Michael Dominguez

Michael Dominguez P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

+0.0 WAR

Age 25 RHP 5'10" / 175 lbs AA

ERA5.34

FIP5.34

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.0%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%8.3%

IP69

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2026

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5050

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	9	3	24	95	29	10	1	20.8%	13.2%	1.5%	1.12	3.82	+0.3
2021	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	11	9	39	169	44	14	4	17.9%	11.1%	2.0%	3.72	4.09	+0.4
2022	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	20	18	81	350	104	31	11	22.3%	10.3%	4.4%	5.02	4.94	+0.2
2023	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	23	23	102	429	120	72	17	21.9%	19.0%	4.4%	3.87	6.08	-0.9
2024	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	22	22	97	413	83	56	17	16.3%	14.9%	4.2%	4.56	5.92	-0.7
2025	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	23	6	50	229	61	29	9	21.6%	13.9%	5.2%	5.22	5.92	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	TOR	13	13	69	292	61	40	11	21.0%	13.8%	3.7%	5.48	5.48	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	26	MLB	TOR	13	13	69	292	63	39	11	21.5%	13.3%	3.6%	5.35	5.35	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	TOR	12	12	69	290	63	38	10	21.6%	13.1%	3.6%	5.27	5.28	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	TOR	12	12	68	286	62	37	10	21.7%	12.9%	3.6%	5.24	5.26	-0.2
2030	29	MLB	TOR	12	12	66	280	60	36	10	21.6%	12.9%	3.6%	5.25	5.28	-0.2
2031	30	MLB	TOR	12	12	64	271	58	35	10	21.4%	13.0%	3.7%	5.30	5.34	-0.3
2032	31	MLB	TOR	11	11	62	262	55	34	10	21.1%	13.1%	3.8%	5.37	5.41	-0.3
2033	32	MLB	TOR	60	—	60	251	52	33	10	20.9%	13.3%	3.8%	5.45	5.50	-0.4
2034	33	MLB	TOR	57	—	57	240	49	32	9	20.6%	13.4%	3.9%	5.54	5.60	-0.4
2035	34	MLB	TOR	54	—	54	228	46	31	9	20.2%	13.6%	4.0%	5.64	5.71	-0.5
2036	35	MLB	TOR	51	—	51	215	43	30	9	19.8%	13.9%	4.1%	5.75	5.83	-0.5
2037	36	MLB	TOR	48	—	48	201	39	28	9	19.4%	14.1%	4.3%	5.88	5.96	-0.5
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			108	81	392	1685	339	243	68	20.1%	14.4%	4.1%	4.27	5.46	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—			55	41	200	859	173	124	35	20.1%	14.4%	4.1%	4.27	5.46	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Dominguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	21.0%	13.8%	3.7%	—	5.30	21.6%	8.5%	206	-0.18	—	—	—
Nick Ernst R 2026 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	117	93
Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.99 FIP	25	SW	4.99	22.0%	12.0%	4.1%	.272	5.30	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.31	4.99	105	91
Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.54 FIP	25	SW	4.54	20.7%	14.0%	2.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	90
David Griffin R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	25	SW	4.42	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.32	15.6%	5.5%	168	+0.90	4.42	239	89
Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.51 FIP	24	SW	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.42	155	88
Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.28 FIP	25	SW	5.28	21.0%	12.2%	4.4%	.320	4.12	23.1%	13.2%	138	-1.16	3.37	292	88
Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.59 FIP	25	SW	4.59	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.54	16.5%	2.8%	182	-0.05	3.49	237	87
Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.76 FIP	25	SW	4.76	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	106	87
Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP	25	SW	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.65	197	86
Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.45 FIP	25	SW	4.45	21.5%	14.4%	2.5%	.326	4.74	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.29	3.86	242	86
Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.17 FIP	25	SW	5.17	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	85
Matt Lollis R 2026 · 5.00 FIP	25	SW	5.00	19.2%	14.5%	3.1%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	85
Scott Oberg R 2026 · 5.16 FIP	25	SW	5.16	17.0%	11.2%	3.8%	.273	2.95	22.8%	15.6%	188	-2.21	2.59	302	85
Zach Jackson R 2025 · 5.01 FIP	24	SW	5.01	20.8%	12.4%	3.8%	.261	2.42	33.6%	19.6%	76	-2.59	2.34	309	84
Ryan Ledbetter R 2025 · 4.75 FIP	24	SW	4.75	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.75	124	84
Hunter Parsons R 2026 · 4.76 FIP	25	SW	4.76	21.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.293	5.54	23.7%	10.9%	85	+0.78	4.76	183	84
Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.84 FIP	25	SW	4.84	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	2.58	27.5%	18.5%	46	-2.26	2.58	199	84
Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.41 FIP	25	SW	4.41	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.44	24.0%	10.9%	22	+1.03	4.41	152	84
Merrick Baldo R 2026 · 4.61 FIP	25	SW	4.61	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	2.69	116	84
Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	21.1%	10.6%	3.0%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	159	84

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.