Grant Holman
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 26
RHP
6'6" / 250 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125115vR 106
ERA4.60
FIP4.66
K%21.8%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%10.2%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p6527.7%
K%
p1116.5%
xwOBA vs
p160.352
SL (13%)
FB (48%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 6 | 4 | 15 | 61 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 67% | 2.5 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 4.20 | 5.18 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 6 | 4 | 15 | 61 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 67% | 2.5 | 24.6% | 6.6% | 18.0% | 4.9% | 4.20 | 4.50 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 42 | 178 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 82% | 3.8 | 17.4% | 3.7% | 13.7% | 1.8% | 4.75 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 42 | 178 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 82% | 3.8 | 22.5% | 3.9% | 18.5% | 1.7% | 4.75 | 2.62 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 5 | 44 | 196 | 60 | 17 | 8 | 14% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 6.8% | 18.2% | 7.2% | 4.26 | 5.80 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 5 | 44 | 196 | 60 | 17 | 8 | 14% | 1.3 | 30.6% | 8.7% | 21.9% | 4.1% | 4.26 | 3.89 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 58 | 0 | 64 | 259 | 70 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 0.8% | 1.40 | 3.08 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 58 | 0 | 64 | 259 | 70 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 0.8% | 1.40 | 2.73 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 2 | 32 | 132 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 7% | 1.1 | 16.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 3.62 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 2 | 32 | 132 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 7% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 2.3% | 3.62 | 3.63 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 12 | 1 | 15 | 72 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 8% | 1.2 | 25.1% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 7.0% | 6.75 | 5.87 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 51 | 224 | 55 | 23 | 9 | — | — | 24.6% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 4.1% | 5.22 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 10 | 2 | — | — | 21.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 49 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 49 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 48 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 173 | 2 | 178 | 765 | 161 | 85 | 22 | 1% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.27 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 194 | 2 | 200 | 859 | 181 | 95 | 25 | 1% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 152 | 21 | 212 | 898 | 193 | 74 | 31 | 14% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 3.5% | 3.56 | 4.25 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 143 | 20 | 200 | 846 | 182 | 69 | 30 | 14% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 3.5% | 3.56 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Grant Holman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.74 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 153 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 87 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 86 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 85 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 84 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 82 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 81 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 81 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 81 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 81 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 80 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 3.61 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.24 | 2.88 | 157 | 80 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 80 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 80 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 80 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 80 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 80 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 80 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 80 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 1.15 | 4.67 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |