Víctor Gonzalez

SS DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 L/R ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	169	.270/.456/.540	6	11	70	—	.154/.320/.287
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBTEX	279	.204/.295/.312	3	9	74	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBTEX	78	.209/.301/.327	1	3	79	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBTEX	174	.214/.305/.338	3	6	83	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO95

wOBA92

Speed90

wRC+89

BB%81

Chase%61

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsKevyn Castillo (age 19) · Jett Williams (age 19) · Derek Bernard (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .293 / .309

PA141

HR2

K%30

BB%9

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$42M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$21M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	169	126	34	8	4	6	34	46	9	11	1	270	456	540	995	270	378	27	20	438	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	169	136	21	5	2	3	24	56	9	11	1	154	320	287	606	132	223	33	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	169	136	21	5	2	3	24	56	9	11	1	154	320	287	606	132	234	33	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	169	126	34	8	4	6	34	46	9	11	1	270	456	540	995	270	378	27	20	438	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	169	134	21	5	2	3	24	56	9	11	1	157	320	291	611	134	223	33	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	169	134	21	5	2	3	24	56	9	11	1	157	320	291	611	134	223	33	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	279	246	49	9	3	3	26	82	5	9	2	204	295	312	606	108	288	29	9	278	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	228	200	42	8	3	3	21	66	5	8	2	209	300	324	624	115	291	29	9	285	79	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	359	314	67	12	4	6	34	102	8	13	3	213	305	335	639	122	292	28	9	291	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2030	21	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	458	402	86	16	5	8	43	129	10	17	4	217	308	344	652	128	293	28	9	296	86	-7	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2031	22	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	527	462	102	19	6	10	49	146	11	19	5	220	310	352	663	133	294	28	9	300	89	-7	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.2
2032	23	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	574	503	112	21	6	12	54	157	12	21	5	222	312	359	671	137	295	27	9	303	91	-6	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	605	531	118	22	6	13	57	165	12	22	6	224	313	363	676	139	296	27	9	305	92	-6	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	623	546	123	22	7	14	59	170	13	23	6	224	314	365	678	141	296	27	9	306	93	-5	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.8
2035	26	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	631	554	125	23	7	14	59	172	13	23	6	224	314	366	680	142	295	27	9	306	93	-5	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	632	554	125	23	7	14	60	174	13	23	6	223	313	363	676	140	295	28	9	305	92	-6	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2037	28	MLB MLE	TEX	59%	628	551	122	22	6	14	59	174	13	22	6	221	311	359	670	137	294	28	9	302	91	-7	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	TEX	61%	618	543	119	22	6	13	58	173	12	21	6	219	308	353	661	134	293	28	9	299	88	-9	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.2
2039	30	MLB MLE	TEX	62%	607	534	115	21	6	12	56	172	12	20	6	216	305	345	650	129	291	28	9	294	85	-11	+2	-2	+7	+13	0.9
2040	31	MLB MLE	TEX	63%	593	523	111	20	6	11	54	170	11	19	7	212	300	336	636	124	288	29	9	289	82	-13	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.4
2041	32	MLB MLE	TEX	64%	575	507	105	19	5	10	52	168	11	18	8	207	294	324	618	117	285	29	9	282	77	-16	+0	-4	+6	+12	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	78	69	15	3	1	1	7	23	2	3	1	209	301	327	627	117	290	29	9	286	79	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	174	152	33	6	2	3	16	50	4	6	2	214	305	338	643	125	291	29	9	292	83	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	248	218	47	8	3	5	23	70	5	9	2	217	308	348	657	131	293	28	9	298	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	298	262	57	10	3	6	28	83	6	11	3	221	311	357	668	136	293	28	9	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	330	289	63	11	3	7	31	90	7	12	3	223	313	364	677	141	294	27	9	305	91	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2033	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	345	303	68	12	4	8	32	94	7	13	3	225	314	368	682	143	295	27	9	307	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2034	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	353	310	69	12	4	8	33	96	7	13	3	225	314	370	684	145	295	27	9	308	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2035	26	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	357	313	71	12	4	9	34	98	7	13	3	225	315	371	686	146	295	27	10	308	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2036	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	351	308	69	12	4	8	33	96	7	13	3	224	314	368	682	144	295	27	9	307	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2037	28	MLB CTX	TEX	59%	371	326	73	13	4	9	35	103	7	13	4	222	312	364	675	141	294	28	9	304	91	-4	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.9
2038	29	MLB CTX	TEX	61%	377	332	73	13	4	8	35	105	7	13	4	220	309	358	666	138	293	28	9	301	88	-5	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.7
2039	30	MLB CTX	TEX	62%	378	333	73	13	4	8	35	107	7	13	4	217	306	350	655	133	291	28	9	296	85	-7	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.5
2040	31	MLB CTX	TEX	63%	374	330	70	12	4	7	34	107	7	12	4	213	301	340	641	127	288	29	9	291	82	-8	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.3
2041	32	MLB CTX	TEX	64%	366	323	67	11	4	7	33	107	7	11	5	208	295	328	622	120	284	29	9	283	77	-10	+0	-2	+4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4400	3868	848	148	48	94	409	1229	87	155	44	219	308	355	663	136	294	28	9	300	87	-63	+13	-7	+47	+95	8.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	125	22	7	14	60	182	13	23	6	219	307	356	662	137	294	28	9	300	87	-9	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7968	6984	1519	280	84	159	752	2236	168	284	78	217	309	350	659	132	294	28	9	297	87	-114	+24	-10	+84	+169	15.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	124	23	7	13	61	182	14	23	6	218	309	351	659	133	294	28	9	297	87	-10	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddie Patek'68-'81 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,246 PA	9.4	6,246	41	385	242*	311*	356*	+66	-5	14.7	15.3
/162	664	4	41	+7.0	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#2Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#3Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.8	4,543	91	159	219	305	352	+49	+27	12.0	10.1
/162	664	13	23	+7.1	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Víctor Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	202/293/309	107	288	2	4	30%	9%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46→47	42→50	53→50	42	215/279/322	107	328	10	12	35%	8%	71	-0.8	225/292/370	145	321	15	12	32%	8%	86	+0.3	229/294/381	151	313	16	14	30%	8%	88	+0.3
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→39	41→50	55	45	232/308/333	101	332	7	18	30%	8%	84	+0.2	200/335/326	126	277	12	20	29%	12%	95	+1.0	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1

Víctor Gonzalez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps