Michael Dominguez
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 25
RHP
5'10" / 175 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 111 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 132
ERA5.86
FIP5.86
K%19.6%
BB%15.4%
K-BB%4.2%
ROS IP111
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 111 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | 9 | 3 | 24 | 95 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 33% | 2.7 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 1.12 | 3.82 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | 9 | 3 | 24 | 95 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 33% | 2.7 | 30.5% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 1.1% | 1.12 | 2.48 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 39 | 169 | 44 | 14 | 4 | 82% | 3.5 | 17.9% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 3.72 | 4.08 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 39 | 169 | 44 | 14 | 4 | 82% | 3.5 | 26.0% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 2.4% | 3.72 | 3.26 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 81 | 350 | 104 | 31 | 11 | 90% | 4.0 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 5.02 | 5.11 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 81 | 350 | 104 | 31 | 11 | 90% | 4.0 | 29.7% | 8.9% | 20.9% | 3.1% | 5.02 | 3.45 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 102 | 429 | 120 | 72 | 17 | 100% | 4.4 | 21.9% | 19.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.87 | 5.98 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 102 | 429 | 120 | 72 | 17 | 100% | 4.4 | 28.0% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 3.87 | 5.03 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 22 | 22 | 97 | 413 | 83 | 56 | 17 | 100% | 4.4 | 16.3% | 14.9% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.56 | 5.72 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 22 | 22 | 97 | 413 | 83 | 56 | 17 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.1% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.56 | 5.41 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 23 | 6 | 50 | 229 | 61 | 29 | 9 | 26% | 2.2 | 21.6% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.22 | 6.40 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 23 | 6 | 50 | 229 | 61 | 29 | 9 | 26% | 2.2 | 26.6% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 3.9% | 5.22 | 4.74 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 21 | 122 | 516 | 101 | 80 | 20 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.6% | 15.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.86 | 5.86 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 20 | 20 | 122 | 516 | 105 | 76 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.2% | 14.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.67 | 5.66 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 20 | 20 | 120 | 509 | 104 | 72 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.4% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.58 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 46 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.2% | 14.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.67 | 5.66 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 76 | 321 | 65 | 46 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.4% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.58 | 5.59 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 22 | 22 | 130 | 549 | 112 | 79 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.3% | 14.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.62 | 5.24 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 172 | 121 | 31 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.3% | 14.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.62 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 81 | 392 | 1685 | 339 | 243 | 69 | 75% | 3.6 | 20.1% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.27 | 5.48 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 41 | 200 | 859 | 173 | 124 | 35 | 75% | 3.6 | 20.1% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.27 | 5.48 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Dominguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.86 | 19.6% | 15.4% | 3.8% | — | 5.63 | 20.3% | 5.9% | 243 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.7% | .319 | 4.17 | 23.5% | 13.9% | 196 | -0.99 | 4.00 | 512 | 85 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 83 |
| Deylen Miley R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.05 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 185 | 78 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.24 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .286 | 5.57 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 51 | +0.33 | 3.81 | 527 | 78 |
| Reid Johnston R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .256 | 5.86 | 17.2% | 2.4% | 31 | +0.96 | 3.72 | 234 | 77 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 76 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 76 |
| Bryce Conley R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.33 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | .227 | 4.60 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 142 | -0.73 | 4.60 | 529 | 76 |
| Luis Quiñones R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 23.5% | 17.5% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.91 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 160 | +0.18 | 3.93 | 323 | 74 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.18 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 3.9% | .303 | 4.07 | 21.2% | 7.3% | 54 | -1.11 | 4.07 | 338 | 74 |
| Mike Franco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.74 | 17.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .251 | 4.30 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 98 | -0.44 | 3.06 | 322 | 74 |
| Justin Armbruester R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.94 | 20.6% | 13.0% | 5.3% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 358 | 74 |
| Kyle Dowdy R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.89 | 18.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .344 | 4.91 | 18.4% | 4.5% | 125 | +0.02 | 2.81 | 606 | 73 |
| Levi Stoudt R 2026 · 6.29 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.29 | 13.7% | 13.8% | 4.7% | .280 | 6.31 | 15.7% | 3.3% | 110 | +0.02 | 4.37 | 395 | 73 |
| Peter Solomon R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.70 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.8% | .277 | 5.46 | 18.2% | 5.9% | 194 | -0.24 | 2.87 | 516 | 73 |
| Bubba Derby R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.48 | 18.0% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .287 | 5.37 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 71 | -0.11 | 3.74 | 550 | 73 |
| Casey Steward R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 73 |
| Carlson Reed R 2024 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 72 |
| David Ledbetter R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.12 | 14.9% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .274 | 4.88 | 14.0% | 5.9% | 44 | -0.24 | 4.73 | 411 | 72 |
| Cam Sanders R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.83 | 22.2% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .232 | 4.59 | 26.3% | 7.9% | 170 | -0.24 | 3.71 | 483 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 122 | 20.1% | 14.8% | 1.44 | 5.70 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |