Sterlin ThompsonOF
Albuquerque Isotopes
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 25
L/R
6'3" / 209 lbs
AAA
H +10%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.7 · 2027
wRC+†88
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .294 / .367
PA134
HR3
SB5
K%29
BB%7
MLB%40%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40↗48
PWR
50↘47
SPD
40↗43
FLD
35↗41
EYE
45↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $10M | +$5M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | 2 teams | 111 | 103 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .233 | .275 | .340 | .615 | .107 | .355 | 37 | 3 | .259 | 56 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 507 | 462 | 107 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 124 | 12 | 24 | 6 | .232 | .294 | .377 | .671 | .145 | .284 | 24 | 6 | .292 | 82 | -10 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 518 | 477 | 101 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 159 | 9 | 12 | 4 | .212 | .268 | .333 | .602 | .122 | .287 | 31 | 5 | .263 | 59 | -24 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 513 | 455 | 103 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 147 | 18 | 12 | 4 | .226 | .310 | .385 | .694 | .158 | .302 | 29 | 7 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 91 | 78 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 3 | .244 | .352 | .333 | .685 | .090 | .353 | 29 | 11 | .299 | 87 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 43 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .205 | .279 | .308 | .587 | .103 | .307 | 28 | 7 | .303 | 90 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | COL | 134 | 117 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 4 | 5 | 3 | .231 | .328 | .325 | .653 | .094 | .325 | 28 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -2 | -0 | -0 | -1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 56% | COL | 365 | 324 | 78 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 90 | 9 | 8 | 4 | .241 | .320 | .383 | .703 | .142 | .301 | 25 | 8 | .315 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 74% | COL | 388 | 344 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 95 | 9 | 8 | 4 | .241 | .322 | .387 | .709 | .145 | .300 | 24 | 8 | .316 | 100 | +0 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 82% | COL | 401 | 356 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 99 | 9 | 8 | 4 | .236 | .317 | .376 | .693 | .140 | .300 | 25 | 8 | .315 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 88% | COL | 400 | 355 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 99 | 9 | 7 | 3 | .237 | .317 | .377 | .695 | .141 | .299 | 25 | 8 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 94% | COL | 398 | 353 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 100 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .235 | .316 | .377 | .693 | .142 | .297 | 25 | 8 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | COL | 387 | 344 | 79 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 99 | 8 | 4 | 2 | .230 | .310 | .363 | .673 | .134 | .296 | 26 | 8 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | COL | 370 | 328 | 75 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 97 | 8 | 3 | 2 | .229 | .311 | .360 | .670 | .131 | .294 | 26 | 8 | .302 | 89 | -4 | -0 | -5 | -2 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | COL | 341 | 303 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 91 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .221 | .302 | .340 | .642 | .119 | .293 | 27 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | COL | 298 | 266 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 82 | 6 | 1 | 2 | .218 | .297 | .335 | .632 | .117 | .291 | 28 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -7 | -1 | -6 | -2 | +8 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5040 | 4509 | 1034 | 179 | 36 | 121 | 375 | 1335 | 117 | 99 | 39 | .229 | .305 | .365 | .671 | .136 | .296 | 26 | 7 | .301 | 88 | -68 | +4 | -34 | -30 | +143 | 1.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 134 | 23 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 172 | 15 | 13 | 5 | .230 | .305 | .369 | .675 | .139 | .296 | 26 | 7 | .301 | 88 | -9 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +18 | 0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 50 | 46 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .348 | .388 | .500 | .888 | .152 | .441 | 24 | 6 | .385 | 153 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 61 | 55 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .273 | .333 | .382 | .715 | .109 | .359 | 26 | 3 | .319 | 103 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 144 | 126 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .238 | .333 | .429 | .762 | .190 | .264 | 22 | 10 | .342 | 120 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 263 | 229 | 74 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 42 | 8 | 14 | 2 | .323 | .404 | .520 | .923 | .197 | .366 | 16 | 9 | .404 | 167 | +20 | +2 | — | — | +7 | 3.0 |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | 100 | 80 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 3 | .338 | .465 | .475 | .940 | .137 | .474 | 24 | 18 | .418 | 178 | +9 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 518 | 462 | 113 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 122 | 9 | 12 | 4 | .245 | .321 | .385 | .706 | .141 | .302 | 24 | 8 | .316 | 100 | +0 | +1 | — | — | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 513 | 439 | 130 | 28 | 8 | 18 | 53 | 107 | 18 | 12 | 4 | .296 | .394 | .519 | .913 | .223 | .353 | 21 | 10 | .400 | 164 | +37 | +1 | — | — | +15 | 5.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Sterlin Thompson (OGILVIE) | 25 | 40→48 | 50→47 | 40→43 | 40 | .223/.294/.367 | .144 | .297 | 3 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 86 | +0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Brandon Jones 2009 · MLB |
25 | 49→53 | 47→55 | 48→50 | 44 | .244/.293/.387 | .143 | .306 | 14 | 12 | 25% | 6% | 89 | +1.0 | .232/.292/.343 | .111 | .295 | 9 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .219/.287/.315 | .096 | .282 | 7 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Nick Williams 2019 · MLB |
25 | 49→56 | 50→55 | 44→45 | 39 | .245/.294/.403 | .158 | .321 | 18 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 95 | +1.4 | .235/.290/.394 | .159 | .312 | 19 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 91 | +1.1 | .214/.264/.366 | .152 | .293 | 18 | 6 | 32% | 4% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
●Moisés Sierra 2014 · MLB |
25 | 49→56 | 48→50 | 47→50 | 40 | .244/.294/.386 | .142 | .311 | 16 | 11 | 27% | 5% | 90 | +1.0 | .245/.293/.364 | .119 | .320 | 11 | 14 | 26% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .250/.316/.378 | .129 | .306 | 14 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 94 | +1.0 |
|
✕Clint Frazier 2020 · MLB |
25 | 46 | 52→55 | 46→50 | 42 | .234/.289/.410 | .176 | .294 | 19 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 94 | +1.3 | .222/.305/.377 | .155 | .299 | 17 | 8 | 30% | 9% | 93 | +1.3 | .190/.299/.313 | .123 | .279 | 14 | 9 | 34% | 12% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB |
25 | 42→46 | 53→55 | 49→55 | 46 | .219/.294/.391 | .172 | .289 | 20 | 15 | 31% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .213/.302/.390 | .177 | .289 | 22 | 19 | 32% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .200/.298/.378 | .178 | .267 | 22 | 20 | 32% | 11% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Dominic Smith 2020 · MLB |
25 | 49→55 | 50 | 43→40 | 43 | .246/.296/.401 | .155 | .306 | 17 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .253/.315/.422 | .169 | .309 | 18 | 4 | 23% | 7% | 108 | +2.3 | .247/.313/.400 | .152 | .300 | 16 | 3 | 22% | 7% | 99 | +1.0 |
|
✕Josh Kroeger 2008 · AAA |
25 | 46→56 | 48→50 | 48→50 | 41 | .236/.276/.378 | .142 | .289 | 16 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .241/.286/.386 | .145 | .286 | 16 | 14 | 21% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .223/.271/.359 | .136 | .260 | 15 | 17 | 20% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Chris Snelling 2007 · MLB |
25 | 48→39 | 45 | 43→40 | 48 | .236/.315/.364 | .128 | .300 | 12 | 8 | 24% | 8% | 94 | +1.3 | .226/.317/.333 | .107 | .287 | 10 | 6 | 23% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .226/.327/.314 | .088 | .278 | 7 | 1 | 19% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Travis Snider 2013 · MLB |
25 | 51→53 | 48→55 | 48→50 | 46 | .251/.305/.397 | .145 | .312 | 15 | 14 | 24% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .246/.312/.391 | .145 | .305 | 16 | 7 | 23% | 9% | 98 | +1.6 | .244/.316/.387 | .143 | .298 | 15 | 3 | 23% | 9% | 94 | +0.7 |
|
✕Jake Bauers 2021 · MLB |
25 | 44→50 | 50→60 | 45→55 | 52 | .223/.307/.378 | .155 | .284 | 17 | 12 | 27% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .211/.290/.346 | .135 | .282 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .216/.314/.413 | .198 | .284 | 25 | 18 | 31% | 12% | 99 | +0.9 |
|
●Victor Diaz 2007 · MLB |
25 | 44→51 | 48→60 | 45→50 | 40 | .225/.273/.366 | .141 | .296 | 17 | 10 | 30% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .226/.274/.384 | .158 | .321 | 20 | 8 | 34% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .230/.305/.438 | .207 | .323 | 30 | 9 | 36% | 8% | 108 | +1.3 |
|
✕Chance Sisco 2020 · MLB |
25 | 45→55 | 49→50 | 41→40 | 43 | .224/.308/.369 | .145 | .304 | 17 | 3 | 30% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .211/.305/.361 | .150 | .284 | 17 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .177/.284/.310 | .133 | .243 | 14 | 0 | 31% | 10% | 65 | -0.2 |
|
✕Shed Long Jr. 2021 · MLB |
25 | 45→48 | 47→50 | 49→50 | 44 | .224/.286/.364 | .140 | .300 | 15 | 12 | 30% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .217/.281/.349 | .132 | .301 | 13 | 10 | 30% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .203/.273/.325 | .121 | .290 | 11 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 62 | -0.2 |
|
✕Rowdy Tellez 2020 · MLB |
25 | 45→50 | 52→60 | 44→45 | 44 | .232/.289/.397 | .165 | .281 | 20 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .244/.311/.447 | .203 | .277 | 27 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 114 | +2.7 | .231/.309/.443 | .213 | .243 | 29 | 1 | 20% | 9% | 100 | +1.1 |
|
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2013 · MLB |
25 | 50 | 48→55 | 45→50 | 42 | .244/.298/.391 | .147 | .334 | 14 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .222/.289/.384 | .162 | .304 | 17 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .219/.301/.407 | .188 | .300 | 20 | 11 | 32% | 10% | 94 | +0.8 |
|
✕Bronson Sardinha 2008 · AAA |
25 | 45→53 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 45 | .228/.281/.362 | .134 | .279 | 14 | 9 | 24% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .241/.297/.375 | .134 | .294 | 13 | 9 | 22% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .259/.325/.398 | .139 | .314 | 13 | 8 | 21% | 8% | 103 | +1.2 |
|
●Brennan Boesch 2011 · MLB |
26 | 47→55 | 51→55 | 51→50 | 42 | .242/.290/.405 | .163 | .295 | 18 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .255/.309/.410 | .155 | .300 | 17 | 8 | 21% | 6% | 102 | +1.9 | .252/.300/.410 | .158 | .299 | 18 | 9 | 22% | 6% | 95 | +1.2 |
|
✕Rene Tosoni 2012 · MLB |
26 | 44→49 | 45 | 45 | 43 | .221/.281/.348 | .127 | .285 | 13 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .207/.256/.308 | .101 | .259 | 10 | 7 | 23% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .198/.246/.288 | .090 | .241 | 9 | 5 | 22% | 5% | 40 | -1.7 |
|
●Luis Rengifo 2022 · MLB |
25 | 45→55 | 46→50 | 47→55 | 48 | .227/.289/.357 | .130 | .269 | 15 | 12 | 22% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .254/.302/.402 | .148 | .288 | 18 | 13 | 18% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .267/.318/.414 | .147 | .301 | 17 | 16 | 17% | 6% | 105 | +1.6 |
|
✕DJ Stewart 2020 · MLB |
26 | 44→48 | 52→60 | 47→50 | 48 | .231/.303/.398 | .167 | .271 | 20 | 12 | 23% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .223/.320/.400 | .177 | .277 | 22 | 7 | 27% | 11% | 105 | +2.1 | .212/.318/.409 | .197 | .253 | 28 | 2 | 28% | 11% | 104 | +0.9 |