Edgar Barclay — OGILVIE

Edgar Barclay P Somerset Patriots

Age 28 LHP 5'10" / 234 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 136

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%17.1%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%6.6%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	26	111	29	8	0	0%	2.2	17.9%	6.9%	11.1%	0.0%	2.08	2.46	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	26	111	29	8	0	0%	2.2	26.1%	7.2%	18.9%	0.0%	2.08	1.79	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	6	77	316	112	25	7	21%	2.7	26.6%	9.3%	17.3%	2.8%	3.49	3.56	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	6	77	316	112	25	7	21%	2.7	35.4%	7.9%	27.5%	2.2%	3.49	2.35	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	28	4	67	257	86	20	0	14%	2.4	25.8%	8.9%	16.8%	0.0%	1.74	2.06	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	28	4	67	257	86	20	0	14%	2.4	33.5%	7.8%	25.7%	0.0%	1.74	1.44	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	10	78	345	100	44	12	48%	3.7	23.8%	12.1%	11.6%	3.8%	3.91	4.71	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	10	78	345	100	44	12	48%	3.7	23.8%	12.1%	11.6%	3.8%	3.91	4.71	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	10	78	345	100	44	12	48%	3.7	29.0%	12.8%	16.2%	3.5%	3.91	4.22	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	29	29	143	648	118	70	30	100%	4.9	15.1%	9.7%	5.4%	4.9%	5.98	5.73	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	29	29	143	648	118	70	30	100%	4.9	15.1%	9.7%	5.4%	4.9%	5.98	5.73	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	29	29	143	648	118	70	30	100%	4.9	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	4.6%	5.98	5.65	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	4	17	72	16	9	1	80%	3.5	21.2%	14.4%	6.8%	1.9%	3.12	4.18	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	4	17	72	16	9	1	80%	3.5	21.2%	14.4%	6.8%	1.9%	3.12	4.18	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	4	17	72	16	9	1	80%	3.5	22.2%	12.5%	9.7%	1.4%	3.12	3.56	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	NYY	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	17.1%	10.5%	6.6%	3.7%	5.39	5.39	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYY	32	0	33	141	25	15	5	0%	1.0	17.5%	10.6%	6.9%	3.8%	5.36	5.41	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYY	10	0	10	42	7	4	2	0%	1.0	17.5%	10.6%	6.9%	3.8%	5.36	5.41	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	44	8	5	2	0%	1.0	17.5%	10.6%	6.9%	3.8%	5.36	5.03	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	96	38	0%	1.1	17.5%	10.6%	6.9%	3.8%	5.36	5.03	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		124	53	409	1749	365	175	55	43%	3.3	20.9%	10.0%	10.9%	3.1%	4.05	4.32	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	26	200	855	179	86	27	43%	3.3	20.9%	10.0%	10.9%	3.1%	4.05	4.32	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgar Barclay (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	17.1%	10.5%	3.7%	—	5.41	17.5%	6.9%	33	+0.02	—	—	—
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	76
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	74
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	72
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	71
Austin Warner L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	491	69
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	67
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	67
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	67
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	67
Steven Moyers L 2022 · 5.24 FIP	28	SW	5.24	14.7%	8.1%	4.3%	.371	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	464	66
Matt Tracy L 2017 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP-	4.82	16.1%	9.4%	3.5%	.325	3.24	13.9%	3.5%	49	-1.58	3.24	298	66
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	66
Manny Banuelos L 2019 · 5.89 FIP	28	SP-	5.89	18.7%	12.8%	5.0%	.322	2.95	22.9%	12.0%	72	-2.94	2.95	486	66
Colten Schmidt L 2023 · 5.23 FIP	27	SW	5.23	14.4%	8.0%	4.2%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	163	64
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	64
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2017 · 5.46 FIP	27	SW	5.46	11.4%	9.6%	3.8%	.381	3.68	17.1%	11.8%	49	-1.78	3.68	322	64
Nick Allgeyer L 2023 · 5.70 FIP	27	SW	5.70	18.2%	12.1%	4.8%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	390	64
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	63
Matt Stalcup L 2016 · 6.20 FIP	26	SW	6.20	11.5%	12.7%	4.5%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	145	63
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	17.3%	10.6%	1.44	5.38
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74