Renyel Campos — OGILVIE

Renyel CamposC FCL Blue Jays

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 161 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 46 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .283 / .293

PA46

HR1

K%30

BB%9

BABIP269

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$6M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+1.0	$3M	+$2M
Totals		$13M		$33M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	100	82	10	2	0	1	11	39	5	0	3	122	265	183	448	61	209	39	11	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	100	76	13	3	0	1	17	26	5	0	3	171	357	250	607	79	240	26	17	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	TOR	—	69	62	10	1	0	2	5	20	2	1	0	161	246	274	521	113	200	29	7	248	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
YTD	19	ROK	TOR	—	69	59	14	2	0	3	8	14	2	1	0	237	348	424	772	186	262	20	12	348	124	+2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.5
ROS	19	ROK	TOR	0%	46	41	8	1	0	1	4	14	1	0	0	195	283	293	575	98	275	30	9	261	58	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
ROS	19	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	249	49	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	TOR	—	69	63	10	1	0	2	5	20	2	1	0	159	246	270	516	111	195	29	7	248	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
TOT	19	ROK	TOR	—	115	103	18	2	0	3	9	34	3	1	0	175	261	282	542	107	227	30	8	253	52	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	177	158	33	6	1	3	14	51	3	2	1	209	286	316	602	108	282	29	8	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	314	280	60	10	2	6	25	88	6	3	1	214	293	329	621	114	284	28	8	281	74	-9	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.5
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	415	372	81	14	2	9	33	115	7	4	1	218	294	339	632	121	285	28	8	286	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.9
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	482	432	94	16	2	11	39	132	8	5	2	218	294	340	635	123	286	27	8	290	80	-11	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.2
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	520	464	103	18	3	12	42	142	9	5	2	222	299	351	650	129	287	27	8	291	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2032	25	MLB	TOR	57%	520	464	103	18	3	12	42	142	9	5	2	222	299	351	650	129	287	27	8	293	82	-10	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2033	26	MLB	TOR	56%	520	464	104	18	3	13	42	142	9	5	2	224	301	360	661	136	287	27	8	293	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2034	27	MLB	TOR	55%	520	463	104	18	3	13	43	142	9	5	2	225	303	361	664	136	287	27	8	293	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2035	28	MLB	TOR	59%	520	463	101	17	3	12	43	143	9	5	2	218	297	346	643	127	286	28	8	292	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2036	29	MLB	TOR	61%	520	462	100	17	2	12	44	144	9	4	1	216	297	340	637	123	285	28	8	290	80	-12	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2037	30	MLB	TOR	62%	520	462	100	17	2	12	44	145	9	4	1	216	297	340	637	123	284	28	8	288	78	-13	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.0
2038	31	MLB	TOR	63%	504	448	95	16	2	11	42	142	9	3	1	212	293	330	623	118	281	28	8	283	75	-14	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.7
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	61	55	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	200	279	291	570	91	283	28	8	262	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	152	136	29	5	1	3	12	43	3	1	0	213	291	331	622	118	285	28	8	269	64	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	225	201	44	8	1	5	18	62	4	2	1	219	296	343	639	124	287	28	8	274	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	273	244	53	9	1	6	22	75	5	3	1	217	295	336	631	119	288	27	8	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	294	263	59	10	2	7	24	80	5	3	1	224	301	357	659	133	289	27	8	280	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2032	25	MLB	TOR	57%	294	263	59	10	2	7	24	80	5	3	1	224	301	357	659	133	289	27	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2033	26	MLB	TOR	56%	294	263	59	10	2	7	24	80	5	3	1	224	301	357	659	133	288	27	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2034	27	MLB	TOR	55%	288	257	57	10	1	7	24	79	5	3	1	222	301	350	651	128	288	27	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2035	28	MLB	TOR	59%	307	273	60	10	2	7	26	84	5	3	1	220	299	348	647	128	288	27	8	280	73	-9	+0	-0	+5	+9	0.5
2036	29	MLB	TOR	61%	317	281	61	10	2	7	27	88	6	3	1	217	299	342	641	125	287	28	9	278	71	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2037	30	MLB	TOR	62%	324	288	62	11	1	7	27	90	6	2	1	215	296	333	629	118	285	28	8	276	69	-11	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.2
2038	31	MLB	TOR	63%	318	283	60	10	1	7	27	90	5	2	1	212	292	329	621	117	283	28	8	272	66	-12	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3147	2808	614	105	16	71	260	868	55	29	10	219	298	343	641	125	288	28	8	277	70	-105	+2	-4	+56	+89	3.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	127	22	3	15	54	179	11	6	2	219	298	345	643	126	288	28	8	277	70	-22	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	5678	5055	1096	188	28	128	468	1581	102	50	21	217	296	341	637	124	287	28	8	287	78	-141	+2	-7	+101	+161	11.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	126	22	3	15	54	181	12	6	2	218	298	344	642	126	287	28	8	287	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	100	76	13	3	0	1	17	26	5	0	3	171	357	250	607	79	240	26	17	296	85	-2	-1	—	—	+3	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,234	74	28	219	294	344	+58	+32	7.2	6.3
	/162	664	15	6	219	294	344	+11.9	+6.6	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Renyel Campos (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	175/261/282	107	227	3	1	30%	8%	52	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	46→45	47	181/281/275	94	294	7	6	37%	11%	57	-1.2	183/259/259	76	293	5	6	36%	9%	43	-2.2	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Alejandro Flores 2015 · A	19	40	41→50	48→40	43	199/259/294	95	265	9	5	28%	7%	51	-1.7	195/256/288	93	291	8	6	33%	7%	48	-1.9	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Joe Mack 2022 · A	19	43→40	39→55	45	49	193/294/276	83	327	6	5	38%	12%	63	-0.9	197/277/301	104	294	12	2	34%	9%	61	-1.0	212/278/383	171	271	23	5	30%	7%	80	+0.3
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	45→43	39→50	49→30	44	211/285/298	86	311	6	8	32%	8%	63	-0.8	210/293/378	168	310	19	3	36%	10%	89	+0.9	201/295/383	183	291	22	1	36%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→40	42→55	47→50	39	203/257/313	110	287	8	5	31%	6%	55	-1.4	192/232/317	125	275	12	5	34%	4%	45	-2.1	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	42	201/285/303	102	283	9	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	214/290/334	120	285	13	5	28%	8%	76	+0.0	213/279/330	117	277	14	2	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→47	42→50	43→50	42	210/262/309	99	277	9	6	27%	6%	56	-1.3	229/287/360	131	315	13	11	30%	7%	80	+0.4	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Omar Martinez 2021 · A	20	43→38	39→45	48→40	47	206/280/291	85	290	7	5	30%	9%	59	-1.1	197/282/309	112	296	12	5	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/263/292	118	262	14	4	37%	10%	52	-1.0
✕Carlos Soto 2019 · A	20	41	40→50	43→30	45	199/265/285	86	265	8	3	27%	8%	52	-1.6	200/264/298	98	278	9	4	30%	7%	55	-1.4	169/256/291	122	232	12	0	31%	10%	49	-0.8