Miguel Molina — OGILVIE

Miguel Molina P DSL Tigers 1

Age 18 LHP 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 120

ERA4.56

FIP4.56

K%20.6%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	10	10	34	150	35	12	0	100%	3.4	15.9%	10.0%	5.9%	0.0%	4.28	3.03	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	10	10	34	150	35	12	0	100%	3.4	15.9%	10.0%	5.9%	0.0%	4.28	3.03	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	10	10	34	150	35	12	0	100%	3.4	23.3%	8.0%	15.3%	0.0%	4.28	2.09	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	9	6	16	86	20	22	4	67%	1.8	15.8%	32.0%	-16.2%	6.5%	13.22	9.39	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	9	6	16	86	20	22	4	67%	1.8	15.8%	32.0%	-16.2%	6.5%	13.22	9.39	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	DET	9	6	16	86	20	22	4	67%	1.8	23.3%	25.6%	-2.3%	4.7%	13.22	6.93	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	DET	6	6	32	134	29	13	4	100%	5.3	21.3%	9.3%	12.0%	2.8%	4.47	4.42	+0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	DET	3	3	16	68	14	6	2	100%	5.3	21.3%	9.3%	12.0%	2.8%	4.47	4.42	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	16	66	14	6	2	100%	3.9	21.3%	9.3%	12.0%	2.8%	4.47	4.04	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	179	77	26	100%	4.3	21.3%	9.3%	12.0%	2.8%	4.47	4.04	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		19	16	50	236	37	42	6	84%	2.6	15.8%	18.0%	-2.2%	2.4%	7.20	5.35	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	64	200	944	150	170	22	84%	2.6	15.8%	18.0%	-2.2%	2.4%	7.20	5.35	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Molina (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.56	20.6%	9.8%	2.9%	—	4.42	21.3%	12.0%	32	-0.14	—	—	—
Robinson Ortiz L 2018 · 3.85 FIP	18	SP-	3.85	21.0%	11.0%	2.1%	.312	5.36	15.2%	0.6%	98	+1.51	2.29	275	90
Johan Simon L 2021 · 3.51 FIP	20	SP-	3.51	19.8%	10.2%	1.4%	.302	4.50	17.6%	1.1%	41	+0.99	3.45	177	83
James Gonzalez L 2019 · 3.47 FIP	18	SP-	3.47	18.7%	7.8%	1.8%	.327	4.87	17.1%	7.0%	91	+1.40	2.31	487	79
Jeremy Gonzalez L 2023 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	19.6%	10.6%	2.2%	.290	4.53	14.4%	-1.1%	83	+0.51	3.39	148	79
Jagger Haynes L 2023 · 4.25 FIP	20	SP	4.25	19.7%	13.0%	2.1%	.303	5.02	17.7%	3.7%	343	+0.77	4.25	368	78
Juan Rojas L 2022 · 3.66 FIP	18	SP-	3.66	23.0%	7.6%	2.8%	.279	4.29	15.9%	2.4%	164	+0.63	2.74	282	78
Ethan Lindow L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	18	SP	4.33	19.1%	12.4%	2.3%	.329	2.95	19.8%	14.0%	111	-1.38	2.95	435	78
Blake Townsend L 2021 · 3.78 FIP	20	SP-	3.78	26.7%	11.2%	2.8%	.286	4.01	18.5%	4.8%	96	+0.23	3.34	305	77
Dalton Lehnen L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	21	SP	3.95	19.8%	7.6%	2.8%	.398	4.49	15.8%	2.9%	189	+0.54	3.95	222	76
Brock Selvidge L 2022 · 3.70 FIP	19	SP-	3.70	19.9%	11.7%	1.5%	.321	3.79	17.8%	7.6%	287	+0.09	3.07	330	75
Ryan Rolison L 2018 · 3.88 FIP	21	SP	3.88	21.2%	9.2%	2.6%	.200	4.41	19.1%	11.5%	191	+0.53	3.81	386	75
Yereny Teus L 2023 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP	3.46	19.2%	12.0%	0.8%	.284	3.42	24.1%	11.1%	142	-0.04	2.63	185	75
Elier Morillo L 2023 · 4.12 FIP	17	SP-	4.12	18.1%	12.7%	1.7%	.418	4.31	28.7%	8.3%	89	+0.19	2.67	115	74
Luke Little L 2021 · 4.02 FIP	20	SP-	4.02	25.8%	12.5%	2.8%	.200	2.91	27.9%	12.2%	155	-1.11	2.76	276	74
Brady Aiken L 2016 · 3.79 FIP	19	SP	3.79	20.0%	13.7%	1.2%	.443	5.96	11.0%	-8.9%	132	+2.17	3.79	156	74
Bodi Rascon L 2021 · 4.18 FIP	20	SP-	4.18	15.4%	8.8%	2.3%	.271	5.30	15.7%	3.9%	143	+1.12	4.18	218	74
Wilkin Paredes L 2023 · 4.11 FIP	19	SP	4.11	16.2%	9.1%	2.2%	.353	4.96	12.1%	3.3%	273	+0.85	4.11	319	73
Felipe De La Cruz L 2021 · 3.44 FIP	20	SP	3.44	16.1%	10.3%	0.7%	.282	3.77	20.3%	8.5%	245	+0.33	3.11	397	73
Deyer Zapata L 2022 · 4.25 FIP	18	SP	4.25	18.8%	14.3%	1.7%	.309	5.18	17.5%	4.0%	50	+0.93	3.77	130	72
Julio Mendez L 2022 · 3.83 FIP	17	SP	3.83	23.8%	15.8%	1.3%	.302	4.61	16.3%	3.1%	155	+0.78	3.83	290	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	21.0%	9.5%	1.10	4.50
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84