Konnor Ash — OGILVIE

Konnor Ash P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 27 RHP 5'11" / 191 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%21.3%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%8.4%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	1	14	59	14	8	2	11%	1.6	23.7%	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	3.77	4.67	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	1	14	59	14	8	2	11%	1.6	23.7%	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	3.77	4.63	—
2022	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	31	0	40	180	54	26	3	0%	1.3	22.2%	17.0%	5.2%	2.2%	5.36	4.57	—
2022	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	31	0	40	180	54	26	3	0%	1.3	30.0%	14.4%	15.6%	1.7%	5.36	3.32	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	23	1	29	129	47	18	0	4%	1.3	29.7%	12.0%	17.7%	0.0%	4.03	2.11	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	23	1	29	129	47	18	0	4%	1.3	29.7%	12.0%	17.7%	0.0%	4.03	2.11	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	23	1	29	129	47	18	0	4%	1.3	36.4%	14.0%	22.5%	0.0%	4.03	1.72	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	35	10	64	271	66	35	4	29%	1.8	19.7%	14.2%	5.5%	1.6%	3.53	4.09	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	35	10	64	271	66	35	4	29%	1.8	19.7%	14.2%	5.5%	1.6%	3.53	4.09	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	35	10	64	271	66	35	4	29%	1.8	24.4%	12.9%	11.4%	1.5%	3.53	3.49	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	PHI	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.8%	8.4%	2.8%	4.82	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	PHI	35	0	36	153	33	19	4	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.6%	8.7%	2.9%	4.82	4.86	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	PHI	13	0	14	59	13	7	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.6%	8.7%	2.9%	4.82	4.86	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	12	7	2	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.6%	8.7%	2.9%	4.82	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	103	29	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.6%	8.7%	2.9%	4.82	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		98	12	147	639	146	93	10	12%	1.5	22.8%	14.5%	8.3%	1.6%	4.15	3.88	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	16	200	867	198	126	14	12%	1.5	22.8%	14.5%	8.3%	1.6%	4.15	3.88	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Konnor Ash (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	21.3%	12.8%	2.8%	—	4.86	21.3%	8.7%	36	+0.04	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	87
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	86
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	85
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	85
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	83
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	83
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	83
Cole Uvila R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	27	SU	4.06	20.4%	13.2%	1.8%	.360	3.16	20.2%	6.3%	44	-0.90	3.16	155	83
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	82
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	82
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	82
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	21.3%	12.7%	1.09	4.82
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99