Deretd Parra — OGILVIE

Deretd Parra P Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 160 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%19.9%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	6	3	17	69	17	6	2	50%	2.8	16.8%	10.9%	5.9%	4.1%	4.32	5.29	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 1	6	3	17	69	17	6	2	50%	2.8	24.6%	8.7%	15.9%	2.9%	4.32	3.70	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	16	6	39	169	33	24	2	38%	2.5	13.3%	17.8%	-4.5%	1.4%	2.29	5.01	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	16	6	39	169	33	24	2	38%	2.5	19.5%	14.2%	5.3%	1.2%	2.29	3.91	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	15	6	43	172	45	13	0	40%	2.9	17.8%	9.4%	8.3%	0.0%	1.87	2.79	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	15	6	43	172	45	13	0	40%	2.9	26.2%	7.6%	18.6%	0.0%	1.87	1.92	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	17	0	27	125	37	20	0	0%	1.6	20.1%	20.0%	0.1%	0.0%	2.67	3.93	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	17	0	27	125	37	20	0	0%	1.6	20.1%	20.0%	0.1%	0.0%	2.67	3.93	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	17	0	27	125	37	20	0	0%	1.6	29.6%	16.0%	13.6%	0.0%	2.67	2.58	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	45	202	49	19	0	0%	1.7	14.0%	12.3%	1.7%	0.0%	3.57	3.48	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	45	202	49	19	0	0%	1.7	14.0%	12.3%	1.7%	0.0%	3.57	3.48	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	45	202	49	19	0	0%	1.7	24.3%	9.4%	14.9%	0.0%	3.57	2.20	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	CLE	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.9%	12.4%	7.4%	2.9%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CLE	38	0	40	170	34	21	5	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.90	4.92	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	CLE	14	0	15	63	13	8	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.90	4.92	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	12	7	2	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.90	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	96	27	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.90	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		81	15	172	737	118	104	5	19%	2.1	16.0%	14.1%	2.0%	0.7%	2.78	3.92	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	17	200	859	138	121	6	19%	2.1	16.0%	14.1%	2.0%	0.7%	2.78	3.92	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deretd Parra (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	19.9%	12.4%	2.9%	—	4.92	20.2%	8.0%	40	-0.02	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	86
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	84
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	81
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	80
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	79
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	79
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	79
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	79
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	79
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	78
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	78
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	78
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	78
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	78
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	78
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	77
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	77
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	77
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	20.1%	12.2%	1.12	4.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99