Reid Johnston
P Akron RubberDucks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | A+CLE | 23 | 15 | 92 | 3.83 | 4.03 | 25.4% | 12.1% | — | K 19.5% · BB 13.9% · FIP 5.00 |
| 2026 | 27 | AACLE | 24 | 0 | 31 | 4.99 | 5.12 | 21.3% | 13.5% | — | K 17.2% · BB 14.8% · FIP 5.86 |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBCLE | — | — | 0 | 5.33 | 5.33 | 19.0% | 13.4% | — | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 29 | MLBCLE | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5.30 | 5.36 | 19.2% | 13.2% | -0.0 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | 24 | 16 | 112 | 466 | 122 | 24 | 10 | 67% | 4.7 | 19.4% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 2.7% | 3.94 | 3.74 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | 24 | 16 | 112 | 466 | 122 | 24 | 10 | 67% | 4.7 | 26.2% | 5.2% | 21.0% | 2.1% | 3.94 | 2.73 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | 23 | 15 | 92 | 398 | 101 | 48 | 11 | 65% | 4.0 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.83 | 5.00 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lake County Captains | 23 | 15 | 92 | 398 | 101 | 48 | 11 | 65% | 4.0 | 25.4% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 3.83 | 4.03 | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | 24 | 0 | 31 | 141 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.2% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.99 | 5.86 | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | 24 | 0 | 31 | 141 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.2% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.99 | 5.86 | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | 24 | 0 | 31 | 141 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 4.99 | 5.12 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.0% | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.33 | 5.33 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 15 | 0 | 16 | 66 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.30 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.30 | 5.36 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.30 | 4.98 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 123 | 41 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.30 | 4.98 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 71 | 31 | 234 | 1005 | 192 | 104 | 32 | 44% | 3.3 | 19.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.03 | 4.54 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 61 | 26 | 200 | 858 | 164 | 89 | 27 | 44% | 3.3 | 19.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.03 | 4.54 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAkron RubberDucks · 31 IPFIP 4.96 → 5.86 (+0.90)K% 21.3% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 21.28% | — | ×0.810 | 17.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.48% | — | ×1.100 | 14.82% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | 4.26% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 4.96 → 5.86, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Lake County Captains · 92 IPFIP 4.00 → 5.00 (+0.99)K% 25.4% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 25.38% | — | ×0.770 | 19.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.06% | — | ×1.150 | 13.87% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.76% | ÷1.060 | ×1.250 | 3.26% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 112).
Result: FIP 4.00 → 5.00, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ALynchburg Hillcats · 112 IPFIP 2.72 → 3.74 (+1.02)K% 26.2% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 26.18% | — | ×0.740 | 19.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 5.15% | — | ×1.180 | 6.08% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.15% | ÷1.015 | ×1.300 | 2.75% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).
Result: FIP 2.72 → 3.74, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).