Victor Garcia

C DSL Cubs Red

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	42	.242/.390/.242	0	1	36	—	.171/.293/.171
2026	18	ROKDSL Cubs Red	94	.286/.511/.460	1	4	94	—	.197/.380/.324
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBCHC	204	.217/.311/.299	1	4	77	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCHC	59	.223/.318/.317	1	1	81	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCHC	151	.226/.320/.328	2	3	85	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%99

Chase%98

wOBA94

wRC+93

Z-Con%93

Whiff%91

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRandy Florentino (age 19) · Bo Naylor (age 19) · Kevyn Castillo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .309 / .296

PA83

HR1

K%24

BB%11

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$47M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$16M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	33	8	0	0	0	8	6	0	1	0	242	390	242	633		286	14	19	305	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	94	63	18	6	1	1	28	16	1	4	4	286	511	460	971	175	354	17	30	433	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	35	6	0	0	0	6	7	0	1	0	171	293	171	464		196	17	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	94	71	14	4	1	1	20	20	1	4	4	197	380	324	704	127	226	21	21	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	35	6	0	0	0	6	7	0	1	0	171	293	171	464		207	17	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	33	8	0	0	0	8	6	0	1	0	242	390	242	633		286	14	19	305	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	94	71	14	4	1	1	20	20	1	4	4	197	380	324	704	127	250	21	21	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	94	63	18	6	1	1	28	16	1	4	4	286	511	460	971	175	354	17	30	433	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	36	6	0	0	0	6	7	0	1	0	167	293	167	459		196	17	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	94	73	14	4	1	1	20	20	1	4	4	192	380	315	696	123	226	21	21	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	36	6	0	0	0	6	7	0	1	0	167	293	167	459		196	17	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	94	73	14	4	1	1	20	20	1	4	4	192	380	315	696	123	226	21	21	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	204	177	38	7	2	1	23	50	2	4	1	217	311	299	611	83	289	25	11	282	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	173	150	33	6	1	2	19	42	2	3	1	221	315	312	627	91	290	24	11	289	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	312	272	61	11	2	4	34	75	3	6	2	224	318	323	641	99	292	24	11	294	85	-6	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	413	361	82	15	3	6	45	98	4	8	2	227	320	333	653	106	292	24	11	298	88	-6	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	481	421	96	17	4	7	52	114	5	9	3	229	321	342	663	112	293	24	11	302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+10	1.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	520	454	106	19	4	9	56	122	5	10	3	232	323	349	671	117	294	23	11	305	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	520	454	105	19	4	9	56	122	5	10	3	232	323	351	674	119	294	23	11	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	520	454	105	19	4	9	56	122	5	10	3	232	323	353	676	121	294	23	11	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	520	454	105	19	4	9	56	123	5	10	3	231	322	350	672	119	293	24	11	305	93	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	CHC	59%	520	454	105	19	4	9	56	124	5	9	3	229	320	345	665	116	292	24	11	302	91	-6	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	CHC	61%	520	454	104	19	3	9	56	126	5	9	4	227	317	339	656	112	291	24	11	299	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	CHC	62%	520	456	101	18	3	8	55	127	4	9	4	223	314	331	644	107	289	24	11	294	85	-9	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.0
2039	31	MLB MLE	CHC	63%	504	442	96	17	3	7	53	125	4	8	5	219	309	320	629	101	286	25	11	288	81	-11	-0	-3	+9	+11	0.5
2040	32	MLB MLE	CHC	64%	489	431	92	16	3	6	51	124	4	7	8	214	302	308	610	94	282	25	10	280	76	-14	-2	-4	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	59	51	12	2	1	1	7	14	1	1	0	223	318	317	635	94	294	24	12	291	81	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	151	132	30	6	1	2	17	36	1	3	1	226	320	328	648	102	295	24	11	297	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	224	195	45	8	2	3	25	53	2	4	1	229	322	338	660	108	296	24	11	301	88	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	272	237	54	10	2	4	30	64	3	5	2	232	323	346	669	114	297	24	11	304	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	294	257	61	11	3	5	32	69	3	6	2	234	325	353	677	119	298	23	11	307	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	294	257	61	11	3	5	32	69	3	6	2	234	325	355	680	121	298	23	11	308	93	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	294	257	60	11	2	5	32	69	3	5	2	235	325	357	682	122	298	23	11	309	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	288	252	59	11	2	5	31	68	3	5	2	233	324	354	678	121	297	24	11	307	93	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	CHC	59%	307	268	61	11	2	5	33	73	3	5	2	231	322	349	671	118	296	24	11	304	91	-3	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	CHC	61%	317	277	63	12	2	5	34	77	3	5	2	229	319	342	662	114	295	24	11	301	88	-4	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	CHC	62%	324	283	64	12	2	5	35	79	3	5	3	225	315	334	650	109	293	24	11	296	85	-6	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	CHC	63%	318	278	61	11	2	4	34	79	3	5	3	221	310	324	635	103	289	25	11	290	81	-7	-0	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	CHC	64%	311	274	59	10	2	4	32	79	2	5	5	216	304	311	616	96	285	25	10	282	76	-9	-1	-2	+6	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3453	3018	690	126	26	53	374	829	33	60	27	229	320	340	661	112	296	24	11	300	88	-50	+1	-7	+62	+75	8.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	130	24	5	10	70	156	6	11	5	229	319	342	661	113	296	24	11	300	88	-9	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6231	5436	1228	221	44	96	680	1491	58	114	48	226	318	336	654	110	291	24	11	298	88	-88	+4	-10	+109	+132	14.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	128	23	5	10	71	156	6	12	5	226	318	337	655	111	291	24	11	298	88	-9	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bill Rariden'09-'20 * career totals — 11 seasons, 3,305 PA	5.0	3,305	7	47	232*	319*	351*	+59	+0	11.8	12.1
/162	664	1	9	+11.8	+0.1	2.4	pk7: 12
#5Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.3	3,537	55	63	227	315	338	+63	+32	11.1	9.4
/162	664	10	12	+11.9	+6.0	2.1	pk7: 8
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	215/309/296	82	289	1	1	24%	11%	77	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Hector Osorio 2024 · A	19	44	35→45	51→50	62	200/321/262	62	245	2	15	17%	13%	76	-0.4	216/319/308	92	262	8	12	19%	11%	84	+0.1	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
●Josue De Paula 2024 · A	19	52→54	38→50	51→55	52	242/326/327	85	316	5	14	23%	10%	89	+0.5	236/331/360	124	307	12	20	25%	12%	99	+1.3	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	48	38→40	50	60	221/321/305	85	261	4	10	16%	12%	83	+0.1	203/276/272	69	258	3	7	20%	9%	58	-1.7	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Sanchez 2024 · A	19	49→54	37→40	50	56	218/326/301	83	327	4	13	30%	13%	84	+0.2	217/305/303	86	356	6	12	36%	11%	76	-0.4	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2024 · A	19	47→46	36→45	51→55	59	218/319/284	66	282	2	16	21%	12%	78	-0.3	220/304/299	79	303	4	13	26%	10%	75	-0.5	214/298/296	82	295	5	16	27%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Victor Ortega 2023 · A	19	47	37→45	43→45	52	219/302/295	76	287	4	6	24%	10%	74	-0.6	212/314/272	60	270	2	7	19%	12%	74	-0.6	222/329/302	80	289	4	3	21%	12%	84	+0.1
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	47→57	40→50	54→45	44	224/275/327	103	289	6	6	24%	6%	70	-0.9	250/289/389	139	299	15	6	21%	5%	90	+0.6	260/314/394	134	302	14	2	18%	7%	99	+0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4

Victor Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps