Cash Kuiper
P
Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.6 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.0%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 4 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 50% | 1.2 | 18.5% | 29.6% | -11.1% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 4 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 50% | 1.2 | 18.5% | 29.6% | -11.1% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 5.90 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 12 | 11 | 43 | 197 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 92% | 3.6 | 14.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.54 | 5.87 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 30 | 126 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.0% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.31 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | DET | — | — | 73 | 323 | 67 | 31 | 11 | — | — | 20.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 5.65 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 31 | 133 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 33 | 138 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 24.6% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.07 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 33 | 141 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.1% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 34 | 143 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.5% | 8.1% | 17.3% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 3.94 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 34 | 143 | 37 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.7% | 8.1% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 3.95 | 3.92 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 33 | 141 | 36 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 25.7% | 8.2% | 17.5% | 2.9% | 3.96 | 3.96 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 32 | 136 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 25.5% | 8.3% | 17.2% | 3.0% | 4.01 | 4.04 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | DET | 3 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.12 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.6% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 2.8% | 4.08 | 4.00 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.1% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 3.92 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 32 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.5% | 8.1% | 17.3% | 2.8% | 3.92 | 3.87 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.7% | 8.1% | 17.6% | 2.8% | 3.88 | 3.85 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.7% | 8.2% | 17.5% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 3.89 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.5% | 8.3% | 17.2% | 2.9% | 3.94 | 3.97 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 33 | 33 | 189 | 797 | 201 | 66 | 22 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 2.8% | 3.97 | 3.55 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 213 | 70 | 23 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 2.8% | 3.97 | 3.55 | +4.3 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 13 | 48 | 224 | 33 | 30 | 9 | 81% | 3.0 | 14.8% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 6.42 | 5.80 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 55 | 200 | 940 | 139 | 128 | 38 | 81% | 3.0 | 14.8% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 6.42 | 5.80 | -0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cash Kuiper (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.0% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.08 | 24.6% | 16.1% | 97 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Chad Donato R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 84 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 83 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 82 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 81 |
| José López R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 81 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 80 |
| Jared Karros R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 80 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 80 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 80 |
| Michael Knorr R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 79 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.82 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .298 | 4.56 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 243 | -0.26 | 4.30 | 318 | 79 |
| River Ryan R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 79 |
| Nate Dohm R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.59 | 17.7% | 2.6% | 40 | -0.27 | 4.59 | 115 | 79 |
| Chris Clark R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.41 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .362 | 4.78 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 303 | +1.37 | 3.41 | 322 | 79 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2028 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 78 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2029 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 78 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 78 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2028 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 78 |
| Brendan Beck R 2029 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 78 |
| Logan Gragg R 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 33 | 24.9% | 8.4% | 1.14 | 4.09 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |
| Trevor May ('23) | 8 | 51 | 27.6% | 8.3% | 1.18 | 3.83 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Nick Wittgren ('23) | 8 | 41 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 1.15 | 4.04 |
| Joakim Soria ('21) | 7 | 54 | 26.1% | 7.8% | 0.92 | 3.65 |
| Sergio Romo ('21) | 7 | 50 | 26.3% | 7.0% | 1.20 | 3.70 |