Viosergy Rosa
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 27 | AAOAK | 585 | .255/.330/.418 | 18 | 0 | 59 | — | .197/.249/.333 |
| 2018 | 28 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 205 | .260/.351/.452 | 7 | 0 | 85 | — | .225/.288/.382 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAAPiratas de Ca… | 90 | .262/.344/.462 | 4 | 0 | 73 | — | .214/.267/.321 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 20 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 107 | 89 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 202 | 336 | 315 | 651 | 112 | 274 | 24 | 14 | 306 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 549 | 465 | 117 | 22 | 1 | 23 | 74 | 119 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 252 | 364 | 452 | 815 | 200 | 289 | 22 | 13 | 363 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 89 | 72 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 420 | 458 | 879 | 167 | 328 | 15 | 16 | 391 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 498 | 446 | 130 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 98 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 291 | 359 | 439 | 798 | 148 | 344 | 20 | 8 | 354 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 470 | 387 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 77 | 93 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 351 | 339 | 690 | 121 | 258 | 20 | 16 | 319 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 535 | 459 | 117 | 32 | 0 | 9 | 74 | 140 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 360 | 383 | 743 | 129 | 347 | 26 | 14 | 338 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 585 | 517 | 132 | 28 | 1 | 18 | 56 | 137 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 330 | 418 | 748 | 162 | 306 | 23 | 10 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 112 | 97 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 396 | 557 | 953 | 247 | 357 | 21 | 12 | 413 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 93 | 80 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 297 | 325 | 622 | 125 | 269 | 30 | 10 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 90 | 80 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 344 | 463 | 807 | 200 | 321 | 26 | 9 | 359 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 107 | 95 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 243 | 232 | 475 | 84 | 215 | 35 | 8 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 549 | 488 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 166 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 186 | 274 | 311 | 586 | 125 | 245 | 30 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 89 | 76 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 364 | 421 | 785 | 158 | 294 | 18 | 11 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 498 | 459 | 110 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 146 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 292 | 366 | 658 | 126 | 314 | 29 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 470 | 413 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 118 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 278 | 278 | 557 | 94 | 234 | 25 | 11 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 535 | 485 | 97 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 48 | 186 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 200 | 273 | 293 | 566 | 93 | 307 | 35 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 585 | 538 | 106 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 178 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 249 | 333 | 581 | 136 | 247 | 30 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 112 | 102 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 288 | 382 | 671 | 157 | 301 | 29 | 8 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 90 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 321 | 588 | 107 | 289 | 29 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 107 | 95 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 243 | 232 | 475 | 84 | 228 | 35 | 8 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Marlins | — | 107 | 89 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 202 | 336 | 315 | 651 | 112 | 274 | 24 | 14 | 306 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 549 | 488 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 166 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 186 | 274 | 311 | 586 | 125 | 248 | 30 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 549 | 465 | 117 | 22 | 1 | 23 | 74 | 119 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 252 | 364 | 452 | 815 | 200 | 289 | 22 | 13 | 363 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 587 | 535 | 129 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 162 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 301 | 366 | 668 | 125 | 319 | 28 | 7 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 587 | 518 | 151 | 29 | 2 | 15 | 56 | 111 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 368 | 442 | 810 | 151 | 342 | 19 | 10 | 359 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 470 | 413 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 118 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 278 | 278 | 557 | 94 | 234 | 25 | 11 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 470 | 387 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 77 | 93 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 351 | 339 | 690 | 121 | 258 | 20 | 16 | 319 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 535 | 485 | 97 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 48 | 186 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 200 | 273 | 293 | 566 | 93 | 307 | 35 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 535 | 459 | 117 | 32 | 0 | 9 | 74 | 140 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 360 | 383 | 743 | 129 | 347 | 26 | 14 | 338 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 585 | 538 | 106 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 178 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 249 | 333 | 581 | 136 | 254 | 30 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 585 | 517 | 132 | 28 | 1 | 18 | 56 | 137 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 330 | 418 | 748 | 162 | 306 | 23 | 10 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 183 | 44 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 312 | 410 | 722 | 169 | 311 | 28 | 8 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 205 | 177 | 46 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 351 | 452 | 803 | 192 | 320 | 25 | 11 | 353 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 90 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 321 | 588 | 107 | 286 | 29 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 90 | 80 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 344 | 463 | 807 | 200 | 321 | 26 | 9 | 359 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 107 | 94 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 149 | 243 | 234 | 477 | 85 | 215 | 35 | 8 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 549 | 485 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 166 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 188 | 274 | 313 | 588 | 126 | 245 | 30 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 587 | 536 | 129 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 162 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 301 | 366 | 667 | 125 | 311 | 28 | 7 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 470 | 413 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 118 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 278 | 278 | 557 | 94 | 234 | 25 | 11 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 535 | 481 | 97 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 48 | 186 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 273 | 295 | 569 | 94 | 307 | 35 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 585 | 543 | 106 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 178 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 195 | 249 | 330 | 578 | 134 | 247 | 30 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 184 | 44 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 312 | 408 | 719 | 168 | 301 | 28 | 8 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 90 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 321 | 588 | 107 | 289 | 29 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3128 | 2821 | 575 | 127 | 4 | 66 | 254 | 931 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 204 | 276 | 322 | 598 | 118 | 275 | 30 | 8 | 265 | 66 | -128 | -1 | +0 | -56 | +68 | -12.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 120 | 26 | 1 | 14 | 53 | 193 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 205 | 278 | 324 | 602 | 119 | 276 | 30 | 8 | 265 | 66 | -27 | -0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 90 PAwOBA .341 → .276 (−65)K% 25.6% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.56% | ÷1.071 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.81% | ÷0.954 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 21.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.196 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 4.03% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 114, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .341 → .276; ISO .200 → .131; BABIP .321 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Stockton Ports · 112 PAwOBA .405 → .306 (−100)K% 20.5% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.54% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.035 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.948 | 8.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×0.948 | 18.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.16% | ÷0.926 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×0.948 | 10.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.760 | ×0.994 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.244 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 4.74% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .405 → .306; ISO .247 → .179; BABIP .357 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAMidland RockHounds · 585 PAwOBA .323 → .255 (−67)K% 23.4% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.42% | ÷0.939 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.72% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.37% | ÷1.142 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.978 | 17.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.37% | ÷0.987 | ×0.840 | ×1.012 | ×0.978 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.26% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | ×1.012 | ×0.978 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷0.862 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 4.30% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 128, 2B 97, 3B 95, K 88, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .323 → .255; ISO .162 → .140; BABIP .306 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMidland RockHounds · 535 PAwOBA .330 → .254 (−76)K% 26.2% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.17% | ÷0.920 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.82% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×0.988 | 22.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.03% | ÷1.075 | ×0.840 | ×1.040 | ×0.988 | 8.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.040 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.999 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 84, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .330 → .254; ISO .129 → .097; BABIP .347 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAJacksonville Suns · 470 PAwOBA .313 → .257 (−56)K% 19.8% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.79% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.17% | ÷1.017 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 10.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.39% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 17.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.78% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.40% | ÷0.973 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.79% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .313 → .257; ISO .121 → .104; BABIP .258 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 498 PAwOBA .348 → .283 (−64)K% 19.7% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.68% | ÷0.951 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.43% | ÷1.079 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.15% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 23.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.18% | ÷0.944 | ×0.960 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 7.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.914 | ×0.810 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.74% | ÷0.983 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 90, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .348 → .283; ISO .148 → .126; BABIP .344 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAJacksonville Suns · 89 PAwOBA .386 → .332 (−54)K% 14.6% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.61% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.73% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 10.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.73% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 21.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷0.940 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.064 | ×0.880 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.006 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.73% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .386 → .332; ISO .167 → .150; BABIP .328 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 549 PAwOBA .354 → .262 (−92)K% 21.7% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.68% | ÷0.963 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.11% | ÷0.920 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 9.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.52% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×0.990 | 18.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.36% | ÷0.945 | ×0.820 | ×0.957 | ×0.990 | 5.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.959 | ×0.940 | ×0.957 | ×0.990 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.65% | ÷1.235 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 4.37% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 92, K 93, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .354 → .262; ISO .200 → .132; BABIP .289 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .