James Gonzalez
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 25
LHP
6'2" / 255 lbs
AAA
peak 0.8 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 126
ERA4.73
FIP4.73
K%18.7%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%7.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 112 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 7 | 4 | 19 | 80 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 57% | 2.7 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 1.7% | 4.82 | 3.47 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 7 | 4 | 19 | 80 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 57% | 2.7 | 27.5% | 6.2% | 21.3% | 1.2% | 4.82 | 2.24 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 4 | 28 | 116 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 40% | 2.8 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 2.31 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 4 | 28 | 116 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 40% | 2.8 | 23.3% | 5.2% | 18.1% | 0.9% | 2.25 | 2.28 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 15 | 79 | 359 | 76 | 36 | 12 | 68% | 3.6 | 16.6% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.15 | 5.59 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 15 | 79 | 359 | 76 | 36 | 12 | 68% | 3.6 | 21.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 6.15 | 4.52 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 108 | 479 | 135 | 46 | 11 | 79% | 4.5 | 21.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 4.42 | 4.59 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 108 | 479 | 135 | 46 | 11 | 79% | 4.5 | 28.2% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 4.42 | 3.20 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 18 | 121 | 505 | 110 | 38 | 9 | 67% | 4.5 | 17.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | 3.41 | 3.99 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 18 | 121 | 505 | 110 | 38 | 9 | 67% | 4.5 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 1.8% | 3.41 | 3.19 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 17 | 17 | 78 | 340 | 83 | 35 | 6 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 4.27 | 3.94 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 17 | 17 | 78 | 340 | 83 | 35 | 6 | 100% | 4.6 | 24.4% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 1.8% | 4.27 | 3.32 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 27 | 2 | 42 | 187 | 35 | 23 | 5 | 7% | 1.5 | 15.8% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.26 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 55 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.73 | 4.73 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.73 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 112 | 483 | 90 | 55 | 13 | — | — | 18.7% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 5.30 | 4.86 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 18.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.73 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 70 | 296 | 57 | 32 | 8 | 100% | 6.4 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 69 | 291 | 57 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.68 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 34 | 144 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.8 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 46 | 194 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 6.6 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 19 | 13 | 86 | 365 | 71 | 39 | 10 | 68% | 4.5 | 19.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.30 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 90 | 23 | 65% | 4.5 | 19.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 134 | 79 | 475 | 2066 | 384 | 213 | 58 | 59% | 3.5 | 18.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.38 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 33 | 200 | 871 | 162 | 90 | 25 | 59% | 3.5 | 18.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| James Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 18.7% | 10.9% | 2.6% | — | 4.67 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 139 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 84 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 83 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 82 |
| Matt Tracy L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.04 | 14.7% | 5.5% | 208 | +0.03 | 3.24 | 298 | 82 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .273 | 6.05 | 16.6% | 6.2% | 129 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 80 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 79 |
| Nico Tellache L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 78 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 77 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.22 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.47 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 271 | +1.25 | 3.71 | 484 | 77 |
| Brad Hand L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.96 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | .326 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 25.0% | 241 | -1.15 | 0.84 | 577 | 76 |
| Justin Marks L 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 76 |
| Hayden Frank L 2024 · 5.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.29 | 17.2% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.29 | 109 | 76 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.0% | 3.8% | .307 | 3.48 | 21.1% | 12.6% | 150 | -1.87 | 2.34 | 338 | 76 |
| Colin Rodgers L 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 313 | 75 |
| Drake Britton L 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.82 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .268 | 4.93 | 8.0% | -2.2% | 41 | +0.11 | 4.82 | 125 | 75 |
| Adam Wolf L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.01 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .292 | 4.17 | 16.8% | 5.9% | 109 | +0.16 | 3.91 | 383 | 75 |
| Eric Wooten L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 74 |
| Will Dion L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 19.5% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .342 | 2.44 | 28.9% | 23.8% | 49 | -1.21 | 2.44 | 496 | 74 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 74 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.67 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 1.6% | .355 | 5.01 | 14.7% | 3.6% | 93 | +1.34 | 3.10 | 381 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 1.03 | 4.69 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |