Elijah Dale
P
Everett AquaSox
Age 25
RHP
5'11" / 175 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.89
FIP4.89
K%21.2%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%9.1%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 26 | 24 | 109 | 493 | 111 | 57 | 7 | 92% | 4.2 | 16.7% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.46 | 4.70 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 26 | 24 | 109 | 493 | 111 | 57 | 7 | 92% | 4.2 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 4.46 | 3.47 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 24 | 0 | 31 | 138 | 33 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.4% | 20.0% | -1.6% | 4.2% | 5.52 | 6.40 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 24 | 0 | 31 | 138 | 33 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.9% | 17.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.52 | 5.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 32 | 0 | 34 | 143 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 32 | 0 | 34 | 143 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.43 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 96 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 24 | 140 | 631 | 108 | 95 | 17 | 48% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.69 | 5.07 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 34 | 200 | 901 | 154 | 136 | 25 | 48% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.69 | 5.07 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Elijah Dale (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 21.2% | 12.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.81 | 21.6% | 9.8% | 34 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 86 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 82 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 80 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 79 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 79 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 78 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 78 |
| Layne Somsen R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 77 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 77 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 77 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 77 |
| C.J. Culpepper R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.74 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 1.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 253 | 76 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 76 |
| Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 76 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 76 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 75 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 75 |
| Marcos Tineo R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.91 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 3.4% | .320 | 6.95 | 7.8% | -24.1% | 10 | +2.04 | 3.52 | 273 | 74 |
| Heath Slatton R 2024 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 17.9% | 12.9% | 4.2% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 120 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 34 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 1.18 | 4.85 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |