Mike Baxter

PosRF

B/TL/R

Born1984-12-07

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	29	AAACOL	468	.289/.367/.439	7	12	71	—	.229/.287/.334
2015	30	AAACHC	264	.279/.392/.360	1	7	71	—	.227/.300/.294
2015	30	MLBCHC	66	.246/.348/.263	0	0	77	-0.4
2016	31	AAASEA	270	.241/.343/.405	7	8	63	—	.193/.265/.320
2017	32	No MLB games played
2018	33	No MLB games played
2019	34	No MLB games played
2020	35	No MLB games played
2021	36	No MLB games played
2022	37	No MLB games played
2023	38	No MLB games played
2024	39	No MLB games played
2025	40	No MLB games played
2026	41	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.4

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	20	A	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	195	183	40	12	1	1	12	29	0	4	1	219	267	311	578	93	255	15	6	262	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	517	476	122	28	7	3	31	66	4	13	5	256	307	363	671	107	289	13	6	298	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA	Portland Beavers	—	30	29	6	2	1	0	1	8	0	1	0	207	233	345	578	138	286	27	3	253	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	470	417	115	21	6	7	44	75	3	12	6	276	349	405	754	129	319	16	9	335	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	370	324	88	18	4	8	39	41	2	2	2	272	353	426	779	154	288	11	11	344	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	92	22	4	1	1	10	12	2	3	0	239	327	337	664	98	263	11	10	302	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA	Portland Beavers	—	345	303	84	17	4	5	38	53	3	9	5	277	363	409	773	132	321	15	11	348	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	229	202	76	23	1	4	23	42	2	5	2	376	445	559	1.004	183	456	18	10	439	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA	Portland Beavers	—	552	482	145	30	10	18	58	78	8	22	10	301	385	517	902	216	326	14	11	393	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB	New York Mets	—	40	34	8	2	1	1	5	9	1	0	0	235	350	441	791	206	292	22	12	353	130	+1	+0	+1	-2	+1	0.2
2011	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	71	64	12	0	2	1	5	19	1	1	0	188	257	297	554	109	250	27	7	249	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	64	52	17	3	0	0	10	10	0	0	1	327	435	385	820	58	386	16	16	367	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB	New York Mets	—	211	179	47	14	2	3	25	45	5	5	3	263	368	413	782	151	331	21	12	350	120	+5	-0	-2	-3	+5	0.4
2012	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	27	24	9	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	375	444	417	861	42	529	26	7	395	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	17	15	4	3	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	267	353	467	820	200	364	24	6	364	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	MLB	New York Mets	—	155	132	25	6	1	0	17	28	5	5	2	189	305	250	555	61	238	18	11	265	70	-6	+0	-4	-4	+3	-1.0
2013	28	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	216	187	54	12	5	7	24	27	4	4	5	289	381	519	900	230	305	12	11	393	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	468	412	119	25	8	7	45	87	6	12	5	289	367	439	806	150	349	19	10	357	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	66	57	14	1	0	0	7	14	2	0	0	246	348	263	612	18	326	21	11	294	77	-2	+0	+0	-4	+1	-0.4
2015	30	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	264	222	62	9	3	1	39	45	2	7	3	279	392	360	752	81	345	17	15	347	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	270	232	56	13	2	7	30	51	6	8	0	241	343	405	748	164	278	19	11	336	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	472	402	94	23	4	4	54	96	13	10	5	234	343	341	684	107	295	20	11	315	99	-0	+0	-5	-12	+10	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	195	187	35	10	1	1	8	39	0	4	1	187	221	267	488	80	229	20	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	517	487	104	22	6	2	20	90	4	13	5	214	250	296	546	82	252	17	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	30	29	6	2	1	0	1	10	0	1	0	207	233	345	578	138	257	33	3	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	470	431	101	17	5	6	30	101	3	12	6	234	289	339	628	104	283	21	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	370	339	83	16	4	7	24	50	2	2	2	245	299	378	676	133	262	14	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	95	20	3	1	1	7	16	2	3	0	211	279	295	574	84	232	15	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	345	314	76	14	3	4	27	68	3	9	5	242	308	344	652	102	297	20	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	229	210	69	20	1	3	15	51	2	5	2	329	379	476	855	148	414	22	7	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	552	500	139	27	9	17	40	95	8	22	10	278	341	470	811	192	307	17	7	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	40	34	8	2	1	1	5	9	1	0	0	235	350	441	791	206	292	22	12	361	130	+1	+0	+1	-2	+1	0.2
2011	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	71	66	11	0	2	1	3	22	1	1	0	167	214	273	487	106	227	31	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	64	55	15	3	0	0	7	15	0	0	1	273	355	327	682	55	340	23	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	211	183	49	15	2	3	21	45	5	5	3	268	359	421	780	153	331	21	10	346	120	+5	-0	-2	-3	+5	0.4
2012	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	27	25	8	1	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	320	370	360	730	40	488	33	4	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	17	15	3	2	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	200	294	333	627	133	317	35	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	155	132	25	6	1	0	17	28	5	5	2	189	305	250	555	61	238	18	11	272	70	-6	+0	-4	-4	+3	-1.0
2013	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	216	194	42	9	3	5	17	37	4	4	5	216	293	371	664	155	243	17	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	468	428	98	20	5	5	29	117	6	12	5	229	287	334	621	105	296	25	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	66	58	14	1	0	0	6	14	2	0	0	241	333	259	592	17	326	21	9	282	77	-2	+0	+0	-4	+1	-0.4
2015	30	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	264	238	54	7	3	1	23	55	2	7	3	227	300	294	594	67	290	21	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	270	244	47	11	1	6	18	63	6	8	0	193	265	320	585	127	234	23	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	195	187	35	10	1	1	8	39	0	4	1	187	221	267	488	80	231	20	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A RAW	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	195	183	40	12	1	1	12	29	0	4	1	219	267	311	578	93	255	15	6	262	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	517	487	104	22	6	2	20	90	4	13	5	214	250	296	546	82	255	17	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A RAW	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	517	476	122	28	7	3	31	66	4	13	5	256	307	363	671	107	289	13	6	298	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	500	461	106	19	5	6	30	111	3	13	6	230	281	332	613	102	287	22	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	500	446	121	23	7	7	45	83	3	13	6	271	342	401	743	130	317	17	9	330	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	475	434	103	19	5	8	31	66	4	5	2	237	294	359	654	122	261	14	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	475	416	110	22	5	9	49	53	4	5	2	264	348	406	754	142	282	11	10	335	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	574	523	145	34	4	7	43	120	5	14	7	277	338	398	736	120	346	21	7	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	574	505	160	40	5	9	61	95	5	14	7	317	396	469	865	152	374	17	11	384	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	552	500	139	27	9	17	40	95	8	22	10	278	341	470	811	192	311	17	7	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA RAW	Portland Beavers	—	552	482	145	30	10	18	58	78	8	22	10	301	385	517	902	216	326	14	11	393	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	175	155	34	5	3	2	15	46	2	1	1	219	297	329	626	110	294	26	9	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	175	150	37	5	3	2	20	38	2	1	1	247	343	360	703	113	312	22	11	316	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	255	223	60	18	2	3	23	60	7	5	3	269	356	408	764	139	352	24	9	339	116	+5	-0	-2	-3	+6	0.5
2012	27	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	255	218	60	18	2	3	28	56	7	5	3	275	375	417	793	142	354	22	11	356	116	+5	-0	-2	-3	+6	0.5
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	371	326	68	15	4	5	34	65	9	9	7	209	301	325	626	117	244	18	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	371	319	79	18	6	7	41	55	9	9	7	248	350	408	757	160	278	15	11	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	468	428	98	20	5	5	29	117	6	12	5	229	287	334	621	105	301	25	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	468	412	119	25	8	7	45	87	6	12	5	289	367	439	806	150	349	19	10	357	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	330	296	68	8	3	1	29	69	4	7	3	230	307	287	594	57	295	21	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	330	279	76	10	3	1	46	59	4	7	3	272	383	341	723	68	341	18	14	336	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	270	244	47	11	1	6	18	63	6	8	0	193	265	320	585	127	232	23	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	270	232	56	13	2	7	30	51	6	8	0	241	343	405	748	164	278	19	11	336	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	195	185	35	10	1	1	8	39	0	4	1	189	221	270	491	81	229	20	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	517	488	104	22	6	2	20	90	4	13	5	213	250	295	546	82	252	17	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	500	463	106	19	5	6	30	111	3	13	6	229	281	330	612	102	281	22	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	475	437	103	19	5	8	31	66	4	5	2	236	294	357	651	121	255	14	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	574	521	145	34	4	7	43	120	5	14	7	278	338	399	737	121	344	21	7	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	552	499	139	27	9	17	40	95	8	22	10	279	341	471	812	192	307	17	7	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	175	156	34	5	3	2	15	46	2	1	1	218	297	327	623	109	283	26	9	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	255	223	60	18	2	3	23	60	7	5	3	269	356	408	764	139	347	24	9	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	371	325	68	15	4	5	34	65	9	9	7	209	301	326	627	117	241	18	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	468	430	98	20	5	5	29	117	6	12	5	228	287	333	620	105	296	25	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	330	294	68	8	3	1	29	69	4	7	3	231	307	289	596	58	297	21	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	270	244	47	11	1	6	18	63	6	8	0	193	265	320	585	127	234	23	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	472	402	94	23	4	4	54	96	13	10	5	234	343	341	684	107	295	20	11	315	80	-0	+0	-5	-12	+10	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	554	131	32	6	6	74	132	18	14	7	236	345	348	694	112	298	20	11	315	80	-1	+0	-7	-17	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4682	4264	1007	208	48	63	320	941	58	113	50	236	298	352	650	116	287	20	7	287	80	-0	+0	-5	-12	+10	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	141	29	7	9	44	131	8	16	7	238	299	356	656	118	289	20	7	287	80	-1	+0	-7	-17	+14	-1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAATacoma Rainiers · 270 PAwOBA .328 → .262 (−66)K% 18.9% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.89%	÷1.041	×1.290	—	—	23.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.74%	÷1.115	×0.710	—	×0.952	6.51%
HBP% /PA	2.22%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	2.07%
Singles /BIP	18.78%	÷0.987	×0.900	×0.984	×0.952	16.04%
Doubles /BIP	7.18%	÷0.901	×0.810	×0.984	×0.952	6.04%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷1.063	×0.810	×0.984	×0.952	0.79%
Home runs /BIP	3.87%	÷0.896	×0.780	—	×0.952	3.20%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 97, 2B 80, 3B 113, K 108, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .328 → .262; ISO .164 → .136; BABIP .278 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAIowa Cubs · 264 PAwOBA .333 → .273 (−60)K% 17.0% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.05%	÷1.051	×1.290	—	—	20.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.88%	÷0.996	×0.710	—	×0.962	8.83%
HBP% /PA	0.76%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.71%
Singles /BIP	27.68%	÷1.008	×0.900	×0.995	×0.962	23.67%
Doubles /BIP	5.08%	÷0.984	×0.810	×0.995	×0.962	4.01%
Triples /BIP	1.69%	÷0.948	×0.810	×0.995	×0.962	1.39%
Home runs /BIP	0.56%	÷0.916	×0.780	—	×0.962	0.46%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 90, K 110, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .333 → .273; ISO .081 → .068; BABIP .345 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 468 PAwOBA .349 → .273 (−76)K% 18.6% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.59%	÷0.955	×1.290	—	—	25.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.40%	÷1.049	×0.710	—	×0.972	6.18%
HBP% /PA	1.28%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	1.22%
Singles /BIP	24.31%	÷1.008	×0.900	×1.017	×0.972	21.45%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.982	×0.810	×1.017	×0.972	6.27%
Triples /BIP	2.46%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.017	×0.972	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	2.15%	÷1.078	×0.780	—	×0.972	1.52%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 102, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 91, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .349 → .273; ISO .150 → .109; BABIP .349 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALas Vegas 51s · 216 PAwOBA .384 → .293 (−91)K% 12.5% → 16.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.50%	÷0.952	×1.290	—	—	16.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷0.994	×0.710	—	×0.982	7.79%
HBP% /PA	1.85%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	1.78%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷1.018	×0.900	×0.977	×0.982	15.89%
Doubles /BIP	7.50%	÷1.023	×0.810	×0.977	×0.982	5.69%
Triples /BIP	3.12%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.977	×0.982	2.11%
Home runs /BIP	4.38%	÷1.078	×0.780	—	×0.982	3.11%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .384 → .293; ISO .230 → .163; BABIP .305 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAABuffalo Bisons · 27 PAwOBA .385 → .329 (−56)K% 25.9% → 31.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.93%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	31.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.41%	÷1.002	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.06%
HBP% /PA	3.70%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	3.45%
Singles /BIP	47.06%	÷0.992	×0.930	—	×0.992	43.76%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷0.963	×0.830	—	×0.992	5.03%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.002	×0.970	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.901	×0.840	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 100, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .385 → .329; ISO .042 → .034; BABIP .529 → .488. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+St. Lucie Mets · 17 PAwOBA .355 → .267 (−88)K% 23.5% → 35.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.53%	÷0.933	×1.420	—	—	35.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.034	×0.750	—	×0.948	4.05%
HBP% /PA	5.88%	—	×0.930	—	×0.948	5.19%
Singles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.020	×0.920	—	×0.948	7.77%
Doubles /BIP	27.27%	÷1.036	×0.960	—	×0.948	23.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.016	×0.810	—	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.239	×0.880	—	×0.948	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .355 → .267; ISO .200 → .149; BABIP .364 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAABuffalo Bisons · 71 PAwOBA .243 → .203 (−39)K% 26.8% → 31.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.76%	÷1.026	×1.200	—	—	31.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.04%	÷1.088	×0.690	—	×1.003	4.48%
HBP% /PA	1.41%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.33%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.008	×0.930	×0.973	×1.003	18.02%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.977	×0.830	×0.973	×1.003	0.00%
Triples /BIP	4.44%	÷0.981	×0.970	×0.973	×1.003	4.29%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷1.139	×0.840	—	×1.003	1.64%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 96, K 105, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .243 → .203; ISO .109 → .094; BABIP .250 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+St. Lucie Mets · 64 PAwOBA .370 → .306 (−65)K% 15.6% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.62%	÷0.947	×1.420	—	—	23.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.62%	÷1.042	×0.750	—	×0.958	10.77%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.958	0.00%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.009	×0.920	—	×0.958	29.11%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.013	×0.960	—	×0.958	6.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.097	×0.810	—	×0.958	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.095	×0.880	—	×0.958	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 119, K 89, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .370 → .306; ISO .058 → .053; BABIP .386 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).