Jack Hartman — OGILVIE

Jack Hartman P FCL Rays

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%17.6%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%5.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	24	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	22	0	19	93	19	16	2	0%	0.8	15.1%	20.3%	-5.2%	2.5%	6.27	5.78	—
2022	24	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	22	0	19	93	19	16	2	0%	0.8	20.4%	17.2%	3.2%	2.2%	6.27	5.03	—
2023	25	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	43	0	53	226	61	22	2	0%	1.2	20.0%	11.5%	8.5%	1.1%	3.38	3.46	—
2023	25	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	43	0	53	226	61	22	2	0%	1.2	20.0%	11.5%	8.5%	1.1%	3.38	3.46	—
2023	25	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	43	0	53	226	61	22	2	0%	1.2	27.0%	9.7%	17.3%	0.9%	3.38	2.54	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	0	44	184	50	15	5	0%	1.3	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	3.4%	3.27	4.34	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	0	44	184	50	15	5	0%	1.3	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	3.4%	3.27	4.34	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	0	44	184	50	15	5	0%	1.3	27.2%	8.2%	19.0%	2.7%	3.27	3.33	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	34	0	46	184	40	20	3	0%	1.4	17.6%	12.0%	5.7%	2.1%	2.14	4.29	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	34	0	46	184	40	20	3	0%	1.4	17.6%	12.0%	5.7%	2.1%	2.14	4.29	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	34	0	46	184	40	20	3	0%	1.4	21.7%	10.9%	10.9%	1.6%	2.14	3.51	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	8	1	10	40	10	5	0	12%	1.2	—	—	—	—	2.70	—	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	8	1	10	40	10	5	0	12%	1.2	—	—	—	—	2.70	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	ROK RAW	TB	5	1	7	27	9	2	0	20%	1.5	33.3%	7.4%	25.9%	0.0%	2.45	1.22	—
2026	28	AA RAW	TB	3	0	3	13	1	3	0	0%	0.9	7.7%	23.1%	-15.4%	0.0%	3.38	5.37	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	TB	5	0	5	23	4	3	1	0%	1.1	17.6%	12.2%	5.5%	2.8%	5.09	5.09	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	TB	—	—	15	63	14	8	1	—	—	22.3%	12.4%	10.0%	1.0%	3.53	1.77	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TB	54	0	56	237	43	29	7	0%	1.0	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	3.0%	5.09	5.15	-0.4
2028	30	MLB MLE	TB	50	0	53	223	40	27	7	0%	1.1	18.1%	12.2%	5.9%	3.2%	5.17	5.26	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	TB	16	0	17	72	13	9	2	0%	1.1	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	3.0%	5.09	5.15	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	TB	26	0	27	114	21	14	4	0%	1.0	18.1%	12.2%	5.9%	3.2%	5.17	5.26	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		41	0	43	183	33	22	6	0%	1.1	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	3.1%	5.14	4.84	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	101	28	0%	1.1	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	3.1%	5.14	4.84	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		142	1	172	727	140	88	15	1%	1.2	19.3%	12.1%	7.2%	2.1%	3.29	4.14	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		165	1	200	844	163	102	17	1%	1.2	19.3%	12.1%	7.2%	2.1%	3.29	4.14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Hartman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	17.6%	12.2%	2.8%	—	5.20	18.0%	5.9%	109	+0.11	—	—	—
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	91
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	90
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	88
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	86
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	85
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	85
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	85
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	84
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	83
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	83
Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	83
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	83
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	82
Collin Balester R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	14.2%	9.3%	2.1%	.240	3.20	21.2%	15.4%	43	-1.02	3.20	116	82
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	82
Logan Bawcom R 2017 · 4.06 FIP	28	SU	4.06	18.2%	10.7%	2.1%	.298	5.19	15.0%	6.4%	164	+1.13	3.73	399	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	17.9%	12.1%	1.17	5.12
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58