Caleb Franzen — OGILVIE

Caleb Franzen P Everett AquaSox

Age 25 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%16.9%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%4.4%

ROS IP28

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	22	21	113	492	108	42	9	95%	5.1	16.2%	10.1%	6.2%	2.0%	4.22	4.10	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	22	21	113	492	108	42	9	95%	5.1	16.2%	10.1%	6.2%	2.0%	4.22	4.10	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	22	21	113	492	108	42	9	95%	5.1	22.0%	8.5%	13.4%	1.8%	4.22	3.34	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	32	149	14	20	4	0%	1.9	7.6%	18.6%	-11.0%	3.1%	5.57	6.53	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	32	149	14	20	4	0%	1.9	7.6%	18.6%	-11.0%	3.1%	5.57	6.53	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	32	149	14	20	4	0%	1.9	9.4%	13.4%	-4.0%	2.7%	5.57	5.70	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	17	0	26	117	27	9	4	0%	1.5	19.8%	3.3%	16.5%	5.4%	6.15	4.78	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	17	0	26	117	27	9	4	0%	1.5	19.8%	3.3%	16.5%	5.4%	6.15	4.78	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	SEA	6	0	7	37	8	4	1	0%	1.2	21.6%	10.8%	10.8%	2.7%	10.29	4.13	—
2026	25	A RAW	SEA	1	0	2	10	1	3	0	0%	2.3	10.0%	30.0%	-20.0%	0.0%	3.86	6.06	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	SEA	10	0	17	70	18	2	3	0%	1.7	25.7%	2.9%	22.9%	4.3%	4.76	3.64	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	28	0	29	123	23	15	4	0%	1.0	18.3%	12.1%	6.3%	3.0%	5.12	5.09	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	SEA	12	0	13	55	10	7	2	0%	1.1	18.3%	12.1%	6.3%	3.0%	5.12	5.09	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	53	10	6	2	0%	1.0	18.3%	12.1%	6.3%	3.0%	5.12	4.71	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	96	32	0%	1.1	18.3%	12.1%	6.3%	3.0%	5.12	4.71	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		57	21	173	762	114	81	21	37%	3.0	15.0%	10.7%	4.4%	2.7%	4.74	4.68	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	24	200	883	133	94	24	37%	3.0	15.0%	10.7%	4.4%	2.7%	4.74	4.68	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Caleb Franzen (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	16.9%	12.4%	3.0%	—	5.09	18.3%	6.3%	29	-0.17	—	—	—
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	79
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	79
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	78
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	75
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	75
Kohl Drake L 2023 · 4.81 FIP	23	SW	4.81	16.3%	11.9%	2.9%	.391	4.32	21.8%	12.5%	292	-0.49	3.32	327	74
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	74
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.11	18.1%	7.1%	162	-1.67	3.92	278	74
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.83	14.4%	3.1%	142	-0.91	3.41	239	73
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.40	163	73
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	73
Alec Gamboa L 2022 · 5.36 FIP	25	SW	5.36	14.8%	13.1%	3.4%	.287	3.96	15.8%	4.0%	169	-1.40	1.46	439	73
Will Lamb L 2016 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	15.3%	11.7%	4.3%	.280	5.78	20.0%	6.0%	67	+0.12	3.64	178	72
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	72
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	72
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	72
Drake Britton L 2015 · 4.69 FIP	26	SW	4.69	11.1%	9.7%	2.4%	.268	4.79	8.0%	-2.2%	41	+0.10	4.69	125	72
Cody Stull L 2017 · 4.73 FIP	25	SU	4.73	11.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.310	3.16	16.7%	8.1%	81	-1.57	2.57	264	71
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	71
T.J. Sikkema L 2023 · 6.04 FIP	25	SU	6.04	16.1%	13.2%	4.8%	.245	3.86	17.1%	9.6%	159	-2.18	3.57	300	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	17.6%	12.2%	1.15	5.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64