Jack Hartman P FCL Rays
Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 59 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.12
FIP5.12
K%17.6%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%5.4%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
K: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -1.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: +1.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+2CONTACTSTAM: +4.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+4STAMTotal WAR: +0.29 (69 IP)+0.3WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202224ABradenton Marauders2201993191620%0.815.1%20.3%-5.2%2.3%6.275.65
202224ABradenton Marauders2201993191620%0.820.4%17.2%3.2%2.2%6.275.03
202325ACharleston RiverDogs43053226612220%1.220.0%11.5%8.5%1.0%3.383.42
202325ACharleston RiverDogs43053226612220%1.227.0%9.7%17.3%0.9%3.382.54
202426MIX3 levels35044184501550%1.320.9%8.8%12.1%3.5%3.274.36
202426MIX3 levels35044184501550%1.327.2%8.2%19.0%2.7%3.273.33
202527AAMontgomery Biscuits34046184402030%1.417.6%12.0%5.7%2.3%2.144.40
202527AAMontgomery Biscuits34046184402030%1.421.7%10.9%10.9%1.6%2.143.51
▸ 2026 Season
202628AAMontgomery Biscuits811040105012%1.22.70
ROS28MLBTB56059249443070%1.117.6%12.2%5.4%2.9%5.125.12-0.4
ROS28MLBTB017.6%12.2%5.4%2.9%5.125.12
2026 TOT28MLBTB692895435718.7%12.3%6.4%2.5%4.774.38+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBTB54056237432970%1.018.0%12.1%5.9%3.0%5.125.17-0.4
202830MLBTB50053223402770%1.118.1%12.2%5.8%3.2%5.195.28-0.5
202729MLBTB160177213920%1.118.0%12.1%5.9%3.0%5.125.17-0.1
202830MLBTB26027114211440%1.018.1%12.2%5.8%3.2%5.195.28-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career41043183332260%1.118.0%12.2%5.8%3.2%5.164.86-0.2
/ 200 IP1900200844152101280%1.118.0%12.2%5.8%3.2%5.164.86+1.3
Career142117272714088151%1.219.3%12.1%7.2%2.1%3.294.14+2.5
/ 200 IP1651200844163102171%1.219.3%12.1%7.2%2.1%3.294.14+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jack Hartman (OGILVIE) 5.12 17.6%12.2%2.9% 5.22 18.0%5.9%109 +0.10
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 91
Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 28 SU 4.39 17.7%11.2%2.5%.263 4.65 15.7%9.0%48 +0.26 4.39 101 90
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 88
Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 88
Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP 28 SU 4.21 16.6%12.5%1.7%.302 5.16 16.9%5.7%194 +0.95 4.21 265 87
Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 86
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 28 SU 5.09 15.3%12.2%3.2%.347 3.42 173 86
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 85
Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 28 SU 4.58 17.9%13.1%2.4%.359 2.12 162 85
Jose De La Torre R 2027 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 14.5%13.1%1.5%.256 2.88 21.6%14.2%65 -1.51 2.54 130 84
Drew Hayes R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 28 SU 4.12 13.8%10.1%1.7%.302 3.34 117 84
Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 83
David Goforth R 2026 · 5.23 FIP 28 SU 5.23 13.6%10.2%3.6%.282 3.92 14.1%5.5%68 -1.31 3.92 256 83
Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP 27 SU 5.37 16.4%13.6%3.5%.308 3.74 140 83
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 28 SU 3.99 17.2%8.8%2.2%.309 4.16 21.2%13.3%48 +0.17 3.23 253 83
Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 28 SU 3.96 17.9%13.5%1.2%.363 3.59 21.1%11.3%181 -0.37 3.07 227 83
Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 5.15 FIP 28 SU 5.15 15.9%13.8%3.0%.277 3.64 237 83
Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP 27 SU 4.51 20.5%12.6%2.8%.355 4.54 16.5%6.1%39 +0.03 3.57 187 82
Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 28 SU 4.57 16.9%15.7%1.7%.290 3.63 21.3%12.7%181 -0.94 2.96 230 82
Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 4.27 FIP 28 SU 4.27 18.2%10.7%2.5%.298 5.09 15.0%6.4%164 +0.82 3.76 399 82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35617.9%12.2%1.185.14
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82