Patrick Wicklander
P
Montgomery Biscuits
+0.2
WAR
Age 26
LHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.8%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%10.5%
IP52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 5 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 22 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 25 | 15 | 98 | 424 | 120 | 29 | 16 | 21.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.78 | 4.89 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 30 | 18 | 111 | 481 | 102 | 38 | 17 | 16.9% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 3.90 | 4.99 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 25 | 0 | 48 | 219 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 15.1% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 5.40 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | TB | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 46 | 23 | 7 | 20.8% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.70 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TB | 52 | — | 52 | 219 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TB | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | TB | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | TB | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 43 | 21 | 6 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | TB | 47 | — | 47 | 197 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | TB | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 39 | 20 | 6 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.86 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | TB | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 20.2% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.95 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | TB | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | TB | 38 | — | 38 | 162 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 19.5% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 5.16 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | TB | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 19.1% | 11.4% | 3.7% | 5.29 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 85 | 33 | 268 | 1168 | 227 | 112 | 45 | 19.5% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 4.33 | 4.78 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 25 | 200 | 871 | 169 | 83 | 34 | 19.5% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 4.33 | 4.78 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Patrick Wicklander (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 20.8% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.68 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 153 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 93 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 89 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.26 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .272 | 5.26 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.00 | 3.88 | 256 | 89 |
| James Paxton L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.31 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .288 | 2.87 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.44 | 2.40 | 924 | 88 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 87 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.64 | 2.79 | 159 | 86 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.82 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.38 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.56 | 3.82 | 277 | 85 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.01 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 101 | 85 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.15 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .331 | 4.53 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.38 | 4.15 | 151 | 85 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.54 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.35 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.19 | 3.66 | 330 | 84 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.57 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.52 | 3.09 | 451 | 84 |
| Andrew Magno L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 3.23 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 66 | -1.27 | 3.23 | 275 | 84 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 172 | 84 |
| Carson Skipper L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.79 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 176 | 84 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 84 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .257 | 4.72 | 17.1% | 6.7% | 127 | +0.81 | 2.70 | 655 | 84 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2029 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 83 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.98 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .367 | 5.21 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.23 | 3.98 | 118 | 83 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.42 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 160 | 83 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.09 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.3% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 83 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.