Konnor Ash
P
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 27
RHP
5'11" / 191 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%22.5%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 1 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 11% | 1.6 | 23.7% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 3.77 | 4.67 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 1 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 11% | 1.6 | 23.7% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 3.77 | 4.63 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 31 | 0 | 40 | 180 | 54 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 17.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 5.36 | 4.57 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 31 | 0 | 40 | 180 | 54 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.0% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 1.7% | 5.36 | 3.32 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 1 | 29 | 129 | 47 | 18 | 0 | 4% | 1.3 | 29.7% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 4.03 | 2.11 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 1 | 29 | 129 | 47 | 18 | 0 | 4% | 1.3 | 36.4% | 14.0% | 22.5% | 0.0% | 4.03 | 1.72 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 35 | 10 | 64 | 271 | 66 | 35 | 4 | 29% | 1.8 | 19.7% | 14.2% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 3.53 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 35 | 10 | 64 | 271 | 66 | 35 | 4 | 29% | 1.8 | 24.4% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 1.5% | 3.53 | 3.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 36 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 35 | 0 | 36 | 153 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.13 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 88 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 98 | 12 | 147 | 639 | 146 | 93 | 10 | 12% | 1.5 | 22.8% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 4.15 | 3.84 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 133 | 16 | 200 | 867 | 198 | 126 | 13 | 12% | 1.5 | 22.8% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 4.15 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Konnor Ash (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 2.7% | — | 4.51 | 22.5% | 11.7% | 36 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 83 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 83 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 83 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 82 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 82 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 82 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 82 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 82 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 82 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 82 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 82 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 81 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 81 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 81 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2029 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 80 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.30 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .276 | 6.16 | 27.5% | 9.3% | 50 | +2.86 | 2.80 | 155 | 80 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 80 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 217 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 37 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 1.08 | 4.46 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |