Adrian Martinez

SS DSL Pirates Gold

Age 18 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Pirates G…	165	.235/.453/.261	0	14	59	—	.167/.348/.183
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	275	.216/.311/.279	2	6	73	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	77	.220/.316/.294	1	2	78	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	173	.224/.320/.308	2	4	83	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%96

BB%85

K%78

wOBA66

wRC+66

Whiff%59

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsHector Osorio (age 18) · Kevyn Castillo (age 19) · Marco Vargas (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 138 proj PA

wRC+73

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .309 / .277

PA138

HR1

K%24

BB%10

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$18M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	165	115	27	3	0	0	35	26	11	14	5	235	453	261	714	26	297	16	21	352	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	165	126	21	2	0	0	24	32	11	14	5	167	348	183	530	16	204	19	15	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	165	126	21	2	0	0	24	32	11	14	5	167	348	183	530	16	219	19	15	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	165	115	27	3	0	0	35	26	11	14	5	235	453	261	714	26	297	16	21	352	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	165	129	21	2	0	0	24	32	11	14	5	163	348	178	526	16	204	19	15	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	165	129	21	2	0	0	24	32	11	14	5	163	348	178	526	16	204	19	15	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	275	240	52	7	2	2	27	66	6	6	1	216	311	279	590	64	288	24	10	276	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	225	195	43	6	1	2	22	54	6	5	1	220	316	294	610	74	290	24	10	284	78	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	357	310	69	10	2	4	35	84	9	8	2	224	320	308	628	84	291	24	10	291	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	457	399	90	13	3	6	44	107	11	10	3	227	322	320	643	93	292	23	10	296	86	-7	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	526	457	106	16	3	8	51	122	13	11	3	230	324	330	655	100	293	23	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.2
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	574	500	117	18	3	10	55	133	14	12	3	233	326	339	665	107	294	23	10	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	605	527	124	19	3	11	59	140	14	13	3	234	327	343	670	109	295	23	10	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	623	543	127	19	3	12	60	144	15	13	4	235	327	346	674	112	295	23	10	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	631	550	128	19	3	12	61	146	15	13	4	235	328	348	676	113	295	23	10	308	95	-4	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	632	551	128	19	3	12	61	147	15	13	4	234	327	346	672	112	295	23	10	307	94	-5	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	627	547	126	19	3	11	61	147	14	12	4	232	325	341	666	109	294	23	10	304	92	-6	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	618	539	124	18	3	11	60	147	14	12	4	230	322	335	657	105	293	24	10	301	90	-8	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.2
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	57%	607	531	121	18	3	10	58	146	13	11	4	227	319	327	646	100	291	24	10	296	87	-10	+1	-2	+7	+13	0.9
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	55%	593	519	116	17	3	9	56	145	13	10	6	223	314	318	632	95	288	24	9	290	83	-12	-0	-3	+6	+13	0.4
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	58%	575	504	110	16	2	8	54	143	12	10	8	218	308	306	614	88	285	25	9	283	78	-15	-1	-4	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	77	67	15	2	0	1	8	18	2	2	0	220	316	294	610	74	290	23	10	284	78	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	173	150	34	5	1	2	17	41	4	4	1	224	320	308	628	84	291	24	10	291	83	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	248	216	48	7	1	3	24	58	6	5	1	227	322	320	643	93	292	23	10	296	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	298	260	61	9	2	5	29	69	7	6	2	230	324	330	655	100	293	23	10	300	89	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	330	287	67	10	2	6	32	76	8	7	2	233	326	339	665	107	294	23	10	304	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	345	301	71	11	2	6	33	80	8	7	2	234	327	343	670	109	295	23	10	306	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	353	308	73	11	2	7	34	81	8	7	2	235	327	346	674	112	295	23	10	307	94	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	357	311	73	11	2	7	35	82	8	7	2	235	328	348	676	113	295	23	10	308	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	351	306	72	11	2	7	34	82	8	7	2	234	327	346	672	112	295	23	10	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	344	300	69	10	2	6	33	81	8	7	2	232	325	341	666	109	294	24	10	304	92	-3	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.8
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	330	288	67	10	2	6	32	78	7	6	2	230	322	335	657	105	293	24	10	301	90	-4	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	57%	347	303	69	10	2	6	33	83	8	7	3	227	319	327	646	100	291	24	10	296	87	-6	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.5
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	55%	325	284	63	9	1	5	31	79	7	6	3	223	314	318	632	95	288	24	10	290	83	-7	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	58%	333	292	64	9	1	5	31	83	7	6	5	218	308	306	614	88	285	25	9	283	78	-9	-1	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4211	3673	846	125	22	72	406	991	96	84	29	230	323	335	658	105	294	24	10	300	88	-55	+5	-6	+45	+91	8.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	130	19	3	11	63	153	15	13	4	229	323	332	655	102	292	24	10	300	88	-9	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7953	6919	1577	233	39	127	774	1870	192	170	58	228	323	328	650	100	292	24	10	298	88	-106	+10	-10	+83	+169	14.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	128	19	3	10	63	153	16	14	5	227	321	324	645	97	291	24	10	298	88	-9	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Billy Gilbert'01-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,271 PA	4.9	3,271	4	167	238*	328*	344*	+15	+19	10.6	10.7
/162	664	1	34	+3.1	+3.9	2.2	pk7: 11
#5Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.6	4,350	70	87	230	319	332	+47	+27	11.3	9.5
/162	664	11	13	+7.1	+4.1	1.7	pk7: 8
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	214/309/277	63	288	1	3	24%	10%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→46	37→40	50→60	55	207/289/284	77	258	3	13	20%	10%	66	-1.1	207/297/275	68	283	3	18	25%	11%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	45→55	36→45	50→45	54	206/294/278	71	267	2	9	22%	10%	67	-1.1	203/252/261	58	256	2	6	21%	5%	46	-2.6	279/319/373	94	320	8	6	15%	4%	96	+0.8
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2024 · A	19	47→46	36→45	51→55	59	218/319/284	66	282	2	16	21%	12%	78	-0.3	220/304/299	79	303	4	13	26%	10%	75	-0.5	214/298/296	82	295	5	16	27%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Jason Martin 2014 · A	18	45→52	36→60	49→50	49	208/274/278	70	270	2	11	22%	8%	58	-1.7	218/278/323	105	286	7	11	25%	8%	70	-0.8	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Alexander Ovalles 2019 · A	18	46→41	36→50	47→50	51	216/289/281	65	279	3	13	22%	9%	65	-1.2	229/289/333	104	297	6	8	23%	7%	76	-0.4	220/284/353	133	282	13	7	26%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6

Adrian Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps