Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 41 | 0 | 42 | 205 | 55 | 44 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 25.3% | -5.5% | 1.3% | 6.00 | 5.33 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 41 | 0 | 42 | 205 | 55 | 44 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.8% | 21.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 6.00 | 4.55 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 41 | 3 | 42 | 219 | 63 | 49 | 0 | 7% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 26.4% | -5.1% | 0.0% | 6.86 | 4.65 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 41 | 3 | 42 | 219 | 63 | 49 | 0 | 7% | 1.0 | 28.8% | 22.4% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 6.86 | 3.60 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 26 | 0 | 31 | 144 | 29 | 32 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.5% | 25.6% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 5.58 | 5.03 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 26 | 0 | 31 | 144 | 29 | 32 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 22.2% | -2.1% | 0.0% | 5.58 | 4.34 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 0 | 37 | 186 | 38 | 47 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.1% | 30.2% | -15.1% | 0.0% | 6.57 | 5.65 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 0 | 37 | 186 | 38 | 47 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 25.3% | -4.8% | 0.5% | 6.57 | 5.21 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 16 | 0 | 18 | 93 | 15 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.4% | 21.1% | -8.8% | 4.3% | 4.91 | 7.10 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 85 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 5.10 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.0% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 5.10 | 5.10 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 39 | 178 | 33 | 32 | 5 | — | — | 18.5% | 17.7% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 5.01 | 6.05 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.0% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 5.10 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 15.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 5.05 | 5.06 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 15.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 5.05 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 5.05 | 4.68 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 135 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 5.05 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 156 | 3 | 170 | 847 | 149 | 222 | 7 | 2% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 26.2% | -8.6% | 0.8% | 6.14 | 5.37 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 4 | 200 | 996 | 176 | 262 | 8 | 2% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 26.2% | -8.6% | 0.8% | 6.14 | 5.37 | +0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Madison Jeffrey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.10 | 21.0% | 16.0% | 2.5% | — | 5.06 | 21.2% | 5.9% | 20 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Derek Eitel R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 87 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 86 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .351 | 3.67 | 14.2% | 4.6% | 18 | -0.83 | 3.67 | 108 | 85 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.60 | 24.0% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .225 | 5.38 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 78 | +0.78 | 3.88 | 158 | 84 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 83 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.49 | 21.9% | 16.7% | 2.1% | .367 | 4.98 | 19.5% | 1.7% | 83 | +0.49 | 3.72 | 197 | 83 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 82 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.49 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 116 | 82 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 81 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 1.8% | .248 | 2.04 | 31.1% | 18.7% | 16 | -1.99 | 2.04 | 138 | 81 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 81 |
| Rene Coss R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.08 | 16.7% | 13.9% | 1.1% | .250 | 4.96 | 13.0% | 2.1% | 82 | +0.88 | 3.90 | 123 | 81 |
| Jackson Goddard R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.14 | 21.1% | 14.3% | 1.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 149 | 81 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 19.6% | 14.7% | 3.8% | .256 | 3.94 | 15.0% | 5.6% | 61 | -1.43 | 3.94 | 189 | 81 |
| Michael Hobbs R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 21.2% | 19.2% | 1.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 184 | 81 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.77 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 203 | 81 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 81 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.01 | 17.2% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .266 | 3.89 | 22.4% | 10.5% | 62 | -0.12 | 3.24 | 159 | 81 |
| Manuel Alvarez R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.22 | 20.3% | 17.1% | 3.0% | .330 | 6.73 | 11.8% | -14.8% | 12 | +1.51 | 4.59 | 154 | 81 |