Adam Macko — OGILVIE

Adam Macko P Round Rock Express

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 170 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 96104vR 112

ERA4.15

FIP4.15

K%20.6%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD4045

K†4555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p6928.2%

p5022.2%

xwOBA vs

p250.341

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	8	2	21	94	31	11	1	25%	2.7	22.4%	14.6%	7.8%	1.5%	3.38	3.88	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	8	2	21	94	31	11	1	25%	2.7	33.0%	11.7%	21.3%	1.1%	3.38	2.35	—
2021	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	9	9	33	155	56	21	1	100%	3.7	26.7%	16.0%	10.7%	1.0%	4.59	3.40	—
2021	20	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	9	9	33	155	56	21	1	100%	3.7	36.1%	13.5%	22.6%	0.6%	4.59	2.02	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	8	8	38	167	60	20	4	100%	4.8	27.7%	13.8%	13.9%	2.4%	3.99	3.84	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	8	8	38	167	60	20	4	100%	4.8	35.9%	12.0%	24.0%	2.4%	3.99	2.89	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	20	20	86	372	106	40	7	100%	4.3	21.9%	12.4%	9.6%	1.9%	4.81	3.84	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	20	20	86	372	106	40	7	100%	4.3	21.9%	12.4%	9.6%	1.9%	4.81	3.84	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	20	20	86	372	106	40	7	100%	4.3	28.5%	10.8%	17.7%	1.9%	4.81	3.09	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	20	93	390	105	35	10	100%	4.7	21.4%	9.7%	11.7%	2.2%	4.63	3.70	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	20	93	390	105	35	10	100%	4.7	21.4%	9.7%	11.7%	2.2%	4.63	3.70	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	20	93	390	105	35	10	100%	4.7	26.9%	9.0%	17.9%	2.6%	4.63	3.37	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	14	81	357	91	39	6	61%	3.5	20.1%	10.1%	9.9%	2.2%	4.76	3.89	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	14	81	357	91	39	6	61%	3.5	20.1%	10.1%	9.9%	2.2%	4.76	3.89	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	14	81	357	91	39	6	61%	3.5	25.5%	10.9%	14.6%	1.7%	4.76	3.26	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			29	1	29	135	30	10	5	3%	1.0	22.2%	7.4%	14.8%	3.7%	5.65	4.32	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	53	2	61	276	67	23	8	4%	1.2	22.0%	7.9%	14.1%	2.9%	5.02	3.82	+0.5
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	53	2	61	276	67	23	8	4%	1.2	22.0%	7.9%	14.1%	2.9%	5.02	3.82	+0.5
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	TEX	24	1	32	141	37	13	3	4%	1.3	26.2%	9.2%	17.0%	2.1%	4.45	3.22	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	TEX	29	1	29	135	30	10	5	3%	1.0	22.2%	7.4%	14.8%	3.7%	5.65	4.19	+0.1
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	TEX	29	1	29	135	30	10	5	3%	1.0	22.2%	7.4%	14.8%	3.7%	5.65	4.19	+0.1
ROS	25	MLB MLE	TEX	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	2.8%	4.15	4.15	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	TEX	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	2.8%	4.15	4.15	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	67	301	72	25	9	—	—	24.0%	8.5%	15.5%	2.9%	4.94	3.85	+0.6
FULL	25	MLB A+C	TEX	—	—	35	146	72	25	9	—	—	49.5%	17.5%	32.0%	6.0%	9.57	4.41	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	80	0	84	355	74	34	10	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.6%	11.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	79	0	83	349	73	33	11	0%	1.0	20.9%	9.5%	11.4%	3.0%	4.55	4.57	-0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	TEX	76	0	80	339	71	32	11	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.6%	11.3%	3.1%	4.60	4.64	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	TEX	73	0	77	323	73	29	11	0%	1.0	22.7%	9.0%	13.7%	3.3%	4.53	4.49	+0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	TEX	69	0	72	304	68	28	11	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.3%	13.1%	3.5%	4.61	4.67	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	76	0	80	338	70	32	10	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.6%	11.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	75	0	79	334	70	32	10	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.5%	11.4%	3.0%	4.55	4.57	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	TEX	72	0	76	321	67	31	10	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.6%	11.3%	3.1%	4.60	4.64	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	TEX	70	0	73	308	70	28	10	0%	1.0	22.7%	9.0%	13.7%	3.3%	4.53	4.49	+0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	TEX	65	0	68	287	64	27	10	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.3%	13.1%	3.5%	4.61	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		392	1	410	1746	376	161	56	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.2%	12.3%	3.2%	4.64	4.20	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	851	183	78	27	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.2%	12.3%	3.2%	4.64	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		141	75	415	1811	406	203	38	53%	2.9	22.4%	11.2%	11.2%	2.1%	4.62	3.78	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	36	200	873	196	98	18	53%	2.9	22.4%	11.2%	11.2%	2.1%	4.62	3.78	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Macko (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	19.8%	10.8%	2.7%	—	4.59	20.9%	11.3%	247	-0.10	—	—	—
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	82
Brad Hand L 2015 · 3.95 FIP	25	SW	3.95	16.4%	7.6%	2.3%	.326	2.71	32.9%	25.0%	241	-1.24	0.84	577	80
Adam Wolf L 2022 · 3.91 FIP	25	SW	3.91	19.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.292	4.18	16.8%	5.9%	109	+0.27	3.91	383	79
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	78
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	77
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	77
Matt Stalcup L 2015 · 3.62 FIP	25	SW	3.62	16.2%	9.7%	1.2%	.266	6.20	11.5%	-1.2%	56	+2.58	3.62	145	75
Samuel Strickland L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	24	SW	4.87	19.5%	7.3%	4.5%	.337	3.53	20.1%	14.4%	148	-1.34	2.91	292	75
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	75
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	75
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	74
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	74
Parker Mushinski L 2021 · 3.50 FIP	25	SW	3.50	24.7%	9.0%	2.5%	.357	4.06	21.3%	11.5%	143	+0.56	3.11	455	74
Brent Headrick L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	25	SW	4.54	22.6%	7.6%	4.3%	.299	2.87	28.1%	21.0%	138	-1.67	2.21	409	74
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	73
Tony Cingrani L 2015 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	25.8%	12.9%	1.9%	.305	3.84	25.4%	15.7%	128	+0.24	1.68	186	72
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	72
Zack Thompson L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	25	SP-	4.50	22.8%	12.9%	3.1%	.355	4.69	23.0%	10.8%	107	+0.19	2.03	402	72
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	71
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	77	21.2%	9.6%	1.20	4.59
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86