Wilmy Sanchez — OGILVIE

Wilmy Sanchez P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 22 RHP 5'9" / 210 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.68

FIP5.68

K%21.8%

BB%20.2%

K-BB%1.6%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	12	4	34	145	49	15	2	33%	2.8	23.0%	12.9%	10.0%	2.0%	2.12	3.87	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	12	4	34	145	49	15	2	33%	2.8	33.8%	10.3%	23.4%	1.4%	2.12	2.31	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	10	2	33	143	34	20	1	20%	3.3	16.2%	17.5%	-1.3%	0.7%	2.43	4.34	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	10	2	33	143	34	20	1	20%	3.3	16.2%	17.5%	-1.3%	0.7%	2.43	4.34	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	10	2	33	143	34	20	1	20%	3.3	23.8%	14.0%	9.8%	0.7%	2.43	3.25	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	54	242	82	34	1	0%	1.7	25.4%	16.5%	8.9%	0.5%	3.50	3.31	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	54	242	82	34	1	0%	1.7	25.4%	16.5%	8.9%	0.5%	3.50	3.31	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	54	242	82	34	1	0%	1.7	33.9%	14.0%	19.8%	0.4%	3.50	2.19	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	46	0	61	291	75	50	6	0%	1.3	20.9%	18.9%	2.0%	2.3%	6.05	5.02	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	46	0	61	291	75	50	6	0%	1.3	20.9%	18.9%	2.0%	2.3%	6.05	5.02	—
2025	21	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	46	0	61	291	75	50	6	0%	1.3	25.8%	17.2%	8.6%	2.1%	6.05	4.38	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	41	0	46	196	68	26	2	0%	1.1	28.6%	15.5%	13.1%	1.6%	3.74	3.52	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	41	0	46	196	68	26	2	0%	1.1	28.6%	15.5%	13.1%	1.6%	3.74	3.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A+ RAW	NYY	34	0	36	156	58	21	2	0%	1.1	37.2%	13.5%	23.7%	1.3%	3.75	2.37	—
2026	22	AA RAW	NYY	7	0	10	40	10	5	0	0%	1.4	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	3.72	2.57	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYY	54	0	57	241	54	42	6	0%	1.1	22.6%	17.3%	5.4%	2.7%	5.35	5.23	-0.4
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYY	56	0	58	247	57	38	7	0%	1.0	23.2%	15.4%	7.9%	2.7%	5.07	4.93	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	NYY	27	0	28	118	27	20	3	0%	1.0	22.6%	17.3%	5.4%	2.7%	5.35	5.23	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYY	39	0	41	173	40	27	5	0%	1.1	23.2%	15.4%	7.9%	2.7%	5.07	4.93	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	0	69	291	67	47	8	0%	1.0	23.0%	16.2%	6.8%	2.7%	5.18	4.67	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	136	23	0%	1.1	23.0%	16.2%	6.8%	2.7%	5.18	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		141	6	228	1017	235	169	15	4%	1.6	23.1%	16.6%	6.5%	1.5%	3.87	4.06	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		124	5	200	892	206	148	13	4%	1.6	23.1%	16.6%	6.5%	1.5%	3.87	4.06	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilmy Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.68	21.8%	20.2%	2.7%	—	5.08	22.9%	6.6%	115	-0.60	—	—	—
Jonathan Teaney R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	22.5%	19.8%	1.9%	.328	5.65	16.4%	0.7%	55	+0.88	4.77	108	92
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	92
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	90
Connor Walsh R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	22	SU	4.76	23.3%	20.7%	1.8%	.288	3.98	21.3%	6.8%	151	-0.78	3.36	266	90
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	88
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	88
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	87
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	87
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	86
Miguel Alfonseca R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	20.1%	16.4%	2.4%	.354	5.73	11.6%	-3.8%	56	+0.95	4.19	123	86
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	86
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	86
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	86
Gabriel Ponce R 2021 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	24.4%	16.2%	2.8%	.328	4.54	22.4%	7.7%	110	-0.08	4.45	161	85
Yoel Espinal R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	22	SU	4.63	21.0%	21.4%	1.1%	.284	4.52	22.9%	5.6%	157	-0.11	3.86	231	85
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	84
Adonis Villavicencio R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	21	SU	4.65	21.5%	21.9%	1.1%	.316	3.93	18.0%	3.9%	90	-0.72	3.21	115	84
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	84
Danny Dopico R 2016 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	18.3%	22.6%	2.1%	.309	3.19	23.9%	11.2%	189	-2.39	3.00	318	84
Madison Jeffrey R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SU	5.47	19.9%	25.3%	1.5%	.252	5.08	17.6%	-9.7%	107	-0.39	4.65	168	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	22.6%	17.5%	1.04	5.36
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99