Izaac Pacheco — OGILVIE

Izaac PachecoSS Erie SeaWolves

Age 23 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION249 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .248 / .351

PA166

HR6

K%43

BB%8

BABIP280

ISO172

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.2M
2033	Arb-3	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Tigers West	—	125	115	16	2	1	1	10	61	0	1	0	139	208	200	408	61	283	49	8	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Tigers West	—	125	106	24	4	2	1	18	43	0	1	0	226	336	330	666	104	371	34	14	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	444	404	80	21	1	8	33	143	1	12	5	198	260	314	575	116	278	32	7	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	444	390	99	23	2	11	47	97	1	12	5	254	336	408	743	154	306	22	11	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	508	468	76	16	2	12	34	213	1	5	2	162	221	282	503	120	258	42	7	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	508	455	96	22	3	12	47	160	1	5	2	211	286	352	638	141	292	31	9	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	330	305	47	10	1	6	21	162	2	4	2	154	213	252	466	98	295	49	6	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	330	295	66	14	1	7	31	111	2	4	2	224	302	349	651	125	330	34	9	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	425	374	75	20	3	19	43	181	2	0	0	201	286	422	709	222	311	43	10	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	425	341	88	25	3	17	74	123	2	0	0	258	391	499	890	240	343	29	17	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	DET	—	249	225	40	8	2	10	21	115	0	4	0	178	248	364	612	187	291	46	8	265	61	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
YTD	23	AA	DET	—	249	213	47	10	2	12	33	89	0	4	0	221	325	455	781	235	304	36	13	341	119	+5	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.6
ROS	23	AA	DET	2%	166	151	27	6	1	6	14	71	0	2	0	179	248	351	599	172	280	43	8	265	61	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	DET	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						274	33	0	258	56	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	DET	—	252	228	40	8	2	10	21	116	0	4	0	175	245	360	605	184	286	46	8	265	61	-11	+1	-0	+3	+7	-0.1
TOT	23	AA	DET	—	415	376	67	14	3	16	35	186	0	6	0	178	248	359	607	181	287	45	8	265	61	-18	+1	-1	+4	+12	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	DET	23%	480	434	81	17	3	18	41	194	2	4	1	187	260	364	624	177	281	40	9	276	70	-16	+0	-3	+5	+14	0.0
2028	25	MLB	DET	35%	510	459	89	19	3	19	44	199	2	4	1	194	267	373	640	179	282	39	9	284	75	-14	+0	-3	+5	+14	0.3
2029	26	MLB	DET	42%	527	474	93	19	3	20	46	201	2	5	1	196	270	376	646	179	283	38	9	288	78	-13	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.6
2030	27	MLB	DET	45%	533	479	96	20	3	21	47	202	2	5	1	200	275	386	661	186	284	38	9	289	79	-13	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.6
2031	28	MLB	DET	47%	532	477	94	20	3	20	48	202	2	4	1	197	273	377	651	180	283	38	9	288	78	-13	+0	-4	+6	+15	0.5
2032	29	MLB	DET	46%	525	471	92	19	3	20	47	200	2	4	1	195	271	376	647	180	282	38	9	286	77	-14	+0	-4	+6	+15	0.3
2033	30	MLB	DET	46%	516	462	89	19	2	19	47	198	2	4	0	193	270	366	636	173	281	38	9	284	75	-14	+1	-5	+6	+15	0.2
2034	31	MLB	DET	46%	503	451	85	18	2	18	45	195	2	3	0	188	265	357	622	169	279	39	9	280	72	-16	+1	-5	+5	+14	-0.1
2035	32	MLB	DET	50%	485	436	81	17	2	17	44	190	2	2	0	186	263	351	614	165	275	39	9	275	68	-17	+0	-6	+5	+14	-0.4
2027	24	MLB	DET	23%	110	100	19	4	1	4	9	45	0	1	0	190	257	370	627	180	275	41	8	268	64	-5	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	DET	35%	179	160	31	6	1	7	16	70	1	2	0	194	271	375	646	181	277	39	9	275	69	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
2029	26	MLB	DET	42%	222	200	38	8	1	8	19	85	1	2	0	190	264	360	624	170	278	38	9	279	71	-7	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.1
2030	27	MLB	DET	45%	239	215	42	9	1	9	21	90	1	2	0	195	270	372	642	177	278	38	9	280	72	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2031	28	MLB	DET	47%	247	222	43	9	1	9	22	94	1	2	0	194	269	365	634	171	278	38	9	279	72	-8	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.0
2032	29	MLB	DET	46%	244	219	42	9	1	9	22	93	1	2	0	192	269	365	634	174	277	38	9	277	70	-8	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.0
2033	30	MLB	DET	46%	239	214	41	8	1	9	22	92	1	2	0	192	270	364	635	173	276	38	9	275	69	-8	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
2034	31	MLB	DET	46%	233	209	39	8	1	8	21	90	1	1	0	187	264	349	613	163	273	39	9	271	66	-9	+0	-3	+2	+7	-0.2
2035	32	MLB	DET	50%	245	220	40	8	1	8	22	96	1	1	0	182	259	336	596	155	270	39	9	266	62	-10	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1961	1762	335	69	9	71	174	756	8	15	0	190	266	360	626	170	280	39	9	275	69	-70	+3	-16	+21	+56	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	112	23	3	24	58	251	3	5	0	192	269	365	633	173	282	39	9	275	69	-23	+1	-5	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	6609	5960	1121	243	33	224	564	2612	24	59	15	188	261	353	614	165	283	40	9	271	66	-255	+6	-36	+71	+187	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	110	24	3	22	55	257	2	6	1	188	259	352	611	164	283	40	8	271	66	-25	+1	-4	+7	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Tigers West	—	125	106	24	4	2	1	18	43	0	1	0	226	336	330	666	104	371	34	14	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2022	19	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	73	60	11	2	0	3	9	17	0	0	1	183	290	367	657	183	182	23	12	281	73	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	371	330	88	21	2	8	38	80	1	12	4	267	344	415	759	148	328	22	10	339	117	+7	+1	—	—	+11	1.9
2023	20	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	508	455	96	22	3	12	47	160	1	5	2	211	286	352	638	141	292	31	9	285	77	-13	+0	—	—	+14	0.1
2024	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	280	254	56	11	1	7	22	96	2	4	1	220	288	354	642	134	320	34	8	288	78	-7	+0	—	—	+8	0.2
2024	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	50	41	10	3	0	0	9	15	0	0	1	244	380	317	697	73	385	30	18	329	110	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	425	341	88	25	3	17	74	123	2	0	0	258	391	499	890	240	343	29	17	387	154	+26	+0	—	—	+12	3.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,964	74	15	194	267	371	+21	-8	2.1	2.0
	/162	664	25	5	194	267	371	+7.1	-2.7	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Izaac Pacheco (OGILVIE)	23	30→34	50→57	45→40	45	178/248/359	181	287	16	6	45%	8%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cody Thomas 2018 · A	23	35→45	50→60	44→45	33	187/239/332	145	292	19	6	42%	5%	53	-1.5	193/244/343	150	301	19	5	41%	5%	58	-1.2	213/263/419	207	278	27	4	34%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2018 · AA	23	30→33	51→55	39→50	31	173/222/328	154	263	20	3	42%	5%	46	-2.0	191/242/339	148	254	20	5	33%	5%	56	-1.3	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	35→43	46→50	41→40	45	175/265/301	125	286	14	2	41%	11%	57	-1.2	193/291/339	146	301	16	3	37%	12%	78	+0.2	188/297/338	150	281	16	2	36%	13%	78	+0.2
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	37→35	49→55	42→40	38	198/247/351	153	272	16	6	33%	6%	62	-0.9	206/272/358	152	266	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.1	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Allan Cerda 2023 · AA	23	33→22	53→55	42→45	45	179/281/352	173	270	21	6	40%	10%	78	+0.2	172/266/319	147	292	18	8	44%	10%	63	-0.9	131/236/270	139	217	19	8	46%	10%	35	-0.9
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A	24	36→37	49→55	43→30	42	191/274/336	146	272	18	3	35%	8%	70	-0.3	203/272/335	132	292	15	3	34%	7%	68	-0.5	180/245/285	105	260	12	0	34%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Fernando Perez 2017 · A	23	36→40	49→50	44→30	37	196/243/337	141	265	18	3	33%	5%	56	-1.3	218/260/365	147	286	19	3	30%	4%	70	-0.3	229/267/377	148	288	20	1	28%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Travis Demeritte 2019 · AA	24	36→44	51→60	46→50	39	190/252/349	158	279	19	7	38%	7%	63	-0.8	217/282/399	182	317	23	8	37%	8%	89	+1.0	209/274/392	183	304	23	9	37%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Jared Greenwood 2007 · A	24	40	50→55	43→45	42	206/271/353	147	291	19	7	35%	8%	72	-0.2	205/267/331	126	322	14	6	38%	7%	65	-0.7	171/235/285	114	284	13	0	42%	7%	35	-1.0
✕Thomas Hickman 2010 · A	22	38	49→50	45→40	41	193/268/344	151	294	17	4	38%	8%	69	-0.4	204/277/347	143	294	17	4	34%	8%	73	-0.1	179/260/323	144	238	19	0	33%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Alex Jackson 2019 · AAA	23	36→35	48→60	44→30	33	188/244/330	142	290	16	2	40%	5%	55	-1.4	191/260/384	193	288	27	4	43%	5%	77	+0.1	194/265/368	174	267	22	2	35%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Kyle Skipworth 2013 · AA	23	35	50	38→30	33	188/235/332	144	282	19	2	40%	5%	51	-1.7	173/226/307	134	282	16	3	43%	5%	41	-2.3	145/206/272	127	253	17	1	48%	5%	22	-1.3
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	39→42	46→55	45	43	196/268/326	129	288	14	8	35%	8%	64	-0.8	209/275/354	145	294	16	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
●Tom Murphy 2015 · AA	24	38→34	50→60	43→45	39	200/266/350	149	284	18	5	35%	7%	69	-0.4	197/244/350	153	293	18	5	38%	5%	59	-1.1	250/322/470	220	318	31	2	30%	9%	122	+1.4
✕Miguel Jerez 2021 · A	23	33	47→60	48→40	37	177/245/308	131	274	16	5	40%	7%	50	-1.7	188/257/316	128	307	14	5	41%	7%	57	-1.2	125/206/261	136	192	17	0	44%	7%	20	-1.2
✕Carlos Rincon 2021 · AA	23	37	50→55	46→45	38	194/260/344	150	292	19	5	39%	7%	66	-0.6	211/260/374	163	299	21	6	36%	6%	73	-0.1	200/248/370	171	272	24	4	36%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Albert Fabian 2023 · A	21	36→34	50	40	36	190/250/338	149	288	19	5	40%	6%	60	-1.0	203/260/341	138	270	17	5	30%	6%	64	-0.8	212/269/333	121	257	14	6	23%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Agustin Ruiz 2023 · AA	23	36→33	50	46→40	40	194/264/339	145	269	18	5	34%	7%	66	-0.6	184/254/321	137	264	17	4	36%	6%	57	-1.2	159/231/293	135	224	18	1	37%	6%	40	-1.5
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA	24	31	50	49→40	41	171/259/314	143	256	19	7	39%	8%	59	-1.1	192/268/329	137	263	16	6	32%	8%	66	-0.6	170/244/297	127	243	16	2	36%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Jon Talley 2012 · A	23	38→39	47→45	39→30	38	195/253/330	135	287	15	2	37%	6%	59	-1.1	194/252/313	119	288	12	3	35%	6%	53	-1.5	178/237/286	107	264	10	1	35%	6%	39	-1.3