Michael Dominguez

Michael Dominguez P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 25 RHP 5'10" / 175 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 128

ERA5.87

FIP5.87

K%19.6%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%3.8%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	9	3	24	95	29	10	1	33%	2.7	20.8%	13.2%	7.6%	1.5%	1.12	3.82	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	9	3	24	95	29	10	1	33%	2.7	30.5%	10.5%	20.0%	1.1%	1.12	2.48	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	9	39	169	44	14	4	82%	3.5	17.9%	11.1%	6.9%	2.0%	3.72	4.09	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	9	39	169	44	14	4	82%	3.5	26.0%	8.3%	17.8%	2.4%	3.72	3.26	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	18	81	350	104	31	11	90%	4.0	22.3%	10.3%	12.0%	4.3%	5.02	4.91	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	18	81	350	104	31	11	90%	4.0	29.7%	8.9%	20.9%	3.1%	5.02	3.45	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	102	429	120	72	17	100%	4.4	21.9%	19.0%	2.9%	4.5%	3.87	6.11	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	102	429	120	72	17	100%	4.4	21.9%	19.0%	2.9%	4.5%	3.87	6.11	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	102	429	120	72	17	100%	4.4	28.0%	16.8%	11.2%	4.0%	3.87	5.03	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	22	22	97	413	83	56	17	100%	4.4	16.3%	14.9%	1.4%	4.3%	4.56	5.98	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	22	22	97	413	83	56	17	100%	4.4	16.3%	14.9%	1.4%	4.3%	4.56	5.98	—
2024	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	22	22	97	413	83	56	17	100%	4.4	20.1%	13.6%	6.5%	4.1%	4.56	5.41	—
2025	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	23	6	50	229	61	29	9	26%	2.2	21.6%	13.9%	7.6%	5.3%	5.22	5.97	—
2025	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	23	6	50	229	61	29	9	26%	2.2	21.6%	13.9%	7.6%	5.3%	5.22	5.97	—
2025	24	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	23	6	50	229	61	29	9	26%	2.2	26.6%	12.7%	14.0%	3.9%	5.22	4.74	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	TOR	2	2	10	42	8	7	2	100%	5.0	19.6%	15.8%	3.8%	3.7%	5.87	5.87	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TOR	20	20	122	516	105	77	19	100%	6.1	20.2%	14.9%	5.3%	3.7%	5.69	5.67	-1.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	TOR	20	20	120	509	104	74	19	100%	6.0	20.4%	14.5%	5.9%	3.7%	5.59	5.60	-0.9
2029	28	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	117	494	100	71	18	100%	6.2	20.3%	14.3%	6.0%	3.7%	5.58	5.62	-0.9
2030	29	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	112	471	95	68	18	100%	5.9	20.1%	14.3%	5.8%	3.9%	5.65	5.71	-1.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	TOR	17	17	105	443	88	65	18	100%	6.2	19.8%	14.6%	5.1%	4.1%	5.79	5.89	-1.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	TOR	9	9	54	228	46	34	8	100%	6.0	20.2%	14.9%	5.3%	3.7%	5.69	5.67	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	TOR	13	13	76	321	65	46	12	100%	5.8	20.4%	14.5%	5.9%	3.7%	5.59	5.60	-0.6
2029	28	MLB CTX	TOR	15	15	88	372	76	53	14	100%	5.9	20.3%	14.3%	6.0%	3.7%	5.58	5.62	-0.7
2030	29	MLB CTX	TOR	15	15	91	384	77	55	15	100%	6.1	20.1%	14.3%	5.8%	3.9%	5.65	5.71	-0.8
2031	30	MLB CTX	TOR	15	15	90	380	75	56	15	100%	6.0	19.8%	14.6%	5.1%	4.1%	5.79	5.89	-1.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		67	67	399	1687	340	245	64	100%	6.0	20.2%	14.5%	5.6%	3.8%	5.66	5.32	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	170	123	32	100%	6.0	20.2%	14.5%	5.6%	3.8%	5.66	5.32	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		108	81	392	1685	339	243	69	75%	3.6	20.1%	14.4%	5.7%	4.1%	4.27	5.48	-5.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	41	200	859	173	124	35	75%	3.6	20.1%	14.4%	5.7%	4.1%	4.27	5.48	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Dominguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.87	19.6%	15.8%	3.7%	—	5.63	20.3%	5.7%	360	-0.24	—	—	—
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	82
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	25	SP-	4.90	19.1%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.05	22.7%	14.3%	222	-0.85	3.90	538	81
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	79
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	77
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	77
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.07	22.5%	13.4%	138	-1.14	3.38	292	76
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.76	16.6%	4.4%	294	-0.28	4.43	388	76
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	75
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.83	22.0%	10.4%	160	+0.06	3.75	326	75
Matt Ruppenthal R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	25	SP-	4.76	18.5%	13.8%	2.7%	.308	4.30	22.5%	7.6%	102	-0.46	3.74	283	75
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	74
Carlos Tavera R 2023 · 5.86 FIP	24	SP-	5.86	19.6%	17.3%	4.0%	.267	5.23	18.9%	5.6%	114	-0.63	3.91	263	74
Mike Franco R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP-	4.75	17.2%	12.9%	2.7%	.251	4.33	21.9%	12.7%	98	-0.42	3.11	322	74
Ryan Atkinson R 2018 · 5.08 FIP	25	SP-	5.08	21.1%	13.5%	3.7%	.303	4.14	21.2%	7.3%	54	-0.94	4.14	338	74
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	74
Mason Pelio R 2023 · 6.38 FIP	23	SP-	6.38	13.3%	17.4%	4.0%	.255	5.88	9.0%	-12.8%	26	-0.50	5.88	122	73
Ben Casparius R 2023 · 5.73 FIP	24	SP-	5.73	20.1%	13.0%	4.9%	.272	3.66	21.8%	11.9%	177	-2.07	3.36	374	72
Chris McElvain R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.8%	11.6%	2.8%	.275	5.24	15.8%	4.7%	198	+0.48	4.07	294	72
Bubba Derby R 2019 · 5.42 FIP	25	SP-	5.42	18.0%	10.1%	4.7%	.287	5.14	19.4%	11.0%	71	-0.28	3.68	550	72
David Ledbetter R 2017 · 5.30 FIP	25	SP-	5.30	14.9%	11.9%	3.5%	.274	4.84	14.0%	5.9%	44	-0.46	4.84	411	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.5	116	20.1%	14.8%	1.46	5.69
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58