Dominic Perachi — OGILVIE

Dominic Perachi P Altoona Curve

Age 25 LHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.9 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 125

ERA4.81

FIP4.81

K%16.9%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%6.3%

ROS IP38

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	22	18	91	407	96	48	10	82%	4.1	17.5%	13.9%	3.5%	3.3%	4.76	5.19	—
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	22	18	91	407	96	48	10	82%	4.1	17.5%	13.9%	3.5%	3.3%	4.76	5.19	—
2023	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	22	18	91	407	96	48	10	82%	4.1	23.6%	11.8%	11.8%	2.5%	4.76	4.00	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	115	482	121	42	4	69%	4.4	19.7%	9.8%	9.9%	1.2%	3.53	3.33	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	115	482	121	42	4	69%	4.4	19.7%	9.8%	9.9%	1.2%	3.53	3.33	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	18	115	482	121	42	4	69%	4.4	25.1%	8.7%	16.4%	0.8%	3.53	2.54	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	13	12	51	208	39	21	2	92%	3.9	11.6%	10.7%	0.9%	1.7%	3.38	4.44	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	13	12	51	208	39	21	2	92%	3.9	11.6%	10.7%	0.9%	1.7%	3.38	4.44	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	13	12	51	208	39	21	2	92%	3.9	18.8%	10.1%	8.7%	1.0%	3.38	3.32	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	11	11	41	174	31	17	6	100%	3.8	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	2.4%	5.01	4.64	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	11	11	41	174	31	17	6	100%	3.8	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	2.4%	5.01	4.64	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	PIT	1	1	2	7	4	0	0	100%	2.0	57.1%	0.0%	57.1%	0.0%	0.00	-1.73	—
2026	25	A RAW	PIT	1	1	3	14	0	1	3	100%	2.7	0.0%	7.1%	-7.1%	21.4%	16.88	15.77	—
2026	25	AA RAW	PIT	9	9	37	153	27	16	3	100%	4.1	17.6%	10.5%	7.2%	2.0%	4.42	4.01	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	17	17	103	436	79	45	11	100%	6.1	18.2%	10.2%	8.0%	2.6%	4.71	4.68	+0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	17	17	102	429	79	43	12	100%	6.0	18.5%	10.1%	8.4%	2.7%	4.68	4.68	+0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	PIT	16	16	99	416	77	42	12	100%	6.2	18.6%	10.2%	8.4%	2.8%	4.71	4.75	+0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	PIT	16	16	94	398	73	41	12	100%	5.9	18.4%	10.3%	8.1%	3.0%	4.80	4.86	+0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	88	374	67	40	12	100%	5.9	18.1%	10.6%	7.5%	3.2%	4.94	5.04	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	45	190	35	19	5	100%	5.6	18.2%	10.2%	8.0%	2.4%	4.60	4.57	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	11	11	64	270	50	27	7	100%	5.8	18.5%	10.1%	8.4%	2.5%	4.57	4.57	+0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	74	312	58	32	8	100%	6.2	18.6%	10.2%	8.4%	2.6%	4.59	4.63	+0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	77	325	60	34	9	100%	5.9	18.4%	10.3%	8.1%	2.8%	4.68	4.74	+0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	76	321	58	34	9	100%	5.8	18.1%	10.6%	7.5%	2.9%	4.81	4.91	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	56	337	1423	261	147	38	100%	6.0	18.4%	10.3%	8.1%	2.7%	4.66	4.32	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	155	87	23	100%	6.0	18.4%	10.3%	8.1%	2.7%	4.66	4.32	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		72	59	297	1271	215	146	27	82%	4.1	16.9%	11.5%	5.4%	2.1%	4.09	4.29	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	40	200	855	144	98	18	82%	4.1	16.9%	11.5%	5.4%	2.1%	4.09	4.29	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dominic Perachi (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	16.9%	10.6%	2.6%	—	4.70	18.4%	8.3%	304	-0.11	—	—	—
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.60	19.5%	5.2%	212	+0.08	3.90	277	86
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	82
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	78
Kyle Twomey L 2017 · 3.96 FIP	23	SP	3.96	14.8%	7.9%	2.0%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	141	77
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	76
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	76
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.79	18.9%	3.1%	13	+1.10	3.85	176	75
Matt Portland L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	24	SP-	4.64	17.4%	11.0%	2.9%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	143	75
Matt Purke L 2015 · 3.82 FIP	25	SP-	3.82	12.5%	7.4%	1.5%	.340	3.78	20.6%	7.6%	169	-0.04	3.01	226	75
Jordan Carr L 2022 · 3.86 FIP	25	SP-	3.86	12.5%	5.2%	2.1%	.304	4.01	14.9%	6.2%	162	+0.15	3.49	269	75
Jordan Fowler L 2023 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP	4.08	13.2%	7.9%	2.0%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	124	75
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	74
James Paxton L 2015 · 4.22 FIP	26	SP	4.22	18.9%	9.4%	2.8%	.288	2.95	27.7%	21.7%	468	-1.27	2.46	924	74
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	74
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	74
Bryan Radziewski L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.5%	2.0%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	106	73
Jake McSteen L 2021 · 5.05 FIP	25	SP-	5.05	16.8%	7.3%	4.5%	.322	5.18	19.2%	12.5%	172	+0.13	2.22	286	72
Grant Watson L 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	16.4%	10.3%	3.0%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	180	72
Amilcar Gaxiola L 2016 · 4.78 FIP	25	SP	4.78	11.0%	8.5%	2.8%	.336	4.87	11.7%	1.5%	176	+0.09	4.58	321	72
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	87	18.3%	10.3%	1.10	4.77
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09