Wilmy Sanchez
P
Hudson Valley Renegades
Age 22
RHP
5'9" / 210 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145136vR 127
ERA5.62
FIP5.62
K%21.8%
BB%19.9%
K-BB%1.9%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 12 | 4 | 34 | 145 | 49 | 15 | 2 | 33% | 2.8 | 23.0% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 2.12 | 3.88 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 12 | 4 | 34 | 145 | 49 | 15 | 2 | 33% | 2.8 | 33.8% | 10.3% | 23.4% | 1.4% | 2.12 | 2.31 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 10 | 2 | 33 | 143 | 34 | 20 | 1 | 20% | 3.3 | 16.2% | 17.5% | -1.3% | 0.6% | 2.43 | 4.25 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 10 | 2 | 33 | 143 | 34 | 20 | 1 | 20% | 3.3 | 23.8% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 0.7% | 2.43 | 3.25 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 54 | 242 | 82 | 34 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.4% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 0.5% | 3.50 | 3.29 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 54 | 242 | 82 | 34 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 33.9% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 0.4% | 3.50 | 2.19 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 46 | 0 | 61 | 291 | 75 | 50 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 18.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 6.05 | 4.95 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 46 | 0 | 61 | 291 | 75 | 50 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.8% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 6.05 | 4.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 31 | 0 | 37 | 151 | 49 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.0% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 3.44 | 3.67 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | HOU | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 48 | 44 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 19.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.62 | 5.62 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.8% | 19.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.62 | 5.62 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 89 | 373 | 97 | 65 | 7 | — | — | 26.1% | 17.5% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 4.72 | 4.82 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.8% | 19.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.62 | 5.24 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | HOU | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 52 | 39 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 17.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 5.30 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 55 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 5.03 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 56 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.83 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | HOU | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 17.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 5.30 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 38 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 5.03 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.83 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 110 | 72 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 5.01 | 4.51 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 128 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 5.01 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 131 | 6 | 219 | 972 | 221 | 164 | 13 | 5% | 1.7 | 22.7% | 16.9% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 3.82 | 4.08 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 120 | 5 | 200 | 888 | 202 | 150 | 12 | 5% | 1.7 | 22.7% | 16.9% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 3.82 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wilmy Sanchez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.62 | 21.8% | 19.9% | 2.7% | — | 4.92 | 23.2% | 7.8% | 167 | -0.70 | — | — | — |
| James Acuna R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | .302 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 60 | -0.66 | 4.23 | 107 | 93 |
| Connor Walsh R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.98 | 23.3% | 20.7% | 2.2% | .288 | 4.02 | 21.3% | 6.8% | 151 | -0.96 | 3.40 | 266 | 92 |
| Jonathan Teaney R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.70 | 22.5% | 19.8% | 1.8% | .328 | 6.06 | 16.4% | 0.7% | 55 | +1.36 | 4.70 | 108 | 91 |
| Will McAffer R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.59 | 20.4% | 18.1% | 1.7% | .270 | 6.10 | 18.5% | -4.0% | 77 | +1.51 | 4.59 | 133 | 90 |
| Konnor Ash R 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.57 | 22.2% | 17.0% | 2.2% | .340 | 3.50 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 87 | -1.07 | 2.11 | 127 | 88 |
| Matt Brill R 2027 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.94 | 20.8% | 16.3% | 2.8% | .248 | 3.84 | 19.4% | 4.9% | 60 | -1.10 | 3.75 | 161 | 88 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .295 | 5.27 | 18.8% | 4.5% | 93 | -0.01 | 3.94 | 189 | 87 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.06 | 22.4% | 18.8% | 2.7% | .279 | 4.12 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 76 | -0.94 | 2.28 | 158 | 87 |
| Roberto Espinosa R 2027 · 5.02 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.02 | 18.9% | 18.6% | 2.1% | .273 | 4.46 | 14.8% | 2.2% | 77 | -0.56 | 4.32 | 117 | 87 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.85 | 20.1% | 16.4% | 2.5% | .354 | 6.00 | 11.6% | -3.8% | 56 | +1.15 | 4.24 | 123 | 86 |
| Stefan Raeth R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.76 | 17.5% | 8.3% | 124 | -0.03 | 4.36 | 173 | 86 |
| Yoel Espinal R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.68 | 21.0% | 21.4% | 1.2% | .284 | 4.51 | 22.9% | 5.6% | 157 | -0.17 | 3.88 | 231 | 86 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.61 | 24.4% | 16.2% | 2.8% | .328 | 4.59 | 22.6% | 7.5% | 110 | -0.02 | 4.42 | 161 | 86 |
| Marcus Crescentini R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.80 | 21.8% | 21.9% | 3.2% | .365 | 3.82 | 23.3% | 11.6% | 123 | -1.98 | 2.73 | 150 | 85 |
| Zane Russell R 2028 · 5.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.19 | 22.7% | 18.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 5.10 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 71 | -0.09 | 4.28 | 108 | 85 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.91 | 23.1% | 15.9% | 3.2% | .278 | 3.58 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 53 | -1.33 | 3.58 | 104 | 85 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.67 | 19.5% | 19.4% | 1.4% | .323 | 5.85 | 11.8% | -8.9% | 23 | +1.18 | 4.67 | 178 | 84 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2028 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 84 |
| Zane Barnhart R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.73 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 1.9% | .214 | 3.87 | 20.9% | 10.2% | 86 | -0.86 | 3.27 | 129 | 84 |
| Ben Hecht R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.55 | 18.3% | 14.4% | 2.1% | .265 | 4.56 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 58 | +0.01 | 4.55 | 155 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 55 | 22.8% | 16.5% | 1.02 | 5.19 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |