Jonathan Ornelas

Jonathan OrnelasSS Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 196 lbs AAA HR +8%BB +8% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 0.3 · 2026

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .273 / .288

PA250

HR3

SB5

K%30

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

40→40

SPD

50→50

EYE

43↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.3	$1M	+$1M
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.2M
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$2M	+$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Rangers	203	182	39	7	3	2	15	59	2	15	5	.214	.281	.319	.600	.104	.296	29	7	.268	63	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2019	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	472	429	80	16	3	4	26	135	9	13	4	.186	.248	.266	.514	.079	.256	29	6	.226	31	-37	+1	+0	+2	+13	-2.1
2021	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	405	382	81	13	4	8	15	119	6	9	5	.212	.253	.330	.583	.118	.286	29	4	.247	47	-24	-0	+0	+1	+11	-1.2
2022	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	580	542	142	16	2	14	28	155	6	14	6	.262	.306	.376	.682	.114	.341	27	5	.298	86	-9	+0	+0	+2	+16	1.0
2023	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	517	455	96	14	2	6	53	162	6	15	1	.211	.302	.290	.592	.079	.311	31	10	.267	63	-22	+3	+0	+2	+15	-0.3
2024	24	AAA	3 teams	449	416	92	11	2	3	24	129	6	10	2	.221	.274	.279	.552	.058	.312	29	5	.246	46	-27	+1	-0	+2	+13	-1.3
2025	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	454	415	75	4	4	9	29	142	6	9	5	.181	.244	.275	.519	.094	.246	31	6	.233	37	-33	-0	-1	+5	+13	-1.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	41	38	13	2	1	2	3	12	0	1	0	.342	.390	.605	.996	.263	.458	29	7	.384	152	+2	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.4
ROS	26	MLB	NYY	209	190	40	5	1	3	15	63	2	4	1	.211	.275	.295	.570	.084	.305	30	7	.272	67	-8	+0	-0	+1	+6	-0.1
TOT	26	MLB	NYY	250	228	53	7	2	5	18	75	2	5	1	.232	.294	.346	.641	.114	.322	30	7	.291	81	-5	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 25%	NYY	395	357	81	11	3	7	31	107	4	8	2	.227	.296	.333	.629	.106	.296	27	8	.281	73	-12	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.1
2028	28	MLB 37%	NYY	403	364	81	11	3	7	32	108	4	7	2	.223	.292	.327	.619	.104	.296	27	8	.283	75	-12	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.1
2029	29	MLB 47%	NYY	398	359	79	11	2	7	32	107	4	7	1	.220	.291	.320	.611	.100	.295	27	8	.283	75	-11	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.0
2030	30	MLB 55%	NYY	394	355	78	11	2	7	32	107	4	6	1	.220	.292	.321	.613	.101	.293	27	8	.281	73	-12	+1	-3	+1	+11	-0.1
2031	31	MLB 66%	NYY	379	342	76	11	2	7	30	105	4	4	0	.222	.293	.327	.620	.105	.292	28	8	.277	70	-13	+1	-4	+1	+11	-0.3
2032	32	MLB 75%	NYY	360	324	70	10	2	6	29	101	4	2	0	.216	.289	.315	.603	.099	.291	28	8	.273	67	-14	+0	-4	+1	+10	-0.6
2033	33	MLB 83%	NYY	330	298	64	9	2	5	26	95	3	1	0	.215	.284	.309	.593	.094	.289	29	8	.267	63	-14	+0	-5	+1	+9	-0.8
2034	34	MLB 89%	NYY	286	259	54	7	2	4	22	85	3	0	0	.208	.278	.297	.575	.089	.288	30	8	.261	58	-14	+0	-5	+1	+8	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6234	5669	1228	167	39	99	439	1779	73	124	35	.217	.282	.312	.594	.096	.295	29	7	.266	62	-269	+11	-26	+26	+177	-8.4
/ 162G	—			650	591	127	17	4	10	46	185	8	13	4	.215	.281	.308	.589	.093	.292	28	7	.266	62	-28	+1	-3	+3	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Rangers	203	172	52	10	4	3	25	41	2	15	5	.302	.397	.459	.856	.157	.371	20	12	.375	145	+10	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2019	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	472	413	106	24	3	6	42	103	9	13	4	.257	.338	.373	.711	.116	.322	22	9	.318	102	+1	+1	—	—	+13	1.6
2021	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	405	376	98	18	4	8	21	87	6	9	5	.261	.310	.394	.704	.133	.320	21	5	.313	98	-1	-0	—	—	+11	1.0
2022	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	580	525	157	20	2	14	45	121	6	14	6	.299	.361	.425	.786	.126	.365	21	8	.351	126	+17	+0	—	—	+16	3.5
2023	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	517	434	110	18	2	8	74	121	6	15	1	.253	.370	.359	.729	.106	.332	23	14	.335	115	+9	+3	—	—	+15	2.6
2024	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	40	37	8	2	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	.216	.256	.270	.527	.054	.333	32	5	.235	38	-3	+0	-0	+2	+1	-0.1
2024	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	368	331	83	10	3	3	30	87	5	9	2	.251	.322	.326	.649	.076	.331	24	8	.297	85	-6	+1	—	—	+10	0.5
2024	24	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	41	37	8	2	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	.216	.293	.270	.563	.054	.333	32	7	.264	60	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	454	393	77	6	3	10	51	115	6	9	5	.196	.298	.303	.601	.107	.246	25	11	.277	70	-15	-0	—	—	+13	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			40	37	8	2	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	.216	.256	.270	.527	.054	.333	32	5	.235	38	-3	+0	-0	+2	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Ornelas (OGILVIE)	26	35	40	50	55	.206/.273/.288	.082	.291	3	5	30%	7%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Farrell 2013 · AAA	26	46→38	41→45	45	41	.219/.284/.318	.099	.304	8	6	29%	6%	69	-0.4	.203/.265/.302	.099	.299	8	4	33%	5%	56	-1.3	.195/.252/.294	.099	.294	7	2	34%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2019 · MLB	26	43→49	41→45	51→55	45	.209/.273/.307	.098	.268	8	12	24%	7%	60	-1.0	.200/.263/.289	.089	.299	7	8	33%	7%	52	-1.6	.162/.232/.217	.055	.281	2	2	40%	7%	19	-1.5
✕Steven Baron 2016 · AAA	25	43	38→45	51→50	40	.208/.252/.292	.085	.285	5	9	28%	5%	46	-2.0	.227/.285/.303	.076	.312	6	6	27%	7%	64	-0.8	.220/.281/.276	.057	.306	5	2	28%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	38	41→45	45	42	.191/.251/.292	.101	.267	9	8	31%	7%	47	-1.9	.183/.267/.313	.130	.280	16	7	37%	10%	61	-1.0	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	37	39→45	50→55	40	.183/.248/.270	.087	.268	6	14	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.194/.274/.324	.130	.304	14	16	38%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.266/.318	.140	.290	17	19	41%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	.193/.248/.281	.088	.293	8	15	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.204/.258/.297	.093	.310	9	12	35%	6%	51	-1.7	.145/.202/.182	.037	.248	4	8	41%	6%	-4	-1.0
✕Bryan Holaday 2013 · AAA	25	43	40→45	49→40	42	.208/.264/.296	.088	.269	7	6	25%	6%	53	-1.5	.220/.265/.310	.090	.273	7	5	21%	5%	57	-1.2	.217/.286/.341	.124	.252	13	2	19%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Yusniel Díaz 2023 · AAA	26	40→50	43→45	46→50	41	.202/.260/.304	.102	.284	12	11	32%	7%	54	-1.4	.227/.298/.372	.145	.290	17	12	26%	9%	89	+0.9	.238/.314/.405	.167	.291	19	8	24%	10%	101	+1.2
✕Nolan Fontana 2018 · MLB	27	40→43	40	47→50	48	.195/.276/.291	.096	.272	7	11	29%	10%	59	-1.1	.196/.286/.314	.118	.276	10	11	30%	11%	69	-0.4	.155/.271/.269	.114	.221	9	6	31%	13%	51	-0.4
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	46→40	47	.199/.281/.306	.107	.269	11	4	29%	9%	65	-0.7	.203/.295/.294	.091	.287	7	4	29%	10%	67	-0.5	.185/.302/.243	.058	.271	3	0	28%	13%	55	-0.7
✕Cody Roberts 2022 · AAA	26	44	41→45	47→40	41	.208/.274/.301	.093	.317	8	4	35%	8%	59	-1.1	.215/.275/.328	.113	.318	11	4	34%	7%	67	-0.5	.209/.268/.316	.106	.305	10	3	33%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Ryan Dent 2015 · AAA	26	44→42	39→40	47→50	42	.210/.265/.292	.083	.286	6	13	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.207/.260/.301	.094	.294	7	9	30%	6%	53	-1.5	.210/.253/.303	.094	.300	8	3	32%	4%	49	-1.0
✕Nick Meyer 2022 · AAA	25	41	38→40	48→50	43	.200/.261/.271	.071	.264	6	13	26%	6%	46	-2.0	.216/.288/.312	.096	.280	10	15	25%	8%	69	-0.4	.201/.280/.289	.088	.259	11	18	25%	9%	56	-0.6
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB	26	46→53	41→45	51→50	42	.222/.271/.319	.097	.291	8	15	26%	6%	62	-0.9	.211/.274/.310	.099	.297	7	15	29%	8%	62	-0.9	.222/.290/.321	.098	.325	7	9	31%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Gift Ngoepe 2016 · AAA	26	44→42	41→45	47→50	40	.210/.268/.311	.101	.316	8	11	34%	7%	59	-1.1	.200/.258/.308	.108	.318	9	7	37%	7%	54	-1.4	.164/.241/.267	.102	.289	9	5	43%	9%	35	-1.1
✕Jimmy Herron 2022 · AA	26	40→45	40→45	50→55	47	.193/.269/.283	.090	.257	7	16	26%	8%	53	-1.5	.222/.297/.356	.134	.276	15	20	24%	8%	84	+0.6	.218/.294/.351	.132	.264	15	24	23%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	42→46	43→45	49→50	43	.206/.269/.317	.110	.278	10	8	28%	7%	61	-1.0	.201/.276/.293	.092	.275	7	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	.191/.273/.268	.077	.259	6	10	26%	9%	48	-1.1
✕Jack Dunn 2023 · AAA	26	49→48	38→40	46→55	47	.228/.296/.304	.075	.304	5	12	25%	8%	69	-0.4	.220/.310/.305	.085	.284	8	21	23%	10%	76	+0.1	.211/.316/.295	.084	.262	9	26	21%	11%	75	-0.0
✕Donny Lucy 2009 · MLB	26	45	41→40	51→50	41	.220/.270/.316	.096	.289	9	12	27%	5%	61	-1.0	.201/.243/.289	.088	.274	8	8	28%	4%	43	-2.2	.177/.219/.252	.075	.239	7	5	28%	4%	20	-1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)