Patrick Wicklander P Montgomery Biscuits
Age 26 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107116vR 125
ERA4.69
FIP4.69
K%20.8%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%10.5%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP
K: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.06 (36 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202121ROKFCL Rays50114422300%2.350.0%6.8%43.2%0.0%0.00-0.26
202121ROKFCL Rays50114422300%2.350.0%6.8%43.2%0.0%0.000.01
202222MIX2 levels251598424120291660%3.921.5%7.9%13.6%4.7%4.784.88
202222MIX2 levels251598424120291660%3.928.3%6.8%21.5%3.8%4.783.66
202323MIX2 levels3018111481102381760%3.716.9%8.8%8.1%3.7%3.904.80
202323MIX2 levels3018111481102381760%3.721.2%7.9%13.3%3.5%3.904.28
202424MIX2 levels25048219383350%1.915.1%15.0%0.1%2.6%5.405.17
202424MIX2 levels25048219383350%1.917.4%15.1%2.3%2.3%5.404.92
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBTB35036154321650%1.020.8%10.3%10.5%3.0%4.694.69-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBTB34036152321650%1.121.0%10.3%10.8%3.1%4.674.69-0.1
202727MLBTB130145912620%1.121.0%10.3%10.8%3.1%4.674.69-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career130145712620%1.021.0%10.3%10.8%3.1%4.674.31+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084417789300%1.121.0%10.3%10.8%3.1%4.674.31+2.6
Career853326811682271124339%3.219.5%9.6%9.9%3.7%4.334.71+2.2
/ 200 IP6325200871170833239%3.219.5%9.6%9.9%3.7%4.334.71+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Patrick Wicklander (OGILVIE) 4.69 20.8%10.3%3.0% 4.69 21.0%10.8%36 +0.00
Ben Holmes L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 26 SW 3.89 19.1%9.3%2.2%.264 5.63 19.7%8.6%61 +1.74 3.12 451 81
Irwin Delgado L 2026 · 4.49 FIP 26 SW 4.49 14.4%9.6%2.5%.349 3.45 16.2%7.6%237 -1.04 3.42 383 77
Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2027 · 4.83 FIP 27 SW 4.83 16.6%9.0%3.6%.308 3.98 22.0%15.2%59 -0.85 3.98 122 75
Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 5.52 FIP 26 SP- 5.52 17.8%8.2%5.2%.321 3.65 116 74
Ethan Flanagan L 2024 · 4.23 FIP 24 SW 4.23 21.3%6.5%3.9%.331 3.43 102 73
Nico Tellache L 2027 · 3.89 FIP 27 SP- 3.89 16.3%7.3%2.3%.373 4.65 13.4%4.8%78 +0.76 3.89 160 73
Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.01 FIP 26 SW 4.01 14.4%9.8%1.6%.306 4.04 14.7%5.5%208 +0.03 3.24 298 72
Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.01 FIP 26 SW 4.01 19.5%8.3%2.8%.304 4.01 258 72
Stu Flesland III L 2025 · 4.31 FIP 25 SW 4.31 18.7%10.5%2.7%.288 3.44 211 72
Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.84 FIP 26 SW 4.84 16.4%9.8%3.4%.238 4.84 137 71
Adam Scott L 2026 · 5.27 FIP 26 SW 5.27 21.1%13.5%4.1%.317 4.96 16.5%-3.6%46 -0.31 4.53 315 71
Joe Adametz L 2026 · 4.13 FIP 26 SW 4.13 16.6%10.6%2.0%.331 3.68 236 70
Tommy Vail L 2026 · 5.18 FIP 26 SW 5.18 19.7%16.4%3.0%.258 3.91 151 70
Hunter Barco L 2025 · 4.31 FIP 25 SW 4.31 20.3%11.7%2.6%.322 3.51 212 70
Austin Hamilton L 2025 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 17.3%7.9%2.6%.374 4.06 135 69
Rito Lugo L 2026 · 3.97 FIP 26 SW 3.97 18.3%7.3%2.7%.341 2.30 176 69
Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 5.01 FIP 26 SW 5.01 14.7%11.1%3.2%.338 3.10 381 69
Tyler Alexander L 2027 · 5.27 FIP 27 SP- 5.27 21.7%9.8%5.0%.289 5.37 15.7%5.0%26 +0.10 5.27 128 68
Jake Drehoff L 2025 · 5.16 FIP 25 SW 5.16 16.8%9.0%4.3%.418 3.98 153 68
Josh Trentadue L 2024 · 4.99 FIP 24 SW 4.99 21.5%12.3%3.9%.339 3.10 196 68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23620.9%10.3%1.184.68
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77