Brock Selvidge
P
Somerset Patriots
Age 23
LHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.8 · 2028
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118128vR 137
ERA5.23
FIP5.23
K%16.5%
BB%13.7%
K-BB%2.8%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 1.2 | 28.6% | 7.1% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 1.59 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 1.2 | 28.6% | 7.1% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 1.74 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 9 | 43 | 181 | 53 | 17 | 2 | 82% | 3.9 | 19.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 2.95 | 3.66 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 9 | 43 | 181 | 53 | 17 | 2 | 82% | 3.9 | 29.3% | 9.4% | 19.9% | 1.1% | 2.95 | 2.42 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 128 | 537 | 137 | 35 | 5 | 96% | 5.3 | 19.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 1.1% | 3.45 | 3.04 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 128 | 537 | 137 | 35 | 5 | 96% | 5.3 | 25.5% | 6.5% | 19.0% | 0.9% | 3.45 | 2.29 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 16 | 16 | 85 | 370 | 83 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.2% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 4.25 | 4.08 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 16 | 16 | 85 | 370 | 83 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 1.6% | 4.25 | 3.48 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 18 | 83 | 360 | 68 | 44 | 6 | 95% | 4.4 | 15.3% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.68 | 4.60 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 18 | 83 | 360 | 68 | 44 | 6 | 95% | 4.4 | 18.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 4.68 | 4.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 62 | 260 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 100% | 5.1 | 16.5% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.23 | 5.23 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 48 | 34 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.0% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 51 | 33 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 4.91 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 52 | 32 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.3% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 4.83 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 51 | 32 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.4% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 4.82 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.0% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 4.98 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 4.91 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 41 | 26 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 19.3% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 4.83 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 44 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.4% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 4.82 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 30 | 175 | 739 | 140 | 90 | 19 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.0% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 4.88 | 4.47 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 103 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.0% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 4.88 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 73 | 68 | 341 | 1462 | 265 | 154 | 23 | 93% | 4.7 | 18.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 3.88 | 3.75 | +6.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 40 | 200 | 857 | 155 | 90 | 13 | 93% | 4.7 | 18.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 3.88 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brock Selvidge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.23 | 16.5% | 13.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.88 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 191 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.4% | .312 | 4.46 | 21.0% | 7.7% | 184 | +0.10 | 3.84 | 249 | 87 |
| Brooks Gosswein L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.01 | 14.7% | 14.8% | 2.3% | .328 | 5.58 | 15.2% | -2.7% | 66 | +0.57 | 5.01 | 165 | 84 |
| Justin Sinibaldi L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.79 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% | .286 | 6.01 | 14.0% | 3.4% | 72 | +1.22 | 4.79 | 163 | 84 |
| Rob Zastryzny L 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.24 | 13.8% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .345 | 4.39 | 18.5% | 9.1% | 268 | -0.85 | 3.26 | 634 | 82 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.29 | 17.1% | 11.1% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 119 | 81 |
| Jake Zokan L 2027 · 5.12 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.12 | 12.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.80 | 24.2% | 22.5% | 37 | -3.32 | 1.80 | 120 | 81 |
| Russell Smith L 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.45 | 16.0% | 10.4% | 4.3% | .272 | 4.52 | 21.2% | 7.8% | 107 | -0.93 | 3.89 | 175 | 81 |
| Dalton Rogers L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.14 | 17.7% | 14.9% | 1.2% | .324 | 4.23 | 21.0% | 5.7% | 147 | +0.09 | 3.42 | 326 | 81 |
| Connor O'Halloran L 2024 · 5.02 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.02 | 17.2% | 12.3% | 3.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.02 | 104 | 81 |
| Michel Gelabert L 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.58 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 107 | 80 |
| Cameron Bishop L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.52 | 16.6% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .316 | 3.28 | 23.8% | 11.5% | 66 | -1.24 | 2.86 | 305 | 80 |
| Gabriel Castellanos L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.29 | 15.5% | 13.7% | 1.4% | .348 | 3.41 | 15.3% | 2.7% | 26 | -0.88 | 3.41 | 108 | 79 |
| Damon Jones L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.16 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .321 | 3.96 | 25.8% | 10.9% | 156 | -0.20 | 3.85 | 269 | 79 |
| Mason Green L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.11 | 16.2% | 12.2% | 1.5% | .329 | 4.56 | 19.0% | 5.1% | 252 | +0.45 | 3.56 | 410 | 79 |
| Caden Grice L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 78 |
| Eddie Campbell L 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.08 | 13.5% | 10.7% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.37 | 13.7% | -3.8% | 140 | +1.29 | 5.08 | 250 | 78 |
| Adam Wolf L 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.11 | 14.1% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .383 | 4.62 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 196 | +0.51 | 3.91 | 383 | 78 |
| Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.67 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.89 | 20.3% | 3.7% | 33 | -0.78 | 2.81 | 146 | 78 |
| Jagger Haynes L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.74 | 16.5% | 11.6% | 2.9% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 328 | 78 |
| Brett Adcock L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.22 | 17.4% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 301 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 63 | 18.4% | 12.5% | 1.00 | 4.96 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Junior Guerra ('21) | 6 | 84 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 1.16 | 4.04 |