Miguel Hernández
SS FCL Cardinals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROKSTL | 169 | .281/.416/.444 | 5 | 15 | 55 | — | .176/.295/.254 |
| 2026 | 18 | A/ROKSTL | 294 | .282/.446/.520 | 11 | 18 | 99 | — | .216/.344/.391 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 19 | MLBSTL | 404 | .215/.307/.345 | 9 | 8 | 86 | 0.4 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 20 | MLBSTL | 75 | .221/.313/.356 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 21 | MLBSTL | 173 | .225/.317/.368 | 4 | 3 | 96 | 0.5 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 169 | 135 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 281 | 416 | 444 | 860 | 163 | 337 | 21 | 15 | 383 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 103 | 79 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 304 | 466 | 494 | 960 | 190 | 440 | 26 | 19 | 430 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 191 | 148 | 40 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 40 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 270 | 435 | 534 | 968 | 264 | 313 | 21 | 20 | 426 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 169 | 142 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 176 | 295 | 254 | 549 | 77 | 219 | 26 | 11 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 103 | 84 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 262 | 398 | 429 | 827 | 167 | 409 | 36 | 15 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 191 | 162 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 58 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 191 | 314 | 370 | 685 | 179 | 243 | 30 | 13 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 169 | 142 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 176 | 295 | 254 | 549 | 77 | 232 | 26 | 11 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 169 | 135 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 281 | 416 | 444 | 860 | 163 | 337 | 21 | 15 | 383 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 247 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 94 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 211 | 337 | 385 | 721 | 174 | 299 | 32 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 294 | 227 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 67 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 282 | 446 | 520 | 965 | 238 | 356 | 23 | 20 | 427 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 169 | 143 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 175 | 295 | 252 | 547 | 77 | 219 | 26 | 11 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 245 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 94 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 212 | 337 | 388 | 724 | 176 | 301 | 32 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 169 | 143 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 175 | 295 | 252 | 547 | 77 | 219 | 26 | 11 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 245 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 94 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 212 | 337 | 388 | 724 | 176 | 301 | 32 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB MLE | STL | 0% | 404 | 354 | 77 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 110 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 215 | 307 | 345 | 652 | 130 | 283 | 27 | 10 | 296 | 86 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 20 | MLB MLE | STL | 31% | 242 | 211 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 65 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 221 | 313 | 361 | 674 | 140 | 285 | 27 | 10 | 304 | 92 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB MLE | STL | 48% | 361 | 315 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 95 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 317 | 374 | 691 | 148 | 287 | 26 | 10 | 311 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB MLE | STL | 57% | 443 | 388 | 89 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 115 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 229 | 320 | 383 | 703 | 154 | 288 | 26 | 10 | 315 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB MLE | STL | 62% | 494 | 433 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 126 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 232 | 322 | 390 | 712 | 158 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB MLE | STL | 63% | 528 | 462 | 107 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 134 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 234 | 323 | 395 | 718 | 161 | 290 | 25 | 10 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +11 | 2.0 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB MLE | STL | 64% | 550 | 482 | 113 | 20 | 4 | 17 | 55 | 139 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 234 | 324 | 397 | 720 | 163 | 290 | 25 | 10 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +12 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB MLE | STL | 64% | 558 | 489 | 114 | 20 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 141 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 234 | 324 | 397 | 721 | 163 | 290 | 25 | 10 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +12 | 2.2 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB MLE | STL | 63% | 558 | 489 | 114 | 20 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 142 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 233 | 323 | 395 | 718 | 162 | 289 | 25 | 10 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +12 | 2.1 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 62% | 552 | 483 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 56 | 142 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 231 | 321 | 390 | 711 | 159 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB MLE | STL | 61% | 539 | 472 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 54 | 140 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 229 | 318 | 384 | 702 | 155 | 287 | 26 | 10 | 315 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB MLE | STL | 60% | 527 | 462 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 138 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 226 | 315 | 377 | 691 | 150 | 286 | 26 | 10 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB MLE | STL | 65% | 510 | 448 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 136 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 222 | 310 | 367 | 677 | 145 | 283 | 27 | 10 | 305 | 92 | -5 | -1 | -3 | +5 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB MLE | STL | 68% | 487 | 431 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 132 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 217 | 304 | 355 | 659 | 138 | 279 | 27 | 10 | 297 | 87 | -7 | -7 | -4 | +5 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB CTX | STL | 31% | 75 | 66 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 313 | 356 | 669 | 136 | 287 | 27 | 11 | 303 | 92 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB CTX | STL | 48% | 173 | 150 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 317 | 368 | 685 | 143 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 309 | 96 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB CTX | STL | 57% | 252 | 220 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 65 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 319 | 377 | 697 | 149 | 290 | 26 | 10 | 313 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB CTX | STL | 62% | 305 | 266 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 78 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 231 | 321 | 384 | 705 | 153 | 291 | 26 | 10 | 316 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB CTX | STL | 63% | 332 | 291 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 84 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 233 | 323 | 389 | 711 | 156 | 292 | 25 | 10 | 319 | 103 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB CTX | STL | 64% | 350 | 307 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 89 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 234 | 323 | 391 | 714 | 157 | 292 | 25 | 10 | 320 | 104 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB CTX | STL | 64% | 357 | 313 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 90 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 233 | 323 | 391 | 714 | 158 | 292 | 25 | 10 | 320 | 104 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 1.4 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB CTX | STL | 63% | 352 | 308 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 90 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 232 | 322 | 389 | 711 | 156 | 291 | 26 | 10 | 318 | 103 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 62% | 344 | 301 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 88 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 231 | 320 | 384 | 704 | 153 | 290 | 26 | 10 | 316 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB CTX | STL | 61% | 327 | 286 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 85 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 228 | 318 | 378 | 696 | 150 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 313 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB CTX | STL | 60% | 314 | 276 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 314 | 371 | 685 | 145 | 287 | 26 | 10 | 308 | 96 | -1 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB CTX | STL | 65% | 329 | 290 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 88 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 222 | 310 | 362 | 671 | 140 | 285 | 27 | 10 | 303 | 92 | -3 | -1 | -2 | +4 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB CTX | STL | 68% | 334 | 294 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 217 | 304 | 350 | 654 | 133 | 281 | 27 | 10 | 296 | 87 | -5 | -4 | -2 | +4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3844 | 3368 | 768 | 141 | 24 | 103 | 387 | 995 | 55 | 49 | 34 | 228 | 318 | 376 | 693 | 148 | 290 | 26 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -4 | -4 | -7 | +41 | +83 | 11.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 570 | 130 | 24 | 4 | 17 | 65 | 168 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 228 | 317 | 374 | 690 | 146 | 290 | 26 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -1 | -1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6990 | 6109 | 1382 | 243 | 45 | 201 | 712 | 1832 | 110 | 121 | 65 | 226 | 318 | 379 | 697 | 153 | 287 | 26 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -10 | -4 | -10 | +70 | +141 | 19.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 129 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 66 | 170 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 227 | 318 | 382 | 700 | 155 | 288 | 26 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -1 | -0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Cardinals · 191 PAwOBA .416 → .300 (−115)K% 20.9% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 12.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.09% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.977 | ×1.022 | 16.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.977 | ×1.022 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.977 | ×1.022 | 2.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 6.65% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .416 → .300; ISO .264 → .200; BABIP .313 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 APalm Beach Cardinals · 103 PAwOBA .420 → .341 (−80)K% 26.2% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.21% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 14.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.88% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 3.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 26.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 11.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .420 → .341; ISO .190 → .154; BABIP .440 → .409. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Cardinals · 169 PAwOBA .380 → .249 (−131)K% 20.7% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.71% | ÷0.961 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.79% | ÷1.022 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 10.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.55% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.00% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | ×1.000 | ×1.022 | 18.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.600 | ×1.000 | ×1.022 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.000 | ×1.022 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 2.30% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .380 → .249; ISO .163 → .084; BABIP .337 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).