	5.09	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	DET	8	8	42	176	34	17	5	100%	5.2	19.3%	9.8%	9.5%	3.1%	4.88	4.80	+0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	DET	7	7	42	176	36	16	5	100%	6.0	20.4%	9.3%	11.1%	3.1%	4.71	4.62	+0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	DET	7	7	39	165	35	15	5	100%	5.6	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	3.0%	4.59	4.52	+0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	DET	7	7	39	165	35	15	5	100%	5.6	21.3%	9.0%	12.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.50	+0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	DET	6	6	38	161	34	15	5	100%	6.4	21.3%	9.1%	12.2%	3.1%	4.53	4.53	+0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	DET	4	4	21	89	17	9	3	100%	5.2	19.3%	9.8%	9.5%	3.0%	4.81	4.73	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	DET	5	5	29	122	25	11	4	100%	5.8	20.4%	9.3%	11.1%	2.9%	4.64	4.55	+0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	DET	5	5	32	135	28	12	4	100%	6.4	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	2.9%	4.52	4.45	+0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	DET	6	6	34	144	31	13	4	100%	5.7	21.3%	9.0%	12.3%	2.9%	4.46	4.43	+0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	DET	6	6	34	144	31	13	4	100%	5.7	21.3%	9.1%	12.2%	3.0%	4.46	4.46	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		26	26	150	633	131	58	19	100%	5.8	20.8%	9.2%	11.6%	2.9%	4.55	4.13	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	175	77	25	100%	5.8	20.8%	9.2%	11.6%	2.9%	4.55	4.13	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		20	15	57	264	39	34	10	75%	2.9	14.8%	12.9%	1.9%	3.9%	6.00	5.64	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	53	200	926	137	119	36	75%	2.9	14.8%	12.9%	1.9%	3.9%	6.00	5.64	+1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 52 IPFIP 4.49 → 5.68 (+1.19)K% 19.4% → 14.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.41%	—	×0.740	14.36%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.28%	—	×1.180	10.95%
HR / BF /BF	3.38%	÷1.000	×1.300	4.39%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.49 → 5.68, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 5 IPFIP 5.29 → 6.37 (+1.08)K% 18.5% → 13.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.52%	—	×0.740	13.70%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	29.63%	—	×1.180	34.96%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.864	×1.300	0.00%

Result: FIP 5.29 → 6.37, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cash Kuiper (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	17.5%	10.7%	3.2%	—	4.65	20.2%	10.8%	122	-0.44	—	—	—
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	89
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	87
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	85
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	84
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	84
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	83
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	82
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	82
Tyler McKay R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	21	SP-	5.32	15.1%	10.2%	4.0%	.262	4.64	13.2%	2.2%	106	-0.68	3.10	275	82
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	82
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.2%	265	+0.44	3.20	411	81
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	81
Manuel Espinoza R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	22	SP-	4.42	17.7%	9.7%	2.9%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	275	81
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	80
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.05	17.5%	10.6%	280	-0.88	3.90	299	80
Dustin McGowan R 2005 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	16.6%	8.3%	3.4%	.286	3.65	19.1%	10.3%	308	-0.97	3.36	690	80
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.6%	11.6%	249	-0.34	4.54	318	80
Jeremy Lee R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	22	SP-	4.17	16.8%	11.5%	1.9%	.318	5.21	11.2%	-0.5%	46	+1.04	4.17	125	79
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.90	22.5%	6.9%	260	-0.04	4.14	414	79
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.69	18.1%	10.4%	162	+0.20	3.86	278	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	39	20.2%	9.5%	1.19	4.72
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*