Amilcar Chirinos

Amilcar Chirinos P Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 235 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 108

ERA4.81

FIP4.81

K%21.0%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP33

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	6	0	10	39	13	3	0	0%	1.7	33.3%	7.7%	25.6%	0.0%	2.61	1.26	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	6	0	10	39	13	3	0	0%	1.7	33.3%	7.7%	25.6%	0.0%	2.61	1.45	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	12	7	31	122	46	12	1	58%	2.6	25.6%	12.3%	13.3%	1.3%	1.44	3.18	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	12	7	31	122	46	12	1	58%	2.6	37.7%	9.8%	27.9%	0.8%	1.44	1.73	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	17	10	60	267	61	35	3	59%	3.5	16.9%	15.5%	1.4%	1.5%	4.20	4.44	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	17	10	60	267	61	35	3	59%	3.5	16.9%	15.5%	1.4%	1.5%	4.20	4.44	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	17	10	60	267	61	35	3	59%	3.5	22.8%	13.1%	9.7%	1.1%	4.20	3.47	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	0	35	149	39	10	1	0%	1.4	19.4%	7.9%	11.4%	0.8%	4.15	2.90	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	0	35	149	39	10	1	0%	1.4	19.4%	7.9%	11.4%	0.8%	4.15	2.90	—
2024	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	0	35	149	39	10	1	0%	1.4	26.2%	6.7%	19.5%	0.7%	4.15	2.09	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	52	231	65	28	6	0%	1.1	22.1%	13.5%	8.6%	2.7%	4.85	4.44	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	52	231	65	28	6	0%	1.1	22.1%	13.5%	8.6%	2.7%	4.85	4.44	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	52	231	65	28	6	0%	1.1	28.1%	12.1%	16.0%	2.6%	4.85	3.72	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	49	0	57	243	77	45	4	0%	1.2	25.7%	20.4%	5.3%	2.0%	3.32	4.60	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	49	0	57	243	77	45	4	0%	1.2	25.7%	20.4%	5.3%	2.0%	3.32	4.60	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	HOU	49	0	57	243	77	45	4	0%	1.2	31.7%	18.5%	13.2%	1.6%	3.32	3.67	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	54	0	56	239	52	27	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.2%	10.5%	2.8%	4.68	4.63	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	54	0	56	239	52	26	7	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.61	4.58	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	24	0	25	106	23	12	3	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.2%	10.5%	2.8%	4.68	4.63	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	36	0	38	160	35	18	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.61	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	63	264	58	29	8	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.0%	10.8%	2.9%	4.64	4.22	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	93	26	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.0%	10.8%	2.9%	4.64	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		154	17	245	1051	232	152	18	11%	1.6	22.1%	14.5%	7.6%	1.7%	3.71	3.99	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	14	200	857	189	124	14	11%	1.6	22.1%	14.5%	7.6%	1.7%	3.71	3.99	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Amilcar Chirinos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	21.0%	12.2%	2.8%	—	4.61	21.8%	10.7%	113	-0.20	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	92
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	92
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	90
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	90
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	90
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	89
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	89
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	88
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	88
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	88
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	5.02	18.8%	6.8%	174	+0.70	4.32	218	87
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	87
Todd Van Steensel R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	22.5%	11.6%	2.0%	.294	3.31	19.3%	6.5%	157	-0.48	2.87	223	87
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	86
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	86
Aaron Kurcz R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	22.4%	13.6%	1.9%	.331	4.05	16.1%	8.0%	105	+0.07	3.31	213	86
Hunter Dula R 2023 · 4.86 FIP	24	SU	4.86	20.1%	12.1%	3.5%	.301	4.06	19.8%	10.2%	37	-0.80	3.91	132	86
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	21.6%	11.3%	1.10	4.68
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78