Edgar Barclay
P
Somerset Patriots
Age 28
LHP
5'10" / 234 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118127vR 137
ERA5.22
FIP5.22
K%19.5%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 2.2 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.46 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 2.2 | 26.1% | 7.2% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 1.79 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 6 | 77 | 316 | 112 | 25 | 7 | 21% | 2.7 | 26.6% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 2.8% | 3.49 | 3.56 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 6 | 77 | 316 | 112 | 25 | 7 | 21% | 2.7 | 35.4% | 7.9% | 27.5% | 2.2% | 3.49 | 2.35 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 28 | 4 | 67 | 257 | 86 | 20 | 0 | 14% | 2.4 | 25.8% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 2.06 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 28 | 4 | 67 | 257 | 86 | 20 | 0 | 14% | 2.4 | 33.5% | 7.8% | 25.7% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 1.44 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 10 | 78 | 345 | 100 | 44 | 12 | 48% | 3.7 | 24.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 3.91 | 4.79 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 10 | 78 | 345 | 100 | 44 | 12 | 48% | 3.7 | 29.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 3.5% | 3.91 | 4.22 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 29 | 29 | 143 | 648 | 118 | 70 | 30 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.0% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.98 | 5.75 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 29 | 29 | 143 | 648 | 118 | 70 | 30 | 100% | 4.9 | 18.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.98 | 5.65 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 17 | 72 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 80% | 3.5 | 21.2% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 3.12 | 4.15 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 17 | 72 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 80% | 3.5 | 22.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 3.12 | 3.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.22 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 32 | 0 | 33 | 141 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 5.21 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 5.21 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 5.21 | 4.88 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 172 | 96 | 38 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 5.21 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 124 | 53 | 409 | 1749 | 374 | 191 | 53 | 43% | 3.3 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.05 | 4.35 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 26 | 200 | 855 | 183 | 93 | 26 | 43% | 3.3 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.05 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edgar Barclay (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.22 | 19.5% | 11.1% | 3.6% | — | 5.26 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 33 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Garrett Gainey L 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 76 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 73 |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 72 |
| Brian Holmes L 2024 · 6.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.01 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 205 | 71 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .321 | 7.40 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +2.96 | 4.08 | 165 | 71 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 71 |
| Chris Reed L 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 70 |
| Tommy Vail L 2024 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 70 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 69 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.56 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 491 | 68 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2025 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 67 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 67 |
| Manny Banuelos L 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.84 | 18.7% | 12.8% | 4.9% | .322 | 2.92 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 72 | -2.92 | 2.92 | 486 | 66 |
| Mitch Stallings L 2024 · 5.92 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.92 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 5.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.18 | 108 | 65 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 65 |
| Steven Moyers L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.94 | 14.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | .371 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 464 | 64 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 64 |
| Rio Gomez L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.34 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.54 | 246 | 63 |
| Jordan Carr L 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.24 | 13.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .295 | 7.18 | 11.4% | -3.7% | 38 | +2.94 | 3.39 | 261 | 63 |
| Colten Schmidt L 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.14 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 163 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 34 | 19.5% | 11.1% | 1.41 | 5.22 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |