Luis González — OGILVIE

Luis González P Norfolk Tides

Age 34 LHP 6'2" / 170 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9199vR 107

ERA3.90

FIP3.90

K%23.8%

BB%5.7%

K-BB%18.1%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	26	24	118	566	91	58	13	92%	4.5	12.4%	11.8%	0.6%	2.4%	6.88	4.88	—
2015	23	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	26	24	118	566	91	58	13	92%	4.5	16.1%	10.2%	5.8%	2.3%	6.88	4.47	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	13	0	32	119	43	8	4	0%	2.4	27.8%	7.7%	20.1%	3.5%	3.13	3.63	—
2016	24	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	13	0	32	119	43	8	4	0%	2.4	36.1%	6.7%	29.4%	3.4%	3.13	2.78	—
2017	25	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	36	0	62	250	75	23	3	0%	1.7	23.1%	10.6%	12.5%	1.2%	2.47	3.15	—
2017	25	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	36	0	62	250	75	23	3	0%	1.7	30.0%	9.2%	20.8%	1.2%	2.47	2.42	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	71	302	85	26	5	0%	1.7	23.4%	9.3%	14.2%	1.9%	3.18	3.33	—
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	71	302	85	26	5	0%	1.7	28.1%	8.6%	19.5%	1.7%	3.18	2.72	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	1	48	224	66	16	10	3%	1.3	25.1%	7.6%	17.5%	5.5%	6.89	4.97	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	1	48	224	66	16	10	3%	1.3	29.5%	7.1%	22.3%	4.5%	6.89	4.05	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	20	0	26	123	33	10	6	0%	1.3	23.6%	8.5%	15.1%	5.4%	7.36	5.15	—
2021	29	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	20	0	26	123	33	10	6	0%	1.3	26.8%	8.1%	18.7%	4.9%	7.36	4.74	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	44	0	60	246	71	12	8	0%	1.4	24.0%	4.4%	19.6%	3.6%	4.50	3.60	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	44	0	60	246	71	12	8	0%	1.4	24.0%	4.4%	19.6%	3.6%	4.50	3.60	—
2024	32	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	44	0	60	246	71	12	8	0%	1.4	28.9%	4.9%	24.0%	3.3%	4.50	3.07	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	4	0	5	23	4	4	2	0%	1.2	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	8.7%	5.79	8.61	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	4	0	5	23	4	4	2	0%	1.2	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	8.7%	5.79	8.61	—
2025	33	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	4	0	5	23	4	4	2	0%	1.2	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	8.7%	5.79	9.53	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	34	MLB	BAL	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	23.8%	5.7%	18.1%	3.1%	3.90	3.90	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	BAL	32	0	33	141	33	9	5	0%	1.0	23.2%	6.6%	16.5%	3.4%	4.13	4.25	+0.1
2027	35	MLB CTX	BAL	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	23.2%	6.6%	16.5%	3.4%	4.13	4.25	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	0.9	23.2%	6.6%	16.5%	3.4%	4.13	3.87	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	218	109	0	0%	1.1	23.2%	6.6%	16.5%	3.4%	4.13	3.87	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		223	25	421	1853	380	173	56	11%	1.9	20.5%	9.3%	11.2%	3.0%	5.01	4.22	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	12	200	881	181	82	27	11%	1.9	20.5%	9.3%	11.2%	3.0%	5.01	4.22	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis González (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.90	23.8%	5.7%	3.1%	—	4.25	23.2%	16.5%	33	+0.35	—	—	—
Neal Cotts L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	35	SU	4.66	21.6%	7.4%	4.4%	.257	3.77	21.9%	14.5%	93	-0.89	3.21	156	71
Brian Duensing L 2017 · 3.26 FIP	34	SU	3.26	23.7%	6.6%	2.4%	.301	5.80	11.7%	-0.7%	51	+2.54	2.57	198	71
Tony Sipp L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	34	SU	4.92	23.6%	8.5%	5.0%	.269	2.59	24.9%	15.9%	60	-2.33	2.22	195	68
Sean Doolittle L 2021 · 4.00 FIP	34	SU	4.00	23.8%	9.0%	3.2%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	1.39	259	67
Colt Hynes L 2017 · 3.75 FIP	32	SW	3.75	14.1%	4.6%	2.3%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	152	67
Craig Breslow L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	34	SU	4.94	16.4%	6.4%	4.4%	.279	4.42	16.2%	6.5%	94	-0.52	4.22	159	67
Caleb Thielbar L 2021 · 3.20 FIP	34	SU	3.20	28.9%	7.1%	3.0%	.290	3.31	29.3%	21.7%	137	+0.11	2.22	505	67
Mike Dunn L 2019 · 5.02 FIP	34	SU	5.02	20.0%	8.0%	4.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	181	67
Ross Detwiler L 2020 · 3.49 FIP	34	SU	3.49	18.5%	4.9%	2.4%	.283	4.16	25.7%	18.0%	79	+0.67	3.49	512	66
Alejandro Soto L 2019 · 4.03 FIP	33	SW	4.03	17.1%	6.9%	2.7%	.376	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	280	66
Oliver Pérez L 2016 · 3.36 FIP	34	SU	3.36	25.3%	9.3%	2.2%	.296	2.54	29.1%	23.7%	120	-0.82	1.58	219	65
Tony Watson L 2019 · 4.52 FIP	34	SU	4.52	17.7%	4.8%	4.2%	.276	3.67	19.8%	13.1%	75	-0.85	2.21	405	63
Dana Eveland L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	33	SW	4.67	14.7%	4.7%	4.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.42	129	59
Jerry Blevins L 2018 · 4.43 FIP	34	SU	4.43	21.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.250	4.09	26.2%	16.3%	32	-0.34	2.71	166	59
Manny Parra L 2018 · 3.33 FIP	35	SU	3.33	18.4%	10.3%	0.9%	.351	2.43	17.3%	11.0%	27	-0.90	2.43	114	58
Vidal Nuño L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	34	SW	4.88	16.0%	4.9%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	424	58
Rich Hill L 2015 · 3.27 FIP	35	SW	3.27	26.8%	10.9%	1.9%	.239	3.07	29.0%	21.2%	379	-0.20	2.05	1,030	58
Cesár Ramos L 2017 · 4.23 FIP	33	SW	4.23	16.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	225	57
Heriberto Ruelas L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	34	SU	3.75	15.0%	8.9%	1.4%	.310	3.42	17.2%	10.5%	49	-0.33	2.95	117	56
Jo-Jo Reyes L 2017 · 3.92 FIP	32	SU	3.92	13.5%	2.5%	3.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	240	56

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	35	23.5%	6.2%	1.27	4.01
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Erik Swanson ('24)	1.3	51	26.2%	6.5%	1.57	3.70
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47