Kyle Waldrop
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 472 | .235/.269/.338 | 7 | 2 | 40 | — | .209/.231/.298 | |
| 2016 | 24 | AAACIN | 355 | .252/.302/.363 | 5 | 4 | 66 | — | .236/.271/.331 | |
| 2016 | 24 | MLBCIN | 23 | .227/.261/.273 | 0 | 0 | 51 | -0.5 | ||
| 2017 | 25 | AAA/AASEA | 513 | .296/.368/.428 | 10 | 4 | 79 | — | .248/.306/.351 | |
| 2018 | 26 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | AZL Reds | — | 29 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 241 | 250 | 491 | 36 | 316 | 31 | 3 | 224 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 293 | 278 | 76 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 65 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 273 | 306 | 471 | 777 | 198 | 340 | 22 | 3 | 336 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 469 | 416 | 118 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 77 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 284 | 349 | 421 | 770 | 137 | 328 | 16 | 8 | 337 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 540 | 504 | 130 | 32 | 4 | 21 | 32 | 121 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 258 | 305 | 462 | 767 | 204 | 299 | 22 | 6 | 335 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 252 | 232 | 73 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 315 | 361 | 517 | 879 | 203 | 357 | 17 | 7 | 381 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 289 | 256 | 92 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 56 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 359 | 415 | 516 | 931 | 156 | 432 | 19 | 8 | 402 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 83 | 80 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 300 | 325 | 463 | 788 | 163 | 344 | 17 | 4 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 213 | 205 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 212 | 229 | 442 | 44 | 245 | 25 | 3 | 201 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 259 | 242 | 67 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 277 | 316 | 430 | 746 | 153 | 343 | 24 | 5 | 327 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 45 | 294 | 22 | 4 | 244 | 51 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +0 | -0.5 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 355 | 325 | 82 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 58 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 252 | 302 | 363 | 665 | 111 | 289 | 16 | 6 | 296 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 49 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 333 | 268 | 602 | 49 | 281 | 20 | 14 | 281 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 464 | 412 | 125 | 28 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 86 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 303 | 371 | 444 | 815 | 141 | 357 | 19 | 8 | 360 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 45 | 294 | 22 | 4 | 244 | 51 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +0 | -0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 29 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 172 | 179 | 351 | 36 | 256 | 45 | 3 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 293 | 282 | 54 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 93 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 191 | 216 | 319 | 536 | 128 | 271 | 32 | 2 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 469 | 431 | 110 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 100 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 255 | 299 | 371 | 670 | 116 | 304 | 21 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 540 | 515 | 104 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 166 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 202 | 236 | 351 | 588 | 150 | 261 | 31 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 252 | 238 | 69 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 290 | 321 | 462 | 783 | 172 | 338 | 21 | 4 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 289 | 263 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 78 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 281 | 330 | 392 | 721 | 110 | 365 | 27 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 213 | 208 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 168 | 184 | 207 | 391 | 38 | 239 | 31 | 2 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 259 | 247 | 60 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 243 | 270 | 372 | 642 | 130 | 317 | 29 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 45 | 294 | 22 | 4 | 243 | 51 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +0 | -0.5 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 355 | 335 | 79 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 236 | 271 | 331 | 602 | 96 | 277 | 20 | 3 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 49 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 292 | 256 | 547 | 47 | 257 | 27 | 10 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 464 | 424 | 107 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 108 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 252 | 308 | 361 | 669 | 108 | 307 | 23 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 29 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 172 | 179 | 351 | 36 | 267 | 45 | 3 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Reds | — | 29 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 241 | 250 | 491 | 36 | 316 | 31 | 3 | 224 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 293 | 282 | 54 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 93 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 191 | 216 | 319 | 536 | 128 | 273 | 32 | 2 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | Billings Mustangs | — | 293 | 278 | 76 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 65 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 273 | 306 | 471 | 777 | 198 | 340 | 22 | 3 | 336 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 469 | 431 | 110 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 100 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 255 | 299 | 371 | 670 | 116 | 314 | 21 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 469 | 416 | 118 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 77 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 284 | 349 | 421 | 770 | 137 | 328 | 16 | 8 | 337 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 540 | 515 | 104 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 166 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 202 | 236 | 351 | 588 | 150 | 263 | 31 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ RAW | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 540 | 504 | 130 | 32 | 4 | 21 | 32 | 121 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 258 | 305 | 462 | 767 | 204 | 299 | 22 | 6 | 335 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 624 | 580 | 165 | 36 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 151 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 284 | 324 | 422 | 747 | 138 | 361 | 24 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 624 | 568 | 189 | 40 | 6 | 16 | 42 | 114 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 333 | 381 | 509 | 890 | 176 | 389 | 18 | 7 | 386 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 455 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 142 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 209 | 231 | 292 | 523 | 84 | 288 | 30 | 2 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 472 | 447 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 115 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 235 | 269 | 338 | 607 | 103 | 298 | 24 | 4 | 270 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 357 | 84 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 76 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 235 | 270 | 328 | 598 | 92 | 282 | 20 | 3 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 378 | 347 | 87 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 63 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 251 | 299 | 357 | 657 | 107 | 290 | 17 | 6 | 292 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 467 | 115 | 24 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 120 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 246 | 304 | 349 | 653 | 103 | 309 | 23 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 453 | 134 | 30 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 96 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 296 | 368 | 428 | 796 | 132 | 350 | 19 | 9 | 353 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 29 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 172 | 179 | 351 | 36 | 256 | 45 | 3 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 293 | 282 | 54 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 93 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 191 | 216 | 319 | 536 | 128 | 271 | 32 | 2 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 469 | 439 | 110 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 100 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 251 | 299 | 364 | 664 | 114 | 304 | 21 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 540 | 512 | 104 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 166 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 203 | 236 | 354 | 590 | 150 | 261 | 31 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 624 | 585 | 165 | 36 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 151 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 282 | 324 | 419 | 743 | 137 | 352 | 24 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 456 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 142 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 208 | 231 | 292 | 522 | 83 | 282 | 30 | 2 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 358 | 84 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 76 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 235 | 270 | 327 | 597 | 92 | 278 | 20 | 3 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 469 | 115 | 24 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 120 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 245 | 304 | 348 | 652 | 102 | 302 | 23 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 45 | 294 | 22 | 4 | 244 | 69 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +0 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 622 | 141 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 227 | 260 | 272 | 532 | 45 | 293 | 22 | 4 | 244 | 69 | -38 | -11 | +3 | -114 | +14 | -15.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3318 | 3115 | 731 | 151 | 22 | 56 | 137 | 861 | 26 | 60 | 34 | 235 | 273 | 351 | 624 | 117 | 303 | 26 | 4 | 271 | 69 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +0 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 610 | 143 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 169 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 234 | 273 | 351 | 623 | 116 | 303 | 26 | 4 | 271 | 69 | -38 | -11 | +3 | -114 | +14 | -15.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 464 PAwOBA .355 → .290 (−65)K% 18.5% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.53% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.97% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.69% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.952 | ×0.988 | 23.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.59% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×0.952 | ×0.988 | 6.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.952 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.07% | ÷1.024 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .355 → .290; ISO .141 → .110; BABIP .357 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAATacoma Rainiers · 49 PAwOBA .281 → .239 (−41)K% 20.4% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.41% | ÷1.028 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 10.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.018 | 21.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.988 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .281 → .239; ISO .049 → .041; BABIP .281 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALouisville Bats · 355 PAwOBA .286 → .266 (−20)K% 16.3% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.34% | ÷0.984 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.51% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.97% | ÷0.952 | ×0.930 | ×1.000 | ×1.033 | 21.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×1.033 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.000 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.882 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.84% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 90, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .286 → .266; ISO .111 → .099; BABIP .289 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 259 PAwOBA .320 → .272 (−48)K% 23.6% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.55% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.25% | ÷1.087 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 2.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.86% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 23.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.18% | ÷0.979 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 6.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.66% | ÷0.903 | ×0.880 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.31% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.59% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 96, 3B 81, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .320 → .272; ISO .153 → .126; BABIP .343 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALouisville Bats · 213 PAwOBA .194 → .174 (−20)K% 25.4% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.35% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.82% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 1.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.53% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.048 | 20.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.97% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.048 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.58% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .194 → .174; ISO .044 → .037; BABIP .245 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 289 PAwOBA .398 → .313 (−85)K% 19.4% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.38% | ÷0.961 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.61% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.50% | ÷1.031 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 28.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 8.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.00% | ÷1.421 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.94% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 92, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .398 → .313; ISO .156 → .110; BABIP .432 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 252 PAwOBA .372 → .333 (−38)K% 17.5% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.35% | ÷1.051 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.94% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 23.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.04% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 8.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .372 → .333; ISO .203 → .176; BABIP .357 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 540 PAwOBA .327 → .253 (−74)K% 22.4% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.41% | ÷0.977 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.93% | ÷1.101 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.06% | ÷0.991 | ×0.910 | ×0.991 | ×1.012 | 17.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.36% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | ×0.991 | ×1.012 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.964 | ×0.760 | ×0.991 | ×1.012 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.48% | ÷1.107 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 4.61% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 93, K 95, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .327 → .253; ISO .204 → .154; BABIP .299 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .