Robinson Ortiz
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 26
LHP
6'0" / 180 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 47 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 128
ERA4.80
FIP4.80
K%22.8%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%8.8%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers 1 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 151 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 3.4 | 15.8% | 4.1% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 3.13 | 2.29 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers 1 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 151 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 3.4 | 23.2% | 3.3% | 19.9% | 0.0% | 3.13 | 1.63 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | 11 | 9 | 32 | 136 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 82% | 2.9 | 21.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 4.18 | 3.85 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | 11 | 9 | 32 | 136 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 82% | 2.9 | 30.9% | 8.8% | 22.1% | 1.5% | 4.18 | 2.42 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Great Lakes Loons | 19 | 18 | 86 | 365 | 74 | 40 | 10 | 95% | 4.5 | 15.0% | 12.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 5.36 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Great Lakes Loons | 19 | 18 | 86 | 365 | 74 | 40 | 10 | 95% | 4.5 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 4.59 | 4.28 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 4 | 2 | 12 | 54 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 50% | 2.9 | 17.1% | 27.7% | -10.6% | 0.0% | 0.77 | 5.16 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 4 | 2 | 12 | 54 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 50% | 2.9 | 22.2% | 24.1% | -1.9% | 0.0% | 0.77 | 4.39 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 6 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 6.4% | 12.8% | -6.4% | 0.0% | 0.82 | 4.18 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 6 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 6.4% | 12.8% | -6.4% | 0.0% | 0.82 | 4.19 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 1 | 59 | 254 | 72 | 32 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.9% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 2.73 | 4.02 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 1 | 59 | 254 | 72 | 32 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 28.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 1.6% | 2.73 | 3.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 30 | 0 | 34 | 154 | 43 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 1.4% | 4.19 | 3.71 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 45 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.80 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.80 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 81 | 352 | 88 | 50 | 7 | — | — | 25.0% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 4.54 | 4.34 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 19 | 79 | 18 | 11 | 2 | — | — | 22.8% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.80 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 66 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.77 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 64 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 61 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.77 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 48 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 49 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 154 | 0 | 162 | 684 | 155 | 93 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.47 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 115 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 129 | 41 | 272 | 1161 | 215 | 148 | 23 | 32% | 2.1 | 18.6% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 3.57 | 4.21 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 30 | 200 | 853 | 158 | 109 | 17 | 32% | 2.1 | 18.6% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 3.57 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robinson Ortiz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.80 | 22.8% | 14.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.85 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 200 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 86 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 82 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 81 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 81 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 80 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 80 |
| Andy Oliver L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 79 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 79 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 79 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 79 |
| Will Lamb L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 79 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 79 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 79 |
| Erik Rivera L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 78 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 78 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 77 |
| Andy Fisher L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.21 | 21.5% | 15.4% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.23 | 17.2% | 6.3% | 52 | +0.02 | 3.14 | 167 | 77 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 77 |
| Russell Smith L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.89 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 175 | 77 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 152 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 62 | 22.7% | 13.6% | 1.10 | 4.81 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |