Maikol Rodriguez

OF DSL Mariners

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 168 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2229ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKSEA	91	.145/.344/.275	0	4	19	—	.081/.244/.149
2026	19	ROKSEA	162	.271/.469/.381	1	20	65	—	.171/.340/.240
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBSEA	272	.206/.300/.293	2	7	72	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSEA	46	.209/.302/.302	0	1	76	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSEA	110	.212/.305/.313	1	3	80	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%95

Speed94

BB%87

K%85

Z-Con%85

wOBA84

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRudy Martin Jr. (age 20) · Yoyner Fajardo (age 20) · Forrest Wall (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .298 / .291

PA84

HR1

K%27

BB%10

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE76

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	91	69	10	5	2	0	18	29	3	4	1	145	344	275	620	130	250	32	20	298	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	162	118	32	6	2	1	35	23	9	20	2	271	469	381	850	110	330	14	22	400	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	91	74	6	3	1	0	13	35	3	4	1	81	244	149	393	68	154	38	14	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	162	129	22	4	1	1	24	28	9	20	2	171	340	240	580	70	204	17	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	91	74	6	3	1	0	13	35	3	4	1	81	244	149	393	68	154	38	14	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	91	69	10	5	2	0	18	29	3	4	1	145	344	275	620	130	250	32	20	298	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	162	129	22	4	1	1	24	28	9	20	2	171	340	240	580	70	210	17	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	162	118	32	6	2	1	35	23	9	20	2	271	469	381	850	110	330	14	22	400	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	91	75	6	3	1	0	13	35	3	4	1	80	244	147	391	67	154	38	14	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	162	128	22	4	1	1	24	28	9	20	2	172	340	242	582	70	204	17	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	91	75	6	3	1	0	13	35	3	4	1	80	244	147	391	67	154	38	14	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	162	128	22	4	1	1	24	28	9	20	2	172	340	242	582	70	204	17	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	272	238	49	9	3	2	27	73	5	7	1	206	300	293	593	87	285	27	10	274	72	-9	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	135	119	25	5	1	1	13	36	2	4	1	211	304	306	610	96	286	27	10	281	76	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	228	200	43	8	2	3	22	59	4	6	1	214	307	317	624	103	288	26	10	286	80	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	323	282	61	11	3	4	32	83	6	9	2	218	309	326	635	109	289	26	10	290	82	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	391	343	76	14	4	6	38	100	7	11	2	220	310	334	644	114	290	26	10	293	85	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	431	379	84	16	4	7	42	109	7	12	2	222	311	340	651	118	290	25	10	296	86	-7	+2	+0	-3	+9	0.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	451	396	87	16	4	7	44	114	8	12	2	222	311	340	652	118	290	25	10	296	87	-7	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	459	403	88	16	4	7	45	117	8	12	2	221	310	338	648	117	289	25	10	295	86	-8	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	459	404	88	16	4	7	45	118	7	11	2	219	308	333	641	114	288	26	10	292	84	-9	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	450	396	86	16	4	7	44	117	7	10	2	216	305	326	632	110	287	26	10	288	81	-10	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	46	40	8	2	0	0	5	12	1	1	0	209	302	302	604	94	284	26	11	279	76	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	110	96	20	4	1	1	11	29	2	3	1	212	305	313	618	101	285	26	10	284	80	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	175	153	33	6	2	2	17	45	3	5	1	215	307	322	629	106	286	26	10	288	82	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	217	190	42	8	2	3	21	55	4	6	1	218	309	329	638	111	287	25	10	291	85	-4	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	241	212	47	9	2	4	23	61	4	6	1	220	309	335	644	115	287	25	10	293	86	-4	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	254	223	49	9	2	4	25	64	4	7	1	220	309	336	645	116	287	25	10	294	87	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	254	223	49	9	2	4	25	65	4	7	1	219	308	333	641	114	287	26	10	292	86	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	252	222	48	9	2	4	24	65	4	6	1	217	306	328	635	111	286	26	10	289	84	-5	+1	-0	-2	+5	-0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	240	211	44	8	2	3	23	62	4	6	1	214	303	322	625	108	284	26	10	286	81	-5	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1789	1570	340	64	15	25	174	458	30	47	8	217	307	324	631	108	288	26	10	290	81	-34	+6	-1	-11	+39	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	123	23	5	9	63	166	11	17	3	216	306	321	627	105	286	26	10	290	81	-12	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3664	3199	682	128	33	51	370	938	70	113	19	213	308	322	630	108	283	26	10	288	81	-67	+11	-2	-20	+74	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	121	23	6	9	66	166	12	20	3	213	309	322	631	109	283	26	10	288	81	-13	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Mariners · 162 PAwOBA .390 → .265 (−125)K% 14.2% → 17.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.20%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	17.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.99%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	14.62%
HBP% /PA	5.56%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	3.87%
Singles /BIP	24.21%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	15.56%
Doubles /BIP	6.32%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	3.58%
Triples /BIP	2.11%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	1.19%
Home runs /BIP	1.05%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.49%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .390 → .265; ISO .110 → .066; BABIP .330 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Mariners · 91 PAwOBA .292 → .196 (−96)K% 31.9% → 38.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.87%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	38.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.78%	÷0.996	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.01%
HBP% /PA	3.30%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.33%
Singles /BIP	7.50%	÷0.986	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	4.95%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.989	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	7.26%
Triples /BIP	5.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	3.19%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.936	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .292 → .196; ISO .130 → .081; BABIP .250 → .154. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,874	28	48	220	306	332	-11	+0	1.0	1.0
/162	664	10	17	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maikol Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	20	44→49	29→34	59→64	76	205/298/291	86	285	1	2	27%	10%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	50	39→45	60→65	52	228/315/331	103	312	4	16	26%	10%	86	+0.3	205/273/295	90	330	6	26	36%	7%	62	-1.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	46→56	37→40	57→60	51	211/279/293	82	248	2	14	16%	8%	63	-1.3	227/286/295	68	281	2	19	19%	6%	67	-1.1	260/318/350	90	329	5	34	21%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	48→55	42→45	58→70	46	229/285/342	114	291	8	18	24%	7%	77	-0.3	223/277/319	96	299	8	18	26%	6%	69	-0.9	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	46→44	39→40	55→50	52	216/312/311	95	298	6	15	27%	11%	81	-0.1	202/278/301	99	278	7	11	27%	9%	65	-1.2	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/299/321	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	77	-0.3	225/271/288	63	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/323/338	67	341	3	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	45→42	38→40	57→55	54	200/309/280	81	312	4	20	33%	13%	74	-0.6	189/275/277	88	311	6	17	37%	10%	59	-1.6	148/229/229	81	253	5	17	40%	10%	29	-1.0
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	45	35→30	53→70	48	209/290/266	57	271	3	24	22%	8%	63	-1.4	216/288/274	58	294	2	32	25%	6%	63	-1.3	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	55→60	54	207/312/275	67	298	3	21	28%	12%	74	-0.6	231/313/303	72	312	3	22	24%	10%	79	-0.2	242/324/311	68	323	3	29	23%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Jorge Barrosa 2021 · A	20	46→52	38→45	55	45	218/283/303	84	283	5	18	24%	6%	68	-1.0	233/297/347	114	294	9	19	23%	7%	83	+0.1	234/307/360	127	282	11	18	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2024 · A	20	41→51	36→45	51→50	51	192/268/258	66	238	4	13	20%	9%	52	-2.2	221/300/315	94	287	8	11	24%	8%	78	-0.3	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Hector Osorio 2024 · A	19	44	35→45	51→50	62	200/321/262	62	245	2	15	17%	13%	76	-0.4	216/319/308	92	262	8	12	19%	11%	84	+0.1	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	48→58	38→30	56→70	48	226/293/312	85	299	4	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	267/311/317	50	307	1	59	12%	6%	80	-0.2	302/334/348	46	335	0	63	9%	5%	94	+0.8
✕BJ Boyd 2014 · A	21	48→57	38→45	54→50	44	219/284/305	86	322	4	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	224/274/302	78	294	5	10	24%	6%	63	-1.3	259/306/366	107	315	10	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2

Maikol Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps