Robinson Ortiz — OGILVIE

Robinson Ortiz P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 26 LHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

K%22.4%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%8.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5050

CTRL—45

CMD3040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 1	11	11	37	151	35	5	0	100%	3.4	15.8%	4.1%	11.6%	0.0%	3.13	2.29	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 1	11	11	37	151	35	5	0	100%	3.4	23.2%	3.3%	19.9%	0.0%	3.13	1.63	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	11	9	32	136	42	12	2	82%	2.9	21.0%	11.0%	10.0%	2.1%	4.18	3.85	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	11	9	32	136	42	12	2	82%	2.9	30.9%	8.8%	22.1%	1.5%	4.18	2.42	—
2019	19	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	19	18	86	365	74	40	10	95%	4.5	15.0%	12.9%	2.1%	3.5%	4.59	5.39	—
2019	19	A RAW	Great Lakes Loons	19	18	86	365	74	40	10	95%	4.5	20.3%	11.0%	9.3%	2.7%	4.59	4.28	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	4	2	12	54	12	13	0	50%	2.9	17.1%	27.7%	-10.6%	0.0%	0.77	5.16	—
2021	21	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	4	2	12	54	12	13	0	50%	2.9	22.2%	24.1%	-1.9%	0.0%	0.77	4.39	—
2024	24	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	6	0	11	47	3	6	0	0%	1.8	6.4%	12.8%	-6.4%	0.0%	0.82	4.18	—
2024	24	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	6	0	11	47	3	6	0	0%	1.8	6.4%	12.8%	-6.4%	0.0%	0.82	4.18	—
2024	24	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	6	0	11	47	3	6	0	0%	1.8	6.4%	12.8%	-6.4%	0.0%	0.82	4.19	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	1	59	254	72	32	4	2%	1.2	22.6%	13.4%	9.2%	1.9%	2.73	3.95	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	1	59	254	72	32	4	2%	1.2	22.6%	13.4%	9.2%	1.9%	2.73	3.95	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	1	59	254	72	32	4	2%	1.2	28.3%	12.6%	15.7%	1.6%	2.73	3.17	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	42	0	48	218	60	31	6	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.8%	10.0%	3.0%	5.66	4.45	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	42	0	48	218	60	31	6	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.8%	10.0%	3.0%	5.66	4.45	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	SEA	42	0	48	218	60	31	6	0%	1.1	27.5%	14.2%	13.3%	2.8%	5.66	4.09	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	SEA	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	14.0%	8.4%	2.7%	4.83	4.83	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	54	243	66	34	7	—	—	27.0%	14.2%	12.8%	2.7%	5.57	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SEA	66	0	69	291	65	40	8	0%	1.0	22.5%	13.6%	8.9%	2.8%	4.80	4.81	-0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	64	0	67	282	63	38	8	0%	1.0	22.4%	13.4%	9.0%	2.9%	4.82	4.86	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	SEA	61	0	64	270	60	36	8	0%	1.0	22.2%	13.4%	8.8%	3.0%	4.90	4.96	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	SEA	28	0	29	122	28	17	3	0%	1.0	22.5%	13.6%	8.9%	2.8%	4.80	4.81	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	40	0	42	177	40	24	5	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.4%	9.0%	2.9%	4.82	4.86	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	SEA	45	0	47	198	44	27	6	0%	1.0	22.2%	13.4%	8.8%	3.0%	4.90	4.96	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	0	118	500	112	67	14	0%	1.0	22.4%	13.5%	8.9%	2.9%	4.85	4.51	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	113	24	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.5%	8.9%	2.9%	4.85	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		141	41	286	1225	227	151	27	29%	2.0	18.5%	12.4%	6.1%	2.2%	3.84	4.32	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	29	200	858	159	106	19	29%	2.0	18.5%	12.4%	6.1%	2.2%	3.84	4.32	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robinson Ortiz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	22.4%	14.0%	2.7%	—	4.87	22.4%	8.9%	200	+0.04	—	—	—
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	84
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	84
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	82
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	81
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	81
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	81
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	80
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	80
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	80
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	80
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	79
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	79
Chazz Martinez L 2023 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	22.2%	12.7%	1.7%	.361	3.43	20.5%	7.7%	135	-0.33	3.09	199	78
Brendan Nail L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	22.6%	12.5%	2.7%	.311	4.39	18.9%	8.4%	53	+0.12	3.45	165	78
Andy Fisher L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.5%	15.4%	1.8%	.333	4.25	17.2%	6.3%	52	+0.05	3.13	167	78
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	78
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	77
Tom Windle L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	19.0%	11.8%	2.9%	.269	4.37	17.2%	1.8%	74	-0.19	3.68	330	77
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	77
Michael Johnson L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.7%	9.5%	3.1%	.272	5.19	13.4%	3.4%	67	+0.99	3.92	256	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	66	22.4%	13.6%	1.09	4.84
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84