Sterlin ThompsonOF Albuquerque Isotopes
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 25 L/R 6'3" / 209 lbs AAA H +10%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.7 · 2027
wRC+†88
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .294 / .367
PA134
HR3
SB5
K%29
BB%7
MLB%40%
BAT: -1.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4048
PWR
5047
SPD
4043
FLD
3541
EYE
4540
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2028

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$3M+$2M
2029Arb-1$0.8M+0.7$3M+$2M
2030Arb-2$0.9M+0.5$2M+$1M
2031Arb-3$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.6M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.4M+0.1$0.5M+$0.1M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $4M $10M +$5M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202221 ROK2 teams 111103 24502 3413 30 .233.275.340.615 .107.355 373 .259 56 -5 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.2
202322 A+3 teams 507462 10723114 2912412 246 .232.294.377.671 .145.284 246 .292 82 -10 +2 +0 -3 +14 0.3
202423 AAHartford Yard Goats 518477 10114412 281599 124 .212.268.333.602 .122.287 315 .263 59 -24 +1 +0 -3 +15 -1.2
202524 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 513455 10321613 3714718 124 .226.310.385.694 .158.302 297 .306 92 -4 +1 +0 -3 +15 0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202625 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 9178 19211 10263 43 .244.352.333.685 .090.353 2911 .299 87 -1 -0 +0 -1 +3 0.0
ROS25 MLBCOL 4339 8101 3121 10 .205.279.308.587 .103.307 287 .303 90 -0 +0 -0 -0 +1 0.1
TOT25 MLBCOL 134117 27312 13384 53 .231.328.325.653 .094.325 2810 .300 88 -2 -0 -0 -1 +4 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202726 MLB 56%COL 365324 781339 29909 84 .241.320.383.703 .142.301 258 .315 100 -0 +0 -2 -2 +10 0.7
202827 MLB 74%COL 388344 8314310 32959 84 .241.322.387.709 .145.300 248 .316 100 +0 +0 -2 -2 +11 0.7
202928 MLB 82%COL 401356 8414310 33999 84 .236.317.376.693 .140.300 258 .315 100 -0 +0 -2 -2 +11 0.7
203029 MLB 88%COL 400355 8414310 33999 73 .237.317.377.695 .141.299 258 .314 98 -1 +0 -3 -2 +11 0.5
203130 MLB 94%COL 398353 8314310 331009 63 .235.316.377.693 .142.297 258 .310 96 -2 +0 -4 -2 +11 0.3
203231 MLBCOL 387344 791339 32998 42 .230.310.363.673 .134.296 268 .307 93 -3 +0 -4 -2 +11 0.1
203332 MLBCOL 370328 751338 31978 32 .229.311.360.670 .131.294 268 .302 89 -4 -0 -5 -2 +10 -0.1
203433 MLBCOL 341303 671127 28917 21 .221.302.340.642 .119.293 278 .297 85 -6 +0 -6 -2 +10 -0.4
203534 MLBCOL 298266 58926 24826 12 .218.297.335.632 .117.291 288 .290 80 -7 -1 -6 -2 +8 -0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 50404509 103417936121 3751335117 9939 .229.305.365.671 .136.296 267 .301 88 -68 +4 -34 -30 +143 1.6
/ 162G 650582 13423516 4817215 135 .230.305.369.675 .139.296 267 .301 88 -9 +1 -4 -4 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202221 AFresno Grizzlies 5046 16401 3120 20 .348.388.500.888 .152.441 246 .385 153 +3 +0 +1 0.5
202221 ROKACL Rockies 6155 15301 2163 10 .273.333.382.715 .109.359 263 .319 103 +0 +0 +2 0.2
202322 AAHartford Yard Goats 144126 30307 15323 31 .238.333.429.762 .190.264 2210 .342 120 +3 +0 +4 0.8
202322 A+Spokane Indians 263229 742217 23428 142 .323.404.520.923 .197.366 169 .404 167 +20 +2 +7 3.0
202322 INTLSalt River Rafters 10080 27720 18241 73 .338.465.475.940 .137.474 2418 .418 178 +9 +0 +3 1.2
202423 AAHartford Yard Goats 518462 11318413 431229 124 .245.321.385.706 .141.302 248 .316 100 +0 +1 +15 1.6
202524 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 513439 13028818 5310718 124 .296.394.519.913 .223.353 2110 .400 164 +37 +1 +15 5.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Sterlin Thompson (OGILVIE) 25 40→48 50→47 40→43 40 .223/.294/.367 .144.297 33 29% 7% 86 +0.2
Brandon Jones
2009 · MLB
25 49→53 47→55 48→50 44 .244/.293/.387 .143.306 1412 25% 6% 89 +1.0 .232/.292/.343 .111.295 98 23% 8% 77 +0.1 .219/.287/.315.096.2827523%8%66-0.4
Nick Williams
2019 · MLB
25 49→56 50→55 44→45 39 .245/.294/.403 .158.321 186 29% 5% 95 +1.4 .235/.290/.394 .159.312 196 30% 5% 91 +1.1 .214/.264/.366.152.29318632%4%68-0.2
Moisés Sierra
2014 · MLB
25 49→56 48→50 47→50 40 .244/.294/.386 .142.311 1611 27% 5% 90 +1.0 .245/.293/.364 .119.320 1114 26% 5% 83 +0.6 .250/.316/.378.129.306141522%7%94+1.0
Clint Frazier
2020 · MLB
25 46 52→55 46→50 42 .234/.289/.410 .176.294 197 27% 6% 94 +1.3 .222/.305/.377 .155.299 178 30% 9% 93 +1.3 .190/.299/.313.123.27914934%12%72-0.1
Taylor Trammell
2023 · MLB
25 42→46 53→55 49→55 46 .219/.294/.391 .172.289 2015 31% 9% 92 +1.2 .213/.302/.390 .177.289 2219 32% 10% 95 +1.4 .200/.298/.378.178.267222032%11%90+0.6
Dominic Smith
2020 · MLB
25 49→55 50 43→40 43 .246/.296/.401 .155.306 174 26% 6% 95 +1.4 .253/.315/.422 .169.309 184 23% 7% 108 +2.3 .247/.313/.400.152.30016322%7%99+1.0
Josh Kroeger
2008 · AAA
25 46→56 48→50 48→50 41 .236/.276/.378 .142.289 1610 25% 5% 80 +0.4 .241/.286/.386 .145.286 1614 21% 6% 86 +0.8 .223/.271/.359.136.260151720%5%70-0.3
Chris Snelling
2007 · MLB
25 48→39 45 43→40 48 .236/.315/.364 .128.300 128 24% 8% 94 +1.3 .226/.317/.333 .107.287 106 23% 9% 87 +0.8 .226/.327/.314.088.2787119%11%83+0.2
Travis Snider
2013 · MLB
25 51→53 48→55 48→50 46 .251/.305/.397 .145.312 1514 24% 7% 97 +1.5 .246/.312/.391 .145.305 167 23% 9% 98 +1.6 .244/.316/.387.143.29815323%9%94+0.7
Jake Bauers
2021 · MLB
25 44→50 50→60 45→55 52 .223/.307/.378 .155.284 1712 27% 10% 94 +1.3 .211/.290/.346 .135.282 1613 29% 10% 79 +0.3 .216/.314/.413.198.284251831%12%99+0.9
Victor Diaz
2007 · MLB
25 44→51 48→60 45→50 40 .225/.273/.366 .141.296 1710 30% 6% 76 +0.0 .226/.274/.384 .158.321 208 34% 5% 82 +0.5 .230/.305/.438.207.32330936%8%108+1.3
Chance Sisco
2020 · MLB
25 45→55 49→50 41→40 43 .224/.308/.369 .145.304 173 30% 8% 92 +1.2 .211/.305/.361 .150.284 174 30% 9% 89 +1.0 .177/.284/.310.133.24314031%10%65-0.2
Shed Long Jr.
2021 · MLB
25 45→48 47→50 49→50 44 .224/.286/.364 .140.300 1512 30% 8% 81 +0.4 .217/.281/.349 .132.301 1310 30% 8% 75 -0.0 .203/.273/.325.121.29011632%8%62-0.2
Rowdy Tellez
2020 · MLB
25 45→50 52→60 44→45 44 .232/.289/.397 .165.281 205 25% 7% 92 +1.2 .244/.311/.447 .203.277 274 22% 8% 114 +2.7 .231/.309/.443.213.24329120%9%100+1.1
Kirk Nieuwenhuis
2013 · MLB
25 50 48→55 45→50 42 .244/.298/.391 .147.334 1410 30% 7% 92 +1.2 .222/.289/.384 .162.304 1710 31% 8% 87 +0.8 .219/.301/.407.188.300201132%10%94+0.8
Bronson Sardinha
2008 · AAA
25 45→53 46→50 49→50 45 .228/.281/.362 .134.279 149 24% 7% 78 +0.2 .241/.297/.375 .134.294 139 22% 7% 88 +0.9 .259/.325/.398.139.31413821%8%103+1.2
Brennan Boesch
2011 · MLB
26 47→55 51→55 51→50 42 .242/.290/.405 .163.295 188 25% 6% 93 +1.3 .255/.309/.410 .155.300 178 21% 6% 102 +1.9 .252/.300/.410.158.29918922%6%95+1.2
Rene Tosoni
2012 · MLB
26 44→49 45 45 43 .221/.281/.348 .127.285 137 27% 6% 75 -0.0 .207/.256/.308 .101.259 107 23% 6% 53 -1.5 .198/.246/.288.090.2419522%5%40-1.7
Luis Rengifo
2022 · MLB
25 45→55 46→50 47→55 48 .227/.289/.357 .130.269 1512 22% 7% 80 +0.4 .254/.302/.402 .148.288 1813 18% 6% 98 +1.6 .267/.318/.414.147.301171617%6%105+1.6
DJ Stewart
2020 · MLB
26 44→48 52→60 47→50 48 .231/.303/.398 .167.271 2012 23% 8% 98 +1.6 .223/.320/.400 .177.277 227 27% 11% 105 +2.1 .212/.318/.409.197.25328228%11%104+0.9