Cesar Farias
P
DSL Mariners
Age 18
RHP
5'11" / 145 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%23.2%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 7 | 4 | 13 | 72 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 57% | 1.8 | 18.9% | 27.8% | -8.9% | 2.2% | 8.53 | 6.25 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 7 | 4 | 13 | 72 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 57% | 1.8 | 27.8% | 22.2% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 8.53 | 4.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.5 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | SEA | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | SEA | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 7 | 4 | 13 | 72 | 14 | 20 | 2 | 57% | 1.8 | 18.9% | 27.8% | -8.9% | 2.2% | 8.53 | 6.25 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 111 | 63 | 200 | 1137 | 215 | 316 | 25 | 57% | 1.8 | 18.9% | 27.8% | -8.9% | 2.2% | 8.53 | 6.25 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cesar Farias (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.30 | 23.6% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Amilcar Chirinos R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.26 | 25.6% | 12.3% | 1.4% | .349 | 4.01 | 19.3% | 6.3% | 147 | +0.75 | 2.86 | 212 | 78 |
| Gerelmi Maldonado R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.0% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.64 | 19.9% | 2.2% | 124 | +0.43 | 3.83 | 215 | 76 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 76 |
| Alimber Santa R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.85 | 17.0% | 11.4% | 3.2% | .304 | 5.11 | 20.9% | 1.8% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.22 | 255 | 76 |
| Moisés Chace R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.81 | 20.5% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .387 | 4.54 | 24.2% | 6.9% | 208 | +0.73 | 3.81 | 247 | 75 |
| Luis Victorino R 2027 · 4.27 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.27 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .301 | 4.95 | 15.9% | -5.0% | 84 | +0.68 | 4.27 | 148 | 75 |
| Deretd Parra R 2027 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 75 |
| Sean Paul Liñan R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.04 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .324 | 4.14 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 181 | +0.10 | 3.29 | 243 | 74 |
| Wilmy Sanchez R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.88 | 23.0% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .316 | 4.19 | 21.5% | 3.8% | 148 | +0.31 | 3.29 | 203 | 74 |
| Heisell Baro R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.0% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .196 | 5.77 | 15.8% | -1.4% | 61 | +1.40 | 4.16 | 105 | 74 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2028 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 73 |
| Grant Holman R 2029 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 73 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2028 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 73 |
| Luis Aguilar R 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.54 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .356 | 4.26 | 16.7% | 6.7% | 111 | -0.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 73 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 71 |
| Dahian Santos R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.91 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | .316 | 4.73 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 161 | -0.18 | 4.35 | 197 | 71 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2029 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 71 |
| Michael Dominguez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.82 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .218 | 4.83 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 110 | +1.01 | 3.82 | 383 | 71 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2029 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 70 |
| Eccel Correa R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 70 |