Moisés Chace
P
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 213 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.3 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 109
ERA4.81
FIP4.81
K%27.0%
BB%14.9%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles Black | 9 | 5 | 22 | 106 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 56% | 2.5 | 20.5% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 5.64 | 3.81 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles Black | 9 | 5 | 22 | 106 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 56% | 2.5 | 30.2% | 10.4% | 19.8% | 0.9% | 5.64 | 2.29 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 19 | 14 | 60 | 271 | 64 | 42 | 1 | 74% | 3.1 | 17.5% | 18.3% | -0.8% | 0.4% | 4.98 | 4.15 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 19 | 14 | 60 | 271 | 64 | 42 | 1 | 74% | 3.1 | 23.6% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 0.4% | 4.98 | 3.28 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 21 | 9 | 68 | 302 | 100 | 53 | 8 | 43% | 3.2 | 24.5% | 20.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 5.47 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 21 | 9 | 68 | 302 | 100 | 53 | 8 | 43% | 3.2 | 33.1% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 2.6% | 4.50 | 4.03 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 15 | 80 | 334 | 124 | 40 | 8 | 65% | 3.5 | 29.0% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 3.59 | 4.05 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 15 | 80 | 334 | 124 | 40 | 8 | 65% | 3.5 | 37.1% | 12.0% | 25.1% | 2.4% | 3.59 | 2.80 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 6 | 6 | 17 | 75 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 2.8 | 20.5% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.24 | 6.05 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 6 | 6 | 17 | 75 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 2.8 | 25.3% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 3.24 | 5.32 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 7 | 35 | 149 | 40 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 5.0 | 27.0% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 54 | 227 | 62 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 27.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 63 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.3% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 63 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.3% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 54 | 226 | 62 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 59 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 27.1% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 50 | 210 | 56 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 26.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 3.4% | 4.55 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 47 | 197 | 52 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 40 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 27.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | 4.66 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 50 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 27.3% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 54 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.3% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 55 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.1% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 52 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 3.4% | 4.58 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 49 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 26.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 52 | 52 | 309 | 1306 | 353 | 161 | 43 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 3.3% | 4.54 | 4.17 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 228 | 104 | 28 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 3.3% | 4.54 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 78 | 49 | 247 | 1088 | 255 | 185 | 26 | 63% | 3.2 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 4.34 | 4.58 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 40 | 200 | 881 | 207 | 150 | 21 | 63% | 3.2 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 4.34 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Moisés Chace (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 27.0% | 14.9% | 3.1% | — | 4.44 | 27.3% | 14.8% | 162 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 84 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 80 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 78 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 77 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 76 |
| Dean Deetz R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 22.2% | 13.7% | 2.5% | .298 | 4.84 | 29.1% | 10.7% | 68 | +0.50 | 2.64 | 281 | 76 |
| Alex Santos II R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.95 | 23.9% | 19.6% | 2.5% | .277 | 3.51 | 25.7% | 8.6% | 37 | -1.44 | 3.51 | 296 | 74 |
| Blair Henley R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 73 |
| James Proctor R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.02 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 1.6% | .277 | 4.35 | 14.0% | 1.5% | 48 | +0.33 | 4.02 | 109 | 73 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 73 |
| Grant Judkins R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.40 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.85 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 150 | +0.45 | 5.40 | 322 | 73 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 73 |
| Austin Hansen R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.84 | 25.1% | 15.0% | 1.7% | .230 | 8.02 | 19.8% | -0.3% | 26 | +4.18 | 3.84 | 204 | 72 |
| Jacob Odle R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.96 | 25.2% | 17.0% | 3.3% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 104 | 72 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2027 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 72 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.78 | 22.0% | 17.9% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.87 | 21.0% | 7.0% | 73 | +0.09 | 4.09 | 196 | 72 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 72 |
| Ryan Cardona R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.82 | 22.8% | 16.5% | 1.0% | .262 | 4.35 | 16.8% | 3.5% | 211 | +0.53 | 3.46 | 367 | 71 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 71 |
| Ben Casparius R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.20 | 20.6% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .306 | 4.44 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 274 | -0.76 | 3.49 | 364 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 50 | 27.1% | 12.6% | 1.24 | 4.54 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Brad Boxberger ('23) | 8 | 43 | 27.1% | 11.7% | 1.17 | 3.86 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Matt Barnes ('23) | 9 | 49 | 29.6% | 10.8% | 1.03 | 4.14 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |