Creed Willems — OGILVIE

Creed WillemsC Norfolk Tides

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 225 lbs AAA HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 2.1 · 2029

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .273 / .357

PA320

HR10

K%27

BB%6

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

55→55

SPD

30→30

FLD

40→40

EYE

43↗48

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$16M	+$15M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.1	$18M	+$18M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$18M
2031	Arb-3	$4M	+2.0	$19M	+$15M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.8	$17M	+$11M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.6	$16M	+$8M
Totals		$20M		$105M	+$85M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Orioles Orange	28	25	3	1	0	0	1	10	2	0	1	.120	.214	.160	.374	.040	.200	36	4	.166	-15	-4	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.3
2022	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	246	226	33	7	2	3	9	92	9	0	0	.146	.209	.235	.444	.088	.226	37	4	.195	7	-26	+0	+0	+4	+7	-1.5
2023	20	A+	2 teams	431	391	65	10	0	15	27	155	8	2	1	.166	.235	.307	.542	.141	.221	36	6	.235	38	-30	+0	+0	+8	+12	-1.0
2024	21	A+	3 teams	482	441	80	19	1	17	28	130	7	2	1	.181	.242	.345	.586	.163	.211	27	6	.254	52	-26	+0	+0	+9	+14	-0.4
2025	22	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	434	391	87	18	1	12	26	102	12	1	2	.223	.291	.366	.657	.143	.268	24	6	.283	75	-12	-1	+0	+8	+12	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	86	75	15	2	0	3	8	26	2	0	0	.200	.294	.347	.641	.147	.255	30	9	.284	76	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
ROS	23	MLB	BAL	234	212	45	9	1	7	16	65	4	1	1	.212	.280	.363	.643	.151	.264	28	7	.285	76	-6	-0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
TOT	23	MLB	BAL	320	287	60	11	1	10	24	91	6	1	1	.209	.284	.359	.643	.150	.266	28	8	.285	76	-9	-0	+0	+6	+9	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 19%	BAL	492	445	97	19	1	16	35	122	9	2	1	.218	.288	.373	.661	.155	.261	25	7	.295	84	-9	+0	+1	+9	+14	1.5
2028	25	MLB 27%	BAL	520	468	104	20	1	18	38	127	9	3	1	.222	.293	.385	.678	.162	.264	24	7	.302	89	-6	+0	+1	+9	+15	1.9
2029	26	MLB 36%	BAL	520	466	105	20	2	18	40	126	9	3	1	.225	.299	.393	.692	.167	.266	24	8	.306	92	-5	+0	+1	+9	+15	2.1
2030	27	MLB 44%	BAL	520	466	105	20	2	18	40	127	9	3	1	.225	.299	.393	.692	.167	.267	24	8	.306	93	-4	+0	+1	+9	+15	2.1
2031	28	MLB 47%	BAL	520	465	104	20	1	18	41	128	9	2	1	.224	.299	.387	.686	.163	.267	25	8	.305	92	-5	+0	-0	+9	+15	2.0
2032	29	MLB 50%	BAL	520	465	103	20	1	17	41	129	9	1	1	.222	.297	.378	.676	.157	.266	25	8	.303	90	-6	-0	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2033	30	MLB 55%	BAL	520	466	102	20	1	17	41	131	8	1	0	.219	.293	.376	.669	.157	.264	25	8	.300	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2034	31	MLB 59%	BAL	495	445	96	18	1	16	39	127	8	0	0	.216	.291	.369	.659	.153	.263	26	8	.296	85	-8	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.3
2035	32	MLB 62%	BAL	462	416	88	17	1	14	36	121	7	0	0	.212	.285	.358	.644	.147	.261	26	8	.292	81	-10	+0	-3	+8	+13	0.9
2036	33	MLB 64%	BAL	421	378	80	15	1	13	33	113	7	0	0	.212	.287	.360	.647	.148	.259	27	8	.286	77	-11	+0	-4	+8	+12	0.5
2037	34	MLB 67%	BAL	366	329	67	13	1	10	28	101	6	0	0	.204	.278	.340	.619	.137	.257	28	8	.279	72	-12	+0	-4	+7	+10	0.1
2038	35	MLB 69%	BAL	309	277	55	10	1	8	24	89	5	0	0	.199	.275	.329	.603	.130	.255	29	8	.271	66	-12	+0	-5	+6	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7520	6772	1419	276	19	237	543	1995	137	21	12	.210	.282	.361	.643	.151	.258	27	7	.285	77	-198	-1	-18	+134	+213	13.3
/ 162G	—			650	585	123	24	2	20	47	172	12	2	1	.210	.283	.361	.643	.150	.259	26	7	.285	77	-17	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Orioles Orange	28	24	4	1	0	0	2	7	2	0	1	.167	.286	.208	.494	.042	.235	25	7	.245	46	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	246	221	42	9	4	4	14	68	9	0	0	.190	.266	.321	.588	.131	.252	28	6	.266	61	-11	+0	—	—	+7	-0.4
2023	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	311	276	53	8	0	9	26	86	4	0	1	.192	.271	.319	.590	.127	.237	28	8	.266	62	-13	-0	—	—	+9	-0.5
2023	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	120	96	29	6	0	8	20	29	4	2	0	.302	.442	.615	1.056	.313	.356	24	17	.457	208	+15	+0	—	—	+3	1.9
2024	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	69	65	17	3	0	4	2	13	0	1	0	.262	.284	.492	.776	.231	.260	19	3	.328	109	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	326	281	67	18	2	13	35	68	6	1	1	.238	.335	.456	.791	.217	.266	21	11	.347	123	+9	-0	—	—	+9	1.8
2024	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	87	80	27	5	1	2	6	14	1	0	0	.338	.391	.500	.891	.162	.391	16	7	.394	160	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	22	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	434	379	96	21	1	16	38	83	12	1	2	.253	.340	.441	.781	.187	.283	19	9	.345	122	+11	-1	—	—	+12	2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Creed Willems (OGILVIE)	23	45	55	30	48	.210/.273/.357	.148	.264	10	2	27%	6%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Allen 2019 · AA	25	46→54	53→60	36→40	40	.240/.284/.405	.165	.288	22	2	25%	5%	91	+1.1	.238/.281/.432	.194	.287	26	2	26%	5%	98	+1.6	.234/.279/.423	.190	.283	25	0	27%	5%	89	+0.5
●Taylor Green 2010 · AA	23	50→55	45→50	38→30	50	.246/.305/.370	.124	.277	14	3	17%	7%	90	+1.0	.241/.297/.383	.142	.278	15	2	19%	7%	90	+1.0	.239/.297/.389	.149	.279	15	1	20%	7%	91	+0.8
●Michael Wing 2012 · A	23	49→53	46→55	36→40	42	.243/.290/.375	.131	.304	13	4	24%	5%	85	+0.7	.217/.257/.338	.121	.282	11	5	26%	4%	61	-1.0	.236/.277/.407	.172	.297	19	4	27%	4%	88	+0.6
✕Phillip Cuadrado 2007 · A	23	48	49→50	38→40	42	.242/.295/.386	.144	.288	17	5	23%	5%	91	+1.1	.224/.281/.353	.129	.285	14	5	26%	6%	76	+0.1	.183/.249/.299	.115	.239	12	0	28%	6%	46	-0.6
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA	24	41→45	50→55	39→40	45	.215/.274/.369	.154	.259	18	3	25%	7%	78	+0.2	.221/.277/.376	.155	.268	18	4	24%	7%	80	+0.4	.254/.322/.429	.174	.319	17	4	25%	8%	107	+1.2
✕Deivy Grullón 2019 · AA	23	44→43	49→55	40→30	37	.229/.262/.370	.141	.296	18	2	29%	4%	72	-0.2	.226/.274/.393	.167	.313	23	3	34%	6%	84	+0.6	.204/.262/.376	.172	.288	25	1	37%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2023 · AAA	25	43→44	53→55	36→45	37	.230/.262/.398	.168	.272	21	3	25%	3%	80	+0.4	.220/.270/.369	.149	.258	19	4	23%	5%	76	+0.1	.205/.264/.337	.132	.237	18	2	22%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Emerson Frostad 2007 · A	24	47	49→50	39→40	46	.237/.292/.391	.154	.287	16	5	24%	7%	91	+1.1	.219/.277/.355	.136	.285	14	5	27%	7%	75	-0.0	.204/.267/.324	.121	.264	12	3	27%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Joe Rizzo 2022 · AA	24	45→49	46→50	40	40	.226/.272/.351	.126	.290	15	4	27%	5%	71	-0.3	.225/.275/.374	.149	.282	18	4	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.221/.272/.374	.153	.268	19	2	25%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Reese Havens 2011 · AA	24	44→40	51→45	40	47	.226/.303/.384	.158	.283	19	5	27%	8%	94	+1.3	.218/.291/.346	.128	.310	14	4	32%	9%	79	+0.3	.201/.280/.310	.109	.292	11	3	33%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Blake DeWitt 2008 · AA	22	47→55	46→50	40	43	.235/.273/.366	.131	.273	14	4	20%	5%	76	+0.0	.243/.304/.373	.130	.279	12	4	17%	8%	90	+1.0	.245/.319/.369	.124	.281	10	3	16%	9%	87	+0.7
✕Rio Ruiz 2018 · MLB	24	45→52	45→50	39→40	46	.222/.284/.345	.124	.286	13	3	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.228/.283/.356	.128	.282	14	3	23%	7%	77	+0.1	.223/.289/.369	.145	.265	17	3	22%	8%	81	+0.2
●Nomar Mazara 2018 · MLB	23	48→51	50→55	40	49	.245/.308/.395	.150	.284	18	3	21%	8%	98	+1.6	.250/.310/.414	.164	.297	20	4	22%	7%	105	+2.1	.251/.310/.413	.162	.302	20	3	23%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	38→40	45	.206/.269/.343	.137	.257	14	4	26%	7%	69	-0.4	.204/.281/.355	.151	.268	17	3	29%	9%	77	+0.1	.182/.281/.358	.176	.233	21	4	31%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Lenyn Sosa 2023 · MLB	23	47→51	48→55	39→40	39	.241/.276/.374	.133	.295	16	4	24%	4%	79	+0.3	.238/.271/.386	.148	.287	19	4	24%	4%	80	+0.4	.240/.270/.395	.155	.284	22	3	24%	3%	79	+0.2
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	40→44	46→55	41→40	43	.206/.270/.337	.130	.255	15	3	25%	6%	68	-0.5	.208/.269/.370	.162	.282	20	2	33%	6%	76	+0.1	.205/.271/.379	.174	.261	23	1	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Andy Marte 2006 · MLB	22	43→50	52→55	38→40	51	.226/.295/.393	.167	.260	19	4	22%	9%	92	+1.2	.222/.271/.377	.155	.261	18	3	22%	6%	78	+0.2	.236/.285/.394	.158	.264	19	2	19%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Hank Conger 2011 · MLB	23	50→55	46→50	42→45	48	.245/.298/.373	.128	.283	13	3	19%	7%	88	+0.9	.233/.290/.367	.134	.272	15	3	20%	7%	83	+0.6	.227/.300/.378	.151	.280	17	0	24%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	38→39	47→50	37→30	40	.191/.284/.322	.131	.293	15	2	37%	7%	72	-0.2	.199/.301/.327	.128	.293	14	3	34%	8%	80	+0.4	.177/.295/.289	.111	.265	13	1	34%	8%	65	-0.3
●Ian Stewart 2007 · AA	22	46→52	48→60	40→45	43	.227/.288/.382	.155	.297	13	4	28%	7%	86	+0.8	.239/.305/.410	.171	.310	18	8	28%	8%	102	+1.8	.239/.315/.432	.193	.304	23	9	28%	9%	108	+2.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)