Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Astros Orange | 4 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 57.1% | 10.7% | 46.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.37 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Astros Orange | 4 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 57.1% | 10.7% | 46.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.23 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 48 | 216 | 63 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 3.72 | 4.06 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 48 | 216 | 63 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.2% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 2.8% | 3.72 | 3.91 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 60 | 0 | 73 | 311 | 98 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.7% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 3.1% | 3.22 | 4.11 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 60 | 0 | 73 | 311 | 98 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.5% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 2.3% | 3.22 | 3.27 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 34 | 166 | 35 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 22.4% | -1.4% | 3.1% | 4.81 | 5.84 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 34 | 166 | 35 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 16.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 5.45 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | 35 | 0 | 35 | 154 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.3% | 8.0% | 19.4% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 3.63 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | HOU | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | HOU | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 45 | 197 | 57 | 16 | 5 | — | — | 28.7% | 8.0% | 20.8% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 3.79 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 16 | 68 | 57 | 16 | 5 | — | — | 83.2% | 23.1% | 60.0% | 7.8% | 13.36 | 3.28 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 45 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 45 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.14 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 0 | 200 | 847 | 184 | 86 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 171 | 2 | 198 | 875 | 231 | 124 | 24 | 1% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 3.77 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 173 | 2 | 200 | 884 | 233 | 125 | 25 | 1% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 3.77 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan VanWey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 24.3% | 13.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.71 | 24.0% | 11.3% | 23 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 81 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 81 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 81 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 79 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 79 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 78 |
| Gavin Hollowell R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 26.2% | 12.0% | 3.3% | .356 | 3.71 | 31.7% | 12.1% | 17 | -0.53 | 2.30 | 208 | 78 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 217 | 77 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 77 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.67 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 172 | 77 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.49 | 24.3% | 16.0% | 4.4% | .324 | 5.40 | 16.4% | 0.9% | 62 | -0.09 | 3.62 | 183 | 77 |
| Morris Austin R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 164 | 76 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 76 |
| Javy Guerra R 2029 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 76 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.93 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 107 | 76 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 76 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 76 |
| Cayne Ueckert R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 23.4% | 14.0% | 1.8% | .337 | 5.97 | 19.2% | 4.6% | 64 | +2.09 | 3.88 | 205 | 76 |