Miguel Hernández

Miguel HernándezSS FCL Cardinals

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION166 act + 110 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .283 / .307

PA110

HR2

K%29

BB%9

BABIP263

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$10M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$10M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.2	$10M	+$9M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.2	$9M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$23M		$52M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	169	145	27	3	1	3	15	55	6	15	4	186	289	283	572	97	267	33	9	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	169	135	38	5	1	5	25	35	6	15	4	281	416	444	860	163	337	21	15	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	STL	—	166	145	25	3	2	5	17	56	4	10	5	172	277	324	601	152	238	34	10	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
YTD	18	ROK	STL	—	166	134	35	5	3	7	28	39	4	10	5	261	404	500	904	239	318	23	17	400	164	+12	+0	+0	+2	+5	1.9
ROS	18	ROK	STL	0%	110	97	19	3	1	2	10	32	2	4	1	195	283	307	590	113	271	29	9	278	71	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		271	—	—	266	62	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	STL	—	166	146	25	3	2	5	17	56	4	10	5	171	277	322	599	151	235	34	10	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
TOT	18	ROK	STL	—	276	242	44	6	3	7	27	88	6	14	6	181	279	317	597	136	249	32	10	274	68	-10	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	STL	34%	293	260	55	9	2	7	26	83	5	7	2	212	296	342	638	131	278	28	9	289	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2028	20	MLB	STL	48%	408	361	78	13	3	10	37	113	7	10	3	216	301	352	653	136	281	28	9	295	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.0
2029	21	MLB	STL	54%	493	437	96	16	4	13	45	134	8	12	4	220	304	364	668	144	282	27	9	300	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.3
2030	22	MLB	STL	57%	551	487	108	18	4	15	50	148	9	14	4	222	306	368	673	146	283	27	9	303	90	-6	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.7
2031	23	MLB	STL	58%	591	522	116	19	5	16	54	158	10	15	5	222	307	370	677	148	284	27	9	305	91	-6	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.9
2032	24	MLB	STL	57%	616	543	122	20	5	17	57	164	11	15	5	225	311	374	685	149	285	27	9	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+17	2.0
2033	25	MLB	STL	57%	630	556	125	20	5	18	58	167	11	16	5	225	310	376	686	151	285	27	9	307	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+18	2.1
2034	26	MLB	STL	57%	636	561	126	21	5	18	59	169	11	16	5	225	311	376	687	152	285	27	9	307	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+18	2.2
2035	27	MLB	STL	60%	635	560	126	21	5	18	59	169	11	16	5	225	311	377	688	152	285	27	9	307	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+18	2.2
2036	28	MLB	STL	57%	629	554	123	20	5	17	59	168	11	15	5	222	309	368	678	146	284	27	9	307	93	-5	+1	-1	+7	+18	2.0
2037	29	MLB	STL	60%	619	544	121	20	5	17	59	167	11	14	5	222	311	371	682	149	284	27	10	305	91	-6	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.8
2038	30	MLB	STL	61%	608	535	118	19	5	16	58	165	10	14	4	221	308	364	673	144	283	27	10	302	89	-7	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.6
2039	31	MLB	STL	62%	594	523	112	18	4	15	56	163	10	13	4	214	302	350	652	136	280	27	9	298	87	-9	+1	-3	+6	+17	1.3
2040	32	MLB	STL	63%	575	506	107	17	4	14	54	160	10	12	4	211	300	344	644	132	277	28	9	293	83	-11	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.9
2027	19	MLB	STL	34%	101	89	19	3	1	2	9	29	2	2	1	213	300	337	637	124	278	29	9	277	70	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	20	MLB	STL	48%	198	175	38	6	2	5	18	55	3	5	2	217	301	360	661	143	281	28	9	283	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2029	21	MLB	STL	54%	267	236	51	8	2	7	24	72	5	7	2	216	302	356	658	140	282	27	9	287	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2030	22	MLB	STL	57%	312	276	60	10	2	8	28	84	5	8	2	217	301	355	656	138	283	27	9	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2031	23	MLB	STL	58%	340	300	67	11	3	9	31	91	6	8	3	223	309	370	679	147	284	27	9	292	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2032	24	MLB	STL	57%	351	310	70	11	3	10	32	93	6	9	3	226	310	377	688	152	285	26	9	293	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2033	25	MLB	STL	57%	357	315	71	12	3	10	33	95	6	9	3	225	311	378	689	152	285	27	9	294	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2034	26	MLB	STL	57%	360	318	72	12	3	10	33	96	6	9	3	226	311	377	688	151	285	27	9	294	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2035	27	MLB	STL	60%	380	334	75	12	3	11	36	101	7	9	3	225	313	377	690	153	284	27	9	294	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.9
2036	28	MLB	STL	57%	360	317	71	12	3	10	34	96	6	9	3	224	311	375	686	151	284	27	9	294	83	-7	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.7
2037	29	MLB	STL	60%	369	325	72	12	3	10	35	99	6	9	3	222	309	369	678	148	283	27	9	292	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.7
2038	30	MLB	STL	61%	373	329	73	12	3	10	35	101	6	8	3	222	308	368	676	146	282	27	9	289	80	-9	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.5
2039	31	MLB	STL	62%	371	327	71	11	3	10	35	102	6	8	3	217	304	361	665	144	280	27	9	286	77	-10	+0	-2	+4	+11	0.4
2040	32	MLB	STL	63%	364	321	69	11	3	9	34	102	6	8	2	215	302	352	654	137	277	28	9	281	73	-11	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4503	3973	879	143	37	121	417	1216	76	108	36	221	307	367	675	146	285	27	9	290	80	-101	+7	-6	+48	+128	7.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	126	21	5	17	60	176	11	16	5	220	306	363	669	143	284	27	9	290	80	-15	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	8157	7191	1579	257	63	216	756	2215	143	208	65	220	306	363	669	143	284	27	9	301	89	-103	+16	-10	+87	+231	22.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	125	20	5	17	60	176	11	17	5	218	304	360	663	141	282	27	9	301	89	-8	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	169	135	38	5	1	5	25	35	6	15	4	281	416	444	860	163	337	21	15	383	151	+10	+1	—	—	+5	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,684	125	111	221	304	366	+50	+27	13.1	10.7
	/162	664	18	16	221	304	366	+7.1	+3.8	1.9	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Hernández (OGILVIE)	18	45	40	60	55	181/279/317	136	249	7	14	32%	10%	68	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→47	47→45	52→55	43	223/287/366	143	309	14	9	32%	8%	82	+0.5	211/317/346	135	289	14	16	29%	11%	91	+1.1	204/318/335	131	272	14	21	28%	12%	85	+0.6
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51→42	43→45	51→55	52	244/320/360	116	300	9	14	21%	9%	94	+1.3	228/320/325	97	311	8	17	26%	11%	85	+0.7	226/320/360	134	289	14	26	25%	12%	91	+0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	44	43→45	51→45	42	216/276/330	114	300	10	8	30%	7%	68	-0.5	192/252/275	83	305	6	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Dorssys Paulino 2013 · A	18	49→50	46→45	56→45	41	239/280/379	140	303	12	11	25%	5%	81	+0.4	214/258/310	96	285	6	8	26%	5%	54	-1.4	227/290/337	110	307	12	5	28%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→46	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	199/251/326	127	280	13	7	32%	5%	56	-1.3	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1	200/266/306	106	300	10	11	34%	7%	57	-1.2	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	49→45	47	214/282/352	138	263	14	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1	208/286/358	150	281	18	7	31%	9%	80	+0.4	201/277/358	157	269	20	6	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Leo Balcazar 2022 · A	18	41→49	46→40	51→45	41	206/269/339	133	291	12	12	32%	7%	67	-0.5	213/271/311	98	323	8	12	34%	6%	60	-1.0	220/267/299	79	290	8	9	26%	5%	52	-1.0