Robert Lopez — OGILVIE

Robert LopezC Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 182 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .268 / .280

PA15

HR0

K%25

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	124	102	17	5	1	2	17	32	5	2	1	167	315	294	609	127	221	26	14	289	82	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2022	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	100	87	17	3	0	0	11	26	2	1	1	195	300	230	530	34	279	26	11	257	60	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	273	243	59	13	1	6	27	61	1	1	0	243	321	379	700	136	298	22	10	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+6	0.6
2024	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	209	179	44	7	0	3	29	53	1	3	0	246	354	335	689	89	333	25	14	320	103	+1	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	195	167	33	8	0	1	25	44	2	2	1	198	309	263	573	66	260	23	13	272	70	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	124	108	12	3	1	1	11	46	5	2	1	111	226	185	411	74	171	37	9	192	16	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	100	91	12	2	0	0	7	37	2	1	1	132	210	154	364	22	219	37	7	170	1	-12	-0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2023	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	273	253	52	11	1	5	17	88	1	1	0	206	258	316	575	111	282	32	6	248	54	-15	+0	—	—	+6	-0.9
2024	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	209	191	36	6	0	3	17	76	1	3	0	188	258	267	525	79	293	36	8	236	46	-13	+1	—	—	+5	-0.9
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	195	176	28	7	0	1	16	63	2	2	1	159	237	216	453	57	230	32	8	203	24	-18	+0	—	—	+4	-1.4
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	124	108	12	3	1	1	11	46	5	2	1	111	226	185	411	74	180	37	9	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Red	—	124	102	17	5	1	2	17	32	5	2	1	167	315	294	609	127	221	26	14	289	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	100	91	12	2	0	0	7	37	2	1	1	132	210	154	364	22	222	37	7	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	100	87	17	3	0	0	11	26	2	1	1	195	300	230	530	34	279	26	11	257	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	273	253	52	11	1	5	17	88	1	1	0	206	258	316	575	111	290	32	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	273	243	59	13	1	6	27	61	1	1	0	243	321	379	700	136	298	22	10	314	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	209	191	36	6	0	3	17	76	1	3	0	188	258	267	525	79	295	36	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	209	179	44	7	0	3	29	53	1	3	0	246	354	335	689	89	333	25	14	320	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	195	176	28	7	0	1	16	63	2	2	1	159	237	216	453	57	239	32	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	195	167	33	8	0	1	25	44	2	2	1	198	309	263	573	66	260	23	13	272	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	124	107	12	3	1	1	11	46	5	2	1	112	226	187	413	75	171	37	9	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	100	91	12	2	0	0	7	37	2	1	1	132	210	154	364	22	219	37	7	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	273	253	52	11	1	5	17	88	1	1	0	206	258	316	575	111	282	32	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	209	189	36	6	0	3	17	76	1	3	0	190	258	270	528	79	293	36	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	195	175	28	7	0	1	16	63	2	2	1	160	237	217	454	57	230	32	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	273	253	52	11	1	5	17	88	1	1	0	206	258	316	575	111	282	32	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	209	189	36	6	0	3	17	76	1	3	0	190	258	270	528	79	293	36	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	195	175	28	7	0	1	16	63	2	2	1	160	237	217	454	57	230	32	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	264	27	7	253	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	248	224	47	10	1	3	20	60	2	4	1	210	280	304	584	94	268	24	8	268	67	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	46%	343	309	67	14	1	6	28	82	3	5	1	217	288	327	615	110	271	24	8	277	73	-11	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	398	358	78	16	2	7	33	94	4	5	1	218	291	332	624	115	272	24	8	282	77	-11	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	433	390	85	17	2	8	36	102	4	6	2	218	291	333	624	115	272	24	8	284	78	-11	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	448	404	89	18	2	9	37	106	4	6	2	220	292	342	634	121	272	24	8	284	78	-12	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	454	409	89	18	2	9	38	108	4	6	2	218	290	337	628	120	272	24	8	283	78	-12	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	450	405	88	18	2	8	38	108	4	6	1	217	291	331	622	114	271	24	8	281	76	-13	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	443	398	85	17	2	8	38	108	4	5	1	214	289	327	615	113	270	24	9	278	74	-14	+1	-2	+8	+10	0.3
2035	31	MLB MLE	CLE	59%	418	375	79	16	1	7	36	103	4	5	1	211	287	315	601	104	267	25	9	274	72	-14	+1	-3	+7	+9	0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	85	77	15	3	0	1	7	21	1	1	0	195	271	273	543	78	268	25	8	260	67	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	46%	158	143	31	6	1	3	13	38	1	2	1	217	287	336	622	119	270	24	8	269	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	206	185	41	8	1	4	17	49	2	3	1	222	294	341	635	119	272	24	8	274	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	235	212	46	9	1	5	19	56	2	3	1	217	288	340	627	123	272	24	8	276	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	243	219	48	10	1	5	20	58	2	3	1	219	290	342	633	123	272	24	8	276	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	246	221	49	10	1	5	21	59	2	3	1	222	295	344	639	122	271	24	9	275	78	-7	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	239	215	46	9	1	4	20	58	2	3	1	214	287	321	608	107	270	24	8	274	76	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	252	227	49	10	1	5	21	61	2	3	1	216	288	335	623	119	269	24	8	271	74	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	CLE	59%	248	223	46	9	1	4	21	61	2	3	1	206	280	309	590	103	267	25	8	267	72	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1912	1722	371	74	8	36	159	461	16	24	8	215	288	330	618	115	272	24	8	272	67	-56	+2	-4	+34	+41	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	126	25	3	12	54	157	5	8	3	215	287	330	617	115	272	24	8	272	67	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4551	4105	850	174	17	75	373	1185	44	57	15	207	280	313	593	105	271	26	8	267	67	-108	+5	-7	+65	+79	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	121	25	2	11	53	169	6	8	2	206	279	312	591	106	269	26	8	267	67	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,094	37	27	215	285	326	+37	+24	3.2	3.1
/162	664	12	9	+11.9	+7.6	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Robert Lopez (OGILVIE)	22	30	20	40	50	200/268/280	80	264	2	3	25%	8%	57	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	199/275/260	61	277	3	4	27%	8%	55	-1.9	215/268/277	62	300	3	6	27%	6%	55	-1.9	242/305/311	69	297	6	1	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	40→37	35→30	44→50	48	187/266/245	59	273	2	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	224/306/292	68	309	2	16	25%	10%	74	-0.6	243/332/303	60	328	1	21	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	39	187/248/259	72	259	4	4	28%	5%	45	-2.7	223/289/310	87	301	6	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	241/310/327	86	323	6	5	25%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Elias Arias 2016 · A	22	45	36→30	46→55	46	211/274/274	63	275	4	13	24%	7%	57	-1.8	200/254/283	83	304	6	9	34%	6%	52	-2.2	161/210/245	83	254	7	9	38%	5%	23	-0.9
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/300	89	297	5	7	29%	6%	68	-1.0	221/302/288	67	277	4	4	20%	8%	72	-0.7	240/332/298	58	287	4	1	16%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Cody Morissette 2022 · A	22	41→30	39→45	43→55	44	195/263/281	86	285	6	5	32%	8%	55	-1.9	186/242/306	120	251	14	7	31%	6%	53	-2.1	182/237/299	117	239	14	19	29%	6%	48	-1.4
✕Jonah Todd 2018 · A	22	49→36	35→30	40	49	228/296/292	64	300	2	4	23%	8%	70	-0.9	195/263/256	61	300	2	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	166/239/212	45	270	0	3	35%	9%	28	-3.1
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	186/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	44	-2.8	217/271/283	66	297	4	6	26%	7%	58	-1.7	246/291/294	49	312	2	7	21%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Greg Cullen 2019 · A	22	47→44	38→40	46→40	49	221/285/307	86	269	5	3	19%	8%	69	-0.9	219/305/319	100	284	8	3	24%	9%	80	-0.1	230/333/323	93	312	9	4	26%	12%	90	+0.2
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Richie Fecteau 2017 · A	23	39	36→45	44→40	49	186/257/257	72	243	2	6	23%	8%	48	-2.5	217/265/321	104	293	9	4	28%	5%	64	-1.3	218/262/328	110	297	10	2	29%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Noe Becerra 2009 · AAA	22	42	37→30	44→40	47	201/265/269	68	260	5	7	24%	8%	53	-2.1	228/286/313	85	278	7	7	19%	7%	71	-0.8	282/332/341	59	319	2	0	12%	6%	93	+0.3
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Cole Armstrong 2006 · A	22	39→36	41→50	41→30	42	194/237/295	102	240	9	3	23%	5%	48	-2.5	209/249/317	108	269	11	3	26%	5%	58	-1.7	225/277/348	122	271	15	1	22%	6%	75	-0.3
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	37	39→40	42→45	47	184/262/267	82	249	8	7	28%	9%	53	-2.1	202/263/289	87	282	6	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	190/245/265	75	263	4	7	28%	7%	42	-0.7
✕Austin Upshaw 2018 · A	22	47→28	41→40	46→30	42	228/267/323	96	274	8	5	20%	4%	65	-1.2	187/225/275	88	241	8	4	25%	4%	39	-3.1	147/181/219	72	186	8	1	26%	4%	7	-3.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps