Cole Kirschsieper
P
Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 25
LHP
5'11" / 170 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.9 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%22.7%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP73
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25% | 1.8 | 28.6% | 5.7% | 22.9% | 2.9% | 5.14 | 2.98 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25% | 1.8 | 28.6% | 5.7% | 22.9% | 2.9% | 5.14 | 2.96 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 24 | 15 | 105 | 444 | 91 | 45 | 10 | 62% | 4.4 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.39 | 5.23 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 24 | 15 | 105 | 444 | 91 | 45 | 10 | 62% | 4.4 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 4.39 | 3.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 73 | 309 | 70 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 73 | 309 | 71 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.39 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 72 | 305 | 70 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 7.2 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.42 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 70 | 296 | 68 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 67 | 282 | 64 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 9 | 9 | 63 | 265 | 59 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 4.71 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 8 | 59 | 247 | 54 | 26 | 9 | 100% | 7.3 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 3.7% | 4.89 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 4 | 4 | 31 | 131 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 7.8 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 6 | 45 | 190 | 44 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 7.5 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 8 | 53 | 224 | 51 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 6.6 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 8 | 54 | 228 | 52 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.8 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 8 | 54 | 228 | 51 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 6.8 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 4.66 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 7 | 7 | 52 | 220 | 48 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 7.4 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 4.83 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 41 | 289 | 1221 | 275 | 120 | 40 | 100% | 7.1 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.22 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 29 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 83 | 28 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 28 | 16 | 112 | 479 | 77 | 55 | 16 | 57% | 4.0 | 16.1% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.43 | 5.07 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 29 | 200 | 858 | 139 | 99 | 29 | 57% | 4.0 | 16.1% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.43 | 5.07 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Kirschsieper (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.44 | 22.9% | 13.4% | 216 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Magdic L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 82 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 80 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 79 |
| Avery Weems L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.13 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | .323 | 5.19 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 38 | +0.06 | 2.46 | 227 | 77 |
| Brant Hurter L 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | .298 | 3.14 | 22.6% | 13.2% | 88 | -1.18 | 2.84 | 430 | 76 |
| Nico Tellache L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 75 |
| Edgar Barclay L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.79 | 24.5% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .307 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 4.9% | 157 | +0.81 | 2.06 | 402 | 75 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 74 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 74 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 74 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.22 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.47 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 271 | +1.25 | 3.71 | 484 | 74 |
| Dalton Sawyer L 2024 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.83 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 160 | 74 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.67 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 1.6% | .355 | 5.01 | 14.7% | 3.6% | 93 | +1.34 | 3.10 | 381 | 73 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 73 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 73 |
| Brent Headrick L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 23.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.08 | 27.3% | 19.5% | 111 | -1.47 | 2.40 | 382 | 73 |
| Eric Wooten L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 72 |
| Ken Waldichuk L 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.90 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .303 | 5.70 | 22.3% | 4.9% | 51 | +0.80 | 3.42 | 432 | 72 |
| Connor Oliver L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 72 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .357 | 4.17 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 143 | +0.67 | 3.21 | 439 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 68 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 1.25 | 4.54 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |