Moisés Chace
P
Reading Fightin Phils
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 213 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.3 · 2028
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.5%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%12.7%
IP35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2028
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles Black | 9 | 5 | 22 | 106 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 20.5% | 13.0% | 1.7% | 5.64 | 3.92 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 19 | 14 | 60 | 271 | 64 | 42 | 1 | 17.5% | 18.3% | 0.4% | 4.98 | 4.18 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 21 | 9 | 68 | 302 | 100 | 53 | 8 | 24.5% | 20.7% | 3.4% | 4.50 | 5.51 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 23 | 15 | 80 | 334 | 124 | 40 | 8 | 29.0% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 3.59 | 4.04 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 6 | 6 | 17 | 75 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 20.5% | 17.6% | 4.7% | 3.24 | 6.15 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | PHI | 14 | — | 14 | 59 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 24.5% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.64 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 36 | — | 36 | 151 | 38 | 16 | 5 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.33 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 39 | 15 | 5 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.31 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 36 | — | 36 | 151 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 25.2% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 34 | — | 34 | 146 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.36 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 34 | — | 34 | 141 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 24.9% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 4.41 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 24.7% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.2 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 24.4% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 78 | 49 | 247 | 1088 | 255 | 185 | 27 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 2.5% | 4.34 | 4.62 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 40 | 200 | 881 | 206 | 150 | 22 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 2.5% | 4.34 | 4.62 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Moisés Chace (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 24.5% | 11.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.36 | 25.1% | 14.8% | 108 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Jacob Dorris R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 26.9% | 12.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.58 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 88 | +0.48 | 4.10 | 130 | 91 |
| Justin Yeager R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.59 | 26.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .281 | 3.93 | 25.4% | 12.6% | 103 | +0.34 | 3.29 | 201 | 89 |
| Zac Leigh R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.72 | 28.5% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .270 | 4.50 | 21.7% | 5.4% | 130 | +0.78 | 3.72 | 164 | 88 |
| Nic Enright R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.63 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .263 | 3.01 | 29.6% | 23.5% | 124 | -0.62 | 0.50 | 249 | 87 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .261 | 3.88 | 20.1% | 9.3% | 114 | -0.55 | 3.82 | 142 | 87 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 4.11 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.20 | 4.01 | 142 | 87 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.58 | 25.3% | 12.4% | 1.9% | .284 | 4.43 | 17.6% | 4.3% | 138 | +0.85 | 3.58 | 183 | 87 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.48 | 27.7% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.31 | 19.4% | 6.5% | 183 | +0.83 | 3.48 | 290 | 86 |
| Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.66 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.87 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.21 | 3.66 | 123 | 86 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .278 | 6.32 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.63 | 4.27 | 103 | 85 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.38 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 2.6% | .324 | 3.97 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.41 | 3.54 | 152 | 85 |
| Colin McKee R 2027 · 5.04 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.04 | 24.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.35 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 97 | -0.69 | 4.16 | 148 | 85 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 3.95 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 96 | -0.00 | 3.37 | 134 | 85 |
| Patrick Ruotolo R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.20 | 27.5% | 10.6% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.63 | 28.9% | 25.8% | 37 | -0.57 | 3.02 | 190 | 84 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.62 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .233 | 3.64 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.98 | 3.54 | 156 | 84 |
| Cole Gordon R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .243 | 5.19 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.09 | 4.10 | 112 | 84 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.48 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.6% | .316 | 4.40 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +0.92 | 3.48 | 142 | 84 |
| Stephen Jones R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.60 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 2.0% | .304 | 4.61 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.01 | 3.60 | 246 | 84 |
| Logan VanWey R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.41 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.8% | .301 | 4.39 | 26.1% | 10.7% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 143 | 84 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 4.0% | .367 | 4.22 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.71 | 3.99 | 293 | 84 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.6M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.0M |
| Totals | $5M | $7M | +$2M | ||