Madison Jeffrey — OGILVIE

Madison Jeffrey P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 190 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 158150vR 142

ERA6.60

FIP6.60

K%17.8%

BB%25.7%

K-BB%-7.9%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	41	0	42	205	55	44	3	0%	1.0	19.9%	25.3%	-5.5%	1.5%	6.00	5.47	—
2022	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	41	0	42	205	55	44	3	0%	1.0	26.8%	21.5%	5.4%	1.5%	6.00	4.55	—
2023	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	41	3	42	219	63	49	0	7%	1.0	21.3%	26.4%	-5.1%	0.0%	6.86	4.65	—
2023	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	41	3	42	219	63	49	0	7%	1.0	21.3%	26.4%	-5.1%	0.0%	6.86	4.65	—
2023	23	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	41	3	42	219	63	49	0	7%	1.0	28.8%	22.4%	6.4%	0.0%	6.86	3.60	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	26	0	31	144	29	32	0	0%	1.2	15.5%	25.6%	-10.0%	0.0%	5.58	5.03	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	26	0	31	144	29	32	0	0%	1.2	15.5%	25.6%	-10.0%	0.0%	5.58	5.03	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	26	0	31	144	29	32	0	0%	1.2	20.1%	22.2%	-2.1%	0.0%	5.58	4.34	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	37	186	38	47	1	0%	1.2	15.1%	30.2%	-15.1%	0.0%	6.57	5.65	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	37	186	38	47	1	0%	1.2	15.1%	30.2%	-15.1%	0.0%	6.57	5.65	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	0	37	186	38	47	1	0%	1.2	20.4%	25.3%	-4.8%	0.5%	6.57	5.21	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	17	0	20	98	16	18	3	0%	1.2	12.6%	20.0%	-7.4%	4.1%	4.58	6.81	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	17	0	20	98	16	18	3	0%	1.2	12.6%	20.0%	-7.4%	4.1%	4.58	6.81	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	ROK RAW	CWS	1	0	1	6	1	2	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	0.0%	9.00	5.91	—
2026	26	A+ RAW	CWS	16	0	19	92	15	16	3	0%	1.2	16.3%	17.4%	-1.1%	3.3%	4.34	5.72	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CWS	31	0	33	138	25	33	4	0%	1.1	18.4%	24.1%	-5.7%	2.6%	6.40	6.41	-0.6
2027	27	MLB CTX	CWS	11	0	12	51	9	12	1	0%	1.1	18.4%	24.1%	-5.7%	2.6%	6.40	6.41	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	51	9	12	1	0%	1.1	18.4%	24.1%	-5.7%	2.6%	6.40	6.03	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	200	17	0%	1.1	18.4%	24.1%	-5.7%	2.6%	6.40	6.03	-3.4
Career	—	MLE		157	3	171	852	150	222	7	2%	1.1	17.6%	26.1%	-8.5%	0.8%	6.09	5.38	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		183	4	200	995	175	259	8	2%	1.1	17.6%	26.1%	-8.5%	0.8%	6.09	5.38	-4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Madison Jeffrey (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.60	17.8%	25.7%	2.5%	—	6.41	18.4%	-5.7%	33	-0.19	—	—	—
Ted Stuka R 2023 · 7.45 FIP	26	SU	7.45	15.2%	36.8%	1.8%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	5.36	105	86
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	82
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	80
Andrew Bechtold R 2023 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	14.0%	22.7%	1.1%	.389	4.22	19.1%	7.4%	86	-1.21	3.56	104	80
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	79
Harrison Cooney R 2018 · 6.60 FIP	26	SU	6.60	18.8%	21.9%	4.2%	.237	—	—	—	—	—	4.65	186	79
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2023 · 6.20 FIP	25	SU	6.20	17.4%	22.9%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	79
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	78
Jake Haberer R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	26	SU	6.54	13.4%	17.5%	4.3%	.287	5.15	19.6%	4.0%	106	-1.39	3.46	183	78
Yennier Cano R 2019 · 5.94 FIP	25	SU	5.94	17.6%	20.2%	3.2%	.219	3.89	23.6%	12.1%	128	-2.05	2.43	377	78
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	78
Chris Mauloni R 2023 · 5.94 FIP	25	SU	5.94	19.0%	23.7%	2.6%	.247	5.42	16.2%	7.1%	37	-0.52	4.82	129	77
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	77
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	77
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	75
Thomas St. Clair R 2019 · 6.24 FIP	25	SU	6.24	15.0%	25.9%	2.0%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	116	74
Eli Villalobos R 2023 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	17.3%	16.4%	3.6%	.316	5.78	18.8%	7.7%	36	+0.07	3.75	214	74
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	74
Josue Gerardo R 2017 · 5.99 FIP	24	SU	5.99	16.5%	22.5%	2.6%	.450	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	122	74
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	18.2%	24.7%	0.99	6.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99