Wilkin Paredes
P
Visalia Rawhide
Age 22
LHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
A
peak 1.1 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 81 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130139vR 148
ERA5.77
FIP5.77
K%10.0%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%-1.8%
ROS IP81
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 132 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 12 | 10 | 46 | 206 | 49 | 15 | 3 | 83% | 3.8 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 5.09 | 4.23 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 12 | 10 | 46 | 206 | 49 | 15 | 3 | 83% | 3.8 | 23.8% | 7.3% | 16.5% | 1.5% | 5.09 | 2.80 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 16 | 90 | 391 | 77 | 18 | 13 | 89% | 5.0 | 14.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 5.10 | 4.74 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 16 | 90 | 391 | 77 | 18 | 13 | 89% | 5.0 | 19.7% | 4.6% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 5.10 | 3.87 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 116 | 501 | 64 | 42 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 9.6% | 9.8% | -0.2% | 2.6% | 3.73 | 4.94 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 116 | 501 | 64 | 42 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.73 | 4.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 15 | 7 | 51 | 228 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 47% | 3.4 | 13.3% | 11.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.51 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | 77 | 0 | 81 | 342 | 34 | 40 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.0% | 11.8% | -1.8% | 3.0% | 5.77 | 5.77 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.0% | 11.8% | -1.8% | 3.0% | 5.77 | 5.77 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 132 | 570 | 75 | 62 | 15 | — | — | 13.2% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.67 | 5.47 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 15 | 15 | 84 | 355 | 47 | 39 | 10 | 100% | 5.6 | 13.2% | 11.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.48 | 5.39 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 15 | 15 | 86 | 364 | 55 | 39 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.1% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.25 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 15 | 15 | 87 | 368 | 60 | 38 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 5.01 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 15 | 15 | 87 | 368 | 62 | 38 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 4.94 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 14 | 14 | 86 | 363 | 61 | 37 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 4.99 | 4.98 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 7 | 7 | 41 | 173 | 23 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.2% | 11.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.48 | 5.39 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 11 | 60 | 253 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 15.1% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.25 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 12 | 12 | 71 | 300 | 49 | 31 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 13 | 13 | 76 | 321 | 54 | 33 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 4.94 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 13 | 13 | 78 | 329 | 56 | 34 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 4.99 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 56 | 56 | 326 | 1376 | 220 | 144 | 40 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.68 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 135 | 88 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 67 | 55 | 302 | 1326 | 167 | 116 | 40 | 82% | 4.5 | 12.6% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.78 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 36 | 200 | 877 | 111 | 77 | 26 | 82% | 4.5 | 12.6% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.78 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wilkin Paredes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.77 | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.0% | — | 5.18 | 14.9% | 4.2% | 257 | -0.59 | — | — | — |
| Jake Zokan L 2028 · 5.12 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.12 | 12.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.80 | 24.2% | 22.5% | 37 | -3.32 | 1.80 | 120 | 83 |
| Amilcar Gaxiola L 2028 · 4.57 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.57 | 6.3% | 8.4% | 1.7% | .323 | 5.16 | 11.3% | 1.8% | 148 | +0.59 | 4.37 | 321 | 82 |
| Hayden Frank L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.47 | 12.4% | 11.5% | 3.6% | .377 | 5.29 | 17.2% | 3.0% | 53 | -0.18 | 5.29 | 109 | 81 |
| Cole Kirschsieper L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.23 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.23 | 105 | 80 |
| Brooks Gosswein L 2027 · 5.01 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.01 | 14.7% | 14.8% | 2.3% | .328 | 5.58 | 15.2% | -2.7% | 66 | +0.57 | 5.01 | 165 | 78 |
| Drew Dowd L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.67 | 16.1% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .280 | 3.21 | 24.9% | 16.0% | 55 | -1.46 | 3.21 | 166 | 77 |
| Luis González L 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.70 | 12.4% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .386 | 3.21 | 24.1% | 14.7% | 164 | -1.49 | 3.05 | 416 | 77 |
| Dominic Perachi L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.25 | 17.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .324 | 3.93 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 182 | -1.32 | 3.47 | 273 | 77 |
| Scott DeCecco L 2028 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.58 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 125 | 76 |
| Eddie Campbell L 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.08 | 13.5% | 10.7% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.37 | 13.7% | -3.8% | 140 | +1.29 | 5.08 | 250 | 76 |
| Alberto Pacheco L 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.68 | 13.1% | 12.5% | 3.8% | .326 | 8.24 | 18.7% | -1.0% | 16 | +2.56 | 3.11 | 414 | 76 |
| Rob Zastryzny L 2027 · 5.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.24 | 13.8% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .345 | 4.39 | 18.5% | 9.1% | 268 | -0.85 | 3.26 | 634 | 76 |
| Brock Selvidge L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.60 | 15.3% | 12.9% | 2.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 330 | 75 |
| Justin Sinibaldi L 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.79 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% | .286 | 6.01 | 14.0% | 3.4% | 72 | +1.22 | 4.79 | 163 | 75 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.39 | 11.9% | 15.1% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.29 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 97 | -1.10 | 4.11 | 158 | 74 |
| Jeffry Antigua L 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.65 | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 133 | 74 |
| Demetrio Gutierrez L 2029 · 5.80 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.80 | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | .327 | 4.56 | 10.7% | 3.9% | 181 | -1.24 | 3.63 | 322 | 74 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2028 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 74 |
| Joely Rodríguez L 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 10.7% | 10.1% | 2.4% | .340 | 3.70 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 172 | -1.09 | 1.56 | 449 | 73 |
| Evan Grills L 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.51 | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .335 | 3.80 | 16.1% | 11.6% | 221 | -1.71 | 3.24 | 309 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 85 | 14.8% | 10.7% | 1.14 | 5.25 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Dakota Hudson ('24) | 6 | 92 | 15.0% | 11.1% | 0.91 | 4.25 |
| Chi Chi González ('22) | 4 | 64 | 13.3% | 9.0% | 1.41 | 5.44 |
| Aaron Sanchez ('22) | 7 | 93 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 4.32 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |