Luis González
P
Norfolk Tides
+0.5
WAR
Age 34
LHP
6'2" / 170 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.12
FIP4.12
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.1%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%16.5%
IP53
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 26 | 24 | 118 | 566 | 91 | 58 | 13 | 12.4% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 6.88 | 4.91 | +0.5 |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 13 | 0 | 32 | 119 | 43 | 8 | 4 | 27.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 3.13 | 3.61 | +0.5 |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 36 | 0 | 62 | 250 | 75 | 23 | 3 | 23.1% | 10.6% | 1.3% | 2.47 | 3.19 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 42 | 0 | 71 | 302 | 85 | 26 | 5 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 3.18 | 3.33 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 38 | 1 | 48 | 224 | 66 | 16 | 10 | 25.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.89 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 20 | 0 | 26 | 123 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.36 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 44 | 0 | 60 | 246 | 71 | 12 | 8 | 25.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 3.58 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 5.79 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 53 | — | 53 | 224 | 54 | 17 | 7 | 24.1% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 4.12 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 50 | 17 | 7 | 23.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 46 | 17 | 7 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.33 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | BAL | 43 | — | 43 | 183 | 42 | 16 | 6 | 22.8% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 4.46 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 38 | MLB | BAL | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 4.60 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 223 | 25 | 421 | 1853 | 383 | 175 | 57 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 4.23 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 106 | 12 | 200 | 881 | 182 | 83 | 27 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 4.23 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis González (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.12 | 24.1% | 7.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.39 | 23.2% | 14.9% | 140 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 80 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.17 | 23.7% | 6.6% | 2.2% | .301 | 5.84 | 11.7% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.67 | 2.63 | 198 | 78 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.84 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | .269 | 2.55 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.29 | 2.19 | 195 | 77 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.02 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 259 | 75 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.97 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 181 | 75 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.57 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | .276 | 3.54 | 19.8% | 13.1% | 75 | -1.03 | 2.22 | 405 | 73 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.55 | 29.1% | 23.7% | 120 | -0.77 | 1.56 | 219 | 72 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.30 | 28.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .290 | 3.36 | 29.3% | 21.7% | 137 | +0.06 | 2.22 | 459 | 70 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 70 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.03 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 280 | 70 |
| Boone Logan L 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.22 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 4.8% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 113 | 70 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.79 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 152 | 68 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.48 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 3.98 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.50 | 2.66 | 166 | 68 |
| Luke Westphal L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.42 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .302 | 5.50 | 16.1% | -3.1% | 26 | +1.08 | 2.97 | 294 | 68 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.68 | 20.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 549 | 68 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 68 |
| Phil Coke L 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.04 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 1.1% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 101 | 67 |
| Andrew Miller L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.91 | 29.7% | 11.0% | 5.3% | .264 | 3.43 | 25.6% | 16.5% | 49 | -1.48 | 1.15 | 336 | 67 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.89 | 16.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 424 | 67 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.