Tyler Dearden — OGILVIE

Tyler DeardenLF Wichita Wind Surge

Age 28 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .269 / .303

PA136

HR2

K%27

BB%6

ISO92

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	94	80	13	3	0	1	8	40	5	1	1	163	280	237	517	75	308	43	9	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	94	74	19	5	0	2	14	28	5	1	1	257	409	405	814	149	386	30	15	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Greenville Drive	—	232	214	28	4	1	2	10	117	3	0	0	131	181	187	368	56	274	50	4	166	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Greenville Drive	—	232	208	42	7	2	4	16	80	3	0	0	202	269	312	581	111	306	34	7	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	418	369	75	13	0	24	38	153	7	1	0	203	290	434	723	230	260	37	9	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	418	352	92	20	0	24	55	114	7	1	0	261	372	523	895	261	312	27	13	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	376	333	74	12	1	7	32	135	6	0	2	222	302	327	629	105	342	36	9	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	376	316	83	16	1	8	49	103	6	0	2	263	372	396	768	133	357	27	13	345	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	286	260	62	8	1	6	21	90	3	0	1	238	303	346	649	108	339	31	7	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	286	248	67	12	1	7	33	70	3	0	1	270	363	411	774	141	349	24	12	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	140	130	25	9	0	0	5	49	3	0	0	192	239	262	501	69	301	35	4	221	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	140	128	33	12	0	0	7	35	3	0	0	258	312	352	663	94	347	25	5	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	134	123	28	3	1	2	8	35	2	2	0	228	286	317	603	89	299	26	6	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	134	119	33	4	1	2	12	24	2	2	0	277	353	378	732	101	330	18	9	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	MIN	—	136	125	27	5	1	2	8	37	2	2	0	216	274	320	594	104	286	27	6	261	58	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	MIN	23%	194	178	39	8	1	3	12	52	2	2	1	219	276	326	602	107	286	27	6	266	61	-8	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.7
2027	29	MLB	MIN	23%	44	40	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	225	295	350	645	125	286	27	7	257	55	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	44	40	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	225	295	350	645	125	296	27	7	257	55	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	134	30	0	15	44	177	15	15	0	227	297	354	651	127	298	27	7	257	55	-33	+3	-5	-7	+18	-2.4
Career	—			—	2010	1812	371	65	6	47	142	708	33	8	5	205	275	325	600	120	302	35	7	264	60	-91	-0	-1	-22	+57	-5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	120	21	2	15	46	229	11	3	2	205	276	324	600	119	303	35	7	264	60	-29	-0	-0	-7	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	94	74	19	5	0	2	14	28	5	1	1	257	409	405	814	149	386	30	15	371	142	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2019	21	A	Greenville Drive	—	232	208	42	7	2	4	16	80	3	0	0	202	269	312	581	111	306	34	7	259	57	-11	+0	—	—	+7	-0.5
2021	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	418	352	92	20	0	24	55	114	7	1	0	261	372	523	895	261	312	27	13	389	156	+26	+0	—	—	+12	3.9
2022	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	376	316	83	16	1	8	49	103	6	0	2	263	372	396	768	133	357	27	13	345	123	+10	-1	—	—	+11	2.0
2023	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	286	248	67	12	1	7	33	70	3	0	1	270	363	411	774	141	349	24	12	347	124	+8	-0	—	—	+8	1.6
2024	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	105	95	21	9	0	0	7	27	1	0	0	221	282	316	597	95	300	26	7	267	63	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	26	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	35	33	12	3	0	0	0	8	2	0	0	364	400	455	855	91	480	23	0	385	153	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	27	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	134	119	33	4	1	2	12	24	2	2	0	277	353	378	732	101	330	18	9	330	111	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Dearden (OGILVIE)	28	34	33	45	41	212/269/303	92	286	2	2	27%	6%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Preston Beck 2019 · AAA	28	43→44	42→45	41→45	41	213/262/315	101	277	9	4	26%	5%	57	-1.2	217/273/329	112	289	10	5	27%	7%	66	-0.6	213/272/324	111	281	9	3	26%	7%	61	-0.8
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA	28	45	39→40	46→45	43	217/273/304	87	286	6	7	26%	6%	59	-1.1	202/262/288	86	290	7	7	31%	7%	51	-1.7	144/214/194	50	214	4	0	33%	7%	4	-1.4
✕Francisco Rivera 2017 · AAA	28	41	41→40	48→40	42	203/241/299	95	238	9	8	19%	4%	43	-2.2	229/280/323	94	275	9	7	19%	7%	67	-0.5	250/305/335	84	296	10	1	18%	7%	80	+0.1
✕A.J. Zapp 2006 · AAA	28	45→44	41→45	46→30	39	216/265/316	100	302	8	4	30%	5%	59	-1.1	213/277/334	121	326	12	5	36%	7%	70	-0.3	188/270/312	123	306	14	0	40%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	200/246/285	85	278	6	5	30%	5%	43	-2.2	222/278/307	85	291	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/282	67	281	3	2	23%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Beau Amaral 2019 · AAA	28	46→51	38→40	48→55	41	220/265/300	80	285	5	10	24%	5%	54	-1.4	222/272/330	108	281	10	11	24%	6%	66	-0.6	208/260/325	118	245	14	10	21%	5%	58	-0.3
✕Anthony Bemboom 2018 · AAA	28	42	40→45	46→45	45	205/265/295	90	267	7	7	25%	7%	53	-1.5	198/262/303	105	261	10	4	27%	7%	55	-1.4	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40→45	44→45	42	186/257/276	90	290	8	6	36%	8%	46	-2.0	215/267/333	118	308	11	6	32%	6%	65	-0.7	227/273/366	140	303	15	2	29%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Ryan Ripken 2021 · AA	28	43→44	41→40	45→40	34	214/244/309	95	295	9	4	30%	3%	48	-1.9	197/241/282	85	308	7	7	36%	5%	40	-2.4	147/184/198	51	240	3	3	39%	4%	-9	-1.6
✕Tucker Nathans 2016 · AA	27	46→48	41→45	47→45	41	226/269/325	99	288	9	6	25%	5%	63	-0.9	220/259/319	99	291	10	6	27%	4%	57	-1.2	215/246/296	81	273	8	2	24%	4%	42	-0.9
✕Tim Smalling 2016 · AAA	28	43→42	38→40	45	41	208/254/286	78	263	6	10	23%	5%	46	-2.0	207/248/285	78	259	7	8	22%	4%	43	-2.2	186/217/223	38	230	4	0	21%	3%	10	-1.9
✕Carlos Penuelas 2015 · AAA	27	48	38→30	43→50	45	230/282/310	80	284	6	10	21%	6%	64	-0.8	249/289/313	64	300	5	11	18%	5%	67	-0.5	260/296/306	45	309	3	9	16%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Jeremy Farrell 2015 · AAA	28	41→36	40→45	42→45	38	198/260/294	96	295	7	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	210/260/306	96	324	7	6	35%	5%	54	-1.4	193/233/275	82	313	4	2	38%	2%	33	-1.0
✕Webster Rivas 2019 · AA	28	46	42→45	45→40	40	224/264/324	100	293	10	4	27%	5%	60	-1.0	220/276/329	109	283	12	5	25%	7%	67	-0.5	212/288/300	88	279	8	1	25%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Ethan Chapman 2017 · AA	27	45→47	38→30	47→55	43	216/269/292	76	293	6	12	28%	7%	54	-1.4	228/282/329	101	313	11	21	29%	6%	69	-0.4	228/281/310	82	314	10	29	29%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2012 · AA	28	44	39→40	46→50	44	212/267/294	81	270	7	11	24%	6%	54	-1.4	215/286/296	81	275	5	13	22%	7%	63	-0.8	207/289/265	58	258	1	11	18%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Nick Banks 2022 · AAA	27	43→46	43→45	41→45	37	211/259/315	104	313	11	5	35%	6%	56	-1.3	225/281/354	129	331	13	7	34%	6%	76	+0.1	230/289/378	148	332	15	5	33%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Brian Jeroloman 2013 · AAA	28	43→37	37→45	42→40	48	204/286/272	68	290	6	7	30%	9%	58	-1.2	197/267/264	67	274	6	5	28%	8%	47	-1.9	176/255/236	60	237	6	0	26%	9%	33	-0.9
✕Jose Lozada 2014 · AA	28	45	39→45	44→45	42	216/272/302	87	283	7	7	26%	6%	59	-1.1	228/276/288	60	303	4	11	24%	6%	56	-1.3	229/271/261	32	305	1	13	24%	5%	43	-0.6
✕Irving Lopez 2023 · AAA	28	43→50	40→45	50→40	43	209/271/299	90	268	7	8	24%	6%	58	-1.2	225/297/346	121	288	12	6	25%	8%	81	+0.4	222/304/350	127	284	13	0	25%	8%	82	+0.3