Dustin Geiger
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 25 | AA/A+MIA | 393 | .219/.301/.376 | 12 | 2 | 39 | — | .163/.227/.279 |
| 2018 | 26 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 104 | .253/.369/.448 | 5 | 0 | 132 | — | |
| 2019 | 27 | AAAAlgodoneros U… | 139 | .223/.319/.405 | 4 | 0 | 44 | — | .167/.239/.278 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 138 | 123 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 244 | 316 | 358 | 674 | 114 | 293 | 18 | 9 | 301 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 180 | 163 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 276 | 319 | 595 | 92 | 279 | 21 | 5 | 261 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 82 | 79 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 342 | 366 | 582 | 948 | 241 | 403 | 18 | 4 | 411 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 332 | 303 | 76 | 14 | 0 | 17 | 20 | 79 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 251 | 306 | 465 | 771 | 215 | 278 | 24 | 6 | 334 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 523 | 456 | 128 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 100 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 281 | 368 | 458 | 826 | 178 | 324 | 19 | 10 | 366 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 448 | 399 | 89 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 305 | 376 | 681 | 153 | 274 | 24 | 10 | 306 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 19 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 56 | 37 | 5 | 37 | -95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 126 | 114 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 286 | 368 | 654 | 158 | 268 | 30 | 7 | 295 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 267 | 237 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 308 | 380 | 688 | 156 | 275 | 24 | 10 | 309 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 104 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 369 | 448 | 817 | 195 | 288 | 23 | 13 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 139 | 121 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 319 | 405 | 724 | 182 | 324 | 34 | 11 | 322 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 138 | 128 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 172 | 221 | 258 | 478 | 86 | 220 | 26 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 180 | 166 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 224 | 265 | 489 | 78 | 242 | 28 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 82 | 80 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 237 | 256 | 375 | 631 | 138 | 315 | 27 | 2 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 332 | 310 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 106 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 251 | 381 | 631 | 171 | 249 | 32 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 523 | 471 | 112 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 133 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 238 | 308 | 376 | 684 | 138 | 296 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 448 | 411 | 79 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 132 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 256 | 307 | 562 | 114 | 257 | 29 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 19 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 56 | 47 | 5 | 28 | -95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 126 | 117 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 206 | 239 | 446 | 94 | 221 | 37 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 267 | 245 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 91 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 237 | 298 | 535 | 127 | 237 | 34 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 139 | 126 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 239 | 278 | 517 | 111 | 278 | 42 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 138 | 128 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 172 | 221 | 258 | 478 | 86 | 226 | 26 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 138 | 123 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 244 | 316 | 358 | 674 | 114 | 293 | 18 | 9 | 301 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 262 | 246 | 50 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 72 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 203 | 234 | 301 | 535 | 98 | 271 | 27 | 3 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 262 | 242 | 64 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 264 | 305 | 405 | 710 | 140 | 319 | 20 | 5 | 308 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 332 | 310 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 106 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 251 | 381 | 631 | 171 | 262 | 32 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 332 | 303 | 76 | 14 | 0 | 17 | 20 | 79 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 251 | 306 | 465 | 771 | 215 | 278 | 24 | 6 | 334 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 523 | 471 | 112 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 133 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 238 | 308 | 376 | 684 | 138 | 301 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ RAW | Daytona Cubs | — | 523 | 456 | 128 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 100 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 281 | 368 | 458 | 826 | 178 | 324 | 19 | 10 | 366 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 448 | 411 | 79 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 132 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 256 | 307 | 562 | 114 | 259 | 29 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 448 | 399 | 89 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 305 | 376 | 681 | 153 | 274 | 24 | 10 | 306 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 19 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 56 | 47 | 5 | 28 | -95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 19 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 56 | 37 | 5 | 37 | -95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 393 | 362 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 139 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 166 | 230 | 282 | 511 | 116 | 237 | 35 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 393 | 351 | 77 | 17 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 102 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 301 | 376 | 677 | 157 | 273 | 26 | 9 | 305 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 104 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 369 | 448 | 817 | 195 | 288 | 23 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 104 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 369 | 448 | 817 | 195 | 288 | 23 | 13 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 139 | 126 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 239 | 278 | 517 | 111 | 288 | 42 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA RAW | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 139 | 121 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 319 | 405 | 724 | 182 | 324 | 34 | 11 | 322 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 138 | 129 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 171 | 221 | 256 | 476 | 85 | 220 | 26 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 262 | 250 | 50 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 72 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 200 | 234 | 296 | 530 | 96 | 265 | 27 | 3 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 332 | 312 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 106 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 251 | 378 | 629 | 170 | 249 | 32 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 523 | 470 | 112 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 133 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 238 | 308 | 377 | 685 | 138 | 296 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 448 | 410 | 79 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 132 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 193 | 256 | 307 | 563 | 115 | 257 | 29 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 19 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 56 | 47 | 5 | 28 | -95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 393 | 360 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 139 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 167 | 230 | 283 | 513 | 117 | 232 | 35 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 139 | 126 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 239 | 278 | 517 | 111 | 278 | 42 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2358 | 2158 | 431 | 96 | 6 | 55 | 146 | 710 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 200 | 260 | 326 | 587 | 127 | 266 | 30 | 6 | 241 | 49 | -143 | -2 | +0 | -42 | +51 | -13.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 119 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 196 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 200 | 261 | 326 | 587 | 126 | 267 | 30 | 6 | 241 | 49 | -40 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -3.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAAlgodoneros Union Laguna · 139 PAwOBA .316 → .233 (−83)K% 33.8% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.81% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.79% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 17.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 8.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.116 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.65% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 123, K 91, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .316 → .233; ISO .182 → .120; BABIP .324 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 267 PAwOBA .299 → .234 (−66)K% 24.0% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.97% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 34.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.99% | ÷0.947 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.968 | 6.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.968 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.92% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.968 | 15.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.09% | ÷1.094 | ×0.960 | ×1.022 | ×0.968 | 7.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.131 | ×0.810 | ×1.022 | ×0.968 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.944 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 3.65% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 126, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .299 → .234; ISO .156 → .123; BABIP .275 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 126 PAwOBA .287 → .206 (−82)K% 30.2% → 37.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.16% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.042 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 17.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.95% | ÷0.985 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 3.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.070 | ×0.880 | ×0.951 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.185 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.39% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 114, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .287 → .206; ISO .158 → .102; BABIP .268 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATennessee Smokies · 19 PAwOBA .038 → .028 (−11)K% 36.8% → 46.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.84% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 46.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷0.959 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 3.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 112, K 93, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .038 → .028; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATennessee Smokies · 448 PAwOBA .297 → .249 (−48)K% 23.7% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.66% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷0.948 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.75% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 17.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.53% | ÷1.140 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.10% | ÷1.009 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.34% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 128, 3B 113, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .297 → .249; ISO .153 → .121; BABIP .274 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Daytona Cubs · 523 PAwOBA .358 → .299 (−59)K% 19.1% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.12% | ÷1.066 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.56% | ÷1.032 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.10% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 1.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.03% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 21.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.132 | ×0.960 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.78% | ÷1.144 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 3.72% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 113, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .358 → .299; ISO .178 → .140; BABIP .324 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 APeoria Chiefs · 332 PAwOBA .329 → .264 (−64)K% 23.8% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.80% | ÷1.010 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.72% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.09% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×1.015 | 18.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.015 | 5.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.910 | ×1.017 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.59% | ÷0.952 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 6.48% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 129, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .329 → .264; ISO .215 → .169; BABIP .278 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 APeoria Chiefs · 180 PAwOBA .259 → .214 (−44)K% 21.1% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.11% | ÷1.020 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.44% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 3.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×1.030 | 17.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×1.030 | 6.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | ×1.030 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.914 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.72% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 102, K 104, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .259 → .214; ISO .092 → .077; BABIP .279 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .