Jean Carlos SioIF Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION207 act + 138 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .285 / .336
PA138
HR3
K%27
BB%7
BABIP279
ISO120
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +9.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.20.60.80.91.00.8+$30M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT60
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$3M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2032Arb-1$2M+0.8$2M+$1M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $4M $13M +$10M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Giants Black — 179160 24511 15333 164 150236212448 62181 188 200 11 — — — — — —
202218 ROKDSL Giants Black — 179150 30711 25233 164 200326280606 80228 1314 287 78 — — — — — —
202319 ROKACL Giants Orange — 215192 39321 18432 82 203278255534 52252 208 245 46 — — — — — —
202319 ROKACL Giants Orange — 215179 49523 31322 82 274387374761 101313 1514 346 123 — — — — — —
202420 ASan Jose Giants — 308260 511014 339213 113 196317288605 92285 3011 272 66 — — — — — —
202420 ASan Jose Giants — 308250 601424 436313 113 240379360739 120304 2014 342 120 — — — — — —
202521 A2 teams — 507458 1111435 369411 187 242313319632 76294 197 280 73 — — — — — —
202521 A2 teams — 507438 1332238 566811 187 304396422818 119344 1311 370 141 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 AASF — 207193 395111 7645 11 202249409658 207235 313 274 68 -7 -0 +0 +0 +6 -0.2
YTD22 AASF — 207189 487113 11485 11 254312508820 254271 235 355 130 +7 -0 +0 +0 +6 1.3
ROS22 AASF 2% 138125 27413 9373 21 216285336621 120270 277 278 71 -5 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.1
ROS22 MLBSF 2% 33 0000 010 00 265 330 258 55 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL22 AASF — 210196 395111 7655 11 199245403648 204231 313 274 68 -8 -0 +0 +0 +6 -0.2
TOT22 AASF — 345318 669214 161018 32 208263381644 173254 295 276 69 -12 -0 +0 +0 +10 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBSF 35% 539488 10817314 3613810 83 221288355643 133274 267 287 78 -13 +0 +0 +0 +15 0.2
202824 MLBSF 47% 575519 11618316 4014411 94 224293362655 139276 257 294 83 -11 +0 +0 +0 +16 0.6
202925 MLBSF 52% 597538 12219317 4314711 94 227297368665 141277 257 298 86 -9 +0 +0 +0 +17 0.8
203026 MLBSF 54% 608548 12520318 4415011 104 228299374673 146278 257 300 88 -8 +0 +0 +0 +17 0.9
203127 MLBSF 54% 611550 12520318 4515111 104 227299373671 145277 257 300 88 -8 +0 +0 +0 +17 1.0
203228 MLBSF 54% 607546 12520318 4515111 104 229301375676 147277 257 299 87 -9 +0 -1 +0 +17 0.8
202723 MLBSF 35% 190171 38615 13494 31 222293357649 135269 267 268 64 -8 +0 +0 +0 +5 -0.2
202824 MLBSF 47% 268242 52817 19675 42 215286343629 128271 257 276 69 -9 +0 +0 +0 +8 -0.2
202925 MLBSF 52% 309278 631029 22766 52 227297374671 147272 257 280 72 -10 +0 +0 +0 +9 -0.1
203026 MLBSF 54% 330297 661029 24816 52 222294360654 138272 257 282 74 -10 +0 +0 +0 +9 -0.0
203127 MLBSF 54% 332298 661029 25826 62 221295359654 138272 258 282 74 -10 +0 +0 +0 +9 -0.0
203228 MLBSF 54% 330296 661029 25826 52 223297361658 139272 258 281 73 -10 +0 -0 +0 +9 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 17621585 351541048 12843833 2811 221293359652 138273 257 279 72 -57 +1 -0 +0 +50 -0.6
/ 162G— — 650585 13020418 4716212 104 222293362656 140274 257 279 72 -21 +0 -0 +0 +18 -0.2
Career— — 48844384 97315026115 364118097 11140 222296347643 125276 247 287 78 -122 +6 -1 +0 +138 2.3
/ 162G— — 650583 12920315 4815713 155 221295343638 122275 247 287 78 -16 +1 -0 +0 +18 0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Giants Black — 179150 30711 25233 164 200326280606 80228 1314 287 78 -5 +2 — — +5 0.2
202319 ROKACL Giants Orange — 215179 49523 31322 82 274387374761 101313 1514 346 123 +5 +1 — — +6 1.3
202420 ASan Jose Giants — 308250 601424 436313 113 240379360739 120304 2014 342 120 +7 +1 — — +9 1.7
202521 A+Eugene Emeralds — 122104 29603 10228 32 279385423808 144329 188 368 140 +5 -0 — — +3 0.9
202521 ASan Jose Giants — 385334 1041635 46463 155 311399422822 111349 1212 370 141 +18 +1 — — +11 3.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA
63,1508634246304402-0+239.79.7
/162664187-0.0+4.92.1pk7: 10
#3Trevor Plouffelast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA
73,17810312243306411+14-188.48.4
/162664223+2.8-3.81.8pk7: 8
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,7645028227294369+0+02.22.2
/1626641911+0.0+0.00.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jean Carlos Sio (OGILVIE) 22 60 30 50 45 208/263/381 173254 143 29% 5% 69 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Chandler Simpson
2023 · A 		22 49→59 38→30 56→70 49 228/296/314 87301 417 24% 8% 72 -0.2 265/309/316 51306 159 13% 6% 76 +0.0 299/334/3505133506510%5%92+0.9
✕Dan Robinson
2019 · A 		22 52 38→40 51→50 51 243/305/334 91287 410 16% 8% 80 +0.4 215/282/292 77281 47 23% 8% 59 -1.1 197/270/264672602523%9%44-1.3
✕Jose Constanza
2006 · A 		22 47→57 37→40 48→60 51 222/294/293 71286 59 23% 9% 66 -0.6 253/308/324 71326 324 21% 7% 78 +0.2 283/330/3415833113714%6%87+0.7
✕Brent Keys
2012 · A 		22 45→55 35→30 51→50 47 213/283/271 58282 314 24% 8% 55 -1.4 268/325/334 66306 312 12% 7% 89 +0.9 277/340/3325531021210%8%90+0.7
✕Justin Jacobs
2018 · A 		22 50 38→40 46→50 48 232/305/312 80312 59 25% 8% 75 -0.0 206/270/285 79332 55 36% 7% 53 -1.5 177/242/246693055141%7%29-1.6
✕Charlie Tilson
2015 · AA 		22 51→60 40 49→55 39 246/281/341 95317 810 25% 4% 71 -0.3 258/300/351 93316 522 19% 5% 82 +0.5 257/300/3307431232518%5%73-0.1
✕Carlos Rodríguez
2023 · A 		22 45→55 39→40 52→50 44 215/277/301 86296 516 28% 7% 60 -1.0 254/306/336 82309 415 18% 7% 80 +0.4 259/308/3327330441616%6%77+0.1
✕Ramón Flores
2014 · AA 		22 48→58 39→45 48→50 46 229/283/318 89285 69 21% 7% 66 -0.6 232/295/339 107282 97 20% 8% 78 +0.2 251/324/348972998818%9%88+0.6
✕Hasan Rasheed
2006 · A 		22 54 37→30 48→50 45 247/310/317 70353 513 29% 8% 78 +0.2 221/285/287 66356 411 36% 8% 60 -1.0 189/262/203143420841%9%25-1.1
✕Tres Gonzalez
2023 · A 		22 52 39→30 54→50 46 244/311/333 89311 516 22% 7% 83 +0.6 227/298/293 66309 515 26% 8% 67 -0.5 219/292/2705130231326%8%57-0.8
✕Danny Woodrow
2017 · A 		22 49→59 37→30 53→55 45 227/290/309 83314 311 27% 8% 68 -0.5 231/282/290 59311 219 24% 6% 58 -1.2 241/288/3005932322325%6%60-0.5
✕Bo Greenwell
2011 · A 		22 55→59 38→45 48→50 47 259/310/341 83315 513 19% 6% 84 +0.6 243/289/340 97301 611 20% 6% 75 -0.0 232/278/3381062837820%5%66-0.3
✕Carlos Vidal
2018 · A 		22 52 39→45 46→50 41 247/289/335 88314 69 23% 5% 73 -0.1 223/273/328 105293 77 25% 6% 65 -0.7 205/259/3261212658524%6%56-0.7
✕Miles Mastrobuoni
2018 · A 		22 46→56 37→45 49→60 48 219/277/289 70279 513 22% 8% 56 -1.3 237/297/309 72317 512 24% 8% 70 -0.3 253/316/36511232492123%8%88+0.7
✕Brad Chalk
2008 · A 		22 49→54 38→30 47→50 46 229/290/312 83295 410 23% 7% 69 -0.4 239/289/304 65292 114 17% 6% 65 -0.7 240/287/3006029011516%6%59-0.9
✕Wang-Wei Lin
2010 · A 		22 46→54 40→30 50 42 218/272/313 95301 710 29% 7% 61 -1.0 227/299/287 60297 39 23% 8% 66 -0.6 229/307/284562983922%8%65-0.5
✕Troy Montgomery
2017 · A 		22 46→55 43→40 50 43 225/285/337 113300 1012 28% 7% 73 -0.1 231/296/325 94316 713 27% 8% 75 -0.0 239/308/3288932761426%9%77+0.1
✕Travis Jankowski
2013 · A 		22 49→59 37→40 53→65 41 234/269/309 76299 317 23% 4% 57 -1.2 253/305/321 68324 235 21% 7% 76 +0.1 267/332/3437534133721%8%91+0.6
✕Michael Gigliotti
2018 · A 		22 53 40 51→55 50 252/319/352 100313 717 21% 8% 91 +1.1 234/297/320 86306 520 23% 7% 74 -0.1 194/304/312118265112428%11%75+0.0
✕Noah Mendlinger
2023 · A 		22 48→58 37→40 47→45 55 224/318/299 75276 49 19% 10% 79 +0.3 257/340/332 75308 38 16% 8% 95 +1.4 272/355/343713232815%8%101+1.3