Amilcar Chirinos
P
Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 235 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%22.1%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Astros | 6 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 33.3% | 7.7% | 25.6% | 0.0% | 2.61 | 1.26 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Astros | 6 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 33.3% | 7.7% | 25.6% | 0.0% | 2.61 | 1.45 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 12 | 7 | 31 | 122 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 58% | 2.6 | 25.6% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 1.4% | 1.44 | 3.26 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 12 | 7 | 31 | 122 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 58% | 2.6 | 37.7% | 9.8% | 27.9% | 0.8% | 1.44 | 1.73 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 17 | 10 | 60 | 267 | 61 | 35 | 3 | 59% | 3.5 | 16.9% | 15.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.20 | 4.44 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 17 | 10 | 60 | 267 | 61 | 35 | 3 | 59% | 3.5 | 22.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% | 4.20 | 3.47 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 24 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 0.7% | 4.15 | 2.86 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 24 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.2% | 6.7% | 19.5% | 0.7% | 4.15 | 2.09 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 52 | 231 | 65 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 4.85 | 4.27 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 52 | 231 | 65 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.1% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 2.6% | 4.85 | 3.72 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 30 | 0 | 34 | 143 | 41 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 16.9% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 3.67 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 32 | 0 | 33 | 141 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 68 | 284 | 72 | 37 | 6 | — | — | 25.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 2.1% | 4.10 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.16 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 32 | 0 | 34 | 142 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 32 | 0 | 34 | 142 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 32 | 0 | 33 | 140 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 31 | 0 | 32 | 136 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 87 | 0 | 91 | 384 | 88 | 39 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.05 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 86 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 135 | 17 | 223 | 951 | 203 | 127 | 15 | 13% | 1.6 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 1.5% | 3.80 | 3.84 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 15 | 200 | 854 | 182 | 114 | 13 | 13% | 1.6 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 1.5% | 3.80 | 3.84 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Amilcar Chirinos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.40 | 22.8% | 12.6% | 101 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 91 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 91 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 90 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 89 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 89 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 89 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 89 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 88 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 88 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 88 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 88 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 88 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 88 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.45 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.10 | 3.45 | 289 | 87 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 87 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 87 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 87 |
| Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 22.4% | 11.2% | 2.0% | .282 | 4.95 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 105 | +1.22 | 2.65 | 304 | 87 |
| Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.33 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 157 | -0.36 | 2.87 | 223 | 87 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 33 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 1.10 | 4.45 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |