Caleb Franzen
P
ACL Mariners
Age 25
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION7 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104114vR 123
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
K%21.3%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 22 | 21 | 113 | 492 | 108 | 42 | 9 | 95% | 5.1 | 16.2% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 4.22 | 3.96 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 22 | 21 | 113 | 492 | 108 | 42 | 9 | 95% | 5.1 | 22.0% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 1.8% | 4.22 | 3.34 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 14 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 7.6% | 18.6% | -11.0% | 2.9% | 5.57 | 6.40 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 14 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 9.4% | 13.4% | -4.0% | 2.7% | 5.57 | 5.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 5 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 8.10 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 0 | 28 | 117 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 34 | 148 | 32 | 16 | 4 | — | — | 21.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 5.26 | 3.69 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 0 | 28 | 117 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.16 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 84 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 45 | 21 | 153 | 676 | 98 | 81 | 14 | 47% | 3.4 | 14.5% | 12.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.65 | 4.52 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 27 | 200 | 884 | 128 | 106 | 18 | 47% | 3.4 | 14.5% | 12.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.65 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caleb Franzen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 21.3% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.54 | 21.7% | 11.7% | 28 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 77 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 76 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 74 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 74 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .357 | 4.17 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 143 | +0.67 | 3.21 | 439 | 74 |
| Hayden Frank L 2024 · 5.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.29 | 17.2% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.29 | 109 | 72 |
| Stu Flesland III L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 18.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 211 | 72 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 71 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .273 | 6.05 | 16.6% | 6.2% | 129 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 71 |
| Rito Lugo L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 18.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 176 | 71 |
| Hunter Barco L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 212 | 70 |
| Tommy Vail L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.91 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .237 | 5.18 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.27 | 3.91 | 151 | 70 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.22 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.47 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 271 | +1.25 | 3.71 | 484 | 70 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 70 |
| Adam Wolf L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.01 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .292 | 4.17 | 16.8% | 5.9% | 109 | +0.16 | 3.91 | 383 | 70 |
| Colin Rodgers L 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 313 | 70 |
| Brad Hand L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.96 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | .326 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 25.0% | 241 | -1.15 | 0.84 | 577 | 70 |
| Nico Tellache L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 70 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 70 |
| Edgar Barclay L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.79 | 24.5% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .307 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 4.9% | 157 | +0.81 | 2.06 | 402 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 28 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 1.14 | 4.56 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |