Andrew Magno — OGILVIE

Andrew Magno P Norfolk Tides

Age 28 LHP 5'11" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%21.9%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	35	160	47	34	0	0%	1.3	20.6%	26.6%	-6.0%	0.0%	3.57	4.73	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	35	160	47	34	0	0%	1.3	29.4%	21.2%	8.1%	0.0%	3.57	3.33	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	52	0	54	231	66	32	2	0%	1.0	22.7%	17.0%	5.8%	0.7%	2.65	3.72	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	52	0	54	231	66	32	2	0%	1.0	28.6%	13.9%	14.7%	0.9%	2.65	2.92	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	63	269	82	36	2	0%	1.4	24.8%	14.1%	10.8%	0.9%	1.99	3.27	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	63	269	82	36	2	0%	1.4	24.8%	14.1%	10.8%	0.9%	1.99	3.27	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	63	269	82	36	2	0%	1.4	30.5%	13.4%	17.1%	0.7%	1.99	2.63	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	66	300	77	34	7	0%	1.5	21.2%	10.4%	10.8%	3.1%	5.56	4.35	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	66	300	77	34	7	0%	1.5	21.2%	10.4%	10.8%	3.1%	5.56	4.35	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	66	300	77	34	7	0%	1.5	25.7%	11.3%	14.3%	2.3%	5.56	3.69	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	42	1	66	274	76	31	2	2%	1.6	22.5%	12.4%	10.0%	0.8%	2.31	3.23	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	42	1	66	274	76	31	2	2%	1.6	22.5%	12.4%	10.0%	0.8%	2.31	3.23	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	42	1	66	274	76	31	2	2%	1.6	27.7%	11.3%	16.4%	0.7%	2.31	2.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	45	2	51	222	50	29	3	4%	1.1	18.7%	11.8%	6.9%	1.5%	1.76	3.83	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	45	2	51	222	50	29	3	4%	1.1	18.7%	11.8%	6.9%	1.5%	1.76	3.83	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	BAL	45	2	51	222	50	29	3	4%	1.1	22.5%	13.1%	9.5%	1.4%	1.76	3.59	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	BAL	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.2%	9.7%	2.5%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	57	247	55	32	4	—	—	22.5%	13.0%	9.5%	1.5%	2.05	3.90	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BAL	63	0	66	280	61	34	7	0%	1.1	21.8%	12.2%	9.7%	2.7%	4.58	4.63	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	BAL	59	0	62	263	57	32	8	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.2%	9.4%	2.9%	4.70	4.79	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	BAL	23	0	24	101	22	12	3	0%	1.0	21.8%	12.2%	9.7%	2.7%	4.58	4.63	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	BAL	32	0	34	144	31	18	4	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.2%	9.4%	2.9%	4.70	4.79	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	250	54	30	7	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.2%	9.5%	2.8%	4.65	4.34	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	101	24	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.2%	9.5%	2.8%	4.65	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		255	3	337	1456	319	211	19	1%	1.3	21.9%	14.5%	7.4%	1.3%	2.99	3.80	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	2	200	865	189	125	11	1%	1.3	21.9%	14.5%	7.4%	1.3%	2.99	3.80	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Magno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	21.9%	12.2%	2.5%	—	4.71	21.7%	9.5%	128	+0.19	—	—	—
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	89
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	88
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	85
Kevin Chapman L 2016 · 3.35 FIP	28	SU	3.35	23.2%	9.5%	1.8%	.348	4.08	19.2%	8.0%	39	+0.73	3.01	153	83
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	83
Jake Diekman L 2015 · 3.38 FIP	28	SU	3.38	26.5%	11.9%	1.8%	.310	3.25	27.0%	15.3%	106	-0.13	2.36	455	82
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	81
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	81
Dario Alvarez L 2017 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	24.7%	12.4%	2.0%	.336	3.47	20.7%	8.3%	27	-0.21	3.47	160	80
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	80
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	80
Adam Loewen L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	31	SU	3.84	25.1%	15.9%	1.6%	.287	3.63	23.2%	7.3%	98	-0.21	2.96	176	80
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	78
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	78
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	78
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	1.32	182	77
Dan Runzler L 2015 · 3.78 FIP	30	SU	3.78	19.0%	13.1%	1.2%	.383	4.07	16.5%	4.0%	63	+0.29	3.78	127	77
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	77
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	77
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	21.8%	12.2%	1.03	4.60
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99