Luis González
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 34
LHP
6'2" / 170 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 95104vR 113
ERA4.12
FIP4.12
K%24.1%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%16.5%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 26 | 24 | 118 | 566 | 91 | 58 | 13 | 92% | 4.5 | 12.4% | 11.8% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 6.88 | 4.70 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 26 | 24 | 118 | 566 | 91 | 58 | 13 | 92% | 4.5 | 16.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 6.88 | 4.47 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 13 | 0 | 32 | 119 | 43 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 2.4 | 27.8% | 7.7% | 20.1% | 2.9% | 3.13 | 3.34 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 13 | 0 | 32 | 119 | 43 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 2.4 | 36.1% | 6.7% | 29.4% | 3.4% | 3.13 | 2.78 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 36 | 0 | 62 | 250 | 75 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 1.0% | 2.47 | 3.05 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 36 | 0 | 62 | 250 | 75 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 30.0% | 9.2% | 20.8% | 1.2% | 2.47 | 2.42 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 71 | 302 | 85 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 3.18 | 3.29 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 71 | 302 | 85 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 28.1% | 8.6% | 19.5% | 1.7% | 3.18 | 2.72 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 1 | 48 | 224 | 66 | 16 | 10 | 3% | 1.3 | 25.1% | 7.6% | 17.5% | 6.2% | 6.89 | 5.33 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 1 | 48 | 224 | 66 | 16 | 10 | 3% | 1.3 | 29.5% | 7.1% | 22.3% | 4.5% | 6.89 | 4.05 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 20 | 0 | 26 | 123 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 5.4% | 7.36 | 5.16 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 20 | 0 | 26 | 123 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 18.7% | 4.9% | 7.36 | 4.74 | — |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 44 | 0 | 60 | 246 | 71 | 12 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.4% | 5.1% | 20.3% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 3.58 | — |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 44 | 0 | 60 | 246 | 71 | 12 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.9% | 4.9% | 24.0% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 3.07 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 5.79 | 8.61 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 5.79 | 9.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 38 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 7.6% | 16.5% | 3.1% | 4.12 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 32 | 0 | 33 | 141 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 3.4% | 4.33 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 28 | 0 | 30 | 125 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 3.8% | 4.59 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 3.4% | 4.33 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 3.8% | 4.59 | 4.78 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 3.4% | 4.33 | 4.07 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 218 | 109 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 3.4% | 4.33 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 223 | 25 | 421 | 1853 | 383 | 175 | 55 | 11% | 1.9 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 4.17 | +6.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 106 | 12 | 200 | 881 | 182 | 83 | 26 | 11% | 1.9 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis González (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.12 | 24.1% | 7.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.61 | 23.1% | 14.5% | 63 | +0.49 | — | — | — |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.69 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .269 | 2.57 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.12 | 2.18 | 195 | 75 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 181 | 74 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 73 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.04 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.39 | 259 | 73 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.18 | 23.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | .301 | 5.68 | 11.7% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.50 | 2.59 | 198 | 71 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 69 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.36 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .296 | 2.53 | 29.1% | 23.7% | 120 | -0.83 | 1.56 | 219 | 69 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | .276 | 3.68 | 19.8% | 13.1% | 75 | -0.85 | 2.22 | 405 | 68 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 68 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.19 | 28.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .290 | 3.30 | 29.3% | 21.7% | 137 | +0.11 | 2.22 | 487 | 66 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 66 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.47 | 18.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | .283 | 4.33 | 25.7% | 18.0% | 79 | +0.86 | 3.47 | 512 | 66 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.07 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 65 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.43 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.09 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.34 | 2.72 | 166 | 65 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 549 | 65 |
| Brady Feigl L 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.55 | 22.7% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 212 | 64 |
| Andrew Miller L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.56 | 29.7% | 11.0% | 4.7% | .264 | 3.33 | 25.6% | 16.5% | 49 | -1.23 | 1.34 | 336 | 64 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.34 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.91 | 2.43 | 114 | 63 |
| Rich Hill L 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.25 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .239 | 3.22 | 29.0% | 21.2% | 379 | -0.03 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 62 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 33 | 23.5% | 8.3% | 1.33 | 4.33 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |