Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 7 | 4 | 17 | 77 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 57% | 2.4 | 14.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 5.82 | 3.93 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 7 | 4 | 17 | 77 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 57% | 2.4 | 20.8% | 5.2% | 15.6% | 1.3% | 5.82 | 2.69 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 9 | 1 | 18 | 83 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 11% | 2.0 | 12.3% | 21.1% | -8.8% | 1.9% | 6.50 | 5.80 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 9 | 1 | 18 | 83 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 11% | 2.0 | 18.1% | 16.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 6.50 | 4.49 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 12 | 11 | 42 | 177 | 32 | 22 | 1 | 92% | 3.5 | 12.3% | 15.5% | -3.2% | 0.7% | 2.98 | 4.40 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 12 | 11 | 42 | 177 | 32 | 22 | 1 | 92% | 3.5 | 18.1% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 2.98 | 3.45 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 12 | 9 | 23 | 119 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 75% | 1.9 | 14.9% | 23.1% | -8.3% | 1.4% | 10.57 | 5.51 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 12 | 9 | 23 | 119 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 75% | 1.9 | 21.8% | 18.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 10.57 | 4.27 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 3 | 3 | 17 | 70 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 70 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 40 | 25 | 100 | 456 | 61 | 78 | 6 | 62% | 2.5 | 13.3% | 17.0% | -3.7% | 1.3% | 5.83 | 4.86 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 50 | 200 | 909 | 121 | 154 | 12 | 62% | 2.5 | 13.3% | 17.0% | -3.7% | 1.3% | 5.83 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zhiorman Imbriano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 22.9% | 9.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.29 | 23.5% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Brady Basso L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 84 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 80 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2028 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 78 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 77 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 76 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 73 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 73 |
| Jack Owen L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.69 | 17.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | .359 | 4.30 | 16.0% | 8.7% | 201 | -0.39 | 3.31 | 221 | 73 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2029 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 72 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 72 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.63 | 23.1% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .249 | 4.99 | 21.5% | 9.2% | 48 | +1.36 | 3.10 | 196 | 71 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2028 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 71 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.97 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .382 | 3.85 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.12 | 3.10 | 381 | 71 |
| Drake Owenby L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.88 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 140 | 71 |
| Jordan Woods L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 70 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 69 |
| Will Johnston L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .290 | 4.34 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 82 | +0.13 | 4.04 | 174 | 69 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 68 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2027 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 68 |
| Jaime Arias L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.91 | 15.6% | 9.9% | 3.4% | .332 | 5.63 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.72 | 4.52 | 243 | 67 |