Miguel Hernández

Miguel HernándezSS FCL Cardinals

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 145 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION294 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP286

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$105M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$7M	+2.0	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$11M	+1.8	$7M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$14M	+1.7	$6M	+$1M
Totals		$35M		$49M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	169	135	38	5	1	5	25	35	6	15	4	281	416	444	860	163	337	21	15	383	145	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	169	145	30	4	1	4	15	52	6	15	4	207	307	331	638	124	262	31	9	270	69	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	169	145	30	4	1	4	15	52	6	15	4	207	307	331	638	124	283	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	169	135	38	5	1	5	25	35	6	15	4	281	416	444	860	163	337	21	15	383	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	169	146	30	4	1	4	15	52	6	15	4	205	307	329	636	123	262	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	169	146	30	4	1	4	15	52	6	15	4	205	307	329	636	123	262	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	STL	—	294	247	50	10	3	8	39	96	8	18	8	202	330	364	694	162	294	33	13	310	96	-1	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	STL	—	191	148	40	6	3	9	39	40	4	11	5	270	435	534	968	264	313	21	20	426	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A RAW	STL	—	103	79	24	7	1	2	20	27	4	7	3	304	466	494	960	190	440	26	19	430	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	STL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		287	33	11	302	91	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	STL	—	303	255	51	10	3	8	40	99	8	18	8	200	327	357	684	157	291	33	13	309	96	-2	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	STL	43%	332	287	62	12	2	8	36	94	6	8	3	216	316	355	672	139	290	28	11	308	95	-2	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2028	20	MLB MLE	STL	61%	438	380	85	16	3	12	47	121	8	11	4	224	322	376	698	153	292	28	11	315	99	-1	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.5
2029	21	MLB MLE	STL	68%	514	444	101	19	4	14	55	139	10	13	4	227	326	383	709	155	293	27	11	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.9
2030	22	MLB MLE	STL	71%	566	489	112	21	4	16	61	151	11	14	5	229	328	387	714	157	293	27	11	322	104	+3	+1	+0	+6	+12	2.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	STL	72%	600	518	119	22	4	18	65	159	12	15	5	230	329	392	721	162	294	26	11	324	106	+4	+1	+0	+6	+13	2.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	STL	72%	622	537	124	23	4	19	68	164	12	15	5	231	331	395	725	164	295	26	11	326	107	+5	+1	+0	+7	+13	2.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	STL	71%	634	547	127	24	4	19	69	166	13	16	5	232	332	395	727	163	295	26	11	327	108	+6	+1	+0	+7	+14	2.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	STL	71%	639	551	128	24	4	19	70	168	13	16	6	232	333	394	727	162	295	26	11	328	108	+6	+1	+0	+7	+14	2.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	STL	70%	637	549	127	24	4	19	70	168	13	16	6	231	332	393	726	162	295	26	11	328	108	+6	+1	+0	+7	+14	2.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	STL	69%	631	544	125	23	4	19	70	167	12	15	5	230	331	392	722	162	294	26	11	327	107	+6	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	STL	67%	620	534	122	23	4	18	69	165	12	14	5	228	330	388	718	159	294	27	11	325	106	+5	+1	-1	+7	+13	2.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	STL	66%	609	524	120	22	4	18	68	164	12	14	5	229	331	389	720	160	293	27	11	323	104	+3	+1	-2	+7	+13	2.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	STL	71%	594	510	115	21	4	17	67	162	12	13	4	225	329	382	712	157	291	27	11	319	102	+1	+1	-3	+6	+13	1.9
2040	32	MLB MLE	STL	74%	575	495	110	20	4	16	64	159	11	12	4	222	325	376	700	154	287	28	11	313	98	-1	+1	-4	+6	+12	1.5
2041	33	MLB MLE	STL	77%	546	470	101	18	3	14	61	154	10	11	4	215	318	355	673	140	283	28	11	307	94	-4	+1	-4	+6	+12	1.0
2042	34	MLB MLE	STL	72%	498	431	89	15	3	12	55	143	9	9	3	206	309	339	648	132	278	29	11	298	88	-7	+1	-5	+5	+11	0.5
2043	35	MLB MLE	STL	68%	442	383	76	12	3	10	48	130	8	8	3	198	301	324	624	125	271	29	11	289	82	-10	+0	-6	+5	+10	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	STL	43%	143	124	26	5	1	3	15	41	3	4	1	210	310	339	649	129	289	29	10	291	95	-1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	STL	61%	267	231	52	10	2	7	29	73	5	7	2	225	325	377	701	152	291	27	11	296	99	-0	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.9
2029	21	MLB CTX	STL	68%	350	302	68	13	2	9	38	94	7	9	3	225	326	371	697	146	292	27	11	300	102	+1	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	STL	71%	402	348	79	15	3	11	43	107	8	10	3	227	326	382	708	155	292	27	11	303	104	+2	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	STL	72%	434	375	86	16	3	12	47	115	9	11	4	229	329	384	713	155	293	26	11	306	106	+3	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	STL	72%	445	385	88	17	3	12	48	117	9	11	4	229	328	382	710	153	294	26	11	307	107	+4	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	STL	71%	451	390	90	17	3	13	49	118	9	11	4	231	330	390	720	159	294	26	11	308	108	+4	+1	+0	+5	+10	2.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	STL	71%	454	392	90	17	3	13	50	119	9	11	4	230	330	388	718	158	294	26	11	308	108	+4	+1	+0	+5	+10	2.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	STL	70%	443	382	88	16	3	13	49	117	9	11	4	230	332	390	722	160	293	26	11	309	108	+4	+1	+0	+5	+10	2.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	STL	69%	434	374	85	16	3	12	48	115	9	10	4	227	329	382	712	155	293	26	11	308	107	+4	+0	-0	+5	+9	1.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	STL	67%	415	358	81	15	3	11	46	111	8	10	3	226	328	377	705	151	292	27	11	306	106	+3	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	STL	66%	401	345	78	14	3	11	45	108	8	9	3	226	329	380	709	154	291	27	11	304	104	+2	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	STL	71%	421	363	81	15	3	11	47	115	8	9	3	223	325	372	697	149	289	27	11	300	102	+1	+1	-2	+5	+9	1.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	STL	74%	428	369	81	15	3	11	48	118	8	9	3	220	322	366	688	146	286	28	11	295	98	-1	+1	-3	+5	+9	1.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	STL	77%	419	361	77	14	3	10	47	118	8	8	3	213	317	352	669	139	282	28	11	289	94	-3	+0	-3	+4	+9	0.8
2042	34	MLB CTX	STL	72%	360	310	64	11	2	8	40	104	7	6	2	206	311	332	643	126	277	29	11	281	88	-5	+0	-4	+4	+8	0.3
2043	35	MLB CTX	STL	68%	300	258	51	8	2	6	33	89	6	5	2	198	303	314	617	116	270	30	11	272	82	-7	+0	-4	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6567	5667	1265	234	45	173	722	1779	130	151	52	223	325	372	697	149	291	27	11	300	101	+15	+9	-18	+70	+142	22.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	561	124	23	4	17	71	176	13	15	5	221	322	367	690	146	288	27	11	300	101	+1	+1	-2	+7	+14	2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	9675	8346	1874	343	63	272	1059	2629	190	235	80	225	325	379	704	154	292	27	11	318	101	+21	+14	-25	+102	+206	32.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	125	23	4	18	71	177	13	16	5	223	324	374	698	152	290	27	11	318	101	+1	+1	-2	+7	+14	2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	10.2	6,772	191	155	226	323	382	+68	+39	27.7	21.5
/162	664	19	15	+6.7	+3.8	2.7	pk7: 15
#3Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	8.5	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
/162	664	18	5	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#4Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Hernández (OGILVIE)	18	45	40	60	55	210/311/348	138	287	5	8	29%	11%	91	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	73	-0.6	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	46→45	52→55	43	221/287/358	137	309	13	9	31%	8%	82	+0.0	212/317/339	127	293	12	16	29%	11%	90	+0.6	205/315/325	120	278	12	21	28%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→36	41→50	55	45	231/306/331	100	330	7	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	193/323/316	123	270	12	20	30%	11%	89	+0.5	189/341/340	151	235	17	19	25%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	87	+0.4	237/302/348	111	297	9	3	22%	7%	85	+0.2	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	228/289/352	124	291	8	9	24%	7%	81	-0.1	253/308/401	148	329	14	9	26%	6%	99	+1.3	287/348/497	210	352	27	29	25%	7%	132	+3.3
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→44	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	85	+0.2	198/251/325	127	276	12	7	32%	6%	61	-1.5	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	74	-0.5	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	55	-2.0	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	26	-1.1
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	51→45	43	216/277/350	134	270	12	10	25%	6%	77	-0.3	235/294/358	123	286	13	8	22%	5%	85	+0.2	253/307/381	128	303	13	6	20%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	88	+0.5	220/282/290	70	304	4	10	27%	6%	64	-1.3	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→55	43→45	57→45	40	220/270/339	119	285	9	15	26%	5%	71	-0.8	223/290/326	103	293	9	12	26%	7%	76	-0.4	233/299/331	99	302	8	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Dorssys Paulino 2013 · A	18	49	46→45	56→45	41	239/280/379	140	303	12	11	25%	5%	83	+0.1	216/258/311	95	287	6	8	26%	5%	59	-1.6	236/290/340	105	311	9	8	26%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	54→53	46→55	59→50	43	258/312/400	142	345	12	16	28%	7%	100	+1.3	237/300/393	156	312	16	12	28%	7%	95	+0.9	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	44	43→45	51→45	42	216/276/330	114	300	10	8	30%	7%	72	-0.7	192/252/275	83	305	6	8	36%	7%	50	-2.3	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	44→48	42→45	50→55	49	212/297/322	110	288	9	12	28%	10%	78	-0.3	220/281/338	118	321	11	16	33%	7%	75	-0.5	235/283/350	115	329	10	23	30%	5%	76	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps