Diego Alambarrio

C DSL Giants Black

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 179 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#734ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	25	.300/.440/.350	0	1	59	—	.238/.360/.286
2026	18	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	153	.275/.416/.400	1	3	58	—	.185/.322/.274
2027PROJMLE	19	MLB—	263	.226/.302/.311	2	6	76	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	45	.230/.307/.325	0	1	81	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLB—	112	.233/.310/.336	1	3	85	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%97

Z-Con%86

Whiff%79

wOBA64

wRC+64

Speed59

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJesus Rodriguez (age 19) · Jett Williams (age 19) · Michael Arroyo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+76

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .300 / .309

PA79

HR1

K%21

BB%7

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$41M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	25	20	6	1	0	0	3	3	2	1	0	300	440	350	790	50	353	12	12	375	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	153	120	33	10	1	1	14	14	15	3	0	275	416	400	816	125	294	9	9	368	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	25	21	5	1	0	0	2	4	2	1	0	238	360	286	646	48	237	16	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	153	124	23	6	1	1	10	17	15	3	0	185	322	274	596	89	187	11	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	25	21	5	1	0	0	2	4	2	1	0	238	360	286	646	48	294	16	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	25	20	6	1	0	0	3	3	2	1	0	300	440	350	790	50	353	12	12	375	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	153	124	23	6	1	1	10	17	15	3	0	185	322	274	596	89	200	11	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	153	120	33	10	1	1	14	14	15	3	0	275	416	400	816	125	294	9	9	368	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	25	21	5	1	0	0	2	4	2	1	0	238	360	286	646	48	237	16	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	153	127	23	6	1	1	10	17	15	3	0	181	322	268	590	87	187	11	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	25	21	5	1	0	0	2	4	2	1	0	238	360	286	646	48	237	16	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	153	127	23	6	1	1	10	17	15	3	0	181	322	268	590	87	187	11	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	263	235	54	11	2	2	18	57	8	6	2	226	302	311	614	85	287	22	7	281	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	132	118	26	5	1	1	9	28	4	3	1	230	307	325	632	95	289	21	7	288	81	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	232	207	48	9	2	3	16	49	7	6	2	233	310	336	647	103	290	21	7	294	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	342	305	71	14	2	5	24	73	10	9	3	236	313	346	659	111	291	21	7	299	88	-5	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	419	374	89	17	3	7	30	89	12	11	4	238	315	354	669	117	292	21	7	303	91	-4	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	445	398	95	18	3	8	32	95	12	12	4	240	317	362	678	122	293	21	7	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	445	398	95	18	3	8	32	95	12	12	4	240	317	365	682	124	293	21	7	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	445	398	95	18	3	8	32	95	12	12	4	241	318	367	684	126	293	21	7	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	445	398	94	18	3	8	32	95	12	12	4	240	317	364	680	124	292	21	7	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	59%	445	398	94	18	3	8	32	96	12	11	4	238	314	359	674	121	291	22	7	304	92	-4	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	61%	445	398	94	18	3	8	32	97	12	11	4	235	312	353	664	118	290	22	7	300	89	-6	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	62%	445	398	93	18	3	7	32	99	12	11	5	232	308	345	653	113	288	22	7	296	86	-7	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	63%	426	382	86	17	2	6	30	96	11	10	6	228	303	335	637	107	285	23	7	289	82	-9	-0	-3	+8	+9	0.5
2040	32	MLB MLE	—	64%	407	366	81	15	2	6	28	94	10	9	7	222	297	322	619	100	281	23	7	282	77	-11	-1	-4	+7	+9	0.0
2041	33	MLB MLE	—	65%	362	325	70	13	2	4	25	86	9	8	9	215	289	307	596	92	276	24	7	272	71	-13	-2	-4	+6	+8	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	45	41	9	2	0	0	3	10	1	1	0	230	307	325	632	95	289	22	7	288	81	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	112	100	24	5	1	1	8	24	3	3	1	233	310	336	647	103	290	21	7	294	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	185	164	39	8	1	3	13	39	6	5	2	236	313	346	659	111	291	21	7	299	88	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	237	211	51	10	2	4	17	50	7	6	2	238	315	354	669	117	292	21	7	303	91	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	252	225	53	10	2	4	18	54	7	7	2	240	317	362	678	122	293	21	7	306	93	-2	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	251	224	54	10	2	5	18	53	7	7	2	240	317	365	682	124	293	21	7	307	94	-2	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	251	224	54	10	2	5	18	53	7	7	2	241	318	367	684	126	293	21	7	308	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	247	220	53	10	2	5	18	53	7	6	2	240	317	364	680	124	292	21	7	307	94	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	59%	263	235	57	11	2	5	19	57	7	7	2	238	314	359	674	121	291	22	7	304	92	-3	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	61%	271	242	58	11	2	5	20	59	7	7	3	235	312	353	664	118	290	22	7	300	89	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	62%	277	248	58	11	2	5	20	62	7	7	3	232	308	345	653	113	288	22	7	296	86	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	63%	269	241	55	10	2	4	19	61	7	6	4	228	303	335	637	107	285	23	7	289	82	-6	-0	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	—	64%	259	232	52	10	1	4	18	60	7	6	5	222	297	322	619	100	281	23	7	282	77	-7	-1	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	—	65%	235	211	45	8	1	3	16	56	6	5	6	215	289	307	596	92	276	24	7	272	71	-8	-1	-3	+4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3154	2818	662	126	22	53	225	691	86	80	36	235	311	352	663	117	292	22	7	298	87	-47	+2	-9	+56	+68	7.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	137	26	5	11	46	142	18	16	7	236	312	355	666	119	292	22	7	298	87	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5692	5080	1176	226	37	89	403	1225	166	143	61	231	309	343	652	112	286	22	7	296	87	-81	+3	-15	+98	+119	12.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	134	26	4	10	46	140	19	16	7	231	308	341	649	110	286	22	7	296	87	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Giants Black · 153 PAwOBA .369 → .254 (−115)K% 9.2% → 11.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.15%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	11.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.15%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.45%
HBP% /PA	9.80%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.91%
Singles /BIP	19.81%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.970	×1.008	13.17%
Doubles /BIP	9.43%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.970	×1.008	5.53%
Triples /BIP	0.94%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.970	×1.008	0.55%
Home runs /BIP	0.94%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.45%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .369 → .254; ISO .125 → .077; BABIP .294 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Giants Black · 25 PAwOBA .366 → .256 (−111)K% 12.0% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.00%	÷1.007	×1.220	—	—	14.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.00%	÷1.075	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.99%
HBP% /PA	8.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	5.73%
Singles /BIP	29.41%	÷1.014	×0.680	—	×1.022	20.16%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.014	×0.600	—	×1.022	3.56%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.974	×0.600	—	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.022	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .366 → .256; ISO .050 → .032; BABIP .353 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
#4Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.9	3,235	52	80	234	307	348	+58	+36	9.9	8.5
/162	664	11	16	+11.9	+7.4	2.0	pk7: 7
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Jake Gibbs'63-'71 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	25	28	244*	299*	362*	+32	+0	5.4	5.4
/162	664	9	10	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Diego Alambarrio (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	224/300/309	85	287	1	2	21%	7%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	47	36→40	44→45	52	220/303/284	64	270	3	8	18%	9%	72	-0.7	199/266/269	70	259	4	5	23%	8%	53	-2.1	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→43	36→50	51→45	46	221/300/290	68	306	3	12	26%	8%	72	-0.7	233/303/375	142	314	15	8	29%	7%	93	+0.8	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	48	37→45	53→50	53	218/293/303	85	243	3	11	12%	7%	72	-0.7	240/312/325	85	281	5	9	16%	7%	84	+0.1	232/299/348	116	287	12	10	23%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Manny Piña 2006 · A	19	45	36→55	51→40	43	211/281/279	68	266	3	7	21%	5%	62	-1.4	214/264/281	67	252	3	4	16%	4%	55	-2.0	261/309/397	137	311	13	3	20%	6%	100	+0.8
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→54	39→55	52→50	46	240/297/334	93	309	5	8	23%	7%	80	-0.2	252/306/371	119	311	10	8	21%	7%	91	+0.7	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0

Diego Alambarrio

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps