Grant Holman — OGILVIE

Grant Holman P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 250 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.59

FIP4.64

K%21.6%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5194.6

Whiff%

p6527.7%

p1116.5%

xwOBA vs

p160.352

SL (13%)

FB (48%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	6	4	15	61	15	4	3	67%	2.5	18.2%	7.7%	10.5%	5.5%	4.20	5.55	—
2021	21	A RAW	Stockton Ports	6	4	15	61	15	4	3	67%	2.5	24.6%	6.6%	18.0%	4.9%	4.20	4.50	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	9	42	178	40	7	3	82%	3.8	17.4%	3.7%	13.7%	1.7%	4.75	3.04	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	9	42	178	40	7	3	82%	3.8	22.5%	3.9%	18.5%	1.7%	4.75	2.62	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	5	44	196	60	17	8	14%	1.3	25.0%	6.8%	18.2%	6.9%	4.26	5.62	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	5	44	196	60	17	8	14%	1.3	25.0%	6.8%	18.2%	6.9%	4.26	5.62	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	5	44	196	60	17	8	14%	1.3	30.6%	8.7%	21.9%	4.1%	4.26	3.89	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	58	0	64	259	70	30	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.4%	11.9%	0.8%	1.40	3.05	+1.2
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	58	0	64	259	70	30	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.4%	11.9%	0.8%	1.40	3.05	+1.2
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	58	0	64	259	70	30	2	0%	1.1	27.0%	11.6%	15.4%	0.8%	1.40	2.73	+1.4
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	2	32	132	26	10	3	7%	1.1	16.5%	8.7%	7.8%	3.0%	3.62	4.45	+0.0
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	2	32	132	26	10	3	7%	1.1	16.5%	8.7%	7.8%	3.0%	3.62	4.45	+0.0
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	2	32	132	26	10	3	7%	1.1	19.7%	7.6%	12.1%	2.3%	3.62	3.63	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			41	2	39	183	33	18	4	5%	1.0	18.0%	9.8%	8.2%	2.2%	4.62	4.13	+0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	26	1	32	140	32	8	5	4%	1.2	18.7%	5.1%	13.7%	3.5%	3.62	4.11	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	26	1	32	140	32	8	5	4%	1.2	18.7%	5.1%	13.7%	3.5%	3.62	4.11	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A RAW	PHI	2	0	2	9	4	0	1	0%	1.0	44.4%	0.0%	44.4%	11.1%	4.50	5.45	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	PHI	23	1	30	124	28	7	4	4%	1.3	22.6%	5.6%	16.9%	3.2%	3.60	3.68	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	PHI	1	0	0	7	0	1	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	14.3%	-14.3%	0.0%	0.00	4.91	—
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	PHI	1	0	0	7	0	1	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	14.3%	-14.3%	0.0%	0.00	4.91	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	PHI	4	0	5	19	4	2	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.4%	10.2%	2.8%	4.59	4.64	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	PHI	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.4%	10.2%	2.8%	4.59	4.64	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	PHI	—	—	37	159	36	10	6	—	—	22.7%	6.4%	16.3%	3.5%	3.74	4.17	+0.2
FULL	26	MLB A+C	PHI	—	—	5	21	36	10	6	—	—	176.1%	49.6%	126.5%	27.0%	28.36	9.33	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PHI	54	0	57	241	52	27	7	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.3%	10.5%	2.9%	4.61	4.65	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	PHI	53	0	55	233	51	26	7	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.3%	10.5%	3.0%	4.66	4.71	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	PHI	51	0	54	228	50	26	7	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.3%	10.5%	2.9%	4.61	4.65	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	PHI	50	0	53	224	49	25	7	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.3%	10.5%	3.0%	4.66	4.71	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		147	2	150	653	135	71	18	1%	1.0	20.7%	10.9%	9.9%	2.7%	4.63	4.22	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		196	3	200	869	180	95	24	1%	1.0	20.7%	10.9%	9.9%	2.7%	4.63	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		166	21	230	966	199	73	31	13%	1.4	20.6%	7.5%	13.1%	3.2%	3.37	4.07	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		144	18	200	840	173	63	27	13%	1.4	20.6%	7.5%	13.1%	3.2%	3.37	4.07	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Grant Holman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	21.6%	11.4%	2.8%	—	4.68	21.8%	10.5%	112	+0.04	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	88
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	85
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	85
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	83
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	83
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	82
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	81
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	81
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	81
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	81
Matt Wivinis R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	19.5%	12.2%	1.5%	.262	5.95	14.5%	6.2%	17	+2.11	1.61	124	81
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	651	81
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	81
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	81
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	55	21.7%	11.3%	1.12	4.62
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99