Izaac Pacheco

3B Erie SeaWolves
Age 24 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2328ETA2030MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+/ADET330.224/.302/.3497432—.164/.222/.252
202522A+DET425.258/.391/.49917090—.203/.296/.403
202623AADET378.232/.343/.48321578—.193/.273/.381
2027PROJMLE24MLBDET4.187/.267/.3530078-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB25MLBDET56.191/.271/.3612081-0.0
2029PROJ35% MLB26MLBDET102.193/.274/.36441830.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$0.4M2032Arb-2$0.4M2033Arb-3$0.6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO90
BB%80
wRC+71
wOBA65
Chase%44
Speed35
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 1.4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%
CompsJared Greenwood (age 24) · Nathan Hickey (age 24) · Andy Yerzy (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .267 / .353
PA4
HR0
K%50
BB%10
BABIP269
ISO176
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Arb-1$0.4M———
2032Arb-2$0.4M———
2033Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $0.0M $-0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKFCL Tigers West — 125106 24421 18430 10 226336330666 104371 3414 307 13 — — — — — —
202219 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 7360 11203 9170 01 183290367657 183182 2312 281 61 — — — — — —
202219 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 371330 882128 38801 124 267344415759 148328 2210 339 59 — — — — — —
202320 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 508455 9622312 471601 52 211286352638 141292 319 285 36 — — — — — —
202421 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 280254 561117 22962 41 220288354642 134320 348 288 30 — — — — — —
202421 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 5041 10300 9150 01 244380317697 73385 3018 329 43 — — — — — —
202522 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 425341 8825317 741232 00 258391499890 240343 2917 387 90 — — — — — —
202623 AAErie SeaWolves — 378319 7413221 521302 50 232343483826 251306 3414 359 78 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEFCL Tigers West — 125114 15211 10610 10 132200193393 61285 498 188 13 — — — — — —
202219 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 7363 11203 6230 01 175246349596 175168 328 259 61 — — — — — —
202219 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 371342 721725 261111 124 211268316584 105289 307 256 59 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 508467 7716210 352021 52 165225272497 107254 407 222 36 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 280261 42815 151272 41 161212257469 96281 455 212 30 — — — — — —
202421 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 5044 8200 6200 01 182280227507 45324 4012 232 43 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 425370 7520316 471632 00 203296403699 200289 3811 301 90 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 378336 6511216 351592 50 193273381654 187282 429 284 78 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Tigers West — 125115 15211 10610 10 130200191391 61264 498 188 13 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWFCL Tigers West — 125106 24421 18430 10 226336330666 104371 3414 307 13 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE2 teams — 444405 831928 321331 125 205265321586 116278 307 256 60 — — — — — —
202219 A RAW2 teams — 444390 9923211 47971 125 254336408743 154306 2211 329 60 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 508467 7716210 352021 52 165225272497 107258 407 222 36 — — — — — —
202320 A+ RAWWest Michigan Whitecaps — 508455 9622312 471601 52 211286352638 141292 319 285 36 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 330305 501015 211472 42 164223252475 89290 456 215 32 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAW2 teams — 330295 661417 311112 42 224302349651 125330 349 294 32 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 425370 7520316 471632 00 203296403699 200299 3811 301 90 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAWWest Michigan Whitecaps — 425341 8825317 741232 00 258391499890 240343 2917 387 90 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 378336 6511216 351592 50 193273381654 187295 429 284 78 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAWErie SeaWolves — 378319 7413221 521302 50 232343483826 251306 3414 359 78 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Tigers West — 125114 15211 10610 10 132200193393 61285 498 188 13 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE2 teams — 444408 831928 321331 125 203265319583 115269 307 256 60 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 508467 7716210 352021 52 165225272497 107254 407 222 36 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 330304 501015 211472 42 164223253476 89288 456 215 32 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 425373 7520316 471632 00 201296399695 198289 3811 301 90 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 378338 6511216 351592 50 192273379652 186282 429 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 330304 501015 211472 42 164223253476 89288 456 215 32 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 425373 7520316 471632 00 201296399695 198289 3811 301 90 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 378338 6511216 351592 50 192273379652 186282 429 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEDET 2% 380340 6513214 351442 30 191271364635 173274 389 283 78 -10 +1 -1 +1 +8 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXDET 2% 44 0000 020 00 187267353621 167269 500 277 78 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEDET 23% 244218 42819 23901 20 195275371646 176276 379 287 81 -6 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.0
202926 MLB MLEDET 35% 292261 5110111 271062 20 198278375652 177277 369 290 83 -6 +0 -1 +1 +6 0.1
203027 MLB MLEDET 40% 314280 5611112 291122 20 199279374653 175277 369 291 83 -6 +0 -1 +1 +7 0.1
203128 MLB MLEDET 44% 323288 5711112 301142 10 200279371651 172277 359 290 82 -7 +0 -2 +1 +7 0.0
203229 MLB MLEDET 45% 317283 5611111 291112 00 200279367646 168277 359 288 81 -7 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.1
203330 MLB MLEDET 45% 312279 5511111 281102 00 197275360635 163275 359 284 78 -8 +0 -3 +1 +7 -0.3
202825 MLB CTXDET 23% 5651 9202 5210 00 191271361632 170271 389 282 81 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
202926 MLB CTXDET 35% 10290 18404 10371 10 193274364638 171272 3610 285 83 -2 +0 -0 +0 +2 0.0
203027 MLB CTXDET 40% 127113 23415 12451 10 195275364639 169272 359 285 83 -3 +0 -0 +0 +3 0.0
203128 MLB CTXDET 44% 142127 25515 13501 10 196275361636 165272 359 284 82 -3 +0 -1 +1 +3 0.0
203229 MLB CTXDET 45% 141126 25515 13491 00 196275357632 162272 359 283 81 -3 +0 -1 +1 +3 -0.1
203330 MLB CTXDET 45% 141126 25515 13501 00 193271350622 157270 359 278 78 -4 +0 -1 +1 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 709633 12525426 662525 30 197278373651 175275 369 283 68 -16 +1 -4 +3 +15 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 11523424 612315 30 198281376656 178276 369 283 68 -15 +1 -3 +2 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 42223794 71814718130 366158720 369 189264340604 151278 389 269 68 -46 +2 -9 +7 +44 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 11123320 562443 61 190264342606 152280 389 269 68 -15 +1 -3 +2 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAErie SeaWolves · 378 PAwOBA .352 → .284 (−67)K% 34.4% → 42.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.39%÷1.000×1.220——41.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.96%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0129.18%
HBP% /PA0.53%—×0.850—×1.0120.46%
Singles /BIP20.11%÷1.000×0.970×0.991×1.01219.55%
Doubles /BIP6.88%÷1.000×0.860×0.991×1.0125.93%
Triples /BIP1.06%÷1.000×0.950×0.991×1.0121.01%
Home runs /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0128.77%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .352 → .284; ISO .251 → .196; BABIP .306 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 425 PAwOBA .382 → .301 (−81)K% 28.9% → 38.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.94%÷0.960×1.270——38.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.18%÷1.106×0.710—×0.99811.00%
HBP% /PA0.47%—×0.790—×0.9980.37%
Singles /BIP19.72%÷1.027×0.920×0.960×0.99816.92%
Doubles /BIP11.47%÷0.948×0.810×0.960×0.9989.39%
Triples /BIP1.38%÷0.900×0.850×0.960×0.9981.25%
Home runs /BIP7.80%÷0.850×0.800—×0.9987.33%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 92, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .382 → .301; ISO .240 → .212; BABIP .343 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 280 PAwOBA .282 → .212 (−70)K% 34.3% → 45.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.29%÷0.957×1.270——45.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.86%÷1.026×0.710—×1.0125.50%
HBP% /PA0.71%—×0.790—×1.0120.57%
Singles /BIP23.42%÷1.021×0.920×0.965×1.01220.61%
Doubles /BIP6.96%÷0.892×0.810×0.965×1.0126.17%
Triples /BIP0.63%÷0.900×0.850×0.965×1.0120.58%
Home runs /BIP4.43%÷0.889×0.800—×1.0124.04%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .282 → .212; ISO .134 → .104; BABIP .320 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 50 PAwOBA .322 → .232 (−90)K% 30.0% → 39.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.00%÷1.028×1.360——39.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.00%÷1.061×0.690——11.70%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP26.92%÷0.980×0.920——25.28%
Doubles /BIP11.54%÷1.351×0.830——7.09%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.106×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.099×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .322 → .232; ISO .073 → .042; BABIP .385 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 508 PAwOBA .281 → .222 (−59)K% 31.5% → 39.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.50%÷1.007×1.270——39.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.25%÷0.993×0.710—×1.0276.80%
HBP% /PA0.20%—×0.790—×1.0270.16%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.989×0.920×0.950×1.02718.15%
Doubles /BIP7.46%÷0.985×0.810×0.950×1.0275.98%
Triples /BIP1.02%÷1.150×0.850×0.950×1.0270.73%
Home runs /BIP4.07%÷0.882×0.800—×1.0273.79%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .281 → .222; ISO .141 → .112; BABIP .292 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 371 PAwOBA .330 → .256 (−74)K% 21.6% → 29.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.56%÷0.982×1.360——29.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.70%÷0.998×0.690—×1.0306.91%
HBP% /PA0.27%—×0.780—×1.0300.22%
Singles /BIP22.80%÷1.009×0.920×0.968×1.03020.75%
Doubles /BIP8.40%÷0.974×0.830×0.968×1.0307.14%
Triples /BIP0.80%÷1.039×0.910×0.968×1.0300.70%
Home runs /BIP3.20%÷1.279×0.800—×1.0302.06%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .330 → .256; ISO .148 → .104; BABIP .328 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 73 PAwOBA .290 → .259 (−30)K% 23.3% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.29%÷0.956×1.270——30.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.33%÷1.024×0.710—×1.0428.90%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP13.95%÷1.031×0.920×0.986×1.04212.80%
Doubles /BIP4.65%÷0.876×0.810×0.986×1.0424.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850×0.986×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP6.98%÷0.847×0.800—×1.0426.86%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 106, 2B 75, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .290 → .259; ISO .183 → .183; BABIP .182 → .168. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Tigers West · 125 PAwOBA .300 → .188 (−112)K% 34.4% → 49.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.40%÷1.010×1.440——49.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.40%÷1.066×0.620—×1.0088.44%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP26.98%÷0.984×0.820×0.950×1.00821.52%
Doubles /BIP6.35%÷1.027×0.720×0.950×1.0084.26%
Triples /BIP3.17%÷0.949×0.720×0.950×1.0082.31%
Home runs /BIP1.59%÷0.906×0.780—×1.0081.38%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 90, K 102, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .300 → .188; ISO .104 → .065; BABIP .371 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).