Sterlin Thompson

Sterlin ThompsonOF Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 25 L/R 6'3" / 209 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION454 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†112

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP332

ISO142

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT48

xAVG

110.219

POWER47

Barrel%

356.3

Avg EV

1786.6

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED43

Sprint

5227.6

DEFENSE41

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.6M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+1.0	$6M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$12M		$35M	+$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	50	46	16	4	0	1	3	12	0	2	0	348	388	500	888	152	441	24	6	385	147	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	61	55	15	3	0	1	2	16	3	1	0	273	333	382	715	109	359	26	3	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	144	126	30	3	0	7	15	32	3	3	1	238	333	429	762	190	264	22	10	342	117	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	263	229	74	22	1	7	23	42	8	14	2	323	404	520	923	197	366	16	9	404	159	+19	+2	—	—	+6	2.7
2023	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	100	80	27	7	2	0	18	24	1	7	3	338	465	475	940	137	474	24	18	418	169	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2024	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	462	113	18	4	13	43	122	9	12	4	245	321	385	706	141	302	24	8	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+11	1.2
2025	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	439	130	28	8	18	53	107	18	12	4	296	394	519	913	223	353	21	10	400	157	+35	+1	—	—	+11	4.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	50	47	13	3	0	1	2	17	0	2	0	277	306	404	710	128	397	34	4	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	61	56	11	2	0	1	1	23	3	1	0	196	250	286	536	89	278	38	2	217	33	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	144	131	26	3	0	5	10	37	3	3	1	198	271	336	607	137	238	26	7	271	70	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2023	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	263	239	58	16	1	5	13	60	8	14	2	243	304	381	685	138	289	23	5	296	86	-4	+2	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	477	99	14	4	11	28	151	9	12	4	208	265	323	587	115	273	29	5	257	60	-25	+1	—	—	+11	-1.3
2025	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	455	105	22	6	13	37	146	18	12	4	231	314	391	705	160	303	28	7	308	95	-3	+1	—	—	+11	0.9
2022	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	111	103	24	5	0	2	3	40	3	3	0	233	275	340	615	107	349	36	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	111	101	31	7	0	2	5	28	3	3	0	307	358	436	793	129	397	25	5	349	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	507	462	105	23	1	13	29	121	12	24	6	227	290	366	656	139	277	24	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	507	435	131	32	3	14	56	98	12	24	6	301	396	485	881	184	358	19	11	389	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	477	99	14	4	11	28	151	9	12	4	208	265	323	587	115	276	29	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	462	113	18	4	13	43	122	9	12	4	245	321	385	706	141	302	24	8	316	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	455	105	22	6	13	37	146	18	12	4	231	314	391	705	160	308	28	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	439	130	28	8	18	53	107	18	12	4	296	394	519	913	223	353	21	10	400	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	111	104	24	5	0	2	3	40	3	3	0	231	275	337	612	106	332	36	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	507	461	105	23	1	13	29	121	12	24	6	228	290	367	657	139	271	24	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	476	99	14	4	11	28	151	9	12	4	208	265	324	588	116	273	29	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	453	105	22	6	13	37	146	18	12	4	232	314	393	707	161	303	28	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	507	461	105	23	1	13	29	121	12	24	6	228	290	367	657	139	271	24	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	476	99	14	4	11	28	151	9	12	4	208	265	324	588	116	273	29	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	453	105	22	6	13	37	146	18	12	4	232	314	393	707	161	303	28	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	COL	—	454	385	101	16	2	11	55	97	14	20	5	262	374	400	774	138	325	21	12	346	121	+11	+2	+0	-3	+10	2.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	COL	—	77	69	16	4	0	2	5	21	3	0	0	232	312	377	688	145	304	27	6	312	121	+2	+0	+0	-3	+2	0.1
YTD	25	AAA RAW	COL	—	377	295	96	15	2	12	71	59	11	20	5	325	472	512	984	186	375	16	19	440	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB RAW	COL	—	77	69	16	4	0	2	5	21	3	0	0	232	312	377	688	145	304	27	6	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.1
ROS	25	AAA MLE	COL	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		315	20	10	334	112	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	COL	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		332	20	10	330	112	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	COL	—	87	78	18	4	0	2	6	23	3	0	0	231	310	359	669	128	302	26	7	314	120	+2	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.4
TOT	25	AAA MLE	COL	—	464	394	102	16	2	11	56	99	14	20	5	259	371	393	764	135	320	21	12	346	120	+11	+2	-0	-3	+10	2.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	82%	559	483	120	20	3	14	56	132	15	18	4	248	345	389	734	141	312	24	10	332	111	+7	+2	-2	-3	+12	1.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	82%	577	499	124	21	3	15	58	136	15	18	5	248	344	393	737	144	310	24	10	332	111	+7	+2	-2	-3	+13	1.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	82%	566	490	121	21	3	14	57	134	14	17	4	247	342	388	730	141	309	24	10	330	110	+7	+2	-3	-3	+12	1.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	82%	554	480	118	20	3	14	56	132	13	15	4	246	341	388	728	142	307	24	10	328	108	+5	+1	-4	-3	+12	1.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	COL	82%	543	470	115	20	3	13	55	131	13	14	3	245	340	383	723	138	306	24	10	325	106	+4	+2	-4	-3	+12	1.0
2032	31	MLB MLE	COL	82%	532	460	112	19	3	13	54	130	13	12	3	243	340	383	722	139	304	24	10	321	104	+2	+1	-5	-3	+12	0.7
2033	32	MLB MLE	COL	82%	522	452	107	18	2	12	53	129	12	9	2	237	333	365	698	128	300	25	10	316	100	-0	+1	-6	-3	+11	0.3
2034	33	MLB MLE	COL	82%	450	391	91	15	2	10	45	114	11	6	2	233	329	358	687	125	296	25	10	309	95	-3	+0	-6	-3	+10	-0.1
2035	34	MLB MLE	COL	77%	380	330	74	11	2	8	38	99	9	4	1	224	321	342	663	118	290	26	10	300	89	-5	+0	-6	-2	+8	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	82%	458	397	104	18	3	13	46	108	12	14	4	262	356	421	777	159	329	24	10	330	111	+6	+1	-2	-3	+10	1.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	82%	473	410	108	19	3	14	48	112	12	15	4	263	357	427	784	163	328	24	10	331	111	+6	+1	-2	-3	+10	1.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	82%	464	403	105	19	3	13	47	110	11	14	3	261	354	419	773	159	326	24	10	330	110	+5	+2	-3	-3	+10	1.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	82%	454	394	103	18	3	13	46	108	11	13	3	261	355	421	776	160	325	24	10	328	108	+5	+1	-3	-3	+10	1.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	COL	82%	445	386	100	18	3	12	45	107	11	11	3	259	353	415	767	155	323	24	10	325	106	+3	+1	-4	-3	+10	0.8
2032	31	MLB CTX	COL	82%	436	379	97	17	3	12	44	106	10	9	2	256	349	412	760	156	320	24	10	320	104	+2	+1	-4	-3	+9	0.6
2033	32	MLB CTX	COL	82%	428	372	92	16	2	11	43	106	10	8	2	247	341	390	731	142	317	25	10	314	100	-0	+1	-5	-3	+9	0.3
2034	33	MLB CTX	COL	82%	369	320	78	13	2	9	37	93	9	5	1	244	339	381	720	137	312	25	10	307	95	-2	+1	-5	-2	+8	-0.1
2035	34	MLB CTX	COL	77%	294	256	61	10	2	7	29	76	7	3	1	238	332	375	707	137	306	26	10	298	89	-4	+0	-5	-2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3831	3326	850	148	24	104	386	928	93	92	23	256	349	408	758	153	323	24	10	322	98	+21	+9	-32	-23	+83	6.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	144	25	4	18	65	157	16	16	4	255	349	410	758	154	321	24	10	322	98	+4	+2	-5	-4	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6342	5561	1316	229	35	152	570	1597	157	164	42	237	325	372	697	136	302	25	9	312	98	+26	+11	-39	-28	+102	7.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	135	23	4	16	58	164	16	17	4	237	325	375	700	139	302	25	9	312	98	+4	+2	-5	-4	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	6.5	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
/162	664	21	9	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Nate McLouthlast yr '14 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,737 PA	5.6	3,737	101	133	247	332	410	-2	-53	11.0	11.9
/162	664	18	24	-0.3	-9.4	2.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,157	100	99	242	333	379	-25	-31	11.4	10.8
/162	664	16	16	-4.0	-4.9	1.8	pk7: 10
#3Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	6.5	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.8
/162	664	24	17	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#4Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#5Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sterlin Thompson (OGILVIE)	25	40→48	50→47	40→43	40	248/346/387	139	315	6	9	24%	10%	112	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Snider 2013 · MLB	25	51→53	48→55	48→50	46	253/309/401	148	313	16	13	24%	7%	100	+1.3	248/315/392	144	307	15	7	23%	9%	100	+1.3	245/317/385	140	301	15	3	23%	9%	94	+0.5
●Domonic Brown 2013 · MLB	25	50→54	46→50	47→55	50	248/311/384	136	294	12	12	20%	8%	97	+1.1	245/298/392	147	280	17	10	19%	7%	94	+0.9	238/290/377	139	270	17	11	18%	6%	83	+0.1
●Zach McKinstry 2021 · AAA	26	47→53	49→55	45→55	44	238/296/390	151	299	16	8	26%	7%	93	+0.8	234/296/385	151	288	15	11	24%	7%	92	+0.7	239/311/383	145	294	12	23	22%	8%	95	+0.7
●Travis Shaw 2015 · AAA	25	44→52	48→60	47→45	47	222/287/367	145	274	16	7	25%	8%	84	+0.2	242/303/407	165	293	19	6	23%	8%	99	+1.3	248/332/461	213	282	27	7	22%	11%	117	+2.4
●Nolan Jones 2023 · MLB	25	48→58	47→55	50	46	231/306/369	138	333	14	10	33%	9%	92	+0.7	244/333/404	160	344	17	15	31%	11%	109	+2.0	238/333/392	154	333	16	16	30%	11%	104	+1.3
✕Jake Fraley 2020 · MLB	25	49→47	51→55	52→55	41	245/296/413	169	309	17	18	26%	6%	98	+1.2	238/320/403	165	307	19	18	27%	10%	105	+1.7	240/341/409	169	286	22	23	23%	12%	110	+1.1
●J.P. Crawford 2020 · MLB	25	45→55	45	50	52	220/305/350	129	277	11	8	24%	10%	87	+0.4	252/329/362	110	302	9	7	18%	10%	99	+1.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
●Brendan Donovan 2022 · AAA	25	50→59	43→50	48→50	47	243/314/355	113	302	11	14	23%	8%	92	+0.7	272/355/394	122	313	12	8	16%	9%	116	+2.5	279/363/407	128	311	13	5	14%	9%	120	+2.4
●Lane Thomas 2021 · MLB	25	42→52	51→55	48→55	42	217/280/378	161	288	19	14	31%	7%	84	+0.2	240/308/409	169	306	18	12	26%	8%	102	+1.5	249/310/426	177	308	20	21	25%	7%	105	+1.7
✕Matt Koperniak 2023 · AA	25	52→55	45	47→45	45	257/314/376	119	311	12	9	21%	6%	96	+1.0	249/301/373	124	303	14	9	22%	6%	91	+0.6	243/296/364	121	295	14	8	22%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Tim Wheeler 2013 · AAA	25	50→53	45→50	47→50	42	243/294/371	128	312	12	12	26%	6%	87	+0.4	213/269/309	96	297	9	13	29%	6%	64	-1.3	193/255/279	86	278	8	14	32%	6%	50	-1.8
✕Shed Long Jr. 2021 · MLB	25	45→49	47→50	49→50	44	225/287/365	140	298	15	12	29%	8%	83	+0.1	218/284/348	130	304	13	10	31%	8%	79	-0.2	204/274/324	120	292	11	6	32%	8%	67	-0.2
✕James Ramsey 2015 · AAA	25	49→52	46→45	48→45	44	236/304/366	130	326	13	8	30%	8%	91	+0.6	223/279/338	115	321	11	6	32%	6%	74	-0.5	210/267/309	98	308	10	5	33%	6%	60	-1.0
✕Josh VanMeter 2020 · MLB	25	46→48	48→55	50	48	232/294/384	151	280	15	15	23%	8%	91	+0.6	222/303/386	164	277	18	11	25%	10%	95	+0.9	201/305/346	145	257	16	7	27%	13%	85	+0.1
✕DJ Stewart 2019 · MLB	25	44→48	47→55	50	47	220/291/354	134	271	14	15	24%	8%	83	+0.1	220/309/385	165	270	20	8	25%	10%	97	+1.1	208/314/396	188	250	26	2	28%	11%	99	+0.6
✕Gavin Lux 2022 · MLB	24	50→60	47→50	50	51	248/319/391	143	308	15	8	24%	9%	101	+1.4	260/331/389	129	326	10	8	22%	10%	105	+1.7	265/340/385	120	337	8	5	22%	10%	106	+1.5
✕Luis Jimenez 2007 · AA	25	49→54	49→55	48→45	46	247/305/396	149	308	16	7	25%	7%	97	+1.1	253/304/406	153	307	20	5	23%	7%	99	+1.3	263/319/416	153	311	19	4	21%	7%	105	+1.3
✕Rene Tosoni 2011 · AA	25	49→48	45	46→45	45	238/308/371	133	310	12	8	26%	7%	93	+0.8	208/261/309	101	264	10	6	24%	6%	61	-1.5	197/247/286	89	243	9	5	23%	5%	47	-1.9
●Jackie Bradley Jr. 2014 · MLB	24	50→55	45→55	47→50	49	242/318/375	133	305	11	13	23%	8%	97	+1.1	236/306/376	140	302	13	10	25%	8%	93	+0.8	256/334/445	189	305	21	8	22%	9%	115	+2.4
✕Alex Kirilloff 2022 · MLB	24	48→58	49→55	44→45	44	244/293/390	146	291	17	7	22%	6%	91	+0.7	258/324/427	169	313	20	5	23%	7%	112	+2.2	257/328/427	171	313	21	2	24%	8%	110	+1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps