Creed Willems — OGILVIE

Creed WillemsC Norfolk Tides

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 225 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION428 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP263

ISO133

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.3M
2031	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$7M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$12M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	24	4	1	0	0	2	7	2	0	1	167	286	208	494	42	235	25	7	245	52	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	221	42	9	4	4	14	68	9	0	0	190	266	321	588	131	252	28	6	266	66	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2023	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	311	276	53	8	0	9	26	86	4	0	1	192	271	319	590	127	237	28	8	266	66	-13	-0	—	—	+7	-0.6
2023	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	120	96	29	6	0	8	20	29	4	2	0	302	442	615	1.056	313	356	24	17	457	195	+14	+0	—	—	+3	1.7
2024	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	69	65	17	3	0	4	2	13	0	1	0	262	284	492	776	231	260	19	3	328	108	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	326	281	67	18	2	13	35	68	6	1	1	238	335	456	791	217	266	21	11	347	121	+8	-0	—	—	+7	1.5
2024	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	87	80	27	5	1	2	6	14	1	0	0	338	391	500	891	162	391	16	7	394	153	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2025	22	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	379	96	21	1	16	38	83	12	1	2	253	340	441	781	187	283	19	9	345	120	+10	-1	—	—	+9	1.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	25	3	1	0	0	1	10	2	0	1	120	214	160	374	40	187	36	4	166	-1	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	226	33	7	2	3	9	91	9	0	0	146	209	235	444	88	219	37	4	197	19	-24	+0	—	—	+5	-1.9
2023	20	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	311	286	41	6	0	7	16	117	4	0	1	143	199	238	437	94	196	38	5	198	20	-30	-0	—	—	+7	-2.4
2023	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	120	104	24	4	0	7	12	41	4	2	0	231	333	471	804	240	291	34	10	335	113	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	21	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	69	66	13	2	0	2	1	16	0	1	0	197	209	318	527	121	217	23	1	245	52	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	326	292	54	14	2	10	24	92	6	1	1	185	261	349	610	164	216	28	7	260	62	-15	-0	—	—	+7	-0.8
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	392	85	18	1	10	25	97	12	1	2	217	284	344	629	128	255	22	6	276	73	-14	-1	—	—	+9	-0.5
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	25	3	1	0	0	1	10	2	0	1	120	214	160	374	40	200	36	4	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	24	4	1	0	0	2	7	2	0	1	167	286	208	494	42	235	25	7	245	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	226	33	7	2	3	9	91	9	0	0	146	209	235	444	88	224	37	4	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	221	42	9	4	4	14	68	9	0	0	190	266	321	588	131	252	28	6	266	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	431	390	64	10	0	14	28	158	8	2	1	164	235	297	532	133	224	37	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	431	372	82	14	0	17	46	115	8	2	1	220	319	395	714	175	265	27	11	319	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	482	438	81	20	2	15	31	132	7	2	1	185	250	342	592	158	223	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	482	426	111	26	3	19	43	95	7	2	1	261	338	469	808	209	290	20	9	353	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	392	85	18	1	10	25	97	12	1	2	217	284	344	629	128	260	22	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	379	96	21	1	16	38	83	12	1	2	253	340	441	781	187	283	19	9	345	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	25	3	1	0	0	1	10	2	0	1	120	214	160	374	40	187	36	4	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	226	33	7	2	3	9	91	9	0	0	146	209	235	444	88	219	37	4	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	431	392	64	10	0	14	28	158	8	2	1	163	235	296	531	133	222	37	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	482	441	81	20	2	15	31	132	7	2	1	184	250	340	590	156	216	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	394	85	18	1	10	25	97	12	1	2	216	284	343	627	127	255	22	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	431	392	64	10	0	14	28	158	8	2	1	163	235	296	531	133	222	37	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	482	441	81	20	2	15	31	132	7	2	1	184	250	340	590	156	216	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	394	85	18	1	10	25	97	12	1	2	216	284	343	627	127	255	22	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	BAL	—	428	380	80	3	0	12	31	115	8	0	0	211	284	313	597	103	261	27	7	271	70	-16	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA RAW	BAL	—	428	363	93	4	0	17	48	96	8	0	0	256	356	408	763	152	295	22	11	339	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AAA MLE	BAL	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		259	22	11	274	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	23	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						263	0	0	266	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	BAL	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	266	70	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	AAA MLE	BAL	—	437	388	81	3	0	12	32	117	8	0	0	209	283	309	592	101	258	27	7	271	70	-16	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	33%	469	424	94	11	1	15	34	118	8	1	1	222	292	358	650	137	267	25	7	289	82	-10	-0	+1	+8	+10	0.9
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	46%	506	455	103	13	1	17	37	126	9	1	1	226	297	371	669	145	269	25	7	296	87	-8	-0	+1	+9	+11	1.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	520	467	107	14	1	18	39	129	9	1	1	229	301	379	680	150	271	25	8	300	89	-7	-0	+1	+9	+11	1.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	466	107	14	1	18	40	129	9	1	1	230	303	380	683	150	271	25	8	301	90	-6	-0	+1	+9	+11	1.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	59%	520	466	104	13	1	17	40	129	9	1	1	223	297	365	662	142	270	25	8	300	89	-7	-0	-0	+9	+11	1.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	520	466	104	13	1	17	40	130	9	1	1	223	297	365	662	142	270	25	8	298	88	-8	-0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	520	466	104	13	1	17	41	132	8	1	0	223	297	365	662	142	268	25	8	295	86	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	495	445	98	12	1	16	39	127	8	1	0	220	295	360	654	139	266	26	8	291	83	-10	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2035	32	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	462	416	89	11	0	14	36	120	7	0	0	214	288	341	629	127	263	26	8	285	79	-11	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.4
2036	33	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	421	379	78	9	0	12	32	112	7	0	0	206	280	325	604	119	259	27	8	279	75	-13	+0	-4	+8	+9	0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	33%	155	140	31	4	0	5	11	39	3	0	0	221	292	357	649	136	271	25	7	282	82	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	46%	235	212	48	6	0	8	17	58	4	0	0	226	296	368	664	142	274	25	7	289	87	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	281	253	59	8	1	10	21	69	5	1	0	233	305	391	696	158	275	25	7	293	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	296	266	61	8	1	10	23	73	5	1	0	229	303	380	682	150	275	25	8	294	90	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	59%	305	273	63	8	1	11	24	76	5	1	0	231	305	388	693	158	275	25	8	293	89	-4	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.8
2032	29	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	302	270	61	8	0	10	24	76	5	1	0	226	301	367	668	141	274	25	8	291	88	-4	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.7
2033	30	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	301	270	61	8	0	10	23	76	5	0	0	226	299	367	665	141	272	25	8	288	86	-5	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.6
2034	31	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	286	257	56	7	0	9	22	73	5	0	0	218	292	350	642	132	270	26	8	284	83	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2035	32	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	266	239	51	6	0	8	21	69	4	0	0	213	288	339	627	126	267	26	8	279	79	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2036	33	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	242	217	45	5	0	7	19	64	4	0	0	207	283	327	611	120	263	26	8	272	75	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2670	2398	536	68	3	88	205	673	45	4	0	224	297	364	661	141	272	25	8	287	77	-48	+1	-5	+48	+58	5.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	131	17	1	21	50	164	11	1	0	224	298	365	662	140	274	25	8	287	77	-12	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6583	5929	1255	179	13	203	473	1742	121	13	11	212	283	349	632	137	261	26	7	282	77	-89	-1	-8	+89	+108	10.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	124	18	1	20	47	172	12	1	1	212	284	349	633	137	262	26	7	282	77	-12	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.1	2,700	87	4	222	291	361	+48	-20	7.3	6.7
/162	664	21	1	+11.9	-4.9	1.8	pk7: 6
#5Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Creed Willems (OGILVIE)	23	45	55	30	49	208/277/324	115	259	9	1	26%	7%	72	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Wing 2012 · A	23	49→53	47→55	35→40	41	245/291/380	135	306	14	4	24%	5%	88	+0.5	215/255/334	119	282	11	5	27%	4%	64	-1.3	231/273/389	158	295	17	4	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Austin Allen 2019 · AA	25	46→53	52→60	35→40	40	239/284/405	166	288	21	2	25%	5%	92	+0.7	239/281/427	188	287	24	3	26%	5%	97	+1.1	235/280/417	182	286	24	0	26%	5%	89	+0.3
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2023 · AAA	25	43→44	50	35→45	37	225/257/374	150	269	18	2	24%	3%	75	-0.5	215/267/349	134	255	17	4	23%	5%	73	-0.6	201/260/321	120	235	16	2	22%	6%	62	-0.7
●Taylor Green 2010 · AA	23	50→56	44→50	38→30	50	245/305/360	115	276	12	3	16%	7%	89	+0.5	241/297/379	138	279	14	2	18%	7%	91	+0.6	240/298/385	145	278	15	1	19%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA	24	41→46	49→55	39→40	45	214/272/364	150	257	17	3	24%	7%	78	-0.3	222/278/375	153	270	17	4	24%	7%	83	+0.1	252/320/419	167	318	16	4	25%	8%	104	+0.9
✕Emerson Frostad 2007 · A	24	47→48	49→50	38→40	45	237/292/393	156	291	17	5	24%	7%	92	+0.7	221/278/350	129	286	13	5	26%	7%	76	-0.4	208/271/324	115	268	11	3	25%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	45	205/268/342	138	254	15	4	26%	7%	72	-0.7	205/283/350	145	268	16	3	28%	9%	80	-0.2	183/280/352	170	235	19	4	30%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Bobby Wilson 2007 · AA	24	50→52	45	35→40	46	248/289/373	124	275	12	3	16%	5%	86	+0.3	243/288/356	113	283	10	4	18%	6%	81	-0.1	241/288/348	107	288	10	0	20%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Blake DeWitt 2008 · AA	22	48→55	46→50	40	43	238/275/368	130	275	13	4	20%	5%	80	-0.2	243/306/370	127	279	11	4	16%	8%	91	+0.7	245/319/368	123	281	10	3	16%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Phillip Cuadrado 2007 · A	23	49→51	48→50	37→40	43	247/303/388	140	299	16	4	23%	5%	95	+1.0	225/284/351	126	291	13	5	26%	6%	80	-0.2	183/249/299	115	239	12	0	28%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Tyler Ogle 2016 · A	25	42→43	50	36→30	50	218/297/371	152	264	19	2	25%	9%	89	+0.5	214/280/350	136	275	15	5	27%	7%	78	-0.3	179/248/294	115	224	12	0	25%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	40→44	46→55	41→40	43	206/271/330	125	256	13	3	25%	6%	70	-0.8	208/269/364	156	282	19	3	32%	7%	78	-0.3	213/279/377	164	265	21	3	28%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Reese Havens 2011 · AA	24	44→40	51→45	40	47	226/302/383	157	283	19	4	27%	8%	94	+0.9	215/288/337	122	303	12	4	31%	9%	78	-0.3	200/278/306	106	285	11	3	31%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Travis Scott 2008 · A	23	44	50→55	43→40	44	225/284/373	148	289	18	3	28%	7%	84	+0.2	224/278/380	156	289	18	5	28%	7%	84	+0.1	218/272/379	160	276	18	3	27%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Rio Ruiz 2018 · MLB	24	44→52	44→50	39→40	46	218/281/336	118	284	12	3	27%	8%	74	-0.5	223/280/346	123	276	13	3	23%	7%	76	-0.4	218/284/357	138	259	16	3	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Lenyn Sosa 2023 · MLB	23	48→51	46→50	39→40	39	241/278/364	124	294	14	4	24%	4%	80	-0.2	237/270/376	139	287	18	4	24%	4%	80	-0.2	243/274/380	137	290	18	3	23%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Josh Bell 2011 · MLB	24	47→52	47→50	37→45	41	234/277/373	139	301	14	4	27%	6%	81	-0.1	216/264/335	119	292	13	4	29%	6%	68	-1.0	213/272/333	120	269	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Joe Rizzo 2022 · AA	24	45→48	45→50	41→40	41	226/274/348	122	292	14	5	27%	6%	74	-0.5	226/276/364	138	282	16	4	25%	6%	79	-0.2	223/273/364	141	271	17	2	24%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	41→39	50	42→30	47	214/284/368	154	274	17	4	28%	9%	84	+0.1	201/278/335	134	291	14	4	33%	9%	74	-0.6	169/258/297	128	251	15	0	37%	11%	56	-1.3
✕Jett Bandy 2015 · AA	25	44	46→50	38→45	44	221/282/348	126	254	14	4	19%	5%	78	-0.3	224/282/357	133	266	15	4	22%	5%	80	-0.1	215/279/349	134	253	17	4	22%	5%	77	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps