Osiel Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Osiel Rodriguez P Tampa Tarpons

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%22.6%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%9.4%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	5	4	10	47	9	4	1	80%	1.9	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	2.1%	5.59	3.73	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	5	4	10	47	9	4	1	80%	1.9	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	2.1%	5.59	3.82	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	6	0	9	37	11	2	1	0%	1.4	29.7%	5.4%	24.3%	2.7%	4.15	2.76	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	6	0	9	37	11	2	1	0%	1.4	29.7%	5.4%	24.3%	2.7%	4.15	2.75	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	0	35	147	42	8	3	0%	2.7	19.6%	6.6%	12.9%	2.0%	4.37	3.38	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	0	35	147	42	8	3	0%	2.7	28.6%	5.4%	23.1%	2.0%	4.37	2.50	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	37	163	53	20	4	0%	1.5	22.7%	15.7%	7.0%	3.0%	3.62	4.82	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	37	163	53	20	4	0%	1.5	22.7%	15.7%	7.0%	3.0%	3.62	4.82	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	37	163	53	20	4	0%	1.5	32.5%	12.3%	20.2%	2.5%	3.62	3.26	—
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	30	0	56	229	68	28	8	0%	1.9	22.0%	14.4%	7.5%	4.6%	2.56	5.62	—
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	30	0	56	229	68	28	8	0%	1.9	22.0%	14.4%	7.5%	4.6%	2.56	5.62	—
2024	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	30	0	56	229	68	28	8	0%	1.9	29.7%	12.2%	17.5%	3.5%	2.56	4.02	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	NYY	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	22.6%	13.3%	9.4%	3.1%	4.95	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYY	49	0	51	217	50	26	7	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.9%	11.1%	3.1%	4.80	4.73	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYY	49	0	51	217	50	25	7	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.7%	11.6%	3.1%	4.72	4.68	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYY	21	0	22	93	21	11	3	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.9%	11.1%	3.1%	4.80	4.73	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYY	32	0	34	144	33	17	4	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.7%	11.6%	3.1%	4.72	4.68	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	236	55	28	7	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.8%	11.4%	3.1%	4.75	4.32	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	100	25	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.8%	11.4%	3.1%	4.75	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		79	4	147	623	136	74	20	5%	1.9	21.8%	11.9%	9.9%	3.3%	3.55	4.57	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	5	200	848	185	101	28	5%	1.9	21.8%	11.9%	9.9%	3.3%	3.55	4.57	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Osiel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	22.6%	13.3%	3.1%	—	4.71	23.2%	11.4%	103	-0.25	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	93
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	89
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	89
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	89
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	88
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	88
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	88
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	87
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	87
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	87
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	86
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Tyler Vogel R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	22	SU	4.93	23.4%	14.3%	3.6%	.305	4.48	19.1%	6.1%	135	-0.45	3.84	200	86
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	85
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	23.1%	12.2%	1.19	4.81
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82