Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 11 | 9 | 19 | 101 | 19 | 27 | 1 | 82% | 1.7 | 12.8% | 33.4% | -20.6% | 1.0% | 8.53 | 6.83 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 11 | 9 | 19 | 101 | 19 | 27 | 1 | 82% | 1.7 | 18.8% | 26.7% | -7.9% | 1.0% | 8.53 | 6.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 5 | 1 | 10 | 55 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 20% | 1.9 | 9.9% | 20.5% | -10.6% | 2.5% | 10.24 | 6.25 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | COL | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | COL | — | — | 21 | 103 | 19 | 14 | 2 | — | — | 18.3% | 13.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 7.17 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | COL | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.00 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 46 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 10 | 29 | 156 | 18 | 45 | 2 | 62% | 1.8 | 11.8% | 28.8% | -17.1% | 1.6% | 9.10 | 6.62 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 70 | 200 | 1088 | 128 | 314 | 17 | 62% | 1.8 | 11.8% | 28.8% | -17.1% | 1.6% | 9.10 | 6.62 | -2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cristopher Alburquerque (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.38 | 23.2% | 13.1% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| James Gonzalez L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.47 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .327 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 91 | +1.40 | 2.31 | 455 | 80 |
| Robinson Ortiz L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.85 | 21.0% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .312 | 5.34 | 15.2% | 0.6% | 98 | +1.49 | 2.29 | 261 | 76 |
| Johan Simon L 2028 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 75 |
| Luke Little L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .200 | 2.91 | 28.0% | 12.2% | 155 | -1.09 | 2.76 | 250 | 73 |
| Juan Rojas L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.65 | 23.0% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .279 | 4.23 | 15.9% | 2.4% | 164 | +0.58 | 2.74 | 279 | 73 |
| Blake Townsend L 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 72 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2028 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 72 |
| Spencer Giesting L 2029 · 5.67 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.67 | 20.8% | 16.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 4.35 | 19.1% | 7.7% | 394 | -1.32 | 3.48 | 433 | 71 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2028 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 71 |
| Brayan Mendoza L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.9% | 15.0% | 3.2% | .273 | 3.88 | 17.1% | 6.3% | 221 | -1.38 | 3.58 | 359 | 70 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2029 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 69 |
| Zhiorman Imbriano L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .375 | 5.01 | 13.0% | -5.8% | 83 | +1.08 | 3.93 | 100 | 69 |
| Jordan Woods L 2028 · 4.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.61 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .329 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 112 | -0.48 | 3.74 | 143 | 69 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 68 |
| Adam Serwinowski L 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.80 | 27.3% | 18.7% | 1.2% | .255 | 4.51 | 21.9% | 8.1% | 272 | +0.71 | 3.80 | 299 | 68 |
| Adam Macko L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.88 | 22.4% | 14.6% | 1.5% | .353 | 3.57 | 27.2% | 12.4% | 72 | -0.31 | 3.51 | 382 | 68 |
| Victor Cabreja L 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.75 | 17.0% | 13.0% | 0.8% | .348 | 4.50 | 11.2% | 1.7% | 146 | +0.75 | 3.75 | 233 | 68 |
| Javier Chacon L 2027 · 5.42 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.42 | 22.5% | 13.1% | 4.7% | .295 | 4.69 | 20.3% | 3.5% | 94 | -0.73 | 4.63 | 181 | 67 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 67 |
| Rigoberto Borbolla L 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 17 | SW | 3.86 | 18.0% | 11.7% | 1.5% | .336 | 7.71 | 9.9% | -15.3% | 14 | +3.85 | 3.86 | 114 | 67 |