Jean Carlos Sio
IF Richmond Flying Squirrels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ASF | 308 | .240/.379/.360 | 4 | 11 | 72 | — | .199/.317/.291 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+/ASF | 507 | .304/.396/.422 | 8 | 18 | 87 | — | .261/.333/.351 |
| 2026 | 22 | AA/A+/ROKSF | 346 | .241/.326/.439 | 16 | 9 | 72 | — | .209/.279/.370 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBSF | 4 | .217/.288/.341 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 24 | MLBSF | 95 | .220/.292/.349 | 2 | 2 | 86 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ45% MLB | 25 | MLBSF | 159 | .222/.294/.353 | 4 | 3 | 88 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 179 | 150 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 200 | 326 | 280 | 606 | 80 | 228 | 13 | 14 | 287 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 215 | 179 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 32 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 274 | 387 | 374 | 761 | 101 | 313 | 15 | 14 | 346 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 308 | 250 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 63 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 240 | 379 | 360 | 739 | 120 | 304 | 20 | 14 | 342 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 122 | 104 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 279 | 385 | 423 | 808 | 144 | 329 | 18 | 8 | 368 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 385 | 334 | 104 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 46 | 46 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 311 | 399 | 422 | 822 | 111 | 349 | 12 | 12 | 370 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 260 | 226 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 314 | 412 | 725 | 186 | 260 | 24 | 8 | 319 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 65 | 58 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 310 | 385 | 552 | 936 | 241 | 350 | 22 | 8 | 411 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants | — | 21 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 286 | 421 | 707 | 211 | 231 | 24 | 10 | 313 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 179 | 158 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 28 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 127 | 225 | 165 | 389 | 38 | 148 | 16 | 9 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 215 | 191 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 209 | 288 | 277 | 565 | 68 | 248 | 21 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 308 | 261 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 90 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 199 | 317 | 291 | 608 | 92 | 282 | 29 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 122 | 106 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 245 | 344 | 377 | 722 | 132 | 288 | 23 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 385 | 350 | 93 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 65 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 266 | 329 | 343 | 672 | 77 | 314 | 17 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 260 | 232 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 77 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 203 | 275 | 353 | 628 | 151 | 244 | 30 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 65 | 59 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 323 | 441 | 764 | 186 | 313 | 29 | 6 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 350 | 540 | 200 | 174 | 33 | 5 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 179 | 158 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 28 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 127 | 225 | 165 | 389 | 38 | 153 | 16 | 9 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 179 | 150 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 200 | 326 | 280 | 606 | 80 | 228 | 13 | 14 | 287 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 215 | 191 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 209 | 288 | 277 | 565 | 68 | 259 | 21 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Giants Orange | — | 215 | 179 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 32 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 274 | 387 | 374 | 761 | 101 | 313 | 15 | 14 | 346 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 308 | 261 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 90 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 199 | 317 | 291 | 608 | 92 | 290 | 29 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 308 | 250 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 63 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 240 | 379 | 360 | 739 | 120 | 304 | 20 | 14 | 342 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 456 | 118 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 93 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 259 | 331 | 349 | 679 | 90 | 313 | 18 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 507 | 438 | 133 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 56 | 68 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 304 | 396 | 422 | 818 | 119 | 344 | 13 | 11 | 370 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 311 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 103 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 206 | 276 | 363 | 639 | 158 | 259 | 30 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 346 | 303 | 73 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 82 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 241 | 326 | 439 | 764 | 198 | 275 | 24 | 8 | 336 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 179 | 157 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 28 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 127 | 225 | 166 | 390 | 38 | 148 | 16 | 9 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 215 | 192 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 208 | 288 | 276 | 564 | 68 | 248 | 21 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 308 | 260 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 90 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 200 | 317 | 292 | 609 | 92 | 282 | 29 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 453 | 118 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 93 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 260 | 331 | 351 | 682 | 91 | 308 | 18 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 313 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 103 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 204 | 276 | 361 | 637 | 157 | 253 | 30 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 308 | 260 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 90 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 200 | 317 | 292 | 609 | 92 | 282 | 29 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 453 | 118 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 93 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 260 | 331 | 351 | 682 | 91 | 308 | 18 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 313 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 103 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 204 | 276 | 361 | 637 | 157 | 253 | 30 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | SF | 2% | 456 | 412 | 91 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 124 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 221 | 292 | 352 | 644 | 131 | 283 | 27 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +10 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | SF | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 288 | 341 | 629 | 124 | 279 | 25 | 0 | 284 | 82 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | SF | 31% | 307 | 276 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 82 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 296 | 360 | 657 | 136 | 285 | 27 | 7 | 295 | 86 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 45% | 356 | 320 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 94 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 226 | 299 | 365 | 664 | 139 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 51% | 383 | 344 | 79 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 100 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 227 | 300 | 367 | 667 | 140 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 53% | 392 | 353 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 102 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 227 | 300 | 366 | 666 | 139 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 88 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 53% | 392 | 353 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 102 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 226 | 299 | 364 | 663 | 137 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 53% | 385 | 346 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 102 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 224 | 296 | 357 | 653 | 133 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 52% | 374 | 336 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 100 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 221 | 293 | 349 | 642 | 129 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | SF | 31% | 95 | 87 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 292 | 349 | 641 | 129 | 280 | 26 | 6 | 289 | 86 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 45% | 159 | 143 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 294 | 353 | 648 | 132 | 281 | 26 | 7 | 292 | 88 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 51% | 195 | 175 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 223 | 296 | 355 | 651 | 133 | 281 | 26 | 7 | 293 | 89 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 53% | 206 | 185 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 223 | 296 | 355 | 650 | 132 | 281 | 26 | 7 | 293 | 88 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 53% | 209 | 188 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 55 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 295 | 352 | 647 | 131 | 280 | 26 | 7 | 291 | 87 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 53% | 202 | 182 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 53 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 292 | 346 | 638 | 127 | 279 | 26 | 7 | 288 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 52% | 195 | 175 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 289 | 339 | 627 | 122 | 277 | 27 | 7 | 283 | 82 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1261 | 1135 | 251 | 41 | 6 | 31 | 89 | 332 | 26 | 20 | 7 | 221 | 293 | 350 | 643 | 129 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 290 | 80 | -20 | +1 | -2 | +0 | +27 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 129 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 171 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 221 | 292 | 349 | 641 | 128 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 290 | 80 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4354 | 3894 | 861 | 136 | 19 | 101 | 324 | 1098 | 100 | 108 | 36 | 221 | 298 | 344 | 641 | 122 | 280 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -46 | +2 | -4 | +0 | +61 | 1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 128 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 164 | 15 | 16 | 5 | 220 | 296 | 343 | 639 | 122 | 279 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 260 PAwOBA .313 → .268 (−45)K% 24.2% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.23% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 2.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×1.042 | 19.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.962 | ×1.042 | 3.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | ×1.042 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 5.48% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .313 → .268; ISO .186 → .152; BABIP .260 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Eugene Emeralds · 65 PAwOBA .399 → .321 (−78)K% 21.5% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 29.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 25.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 7.64% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .399 → .321; ISO .241 → .188; BABIP .350 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Giants · 21 PAwOBA .304 → .203 (−102)K% 23.8% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 11.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 5.43% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .304 → .203; ISO .211 → .141; BABIP .231 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ASan Jose Giants · 385 PAwOBA .362 → .297 (−65)K% 11.9% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.95% | ÷0.962 | ×1.360 | — | — | 16.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.95% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.015 | 25.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.138 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×1.015 | 4.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.902 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | ×1.015 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.358 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.04% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 101, 2B 128, 3B 80, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .362 → .297; ISO .111 → .081; BABIP .349 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 122 PAwOBA .359 → .299 (−60)K% 18.0% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.03% | ÷1.070 | ×1.350 | — | — | 22.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.20% | ÷0.950 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.56% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 5.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.39% | ÷1.011 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×1.027 | 22.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.027 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.820 | ×0.978 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.66% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 3.18% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .359 → .299; ISO .144 → .118; BABIP .329 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASan Jose Giants · 308 PAwOBA .335 → .275 (−60)K% 20.5% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.96% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.22% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.39% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×1.030 | 20.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.49% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×1.030 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×1.030 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.84% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .335 → .275; ISO .120 → .097; BABIP .304 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Orange · 215 PAwOBA .342 → .250 (−92)K% 14.9% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.88% | ÷1.036 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.42% | ÷1.022 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.53% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | ×0.992 | ×1.008 | 21.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.40% | ÷1.107 | ×0.720 | ×0.992 | ×1.008 | 2.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.992 | ×1.008 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.377 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.17% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 175, 1B 101, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .342 → .250; ISO .101 → .066; BABIP .313 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Giants Black · 179 PAwOBA .280 → .189 (−91)K% 12.8% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.41% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.68% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.54% | ÷1.011 | ×0.680 | ×0.995 | ×1.008 | 11.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.51% | ÷1.035 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×1.008 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×1.008 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.074 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.35% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .280 → .189; ISO .080 → .046; BABIP .228 → .148. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).